Do you think Acuna is still hurting? He has to be, right? How do you go from 41 HR last year to one (and a .258 average) in over 110 plate appearances?Quote:
Originally Posted by Sheesfaced
Matt Olson's bad start is also puzzling.
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Do you think Acuna is still hurting? He has to be, right? How do you go from 41 HR last year to one (and a .258 average) in over 110 plate appearances?Quote:
Originally Posted by Sheesfaced
Matt Olson's bad start is also puzzling.
Honestly I don’t think he is hurting. I think it’s possible he may not fully be trusting his knee since it’s the same one he had ACL surgery on and that could be affecting his swing. But more than anything it appears to me his timing is just off and his pitch recognition isn’t where it normally is. His K rate is back up to pre 2023 levels, his exit velocity is down, and barrel rate is way down. But anyone that watches a lot of their favorite baseball team knows you can usually recognize when a player is on the verge of breaking out of a slump. Maybe they start going the other way, or they are starting to square up balls but hit right at a defender, or sometimes they just need a soft bloop to fall in for a hit. Acuña is getting close; for him if he hits it back up the middle 110+ he’s on time. And he finally had one of those yesterday.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffDo you think Acuna is still hurting? He has to be, right? How do you go from 41 HR last year to one (and a .258 average) in over 110 plate appearances?Quote:
Originally Posted by Sheesfaced
Matt Olson's bad start is also puzzling.
Riley’s definitely about to get hot. He’s squaring up a lot of balls but just having bad BABIP luck. Sometimes you can just tell it’s coming.
But Olson? - Sheesh he looks so lost.
All that said I think at the end of the season all their numbers are going to look pretty good save for injury. They’re all too talented not to get going sooner or later. And it helps relieve the pressure when your team is winning despite your lack of contributions. The top of the Dodgers order is unquestionably better, but the Braves lineup is unquestionably deeper.
Well I wanted competitive and it was certainly that. My boy Gaddis hadn’t given up a single run until this weekend and fell apart in b2b games.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sheesfaced
I can’t imagine how many games Braves will win once their best players start hitting.
The Twins riding an 8 game win streak, although when that is 4 vs the Pale Hose, 3 vs Team Trout, and another vs Chicago, its not all that impressive.
More interesting, and the most Minnesota thing ever, is there is now a Homer....summer sausage.
https://x.com/Twins/status/1784710200705872072
Quote:
Originally Posted by gut
Whole division with the exception of Sox have been at or above expectation now that Twins made a run. I’m glad the Twins got it together for their fans. Nothing worse than feeling done when you start getting 7 or 8 back in April. Witt and the top half of KC lineup makes them not an easy out either. I started year thinking 85 wins might take division, but the Central has beat up on the AL west.
Mike Trout to undergo knee surgery.
What could have been.
He really has no business being in CF anymore. Follow Bryce Harpers lead and go 1b/dhQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Trout outfield or DH - that ship has sailed.Quote:
Originally Posted by gutHe really has no business being in CF anymore. Follow Bryce Harpers lead and go 1b/dhQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Bryce Harper catcher
What could have been.
Fuck fuck fuck me. Gaddis again. Was brightest spot of early season and gives up 2 out walk off. He’s from ATL. It’s like he went home for Braves series and found out he was adopted or his high school crush got married.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRWell I wanted competitive and it was certainly that. My boy Gaddis hadn’t given up a single run until this weekend and fell apart in b2b games.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sheesfaced
I can’t imagine how many games Braves will win once their best players start hitting.
That one stings +145 and amazing comeback.
short video about Jesse Chavez... weird story and stats with the Braves...
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/-JTJYIGg2aM
All the earlier talk (mainly me) about Boston's pitching has not aged well. What sort of voodoo magic is Breslow doing up there where I now have to know who Kutter Crawford and Tanner Houck are?
Dropped a few bucks on Elly MVP at 15-1 yesterday.
Not sure he will win but if he plays 150 games he will be top 3
The Guardians need to cut the shit and bring up Manzardo. He is just wasting away in AAA and he would probably bat cleanup for the Redsox. Certinaly bat cleanup for the Whitesox.
While we are at it with my AAA observations the Rays should bring up Williams and Caminero and move Mead to 2B and probably have picked up 3-4 wins from the start of the season
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
That’s the thing. He needs to settle the fuck down and stop being a human highlight reel or he’s never gonna make it 150. The stupid & interminably long season cannot be played his way unfortunately.
Oh, speaking of which…. Göober Goodell is floating another regular season game thus extending the season to Presidents Day for a Super Bowl on a 3 day weekend. Gay.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
That’s the thing. He needs to settle the fuck down and stop being a human highlight reel or [B]he’s never gonna make it 150.[\B] The stupid & interminably long season cannot be played his way unfortunately.
Oh, speaking of which…. Göober Goodell is floating another regular season game thus extending the season to Presidents Day for a Super Bowl on a 3 day weekend. Gay.
He’s young. Worry about us. My heart is not going to make it 150 either with my fourth straight extra inning game. My in/out is starting to look like a poor mans Ohtani balance sheet.
They are fun as hell.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
He’s young. Worry about us. My heart is not going to make it 150 either with my fourth straight extra inning game. My in/out is starting to look like a poor mans Ohtani balance sheet.
+145 in the 10th …. it was a good bet last night but sometimes that is no comfort
Praise Kwan. Kid doing everything.
10 straight Gut. Nice recovery by Twins.
Been a fun ride. As you mentioned earlier in thread, kinda weird right now to be 17-13 and in....4th place....in the central???? Also gotta be the first time ever a team has a 10 game streak, who wasnt in 1st place at the start of it, and didnt change a spot in the standings. 4th place at 7-13, 4th place at 17-13.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
I like it. All these years getting (rightfully) shit on for being a shit division....might actually have a wild card team or 2 this year.
Oh also there is this:
https://x.com/JomboyMedia/status/1785763991584731174
I also love Willi Castro. Thank you Detroit for letting him walk a couple years ago.
Baldelli, more than any other manager right now, values pinch-hitting/having the L-R advantage. Most Twins games you will see almost every position player make an appearance. Requires flexible defense. Castro plays everywhere, couple days ago, he started in CF, moved to LF, finished at 3B. His current 127 OPS+ probably will fall, but guys like that make the team go. Seems like a great clubhouse guy also.
Comment meant to read a month ago we were pondering which AAA team could win the division.Quote:
Originally Posted by gutBeen a fun ride. As you mentioned earlier in thread, kinda weird right now to be 17-13 and in....4th place....in the central???? Also gotta be the first time ever a team has a 10 game streak, who wasnt in 1st place at the start of it, and didnt change a spot in the standings. 4th place at 7-13, 4th place at 17-13.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
I like it. All these years getting (rightfully) shit on for being a shit division....might actually have a wild card team or 2 this year.
Oh also there is this:
https://x.com/JomboyMedia/status/1785763991584731174
You following the Cleveland Houston handicap tonight?
Oddly, it’s HOU -130 for me
- half the wins compared to CLE
- HOU starter sporting a nifty 11 ERA
4 straight extras - bullpen fried
Mr Beede is prolly your ace (lol)
There is gonna be human sacrifice if things go south for Cleveland. Gonna have to stay out there and take a beating for the team. (Gotta give some thought on how to target this )
I used my DK up 2 on it too. fwiw
I bet them late/early at +114. Not very big, just thought line would move more. I bet more on first 5 +110 for the bullpen issues you mentioned. Action pretty much split even between 2.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I’m just in blind bet mode at any + number as long as they continue to keep rolling.
Gonna be an interesting game. In the grand scheme it’s a meaningless spot for Cleveland. We are much more invested tonight than the Guards are.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRI bet them late/early at +114. Not very big, just thought line would move more. I bet more on first 5 +110 for the bullpen issues you mentioned. Action pretty much split even between 2.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I’m just in blind bet mode at any + number as long as they continue to keep rolling.
You ever detect “Bo knows” in town?
Kind of the wrong thread for this discussion (should be in Wagering), but I'll allow it.
The CLE/HOU game tonight has some weird elements. You have an unexpectedly bad Houston team which, despite their 10-20 record, still might get over it and break out any time. You have a Tribe team which is better than expected so far, with the reverse record (20-10).
Both pitchers have issues. Logan Allen (not to be confused with the one in Arizona) has allowed 6 HR in 31 innings, has given up 3+ runs in 5 of 6 starts, and threw only 48/91 pitches for strikes in his last outing. Through 30 starts dating back to last year, his career WHIP is about 1.4. Ouch.
Then Houston has Spencer Arrighetti, a rookie with an 11 ERA through 3 starts, who inexplicably kept his rotation position when Verlander came back. The only upside? He struck out 7 batters in 3 2/3 innings (!!) in his last outing, but also gave up 7 hits and 2 walks. He's actually fanned 15 in just over 10 innings of work thus far, yet has given up 18 hits and 7 walks. Think 2022-23 Hunter Greene, who was dominant with the strikeouts, but otherwise wasn't getting the job done. Greene seems to be finally coming around in 2024.
Anyway, Sanlmar I'm surprised you're not F5 overing this one. Between Logan Allen's general ineffectiveness and Arrigetti's tendency to give up hits and walk people, this looks like something with a high total after 5.
Cleveland’s bullpen is absolutely gassed after 4 consecutive extra innings. I want to target that if I’m HOU
That's not a bad point.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I think my issue here is that in MLB, when one team goes to a blowout lead early, it's common for both offenses to kinda shut down in the second half of the game. How often have you seen games which are 7-0 after 4 innings, which end up 8-1 or something?
It's like the hitters just stop trying on both sides, and just want to get the game overwith. There's also the lack of attempt to manufacture runs at that point.
I think when you have two shit starters, the over F5 thing is the best play.
However I see it's O5 -130 in most place which I fucking hate, because I really don't like -130ish juice on totals.
I see Bovada has 5.5 +100 so I'm going to throw caution to the wind and fire that. Hopefully it doesn't end up 3-2 after 5.
It’s ironic you use 8-1. May 1st CLE was down 8-3 after 5 inn and came storming back with 5 runs in the 6th. Ultimately lost 10-9 but CLE is one of those teams that can manufacture runs instead of 3 outcome.
Hopefully not today
And yeah, Buehler is a candidate to get bombed on Monday.
21 rehab innings in the minors, ERA over 4 with a WHIP of 1.62. Ouch. And decreased velocity.
Kinda feels like they're trotting him out there because they're just tired of waiting for him to get better, and because they have a back-of-the-rotation issue right now anyway. Maaaybe Landon Knack is the answer, and maybe Bobby Miller returns soon, but otherwise it's a parade of failpitchers beyond Yamamoto and Glasnow.
Astros just blew a big chance to have a big inning and win by bet. Now after 3 it's only 3 runs, so I'm not in the best shape.
Hate seeing my boy Beede get cranked but the game is following script …. CLE out of options
Son tells me he was in Japan with a new born baby. What a life adventure fr
Yeah, Arias doing no one any favors in CF. Didn’t matter as next guy would have scored him. This scorer for Astros is cracking me up. The Guardians have 3 errors and charged with none. Glad the five inning won.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Beede earning his $1.5m as a sacrificial lambQuote:
Originally Posted by BCRYeah, Arias doing no one any favors in CF. Didn’t matter as next guy would have scored him. This scorer for Astros is cracking me up. The Guardians have 3 errors and charged with none. Glad the five inning won.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Is there another Naylor brother who pitches?
That’s big $ for us. He’s 10th on the team and second highest paid reliever besides Clase. Big off-season move for Guardians.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarBeede earning his $1.5m as a sacrificial lambQuote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Is there another Naylor brother who pitches?
Occasionally I get them right.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRThat’s big $ for us. He’s 10th on the team and second highest paid reliever besides Clase. Big off-season move for Guardians.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Are you DK BCR?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Not a pitcherQuote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarBeede earning his $1.5m as a sacrificial lambQuote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Is there another Naylor brother who pitches?
Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarOccasionally I get them right.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Are you DK BCR?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Sometimes, but betrivers more often. Depends which way line is moving. DK and ESPN move and Betrivers lags it by 30-45 minutes. Anytime you say something was +150, now +132, Betrivers will still be +150.
I cooked up a SGP cause of the 50% promo. +555. Sometimes I feel like sharing but I generally think it’s a waste of time posting.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Occasionally I get them right.
Are you DK BCR?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Sometimes, but betrivers more often. Depends which way line is moving. DK and ESPN move and Betrivers lags it by 30-45 minutes. Anytime you say something was +150, now +132, Betrivers will still be +150.
The HOU +2.5 alt PL leg is classic nitty Sanlmar
I read the FanDuel earnings report and they were crowing about their SGP growth and saw that as a positive for earnings going forward. I am well aware they are trash but you give me 50%
Quote:
Originally Posted by gut
I see the Twins are running their 10 straight up against Houck tonight. Hopefully you fare better than Tribe did. He threw a complete game 94 pitch shutout against us where he was unhittable. Then came out and went 7 with 1 ER a week later. Kid has been really good.
Andy Pages goes 4-for-5 and helps the Dodgers nip the Braves in 11 innings.
He's an underrated prospect. Hit well at every single level, but he had a setback last year with an injury. No matter, he got right back on the horse, and is now hitting (and defending) well for the Dodgers. This was needed, given the team's surprisingly weak outfield. The big guys are all in the infield and DH (Betts, Ohtani, Freeman, Smith, and Muncy), aside from OF Teoscar Hernandez.
Pages was once a top-100 prospect, but fell off the radar, and nobody really thought about him in 2024 (except me, as I had him on fantasy reserve).