Little nervous about this one becuase I really
Don’t think the line makes much sense.
Brewers F5 -140
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Little nervous about this one becuase I really
Don’t think the line makes much sense.
Brewers F5 -140
It’s now been driven off BOL & 5Dimes VietnamQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Why they don’t adjust is a commentary on our times.
LFG
Yeah, -180 —-> -126 full game would trigger alarms in any rational man’s cortex.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
So I’m 1st 5 & full game small.
Keep that MLB streak alive Daly.
Prop bonus question
Ohtani is -200. Elected MVP as a pitcher and position player. Unless he’s hurt he’s in and maybe even if he’s hurt
How isn’t this stealing?
I wanna post some picks but I have a social obligation that I’m gonna honor. I’ll just past post my wins. Major league moves by the kid
Daly and other prop masters:
Tebow total TDs in 2021: O/U 2.5? Passing TDs are not included, only rushing and receiving.
So far action has been heavy on the under.
He must play week 1 or it's no action.
I fucked up my Tampa Cleveland post.
Baseball - 916 Tampa Bay Rays team total over 2½ -129 for 1st 5 Innings Price Is Fixed
Gimp Cleveland pitcher - good bullpen. Focus on what Tampa will do to the gimp “Booz” Allen
Too much juice to bet Tampa outright
Not enough room for error. I’d bet under before over but I’d also acknowledge that Urban is going to force him the ball a few times in an attempt to “not look wrong”.Quote:
Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak
1⅓ innings later The Gimp gave up a Grand slamQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Entertaining myself.
Close your eyes Crowe.
Imagine Bauer taking the mound in Fenway. The chants of “raaa-pist, raa- pist”? Prolly something more clever.
The Dodgers would have the most uncomfortable 9 Innings of their lives.
I hear “steroids, steroids” endlessly sung for Canseco in my head as I type this.
So many great moments. There is no amount of money I wouldn’t pay to be witness to that scene from the stands. It’ll never happen though. He’s toast.
I liked Bauer too.
Signed,
The Dodgers Whisperer
the "Raaa-pist" chant would be 100%, mostly because "She said no" doesn't apply in this case.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Do you think that, like how Canseco used to flex when he heard the steroids chant, Trev would punches his glove real hard during the rapist chant?
Real nice, this is the type of pick that takes time to find. I gotta get back to commuting to find these type of playsQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Haven’t been betting the Rays, might make some bets on soccer Euro and Copa and UFC Saturday of course
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
You can say whatever you want about Boston fans. They are without a doubt the most ruthless crowd going.
Hall +190
Price +140
Condit +160
Burns +140
Some UFC Dogs that all have very real chances to win
Worse than Philly?Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
You can say whatever you want about Boston fans. They are without a doubt the most ruthless crowd going.
Geez, Dodgers have a fail lineup where everyone is out, Marlins are the Marlins, two excellent pitchers going with low H9 ratio, and still somehow over 23.5 RHE easily covers. Partially thanks to shit bullpen work.
:fail2
Put this in the UFC folder but also wanted to repeat it here.
Sugar Sean O'Malley under 1.5 rounds.
-real opponent pulled out and replacement is non ufc calibre
-he typically KO's people in first round. Last fight he thought he had a KO first round so walked away and guy recovered
-170 over here
You golf guys not betting the Mickelson Brady DC Rodgers exhibition today? What’s with that stupid pairing?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Prob not San. I am seeing -175 for Rodgers/Bryson & +140 for Phil/Brady. These events are structured in a way to keep it close so the outcome is in doubt, even if one side is really playing better. I have not looked at the structure for this one exactly, but in general it is real crap shooty. I would say the play would be the dog here if you just wanted a little extra action. Don’t see the harm in that, but wouldn’t endorse laying -175 ever in an event like this (Unless there was a very special circumstance or info I was able to find).
Do we know if Rodgers is a competent golfer? This is an alternate shot format if I remember correctly. Dechambeau hitting bombs into the rough might make for a long day if Rodgers can’t save the shotQuote:
Originally Posted by JeffDimeQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Prob not San. I am seeing -175 for Rodgers/Bryson & +140 for Phil/Brady. These events are structured in a way to keep it close so the outcome is in doubt, even if one side is really playing better. I have not looked at the structure for this one exactly, but in general it is real crap shooty. I would say the play would be the dog here if you just wanted a little extra action. Don’t see the harm in that, but wouldn’t endorse laying -175 ever in an event like this.
Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22Do we know if Rodgers is a competent golfer? This is an alternate shot format if I remember correctly. Dechambeau hitting bombs into the rough might make for a long day if Rodgers can’t save the shotQuote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
He is known to be better than Brady. The internet says Brady is an 8.1 and Rodgers says his “best” is 3.5. I’m sure Rodgers is A)Not a 3 or 4 & B)Will for sure not play like one his first time doing so on national television. Brady has done this before. So I would almost consider it a wash. Just seems clear that the dog is the play here. Actually, no play is really the correct play. But to just fuck around for some action….
Orioles just announced 30th round draft choice Watkins vs Blue Jays
1st 5 -.5 & RL full
fear for your safety Simpdog if Jays lose.
Edit
Toronto Blue Jays -½ -135 for 1st 5 Innings
Toronto Blue Jays -1½ -120 for Game (Jays bullpen is sooooooo bad - pray for me)
Boston Red Sox -114 for Game
10 cent move toward Sawks. Fading Angels and Ohtani which makes me sad after Ohtani’s last shitty start too but I’m hungry. Gotta eat
2nd Inaugural Gimp Play of the Day
New York Yankees team total over 2½ -137 for 1st 5 Innings
Playing with 1st 5 team totals using my new toy 5Dimes Vietnam edition (Betanysports). Shout out to Nicky’s kids.
NYY Taillon is sketchy so let’s just focus on what NYY does against Mariners Justus Sheffield - I did dabble full game with big juice to be truthful
Last 3 Starts 9.45 2.176
My brain doesn’t do RHE so I need help
Golf docket
LPGA: after what I saw this past weekend I’m fine with backing Castren +3500. She played as well as any of the other gals. Henselet +8500 is worth a small token.
Euro: Hatton +2200, Grace +3500 & Ramsay +20000 (Hatton 1R +3300)
PGA: Henley +1800
Sr: Els +1400
On the road today but I like Henley as well. Hate the price ok Danielle KangQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
This is a great bet, I feel this is free money. Suga Sean will demolish this guy. If it goes past 1.5 it will be only because Suga was “playing” around and waiting for a “walk off KO” opportunity rather than a less glamorous finishQuote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
I don’t love laying -170 but am very confident in this pick
The old Pipes would have found this pick himself, instead I just looked for “dogs”, flaw
The old Pipes would have pounded Italy before tournament, before elimination round before last game and before this game
Instead I just looked for dogs because I thought Italy should be a bit bigger dog and wanted to bet bigger dogs like lol Belgium
I ask myself why and the only answer is I just don’t care
I used to care so much, my sports bankroll used to matter so much to me. Remember the feeling of a 2 min drill drive to win on an NFL Sunday when the result really mattered? Or the feeling of the Redskins messing up a lateral, the Chiefs recovering and losing Chiefs team total under and the spread on last play of game ?
Now for me it’s just not as interesting. I like to bet and bet decently big, but am too careful compared to life roll. Too focused on other things.
Can you even make money sports betting? Used to be a way for me to QUICKLY run up thousands but obviously with big risk of busto. Now, I am not trying to run up thousands I have bigger dreams and not realistic to take that risk in sports betting compared to business etc
Have you ever felt this way?
With all those thousands of dollars you have coming in every day from all over the world it seems like you shouldn't sweat the sports betting swings as long as you keep it under 5 figures per bet.Quote:
Originally Posted by NickyPipesThis is a great bet, I feel this is free money. Suga Sean will demolish this guy. If it goes past 1.5 it will be only because Suga was “playing” around and waiting for a “walk off KO” opportunity rather than a less glamorous finishQuote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
I don’t love laying -170 but am very confident in this pick
The old Pipes would have found this pick himself, instead I just looked for “dogs”, flaw
The old Pipes would have pounded Italy before tournament, before elimination round before last game and before this game
Instead I just looked for dogs because I thought Italy should be a bit bigger dog and wanted to bet bigger dogs like lol Belgium
I ask myself why and the only answer is I just don’t care
I used to care so much, my sports bankroll used to matter so much to me. Remember the feeling of a 2 min drill drive to win on an NFL Sunday when the result really mattered? Or the feeling of the Redskins messing up a lateral, the Chiefs recovering and losing Chiefs team total under and the spread on last play of game ?
Now for me it’s just not as interesting. I like to bet and bet decently big, but am too careful compared to life roll. Too focused on other things.
Can you even make money sports betting? Used to be a way for me to QUICKLY run up thousands but obviously with big risk of busto. Now, I am not trying to run up thousands I have bigger dreams and not realistic to take that risk in sports betting compared to business etc
Have you ever felt this way?
Under 26 RHE A’s Stros -120
Under 10.5 K DeGrom -120
Brother this was not the point I was trying to conveyQuote:
Originally Posted by Walter SobchakWith all those thousands of dollars you have coming in every day from all over the world it seems like you shouldn't sweat the sports betting swings as long as you keep it under 5 figures per bet.Quote:
Originally Posted by NickyPipes
I was trying to convey my feelings about reminiscing when all this mattered to me. Really mattered. Many of us are now in this position. We like to bet, maybe play some cards, but it’s not how we make our money, at least anymore.
I have two feet out of that world now and in many ways sports betting is my last connection. I would never spend my limited free time grinding cash at a local casino, would not spend 1 second playing online. No time. Sports betting I can follow on ESPN or sometimes have game on in back. Even enjoy radio if can find stream in the past
I great memory of the pandemic for me was waking up everyday to bet and sweat KBO Baseball, I did really well but I was that nutcase on mykbostats.com preparing to beat the opening line. Lines move a lot in KBO
It was fun and it was a daily grind. Crazy games with shitty bullpens so blown leads, bad baserunning and fielding. Fun league to follow though
Anyways, I am still up at the time KBO comes on, but I just don’t have the fire to grind it anymore
Sports betting is a grind, hoping to win a few % on casino unless your names Steve Stevens
Is just reflecting on what I want... I want the big scor, it’s a losing mindset in sports, you can’t just push “the big score” unless your these golf guys hitting huge returns, I missed those unfortunate
Where I mean you misunderstood... I want the sting, I am not sweating the swings my life is swings
Round in circles, UP
I am chasing the score or the sting, either one is fine with me but I need the daily volatility
Check your books - with the Greek freak playing
May be value in Under Middleton/Lopez anyone else on the bucks.
I never made a life changing sports bet. I never want to.Quote:
Originally Posted by NickyPipesThis is a great bet, I feel this is free money. Suga Sean will demolish this guy. If it goes past 1.5 it will be only because Suga was “playing” around and waiting for a “walk off KO” opportunity rather than a less glamorous finishQuote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
I don’t love laying -170 but am very confident in this pick
The old Pipes would have found this pick himself, instead I just looked for “dogs”, flaw
The old Pipes would have pounded Italy before tournament, before elimination round before last game and before this game
Instead I just looked for dogs because I thought Italy should be a bit bigger dog and wanted to bet bigger dogs like lol Belgium
I ask myself why and the only answer is I just don’t care
I used to care so much, my sports bankroll used to matter so much to me. Remember the feeling of a 2 min drill drive to win on an NFL Sunday when the result really mattered? Or the feeling of the Redskins messing up a lateral, the Chiefs recovering and losing Chiefs team total under and the spread on last play of game ?
Now for me it’s just not as interesting. I like to bet and bet decently big, but am too careful compared to life roll. Too focused on other things.
Can you even make money sports betting? Used to be a way for me to QUICKLY run up thousands but obviously with big risk of busto. Now, I am not trying to run up thousands I have bigger dreams and not realistic to take that risk in sports betting compared to business etc
Have you ever felt this way?
We all have a different story but you expressed where sports betting fits in to life beautifully.
Wiping away a tear.
Top of first 3-0Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Have I found a new career?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I’m trying to remember the last time I posted a play *this* fucking god awful.
At this point I’m pulling for 52 RHE and it might just get there.
Simpdog
Tampa Bay -1½ +135 & Regulation -140
Whatcha think?
Just one of these fucked weeks for me where I haven’t been able to do my usual routine. I like Henley so I will put a little extra on him and shadow Daly some on all his other picks.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
The Euro Tour has been typically my strongest but this week is a total cluster fuck. You got the PGA guys traveling into this strict protocol, playing links golf and many will be looking to just get their games together this week and not necessarily go all out for the win. Most of the top guys got shitty odds.
Then on the other side of the coin you can get some very good Euro Tour grinders for astronomical prices. Daly made a great pick in Hatton. He hasn’t made a lot of noise as of late but is a guy who tends to stay in contention/finish off the job. Unfortunately others have gotten the memo and I’m seeing him around +1800 in most places. If I got to take the shitty price I will.
I have had some success betting the Euro Tour after a round or two, so maybe I’ll have a play after some things get sorted out.
I have a grand on Danielle Kang at +800. It is an absolute horrible fucking price. She is overbet because she’s attractive, American, has Butch Harmon as a coach and is sponsored by Bet MGM. I like her this week but I will admit this is for sure a -EV play. Just a spot where I really like something and have to make the choice to not bet it or make what I’m sure is a long road losing play. I guess sometimes it is what it is.
I’ll post if I make any changes but I am mainly riding Daly’s coattails this week. Which is nothing to be ashamed to admit.
Either should be fine next game. Sorry my Jays let you down today, add Jays ML to a parlay tomorrow for redemption.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Sizzler sign of the apocalypse
Reds vs Royals
on its face, Gilbert Burns +136 has piqued my interest. Wonderboy has a glassjaw and I could see him easily being KTFO
Something actually feels good about getting blown out. Like, you know you didn't get fucked by some random BS on an otherwise good pick.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I’m trying to remember the last time I posted a play *this* fucking god awful.
At this point I’m pulling for 52 RHE and it might just get there.
Philly Zack Wheeler 2.05ERA 0.939WHIP 114innings
Cub. Alec Mills 3.52ERA 1.217WHIP 23 inning
Cubs are imploding. I haven’t followed too closely but I can read a score card. They are getting blown out. 0 game losing streak? Something bad is up. Trades? Alexa Mills is a reliever pressed into service due to Cubs injuries.
You manage the juice how you see fit. Or just take my post as a sign to play the dog Cubs. We are approaching tilt territory over here.
Philadelphia Phillies -170 for 1st 5 Innings
Philadelphia Phillies -½ -117 for 1st 5
Philadelphia Phillies -133 for Game
Shitty bullpen for Philly so beware
4:05pm so we have time to call Vietnam for credit
I like the Red Sox Angels 1st 5 over 4.5 & full game over 9 too. Sawks ERod. Just thought I’d warn ya.
Hammering Jays today
-1.5 -130
Five innings -0.5 -140
Or feel free to use them in a parlay with the moneyline -200.
*Reminder to take Sugar Sean under 1.5 rounds for UFC. Could use this in a parlay with Jays moneyline if you like free money.
Where have you been?Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
I am not able to support myself financially without your help.
Check
Check
Check
Dodgers still haven’t announced lineup. Sounds right. I’ll bet Dodgers owner Kasten isn’t laughing about Bauer any more. Bunch of clueless creeps
Obviously you haven’t used your car yet. Disconnect the blue wire.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog