I was in the Draftkings Milly Maker (I didn't cash, I never do) and that Lamb TD took the guy who was winning it before the catch from $1M to $5k. Not an optimal ending for him.
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I was in the Draftkings Milly Maker (I didn't cash, I never do) and that Lamb TD took the guy who was winning it before the catch from $1M to $5k. Not an optimal ending for him.
2-3 so I guess I was wong more the I was right
Pats Cowboys was nuts.
Dodgers Braves over 7.5 is my bigger play and I won a YRFI so the pain is tolerable
Joctober just gave this bet a boostQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Favorite ex Dodgers for $500 AlexQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffJoctober just gave this bet a boostQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
To be fair. Kike is Mr October. 500/.514/1.094 slash line, with five homers in 32 at-bats
Took braves -117 in 9th inning.
Two out. Runner on second.
Wish I took more. Maybe they needed Atlanta money or their algorithm thought Jansen would get the out and move to the next inning.
Wow. NLCS goes to LA next. Going to be fascinated by the revised series odds later tonight. Gonna have a good hard think on it.
Well here it is
I can’t hate on Kenley and believe me I have in the past. He has been great this year. He induced a ground ball. We will leave it at that.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Hell of a baseball playoff this year.
Bets for Oct 18-Oct 24(Week 12)
New
Euro Mallorca Open - Sam Horsfield $700 at +2500 (MGM)
LPGA BMW - Lydia Ko $1,000 at +1600
Start $50,000 Remaining $67,000 Current Week $0 Last Week $-2,000
Total Win/Loss +$18,700
————
MGM just opened him at +2500. He’s +1800 on offshore books. That's juicy value.
I added Lydia here. I was going to take it off but I can’t resist at +1600. J Ko has cashed plenty of times and I just have to fade her here at +475. I expected Lydia to be +1400 or so. I think this play is justified at her current odds at +1600. But all those second places with her of course have an effect. Let’s hope she gets things together.
Zozo is tough. I like Morikawa and hate his odds. May just stay away.
I'm in tonight on
Bills -6
Knox o38.5
I’m same way as you. Bet it early as it was 6.5 on my book and came back to -6, so I bet it early. Every prediction and betting guy likes the opposite. I tried to see it, but can’t. Titans have no pass rush, give up most sacks, and I have to ride with Buffalo, but feels like a trap.Quote:
Originally Posted by gut
I bet an NBA game two days in advance for first time ever. Bulls -3.5 on Wed. Don’t even think the Bulls experiment will work, but I like that number at Pistons and think it likely goes up.
Nylander over 2.5 shots +120 (has had 4,5,6 shots)
Tavares over 2.5 shots +150 (has had 4 shots in all 3 games this year)
I know Matthews is coming back and will eat up some shots especially on the power play.
But they aren't on his line they will still get their chances. All we need is one to hit.
Leafs over 6 -115
Philly -140
Philly gonna hit the game total themselvesQuote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
The Kraken are like the shiny toy your parents got you for Christmas and your parents forgot to buy batteries for it.
Did you see the Vegas Knights home opener with the Kraken fighting the Knight special effects?
Took O54 on Bills/Titans. Got a bad number early in week.
Bills started game with a long drive that ended in a 24 yard FG. So basically fucked already.
As I’ve previously stated I’ve never made a winning Hockey pick on my own so far.
Blues in regulation -125
I can’t even really spin out of it cause it’s 3/way but let me know if I am gonna get hurt Simp. Remember you used to help me?
I’d rather have your bet than mine.Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
Made some early NCAAF bets, including Washington St, which fired their head coach and 4 assistants today for not being vaccinated (of course I made the bet before this happened). Here goes.
STRAIGHT BET
[412] UNLV +5-105
STRAIGHT BET
[323] WASHINGTON -17-105
STRAIGHT BET
[331] OHIO STATE -19½-105
STRAIGHT BET
[348] MICHIGAN -21-120 (B+½)
[357] WAKE FOREST -3-120 (B+½)
STRAIGHT BET
[376] WASHINGTON STATE +1-105
STRAIGHT BET
[383] OKLAHOMA STATE +7-105
[391] MISSISSIPPI STATE -21-105
STRAIGHT BET
[405] SAN DIEGO STATE +3½-105
STRAIGHT BET
[380] TEXAS TECH -1-105
yeah right?Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRI’d rather have your bet than mine.Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
Chiefs opened as 4.5 point favorites at Tennessee? My site doesn’t have it up yet or I’d be max betting Tennessee.
Dodger biases aside please…
What is the best out of these ML bets for today? Braves +162, Astros +115 or Red Sox -125?
Didn't all their cornerbacks get injured? Also, the "sharp" narrative is to fade a team coming off a big emotional win.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
Yeah. Was weird how they stalled in the red zone so much. Josh Allen actually wasn't very accurate and a lot of his throws didn't look very good.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRI’m same way as you. Bet it early as it was 6.5 on my book and came back to -6, so I bet it early. Every prediction and betting guy likes the opposite. I tried to see it, but can’t. Titans have no pass rush, give up most sacks, and I have to ride with Buffalo, but feels like a trap.Quote:
Originally Posted by gut
I bet an NBA game two days in advance for first time ever. Bulls -3.5 on Wed. Don’t even think the Bulls experiment will work, but I like that number at Pistons and think it likely goes up.
Also really hurt they didn't seem to have an answer for AJ Brown going down the middle over and over and over and catching that 10 yard pass.
But the combination of Brown and Henry (2 giant, physical guys for their position) isn't something most teams can duplicate; so probably not something other teams are going to be able to copy.
Braves +162Quote:
Originally Posted by Sandwich
Bets for Oct 18-Oct 24(Week 12)
Settled
Euro Mallorca Open - Sam Horsfield $700 at +2500 (MGM) WD- VOID
Current
LPGA BMW - Lydia Ko $1,000 at +1600
Start $50,000 Remaining $67,700 Current Week $0 Last Week $-2,000
Total Win/Loss +$18,700
————
Horsfield withdrew. Universally a bet on the week of the tournament and withdraw before the start is a refund. Future bets for the Masters or US Open, etc is where you get fucked. Some books like Bet MGM are a pain in the ass and may not grade the VOID until after the tournament. But your money will be returned. Got booster today and gave blood so may just be the Lydia bet this week. She’s floated up to +1800 on BOL.
I made a lot of money on Dodgers and Dodger parlays. My annual and accurate Dodger disparagement has been significantly moderated this year. My credentials are beyond dispute.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sandwich
Here is my vaccination paperwork from last night.
If I had a lean it is Braves 1st 5 +140. The difference between Morton & Buehler is very small. You have value. I’m still working on it.
Freddie Fucking Freeman is a giant black hole for the Braves. He is their Bellinger before Bellinger adjusted
The difference is the bullpens. Some of that is negated by Andrew Friedman wanting to be the Tampa Bay Rays and doing dumb shit. Lot of damage has been wrought. Trienen and Jansen are kinda burnt. But let’s not get involved in the unknown and stick with the starters.
Sawks team total over 4.5 -135
I always loved you Greinke you nut but this is how it has to end.
Can’t pick a side. Pivetta was great in relief and late in the season but I can’t trust him. It me not him.
I need hockey.
Betting on opening day nba is probably ill advised but im taking warriors +3.5 and bucs -1.5
Im also splashing a little on giannis over 30.5 and harden over 9.5 assists
Took Edmonton to win their division +250.
Vegas is hurting (Pacioretty/Stone) and I don't believe in Anaheim, Seattle, San Jose, Calgary or LA.
I believe it's a two horse race and I'll take +250 when the other horse is wounded for the next month or two.
Don't love giving the books money for that long, but it will return more than my 0.8% savings account.
Hockey tonight I like
Col/Was over 6. The return of the Mac(kinnon)
NJD -155 is a bit harsh would prefer it a lot if you can find better. -1.5 +160 may be more appealing to some.
Hawks +105 at home. I still believe in the Hawks.
Draisaitl assist -190 odds are bad but I like it a lot tonight.
I meant to come in here to tell everyone how bad the Braves +163 bet looked to me, and now I'm glad I kept my mouth shut.
Yeah, it's far from a done deal, but wow, what a meltdown in the 4th.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarIf I had a lean it is Braves 1st 5 +140. The difference between Morton & Buehler is very small. You have value. I’m still working on it.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sandwich
Got an 8.5 over live
You are free to win the second half Druff.
3-1Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Don’t be discouraged. There is always tomorrow.
I have a disturbing amount of money on the Bulls for an early season game when I don’t even like the team, but just a hunch. Line moved to -5, so got value on opening line. Had a free bet I had to use and have plans later on some Suro soccer tournament. Just fired a +150 team to win as I couldn’t find any long shot except the team playing Chelsea I had never heard of. That free bet probably costs me a few hundred extra as I fired another shot at Bulls -8 +144. Hope my hunch is correct. No Cade, which should take the piss out of the crowd.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRI’m same way as you. Bet it early as it was 6.5 on my book and came back to -6, so I bet it early. Every prediction and betting guy likes the opposite. I tried to see it, but can’t. Titans have no pass rush, give up most sacks, and I have to ride with Buffalo, but feels like a trap.Quote:
Originally Posted by gut
I bet an NBA game two days in advance for first time ever. Bulls -3.5 on Wed. Don’t even think the Bulls experiment will work, but I like that number at Pistons and think it likely goes up.
When you’re firing random EURO soccer games and creating your own lines for NBA openers at 9 AM on a Wed, it may be time to call that 800 number they give me every time I log in.
Can anyone get behind either Bengals or Panthers to win the Super Bowl at 100/1?
not the panthers but yes the bengals.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
First day of nba went well for me, 2-0 picks and 2-1 in player props (ended up taking giannis over for both points and points, assists, rebounds)
Today I have a wide slate of games.
Hawks -2
nugs vs suns over 224.5
kings ml +215
spurs -6.5
rockets v twolves over 232
twolves -6
76ers v pelicans over 223.5
griz -7
knicks -2
hornets -1
gl
That's a big card, matos. GL
Here's a small card.
San Antonio vs. Orlando - Under 212
My first NBA bet of the season.
Really? A fucking snowman? Thank God for cashing J Ko 3 times because Lydia Ko has been just torture. Sorry anyone tailing. Just going to take it easy this week. That red box on the scorecard essentially a knockout.
Shoulda gone with Matos' Spurs -6.5 instead of my fancy under play.
Actually the under looked decent. 6:13 left in a blowout game with 185 points, meaning I just had to fade 27 trash time points. Was about 50/50 to cover that, but it ended up losing by 8.
And so my battle with unders in 2020s NBA doesn't get off to a good start. I did too many of these last season which looked good for me on paper but kept losing.
Not gonna worry after one lost pick, but I'm going to be watching closely.
I started off 1-5 last year, then started doing better.
hit every side and moneyline pick today (with one push) but lost every total. Probably should have realized that shooters haven't warmed up yet. Will have to reevaluate total strategy and wait and see what develops. I think there will be lots of opportunities later there. Might just go blanket under all for now until the totals come down. Or just go under for all totals over 125.Quote:
Originally Posted by matos
NFL ploppy stories
Teaser
Football - 309 Denver Broncos +7½ for Game
Football - 309 Denver Broncos/Cleveland Browns under 47 for Game
It checks all the ploppy boxes
X Teasing points
X Same game teaser
X Public as fuck Cleveland injury fade
X NFL
Thats 4X just like my condom size. Yeah, right. Totally a cuck bet.
Gonna need some more hockey Simp if I am to stay liquid. None of that 3-1 stuff. Sharpen your skates