I'm lost on the Carolina line too with them only being -3 at home. It seems like a trappy but we will see.
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I'm lost on the Carolina line too with them only being -3 at home. It seems like a trappy but we will see.
I feel the same.Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker
I wrote there was a mismatch on amount wagered favoring Carolina. I just looked again and there is now $800,000 more on Philly.
Problem with my computer or something. I trust they aren't fucking with us. Musta been me.
I am more comfortable seeing Philly getting this love. That's all it is is fan love.
However:
Look at number of bets vs amount wagered vs # big bets. A few huge bets musta rolled in on Philly
I rarely look at this but I was so confused by this line too and felt the sucker somehow.
Here's a snapshot. How does this look to you and what does it tell you? I might actually learn something.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarI feel the same.Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker
I wrote there was a mismatch on amount wagered favoring Carolina. I just looked again and there is now $800,000 more on Philly.
Problem with my computer or something. I trust they aren't fucking with us. Musta been me.
I am more comfortable seeing Philly getting this love. That's all it is is fan love.
However:
Look at number of bets vs amount wagered vs # big bets. A few huge bets musta rolled in on Philly
I rarely look at this but I was so confused by this line too and felt the sucker somehow.
Here's a snapshot. How does this look to you and what does it tell you? I might actually learn something.
3500 more wagers on Carolina, yet philly has more money on them.... what do you think this tells us, you know the answer. Jsizzle is abount to go 7-1 tonight on the public picks!
5-2.
Eagles +3.5 (-118).... it's all free money from the sizzler picks
^^^ - Some late money is coming in for Carolina. The public isn't smashing either one with Eagles at 52.1% of the money but definitely way more bets for Carolina.
Teams do keep it close versus Carolina but it feels like they should be favorite by a few more points but I wouldn't go higher then like 5.5 or 6.
Philly has been good the past few weeks so people are taking that into account as well but Carolina is a solid home team.
any way to tell WHERE the money is coming from, geographically?
if more philly people were betting on their team, it would make a lot of sense, and they may have more money up there than the people down in CAR (generalizing and profiling, because, hillbillies).
Appreciate the thinking.Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker
Who the hell knows how they release the figures, or when. Right? Only thing that matters are the betting lines.
You on this?
I'm sitting this one out but would lean towards Carolina. GL!Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Detriot - now that we have that hockey prop in the bag after the second period, want to let the rest of these fools know what's up?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyDetriot - now that we have that hockey prop in the bag after the second period, want to let the rest of these fools know what's up?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I guess Im not part of the Hockey Prop clique
wow...Im surprised. I thought that was going to be called DOWN since his body hit the ground before the ball was stripped.
You fuckers should load up on second half Eagles. Not to be the bad beat guy, but every fucking team I bet can't hold on to the ball. Browns -3 TO differential. Steelers -3 TO differential. Panthers at -1 through first half. When I have the energy I'm going to go through this thread, figure out how many standard deviations I'm off of average, then shoot myself in the head. The minute I bet you, they lather your entire body in CriscoQuote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Give in BCR. Admit you can't beat sides And totals (neither can I) Start to look into prop betting where you have a chance.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRYou fuckers should load up on second half Eagles. Not to be the bad beat guy, but every fucking team I bet can't hold on to the ball. Browns -3 TO differential. Steelers -3 TO differential. Panthers at -1 through first half. When I have the energy I'm going to go through this thread, figure out how many standard deviations I'm off of average, then shoot myself in the head. The minute I bet you, they lather your entire body in CriscoQuote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Some people killed it this week I'm sure if they were on the right side of some of these HORRIBLE lines that were way off.
A lot of money to be made on these totals today for someone who is sharp enough to find them.
Jags/Bills off by 22 to 23 pts
Browns/Rams off by 13 to 14 pts (low end)
Dolphins/Texans off by 24 pts
Falcons/Titans off by 28 to 29 pts (low end)
Redskins/Bucs off by 19 pts
Raiders/Chargers off by 18 to 19 pts
The only game I bet today was the over 41.5 in the Jags/Bills since it's in London those games go over a lot. 41.5 is just too low for these two shitty defensive teams who make tons of mistakes in this environment.
If total seems way too low again next week I will fire on the under Lions/Chiefs game played in London.
that 3rd and 15 pass interference call made me sick
This whole game made me sick. My pick was almost as bad as the sizzlers.Quote:
Originally Posted by DRK Star
Quote:
Originally Posted by DRK Star
https://media.giphy.com/media/xXuQz6usY7gKk/giphy.gif
Daly offered me a position in his "business." Business is Excellent!! Climb aboard.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyDetriot - now that we have that hockey prop in the bag after the second period, want to let the rest of these fools know what's up?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Wasn't even a sweat tonight...17 saves
Hockey - Total saves in the game - Jonas Hiller (CAL)
Calgary Flames @ New York Rangers
Under 28.0 (-115) Oct 25, 2015 7:00 PM
Outcome: Win
Date settled: Oct 25, 2015 9:47 PM
$230.00
$200.00
Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarI feel the same.Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker
I wrote there was a mismatch on amount wagered favoring Carolina. I just looked again and there is now $800,000 more on Philly.
Problem with my computer or something. I trust they aren't fucking with us. Musta been me.
I am more comfortable seeing Philly getting this love. That's all it is is fan love.
However:
Look at number of bets vs amount wagered vs # big bets. A few huge bets musta rolled in on Philly
I rarely look at this but I was so confused by this line too and felt the sucker somehow.
Here's a snapshot. How does this look to you and what does it tell you? I might actually learn something.
the Minnesota numbers look way off. 904 bets with an avg bet of $706, yet only one bet over 1k? one person threw down ~400-500k there? If so, good job by them.
Daly do you have a MNF props sir?
You believe the assholes at my work actually want me toQuote:
Originally Posted by smiflorida
Accomplish something today and not handicap the game tonight?
I need to have a closer look, but his one stood out to me.
Gresham under 18.5 -110 on 5D
Thank you sir! Wish I could of got it at -110, in @ -145 tho thxQuote:
Originally Posted by DalyYou believe the assholes at my work actually want me toQuote:
Originally Posted by smiflorida
Accomplish something today and not handicap the game tonight?
I need to have a closer look, but his one stood out to me.
Gresham under 18.5 -110 on 5D
edit: now @ -165
If someone wants to split something with me on tonight's MNF game I have a good one - pm me for details.
Im taking AZ tonight -9. I know Balt has had all of their games (whether they win or lose) this year withing 6 pts, but they didnt play anyone the caliber of AZ. AZ is at home. Their pass rush is decent and Flaco is going to Micon the bed tonight again. Lewis (Safety) for Balt is out for tonight. Looking for some big pass plays. John Brown is active at WR for AZ. Who is tall enough to cover Fitzgerald?
AZ by 10.
This is DRK's Ponderosa Special. Its cheap, somewhat filling, slightly better quality than a Sizzler, and will hopefully leave a decent taste in your mouth (until you get home and vomit). AZ -6.5 First Half.
Also took the Texas Roadhouse special. AZ -2.5 1st qtr. Its quick, somewhat less satisfying because its over quick, and the quality is questionable.
AZ is at the top of their division, and need to keep winning because STL is hot on their tails. They play CLE next week and can then have a bye. They play some decent teams the 2nd half with CINN, GB and SEA (also STL) so they need to beef up their record NOW while they can.
Balt has given up 6 passes over 50 yards. They cant cover deep passes. Hopefully, Palmer lobs some up there for Fitz to go up and get.
I'm going to try my own prop tonight lets see if I win or fail
Palmer over 290.5 pass yards (-125)
Carr, Dalton, McCown, and even Kapernick torched the Ravens for 340+ this year. The only two QBs not to be under 290 yards vs. Ravens are Peyton Manning who is a fucking gimp and Michael Vick who obv sucks too so I'm going to give this a shot. GL!
Crawford under 25 saves
Floyd over 44.5 yards -125
Under brown 5 Rec -120
Under brown 68.5 -110
Grish under 18.5 -130
You got to remember sometimes betting props is counter intuitive. On the surface Arizona should smoke Baltimore, I agree with this as do The oddsmakers. What happens when it's 28-6 at halftime and Palmer is 12/18 for 170/3/0?Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker
A lot of running in the second half. So even though you are right, it may not pan out. Betting over passing yards in a potential blowout is a dangerous proposition..... Literally.
I wish you good luck sir!
That thought crossed my mind that they might pound the rock in the second half for sure but I have a weird feeling that the Ravens will keep it closer then people might think. I could be way off but I only wagered a small amount on it just to see how it goes.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyYou got to remember sometimes betting props is counter intuitive. On the surface Arizona should smoke Baltimore, I agree with this as do The oddsmakers. What happens when it's 28-6 at halftime and Palmer is 12/18 for 170/3/0?Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker
A lot of running in the second half. So even though you are right, it may not pan out. Betting over passing yards in a potential blowout is a dangerous proposition..... Literally.
I wish you good luck sir!
Neat.....
Tight ends typically are used to block in Bruce Arians offense. Gresham only has 10 targets in 6 games. Fells only has 12. So, 22 targets over 6 games to the top-2 TEs.
8 min in 1 for 21. Wouldn't surprise me if that the only one.
will hill just saved you guys' ass lol
edit:
nevermind he already had a catch for 21 , didnt see that
Classic example right here and now. Palmer doesn't even have 100 yards yet. I'd bet he finishes with 300+ now. They going to huck the rest of the way. Kind of scared of the brown under bets now.Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPokerThat thought crossed my mind that they might pound the rock in the second half for sure but I have a weird feeling that the Ravens will keep it closer then people might think. I could be way off but I only wagered a small amount on it just to see how it goes.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Sportsbook.ag. Palmer over 137.5 yards 2H -120
That turnover didn't help with the short field but still the game is competitive. I'm gonna need a few long drives for Palmer such as the one where he got most of his yards. Hopefully he throws to Fitz and Floyd so we both can win. GL!Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyClassic example right here and now. Palmer doesn't even have 100 yards yet. I'd bet he finishes with 300+ now. They going to huck the rest of the way. Kind of scared of the brown under bets now.Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker
Jets -1.5 max bet. Such an overreaction to this past weekend. This line is so fucked up I just don't understand it. The advance line had jets -3.5...
Every sharp in Vegas would gladly take Oakland at home with 3 and a hook.Quote:
Originally Posted by handicapme
Oakland teased up to 7.5 will be a popular play.
that missed extra point is going to come back to haunt me
Edit: oh fuck......blocked punt and a TD
please miss this 2pt conversion!!!!
jesus christ....sometimes shit like this seems so fucking retarded that the WWE could be scripting these games.
Stay in bounds you fucking asshole!
jesus....nice intentional grounding....
wtf
fortunately, I bet over 8.5 punts. knuckleheads.
about to lose 3 parlays, but forgot that I had a bet of AZ -7.5 from early last week before the line went up. Small consolation.