NW -3 -115
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NW -3 -115
7 RUNS IN THE 5TH. I WAS HOPING FOR A LITTLE BETTER. THIS VERY WELL COULD BE A 5-3 PULL BUT YOU NEVER KNOW. DRUFF GOT US WHERE WE NEEDED TO BE EARLY SO THAT IS ALL YOU CAN ASK.Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull
$400 on this over. Druff, I hope you are correct.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
LOOKS LIKE WE ARE GOING TO SPECATULAR FAIL ON THIS BET FOLKS. GUYS STRIKING OUT ALL OVER THE PLACE. SO ITS OVER. WE ALL LOST A LOT OF MONEY. HEY THANKS DRUFF!Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull7 RUNS IN THE 5TH. I WAS HOPING FOR A LITTLE BETTER. THIS VERY WELL COULD BE A 5-3 PULL BUT YOU NEVER KNOW. DRUFF GOT US WHERE WE NEEDED TO BE EARLY SO THAT IS ALL YOU CAN ASK.Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
AWESOME BET, GLAD I LOGGED IN TODAY. 40 TJ MAXX SPORT COATS DOWN THE FUCKING DRAIN!Quote:
Originally Posted by tgullLOOKS LIKE WE ARE GOING TO SPECATULAR FAIL ON THIS BET FOLKS. GUYS STRIKING OUT ALL OVER THE PLACE. SO ITS OVER. WE ALL LOST A LOT OF MONEY. HEY THANKS DRUFF!Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull
If you're looking to make some money this weekend, there are some almost certain locks at the Solheim Cup:
Bet on Megan Khang and/or Celine Boutier to lose in every match they play in this weekend (team or single). One or the other may bink a match but over the weekend this will be profitable since these 2 golfers will always find a way to end up on the losing end.
Full disclosure: I cannot make these bets since I live in Calif (and cant find on Bovada), so I unfortunately cannot put my money where my mouth is. Also, not sure if these types of match bets are available - maybe on MGMBet since it is a sponsor of the LPGA?
I’m going to the sports book in an hour. Be there by 330EST. I recall it’s a team competition. Is it match play I assume? Iirc, it’s like Ryder for women. Where is it at? Here or there? And are you serious and are these two notorious match play chokers? I’ll look for it and if it’s available, if you want to Venmo me some cash I’ll put it on for you also. I recall you’re a lawyer and not some brokedick, so you don’t have to get it to me before I bet it if it’s last minuteQuote:
Originally Posted by JoeD
Today and tomorrow they play as a team in pairs (2 per team, Euro v. USA). Morning is alternate shots between the pairs. Monday will be individual matches.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRI’m going to the sports book in an hour. Be there by 330EST. I recall it’s a team competition. Is it match play I assume? Iirc, it’s like Ryder for women. Where is it at? Here or there? And are you serious and are these two notorious match play chokers? I’ll look for it and if it’s available, if you want to Venmo me some cash I’ll put it on for you also. I recall you’re a lawyer and not some brokedick, so you don’t have to get it to me before I bet it if it’s last minuteQuote:
Originally Posted by JoeD
Both Khang and Boutier played this morning and are not playing this afternoon so no bets available today. That probably leaves one or two team events for each of them tomorrow plus the individual matches on Monday.
Both of them are good enough to make the LPGA and make the Solheim Cup team. But over the 5 years of watching the LPGA I've never seen either of them win anything.
Boultier gets close but cannot close out a victory by herself (maybe if paired with the right teammate she can win a match). Khang is pretty much a choker - plays well but always finds a way to lose.
I suppose a real expert would wait to see who each of them are paired with on their own team tomorrow, and who they are matched up against tomorrow, and who individually they will play against on Monday - that information is not usually available until tomorrow (for Sunday events) and then late tomorrow for Monday's matches. GL
Close loss in yesterday's over. Ugh.
Here's an under for today:
Boston (Houck) vs. Cleveland (Morgan) - Under 9.5 -115
Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
Anyone know a stone mason willing to work for cheap? This is a lot of words to cobble on my bet’s tombstone come tommorow evening.
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Originally Posted by Sandwich
Lungiambula +145 L -1u
Julian Erosa +155 W +1.55u
McCann to win +105 W 1.05u
McCann to win by decision +175 (0.5u) W +0.87u
Pimblett -145 W +0.69u
Bukauskas -150 L -1u
Spivak +200 L -1u
Brunson +155 W +1.55u
Parlay Shore, Morono & Brunson +450 (0.5u) W +2.25u
Total for 9/4 Fight Card: +4.96 units
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Originally Posted by DalyLook familiar San?
Abbey Road crosswalk today
Stupidity parlay of the day
No imagination & less effort here
Dodgers (Buehler) v Giants (Leone and bullpen day)
Tampa Bay Bucc’s vs Dallas Covid Cowboys
Cowboys Right Guard just announced out
Tampa and Dodgers +100
Opening lines for CFB next weekend released.
Ohio State is -14. Damn, I guess books did not like what they saw from the Ducks.
I made a couple early bets, Iowa +3.5 at Iowa St and BYU +7 hosting Utah. No real great handicapping. Rivalry games like this just tend to play closer than the talent of the teams would indicate they should.
I’m not a lottery or big dog player. Anything but. +200 favorites have been murdering 209-86 70.8%. However, I look this morning and I cannot get away from feeling that a basket filled with these three makes me profitable by night’s end.
SEA (Y. Kikuchi) +175 v HOU (L. McCullers)
TB (Yarbrough) +125 v BOS (C. Sale)
STL (Mikolas) +185 v LAD (Scherzer)
Stupid Astros are so inconsistent and McCullers ain’t all that. I am not a Kikuchi guy like many out there. It’s a good offer that I have to take.
Covid Sawks.
Ugly spot for misfiring Dodgers with travel etc. Scherzer is a psycho so fading him makes me legitimately insane too.
This Iowa line is so off it must be a trap. Everyone I know hammered +3.5 including myself.Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
Early line plays
Iowa +3.5
Florida -29
Purdue -33.5
So Alabama -15
NC St -2
Zona St -33.5
A&M -17
Hope Mr. Whipple cashed.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarI have my own UMass story
Where are the human rights advocates?
got a mild bet tonight, $200 on the under for the Ole-Louisville game, just think 75 is too high. I mean 38-31 you win the under which is a ton of points.
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Originally Posted by tgull
I always get a little nervous when most of the public is on a dog. That’s not the way it’s supposed to work, generally speaking.
Feel the same when the public is on the under.
Louisville vs Ole Miss betting update courtesy of @Strike3_Yearout and @PointsBetUSA
69% of bets and 70% of cash on on Ole miss (-9)
Total 74.5… 69% of bets and 67% of handle on UNDER
for the record, I could not name a single player on either team, but 75 points kinda high total.Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull
Plus Lane Kiffin out with virus so that hurts bigly.Quote:
Originally Posted by tgullfor the record, I could not name a single player on either team, but 75 points kinda high total.Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull
The ole miss QB corral will play on Sundays. Not sure how good he will be when he gets there.Quote:
Originally Posted by tgullfor the record, I could not name a single player on either team, but 75 points kinda high total.Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull
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Originally Posted by DalyThe ole miss QB corral will play on Sundays. Not sure how good he will be when he gets there.Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull
tv sweating Over 75.5. ughhhhh....
Weren’t unders roughly 44-22?
I would like an explanation before I stuck my finger in the over socket.
Bets for August 30- Sept 5 (Week 6)
Settled. All Lost
PGA Tour Championship (Bonus Strokes Applied) - $1600 on Jon Rahm +400 (Caesars)
Euro Italian Open - $400 B Wiesberger +2200 (MGM)
Parlay of Both - $100 +10250 (MGM) * Note payoff is less b/c Rahm is +350 but only site allows me to parlay.
Parlay Rahm w/strokes +350 with C Bezioudenhout Korn Ferry Champ +1800 (MGM) - $180 at +8450
Start $50,000 Remaining $44,020 Current Week $0 Last Week -$2,280
Total Win/Loss -$5,980
————————————-
It sucks.
sports betting python
https://www.indeed.com/jobs?q=Sports...7fa861b0b05363
AI & Machine Learning Data Scientist ….
I’ve described my AI vision before. If I was crooked I would AI/Mach Learn my online casino for customer behavior.
I feel like the doctor gave me a cancer diagnosis. I knew the Golden Age was in its Golden Years.
I suck at chess and I can’t paint watercolors
Not much time left this season, but I have found that average-ish AL teams playing at home in interleague games have way outperformed the line in the last 15 years. There were a few dud years in there, but most years this printed money.
Indeed, this year, if you take out the Yakees, Rays, White Sox, Red Sox, and Astros (good), as well as the Orioles and Rangers (bad), you have a very good interleague record, especially at home.
Weekend results:
OU - Tulane OU spread, loss
Texas - Louisiana second half over, win
FSU - ND over win
Clemson straight up, loss
Ole - Louisville under win
Normally when you win 3 and lose two its a nice weekend, but I got crushed on OU.
I am not probably betting any more college until the virus cools off, too many players all of a sudden not playing day of game. The way OU played they might have had 5 starters out.
Genessee Ale Bowl
Boston College @ UMass
Boston College -36½ -115
Opened 38
Boston College/Massachusetts under 59 -110
BC has a 99.3% vax rate tgull
Co-sign?
Smash the under?
In football, what’s better value:
+2.5 point spread at +100, or
+3 point spread at -110
?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sandwich
Sorry about the long winded rep but great job with UFC. I do think there are times in Football when the spread is around 3 where it makes sense, as long as what you are laying is not ridiculous. In this case laying normal juice at +3 would be my guess is the proper play.
Football is not my specialty so Daly may rip my ass open here, but I do think in this particular situation I am correct. There technically would be more value at +100 but I don’t think that half a point is worth it in this exact scenario.
3 all day longQuote:
Originally Posted by Sandwich
3 is the most key of all numbers. To buy from 2.5 to 3 should cost -at least .15 if not .20.
Already laid the lumber. Keep laying it until UMASS can prove it can cover.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
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Originally Posted by tgull
Ou had no starters out. Tulane has a veteran mostly Sr team with one of the better OL’s in the country, esp considering they aren’t power 5.
The line opened at 21 2 months ago for a reason.
Serious question. Is this game off the public’s radar? It is Tuesday and the story hasn’t caught traction this early?Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyAlready laid the lumber. Keep laying it until UMASS can prove it can cover.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I’m not following college very much and have no feel for what people are talking about. Is this Bryant/Monmouth in the world view?
Give me Noren for the Euro BMW with a splash of Horsfield
All I am doing this week is betting Horsfield. A lot of top guys from the Euro Tour, good players who underperformed in the playoffs in the US and some nice long shots in the field. Hovland may very well win but not if he misses greens. Can’t take him at the price. Hatton last big win was this tournament last year. But he is in his worst form in years. Alot of money and R2D points.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I can make a lot of cases for a lot of guys here. Instead I am just taking a punt on Horsfield. I got him $800 at 66-1 and he quickly moved to 50-1. I think you can probably find him at 60-1 or better in some places.
That will be the only play this week. I’ll update the ledger later. It’s a major gamble and that’s why his odds are what they are. Not jumping off the horse at this price in a field that is really tough to narrow down when you start looking elsewhere.
I’ll cover Noren as well because of the big guy. Not for 8 bills but he’ll be covered.
Here's two coming up very soon:
Cleveland (Civale) vs. Minnesota (Gant) - Over 10.5 -105
Pittsburgh (D. Peters) -109 vs. Detroit (W. Peralta)
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Originally Posted by JeffDimeAll I am doing this week is betting Horsfield. A lot of top guys from the Euro Tour, good players who underperformed in the playoffs in the US and some nice long shots in the field. Hovland may very well win but not if he misses greens. Can’t take him at the price. Hatton last big win was this tournament last year. But he is in his worst form in years. Alot of money and R2D points.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I can make a lot of cases for a lot of guys here. Instead I am just taking a punt on Horsfield. I got him $800 at 66-1 and he quickly moved to 50-1. I think you can probably find him at 60-1 or better in some places.
That will be the only play this week. I’ll update the ledger later. It’s a major gamble and that’s why his odds are what they are. Not jumping off the horse at this price in a field that is really tough to narrow down when you start looking elsewhere.
I’ll cover Noren as well because of the big guy. Not for 8 bills but he’ll be covered.
TAILING NOREN/HORSFIELD
20-1/45-1 !? BetonLine.
Just wanna mention that if you have a Disney + account for your kid, you probably have ESPN+ also. Just use your Disney login.
All this time I didn't realize this, and feel like a moron.