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Caesars Sportsbook offering: Bet $100 on Dodgers or Giants ML at -105, and get $100 free bet if (win or lose) the team you bet scores 5 or more runs. Both pitching staffs will be bringing it tonight, but Question for the MLB bettors here, is there value here? If so, which side?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sandwich
Yea for sure. Dodgers are around +180 over 4.5 and Giants +200 over 4.5. So both not super likely to occur, but worth putting $100 on the Dodgers IMO. Free bets are basically worth half their value. If it is not restricted, use it on something like a good size dog, outright or parlay imho. Anything where the stake is not as likely coming back to you. Hate using them on straight wagers and essentially try to turn a $100 Free bet into $91. Use it on your biggest long shot play of the day or week before it expires.
Luckily have largely dodged the bullet with Rahm. Overwhelming favorite the last three stroke play tournaments. +400, +200 and this week +300. This will probably be his second missed cut of those 3 with a bed shit thrown in last week. Something is up with him either mentally/physically or both.
This course didn’t play easy today but you wouldn’t expect an opening round this bad EVER from him. Ridiculous amount of public moneys been burnt starting with the Tour Championship lately. If he was going to play this bad he probably should of just withdrawn. I’d be pretty pissed if I shipped it and this was the showing I got.
Anyone who faded him in matchups…well done.
This is the “silly season” in golf. The big names generally only show up to collect appearance fees. If they get into contention on Sunday, they’ll make a run at it, otherwise they’re just going through the motions.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDimeLuckily have largely dodged the bullet with Rahm. Overwhelming favorite the last three stroke play tournaments. +400, +200 and this week +300. This will probably be his second missed cut of those 3 with a bed shit thrown in last week. Something is up with him either mentally/physically or both.
This course didn’t play easy today but you wouldn’t expect an opening round this bad EVER from him. Ridiculous amount of public moneys been burnt starting with the Tour Championship lately. If he was going to play this bad he probably should of just withdrawn. I’d be pretty pissed if I shipped it and this was the showing I got.
Anyone who faded him in matchups…well done.
Def the case in many instances. However, the European Tour now has their version of the FedEx Cup which is called the Race to Dubai (5 Million). Rahm won it two years ago. So he is supposed to be playing these events to leap up in those standings. Similar to the LPGA now who still have the race to the CME championship, which has by far the biggest first prize all year of 1.5 Million.Quote:
Originally Posted by Jayjami
But for sure, Rahm isn’t kicking himself for playing like shit. But he did have some incentive to play well.
Leafs -182 money line ---lol Canadian book trying to scam people. -170 or better is the line to take.
Tampa -1.5 +100 (let's try this again)
Islanders +108
Bonus points feel free to take
Marner over 2.5 shots
Tavares over 2.5 shots
Both should be -170 to 190 range. Both had 4 shots last game.
Bets for Oct 11-Oct 17(Week 11)
Current
PGA Tour CJ Cup - Dustin Johnson $1000 at 15-1
New
Champions Tour SAS - A Cejka $1000 at 14-1
Start $50,000 Remaining $68,700 Current Week $0 Last Week +$12,500
Total Win/Loss +$20,700
————
Cejka been the Lydia Ko for me but on the Seniors Tour. Been in contention every time. Came second last time. He is essentially 14-1 every tournament. This will depend on Green in Reg. If he’s scrambling it’s not going to happen. But he’s been right there. I would like a little more value but the price seems to be locked in wherever it is offered.
Philly +7
Philly team total over 22.5
Philly ML @ +255
They pulled MLB off the board at my book so I threw your stuff in with mine.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sam Snead
I like Navy tonight. Have Navy +11 straight up and parlayed with over, Navy +11 and ML parlayed with Philly +7 and Philly ML. We could cash some Jeff Dime style tickets with a few upsets.
4bet thanks for the rep.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Marner and Tavares both cashed 2-0 so far.
Red Sox to win the AL.
Slim pickins this weekend @ UFC Fight Night 195. Thin value, but value nonetheless....
Carnelossi -155, 1u
Batgerel -155, 1u
Sanchez +135, 1u
Felipe +100, 1u
Dumont by decision +275, 1u
Cejka just fucking makes me steam. Even when he doesn’t butcher a par 5 he three putts.
DJ also 5 under in the first nine but totally shit bed and played himself way out of the tournament yesterday. Cejka is the only hope this week.
I know your in love with the Ducks now Simp.
Ducks goalie Gibson is out. Everyone likes what they see from the Ducks kids. Wild are Wild so that too.
It’s also plus money.
Minnesota Wild/Anaheim Ducks over 1˝ +102 for 1st Period
Sad to see winningest poster in the wagering thread history being discouraged from posting during the waning days of PFA.
Todgers. I know what you’re thinking Simp. Just want to point out my Webb strikeout over prop hit and the under as well as nearly every detail of my entire handicap. They want to cancel my Giants bets b/c of pitcher change? I say, thank you.
Just a delight to see Cleveland’s RB’s Chubb and Hunt are hurt. That was the Browns Cards weather game angle. I am bent over. The NFL is the now the NBA
Gonna give you a rare & private tour inside the mind of a degenerate.
Bought this Monday and was looking sharp
Cleveland Browns -2˝ -120
Yesterday’s teaser
Syracuse +19˝
Cleveland Browns +2˝
Then this teaser today
Syracuse +19˝
Arizona Cardinals +9˝
Oh, there’s more.
Alright, I feel better unburdening my sins here.
How about some NBA foolishness that GA showed us last session. If you are still thinking of betting NBA you would still likely do it even if someone threatened to tazer you in the balls. Get help.
This is more wholesome
901 Boston Red Sox/Houston Astros over 8 -120 for Game
You can’t get it cause I was handicapping last night when you were having sex. Dodgers Series win responsible for erectile dysfunction.
Yeah, I’m back.
I was concerned you might think I was hurt financially on the Giants Dodgers series. It was coin flip but the dumb Dodger money was thinking blowout.
Get outta here with that greatest team ever bullshit.
Braves have home field. Oh, boy
That Giants +1.5 games -160 was a great bet. Can't believe you got that line. Giants had 3 out of 5 at home!
Braves being at home for 4/7 is a joke. Dodgers finished 18 games (!!) ahead of the Braves in the standings.
Bets for Oct 11-Oct 17(Week 11)
Current
PGA Tour CJ Cup - Dustin Johnson $1000 at 15-1
Champions Tour SAS - A Cejka $1000 at 14-1
Start $50,000 Remaining $68,700 Current Week $0 Last Week +$12,500
Total Win/Loss +$20,700
————
We are live. Let’s not shit the bed now. 27 holes. LFG!
Dark times:
Had a brutal Saturday and made a giant bet on Nevada -14 just to get half of it back. Halfway through the 4th Q Nevada is up 5-0 in turnover margin and is only up 17. And the backdoor is WIDE open. Seriously, how can you be up 5-0 in turnover margin, and barely be covering a football game. Talk about not showing up to play, and kickboxing into a win anyways.
This is absolutely brutal, because they stopped trying to score a long time ago, so it is just a matter of whether the Hawaii QB can put in one drive without throwing an INT.
Edit: Nevada just had a WR who was tackled while the ball was in the air and the refs didn't even bother to call the most obvious pass interference of all time. Refs want Hawaii to backdoor cover. This is so brutal.
I was eyeing this game but I always feel like a degenerate with the weekly get right game. I liked Nevada.Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
Your post made me turn this on
Hawaii is garbage …. Unwatchable. You good.
I have not won a single Hockey bet so far this young season. I don’t even know how I’m doing it. I’m gonna fade myself and become fabulously rich. Yeah, that’s the ticket.
Oh fuck.
So sweet Kalem.
Insane. That Hawaii coach wanted to cover so bad. His QB is getting hit almost every drop back, gets hit hard on 3rd and 23 and comes up limping, and the coach is going for it on 4th and 23 (where his QB gets sacked hard again). I am not sure I have ever seen that before.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Still lost my ass on the day. But if Nevada hadn't covered the way that game played out that would have been the ultimate soul crush. 5-0 in turnover margin and barely covered. Pathetic.
As long as I am here this is what I got for tomorrow so far:
Jags +3 -110
Chargers +9.5/Rams -2.5 7 point teaser (-130 odds)
Colts -2.5/ Chiefs PK 7 point teaser
Bills/Titans O54
Browns -2.5 -115
One of the games I lost was Tennessee +1. They were actually down 5 points and driving late when they maybe converted a 4th and 24 that would have set them up in the Ole Miss redzone. The only problem was the refs marked the ball down about half a yard short, and the shoestring budget SEC TV setup didn't have any cameras that had an angle on where the ball was when the guy was tackled, so there was no way to even really review the call.
So the call stands and the Tenn fans are pissed and start throwing stuff on the field and Kiffin actually got hit with a golf ball (not very hard). It was actually pretty wild. Too bad Tennessee has sucked for so long. Because there really is something special about Rocky Top in a night game rocking with over 100K fans.
Well since you started Kalem. It appears none of our games intersect so you should sleep real peaceful tonight. Oops we do have shit in common. Sorry buddy
The Syracuse (win) teaser makes me laugh…. until some referee takes my money and I cry. If I do hit that middle though.
Astros series is a hedge on a 16:1 Dodgers Red Sox World Series prop. Astros are going down
Back on track, Up 2.05 unitsQuote:
Originally Posted by Sandwich
So much fail Jacksonville. This is one of the problems with taking 0-5 teams, is that there is normally a reason they are 0-5.
I stopped posting picks and started winning.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I will start posting again and will start losing. Easy fade material!
Wow Miami. So much fail.
So it is tied at 20 and 4th and 5 around midfield with 5 seconds left and Jacksonville is lining up for a last play of game Hail Mary. Except instead they do a quick pass, and Shenault (the WR) makes the diving catch and is rolling and inexplicably the Miami defender rushes up to touch him and Jacksonville calls an immediate timeout and kicks the winning FG. If the defender just lets him roll and waits the game ends and OT. That is literally the only way that play works is for the player to be immediately touched and an immediate timeout called, and then the kicker making a 54 yd fg. I'll take it the way things have been going.
I actually have season bets of Miami U9.5 wins and Jacksonville U6.5 wins. Obviously I want to win both bets. Not sure if Jacksonville winning is the best outcome. Probably not.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarWell since you started Kalem. It appears none of our games intersect so you should sleep real peaceful tonight. Oops we do have shit in common. Sorry buddy
The Syracuse (win) teaser makes me laugh…. until some referee takes my money and I cry. If I do hit that middle though.
Astros series is a hedge on a 16:1 Dodgers Red Sox World Series prop. Astros are going down
I must have missed the chapter about betting teasers through 0. I will have to do a re-read apparently.
Either way, GL.
Edit: Also good call on the Syracuse legs. Never a second of sweat that one was going to cover. I had Syr +13, and was a little dicey until they scored the late TD.
I didn't realize because I autopay Direct TV and hadn't checked my bill recently, but apparently I have been subscribed (and paying full price) for NFL Season Pass this whole season despite the fact I canceled the package over a year ago.
Is that even legal?
Unfortunately, at this point I am just going to keep it and watch all the games, so legal or not, it worked.
Damn. I have a Chiefs on a teaser and have O54, and Chiefs just threw a pick on the 2 yard line going in. Brutal equity swing there.
It’s def a bummer to have this guy in the last group again and just not perform. It’s really what I said in the beginning of the week. If he has to scramble it’s not going to happen. He didn’t make a bogey all week until today. Guy just can’t get up and down for shit. I guess it’s technically not over, but with two guys with a 3 stroke lead. It’s pretty much a done deal.
Just sucks, he was +260 going into the final round. Jimenez was the slight favorite at +210. Just a waste if we don’t cash this for the third straight time. Thought about a hedge with Jimenez,but the leaderboard was just to stacked up so had to let the chips fall where they may.
Bets for Oct 11-Oct 17(Week 11)
Settled
PGA Tour CJ Cup - Dustin Johnson $1000 at 15-1 (L$1,000)
Champions Tour SAS - A Cejka $1000 at 14-1 (L$1,000)
Start $50,000 Remaining $68,700 Current Week $-2,000 Last Week +$12,500
Total Win/Loss +$18,700
————
Cejka should of got it done today. Would of been nice to have the 3-peat. Trying to keep perspective but it hurts.
The reffing isn't helping at all (Browns have had some brutal questionable penalties that have directly contributed to Az points), but who could have guessed that having both you starting tackles out might be a problem? I haven't even had anything to sweat past the first couple minutes of the games. All my bets today have been stone cold dead right off the bat.
I took Cowboys +3 live when they were down 14-7.
They are down 14-10 at end of half 3rd and goal and Dak does a QB sneak that is an OBVIOUS TD, but the refs inexplicably call it down at the 1, and also inexplicably dont review it. Then Dak fumbles on 4th and 1. Unfucking real.
Cowboys have 235 yard to Patriots 130 and are losing by 4. This is insane.
I don't even know how to describe Baker's injury, but it did not look good at all. Looks like the Case Keenum era in Cleveland has begun.
Edit: Never mind. Baker is warming up on the sideline. Whatever happened it happened to his left shoulder, so I guess he decided he doesn't need it. Who am I to argue?
But yeah, Cleveland keeps fumbling and losing it. And Az keeps fumbling and recovering their own fumbles. I guess that is how the ball bounces some days.
Cowboys cover -3.5 for game and the +3 live bet. Never really in doubt. Of course I wish this was capping off a great weekend instead of just making the hole a little less deep. But it is what it is.Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam