I don’t know if BOL changed their service or if they just hate me. I rarely get props offered.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Rough 15c juice on these on BOLQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Where else do you find these?
Printable View
I don’t know if BOL changed their service or if they just hate me. I rarely get props offered.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffRough 15c juice on these on BOLQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Where else do you find these?
If you're looking for RHE, they're under a different section off the left hand bar (still under baseball, though).
On desktop. I don't know on mobile.
Fairly standard -115 lines for RHE. They also move fast if the fellas like something.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I got sidetracked by work but the Milw SD under would have def have been on the menu for me even at 22.5. GLGL
I thought we had an understanding Nicky.
That just wasn’t right. That’s some hurtful shit.
Is this how Druff feels Sizzle?
Wish I would have saw this earlier. I would not have bet $1000+ (yes, that is in fact above my bankroll) but I would have done $400 to your $1000Quote:
Originally Posted by NickyPipesYou whine and bitch like a woman! I don’t play penny stakes, let’s bet 4 figures or is that above your cry baby bankroll?Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
Quote:
Originally Posted by rollinx420
Appreciate it. Unfortunately I can’t go this weekend. That’s why I didn’t play the contest ��
First the Rays actually lose
Buster Douglas KO’s Mike Tyson
Indians closer Karinchak gets all wobbly and scares me to death. Has he lost his super powers?
It’s been a rough evening. I’ve been through a lot.
I took Kershaw - I’m a practical person. Doesn’t make me fulfilled though.
MLB yesterday and NBA todayQuote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarMight I suggest sprinkling a parlay consisting of ChiSox, Marlins, Brooklyn Nets tomorrow for +235?Quote:
Originally Posted by NickyPipes
Marlins was all you Nicky. I never even considered them before your post.
Nice hit and virtually risk free parlay. ChiSox vs lefty & lol Celtics fade tonight.
Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22Quote:
Originally Posted by rollinx420
Appreciate it. Unfortunately I can’t go this weekend. That’s why I didn’t play the contest ��
smart ass (lol i just threw out a random guess 5-4 geeeeee men, figured it'd but fun to nail down the score)
first things first gotta win... to my surprise i won cuz i nailed down the g men's exact score but nowhere near on the dodgaz
good call on the royals bruh love to see a homer get his shit nailed down correct
now if the twins can put together a rays like streak were back in bidness
I was able to get KO at +1050 so I rolled with it for a bit. Kind of wish they would go back to APAC - the overnight scores are great.
Spreading it around a little in the mid longshot market this week. Rose, Sneds, Grillo and Harman.
does this count as a bad beat kind of ?
if not i got this shit goin on
PARLAY (5 TEAMS)
$-95.92$0.00
Risk: 95.92 - Win: 2,650.12LOSE
MLB - [963] Toronto Blue Jays +151( ACTION )WIN
Score: Toronto Blue Jays(6) - New York Yankees(2)
Game start 05/25/2021 04:15 PM
MLB - [975] Atlanta Braves -109( ACTION )WIN
Score: Atlanta Braves(3) - Boston Red Sox(1)
Game start 05/25/2021 04:20 PM
MLB - [961] San Francisco Giants -158( ACTION )WIN
Score: San Francisco Giants(8) - Arizona Diamondbacks(0)
Game start 05/25/2021 06:50 PM
NBA - Best of Seven - Game 2 [536] Los Angeles Clippers -308LOSE
Score: Dallas Mavericks(127) - Los Angeles Clippers(121)
Game start 05/25/2021 07:45 PM
MLB - [967] Kansas City Royals +175( ACTION )WIN
Score: Kansas City Royals(2) - Tampa Bay Rays(1)
Game start 05/25/2021 04:20 PM
lol decided to bet against luka .... clippers = shit team
coulda made a lotta moves if the clippers werent complete shit
PARLAY (5 TEAMS)
$-95.92$0.00
Risk: 95.92 - Win: 2,650.12LOSE
MLB - [963] Toronto Blue Jays +151( ACTION )WIN
Score: Toronto Blue Jays(6) - New York Yankees(2)
Game start 05/25/2021 04:15 PM
MLB - [975] Atlanta Braves -109( ACTION )WIN
Score: Atlanta Braves(3) - Boston Red Sox(1)
Game start 05/25/2021 04:20 PM
MLB - [961] San Francisco Giants -158( ACTION )WIN
Score: San Francisco Giants(8) - Arizona Diamondbacks(0)
Game start 05/25/2021 06:50 PM
NBA - Best of Seven - Game 2 [536] Los Angeles Clippers -308LOSE
Score: Dallas Mavericks(127) - Los Angeles Clippers(121)
Game start 05/25/2021 07:45 PM
MLB - [967] Kansas City Royals +175( ACTION )WIN
Score: Kansas City Royals(2) - Tampa Bay Rays(1)
Game start 05/25/2021 04:20 PM
hate to turn it into a bad beat thread but this shit is brutal... gotta be made of steel to play these fkn things
Thanks to Daly's suggestion to start looking at RHE, I went 1-1 instead of 0-1.
Brewers got clobbered, but RHE covered easily.
I'll be looking at these from now on.
Of interest are matchups not just where there's a likely pitchers' duel, but also where the pitchers have a low batting average against. WHIP is a bit less important, because walks don't matter here. Errors are the wildcard, obviously, but probably don't have a high enough impact to factor into selections.
Also I'm pissed at myself for not backing Mahle and the Reds today for close to +200, but he's been a bit shaky as of late (bombed in 2 of past 4 starts), so I laid off. He pitched well and won, though oddly only struck out 2.
The Clippers will always be the Clippers, no matter who they get.Quote:
Originally Posted by rollinx420
It's like they're always destined for fail.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I mean I’m late to the concepts but there are groups of sharp people who play RHE and first inn score exclusively.
RHE tends to be more projectable.
The Y/N first inn score I’ve seen the yes side get hammered when it gets close to +150 even if it’s two aces.
Well she better beat Natalie Gulbis today, the last thing Gulbis shot was the apprentice like 12 years ago. This is the biggest gimme in the field.Quote:
Originally Posted by JoeD
The coverage is a major problem. I think it’s all financial. I wish they would just run the cameras without the commenters at least. It would be better than nothing.
At this point all we get most of the time is an update after each hole by the scorer assigned to the group. So we just have to keep refreshing the computer screen which is really annoying. The Euro tour doesn’t even have a ball tracker either and uses the same means, but their TV coverage is much better.
Gathering information is also a huge problem for the bettor. It’s so much more limited than in men’s golf. When I had big money on J Ko and she had that inexplicable poor final round at the LA Open, it wasn’t until after the tournament that I found a short article in “Women’s Pro Golf” weekly that mentioned she has been dealing with a wrist injury.
That may or may not have affected her that Sunday but would of been useful information, especially with the short odds you have to take. This week because everyone was 10-1 or more I feel there is value in betting. But I’ve taken big losses in J Ko, L Ko and Sy Kim all at odds around 6-1. Just not sustainable. Outright vig is outrageous, but the LPGA takes the cake.
Really a knockout match tommorow for J Ko despite the win. Masson is 1-0 and if she beats J Ko tomorrow , then she would have to face Gulbis Friday to ice it. Must win, or at the minimum tie, to control her destiny.
Masson will be tougher than Gulbis but definitely not on the level of J Ko.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
This year it might be exploitable for awhile because the offense has changed so much. Batting average being way down is a good thing for RHE unders, obviously. The increasing trend to go for runs via the HR also helps (though that also has to do with the batting average decline), as you get a lot of scores where hits aren't much more than runs, which again helps RHE. Ten years ago, it was far more common to see a game line like this:Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I mean I’m late to the concepts but there are groups of sharp people who play RHE and first inn score exclusively.
RHE tends to be more projectable.
The Y/N first inn score I’ve seen the yes side get hammered when it gets close to +150 even if it’s two aces.
4 12 1
2 10 0
So in a relatively low scoring game, you still have 29 RHE. Now we see a lot of games where R/H are close.
So you get 2 pitchers on the mound with low BAA, and I think we have something -- at least for awhile.
Okay, so let's look at a good RHE one for tonight. Dodgers/Astros
I'll use the H9 (hits per 9 inning) stat in place of BAA, which are very similar.
Bauer has a sparkling 4.4 H9
Luis Garcia of Houston has a 6.5 H9, and a good H9 rate in his time in the minors over the past few years.
The line is 25 for RHE.
Astros do lead MLB with a .269 team BA, which is very high for 2021. Dodgers are above average with .247.
However, Bauer should neutralize that somewhat, and I think 25 is too high.
Unfortunately, I stupidly typed this up before betting it, and it moved from -130 to -145 on BOL in the past few minutes, so I guess great minds think alike. But if you can find it at 130 or better on another site, go for it. I won't be betting it unless I find that line though.
It's -120 on Bovada which is a great deal, so jump on that while you can
https://www.bovada.lv/sports/baseball/mlb then select "Total Runs Hits errors" from dropdown near top.
Bauer, who was the canary in the coal mine on the Astros scandal, is pitching tonight for the Dodgers. Ironic b/c Dodgers chose to ignore the warnings explicitly delivered to Friedman.
Blogging Bauer is gonna be all over this for publishing material. He’ll also blow out his arm if need be for the justice story line . Dave Roberts will let him.
You will all receive a one day pardon if you take the Dodgers.
We all live vicariously through Bauer.
Here's a "1st 5" moneyline for you.
Pittsburgh (Crowe) +105 vs. Cubs (T. Williams) - FIRST 5 INNINGS
In his last 4 starts, Trevor Williiams hasn't made it through 5 innings. In his last 8 starts, he never pitched into the 6th. His ERA is almost 6.00, his WHIP is 1.779. He had one good year (2018), and since then has been garbage.
This is a great "first 5" game to bet.
Sanlmar, this Bud's for you.
I've got an NBA playoff pick tongiht.
Philadelphia vs Washington - Under 229
Feeling degen tonight.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Took this, under 25.5 LAD HOU and Under KC TB 23.5
Neither pitcher in the KC vs TB has been particularly good recently. I’m on the o7Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyFeeling degen tonight.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Took this, under 25.5 LAD HOU and Under KC TB 23.5
NBA- Wizards +8.5, Knicks -2
MLB- Reds +130, Padres -113, Padres 0ver 8 -105, Tigers +115. Tigers under 9.5 -110, Braves +130, Dodgers under 8.5, Rays over 7-105
NHL- Lightning -145 close out day Simp, Wild +125
I would not have done this! You would have had to put up 4 figures at least to bet with Pipes! I know you are a drunk driver and I don’t respect that so I would have wanted you to feel the bitter sting of a loss of what I can assume for you is a weeks pay!Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22Wish I would have saw this earlier. I would not have bet $1000+ (yes, that is in fact above my bankroll) but I would have done $400 to your $1000Quote:
Originally Posted by NickyPipes
Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22Neither pitcher in the KC vs TB has been particularly good recently. I’m on the o7Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Well I'm 2-0 in these RHE bets, but couldn't get much down on this one.
I hit my Philly under in NBA, despite a bad 2nd quarter, and Pittsburgh stunk it up, so that one lost.
Becoming a fan of these RHE bets though. You just gotta hit 'em early, as the line moves quickly on BOL, and it doesn't take much action to do it.
When you in a market where they limit the stake and the lines are sensitive chances are you are in something that’s exploitable. Line shopping becomes important just like the player prop market.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Last night I saw the LAD HOU line as high as -140 but I also was able to find -110 on the Sunw@ger skin, and this as late as 1.5 hours before first pitch.
Another RHE.
Detroit (Boyd) vs. Cleveland (Bieber) - Under 22 R+H+E -105
Game lined at 6.5 runs at some books!
Boyd has a nice 7.5 H9 so far, and Bieber is at 8.2, which should be trending lower.
Here's an MLB over for you. Game 2 of a doubleheader.
Colorado (Senzatela) at Mets (Lucchesi) - OVER 5.5 -130 GAME 2 DH (7 innings)
Cubs, Padres big, Tigers, early..
Royals, Nats, Giants later
I appreciate the work you’re doing here. You did a nice write up of your handicap the other day too.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I love this for all the reasons you stated about today’s MLB.
Cardinals even $ vs the dreadful Diamondbacks? C’mon. All you can eat.
While we are at it..... Can you find any 1st inning props on BOL? They definitely have a new contractor for their live & prop service. Not happy tbh. They are afraid of action.
I 2nd that. Good pick on Philly under yesterday. I really think Sixers have a chance to win whole thing.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarI appreciate the work you’re doing here. You did a nice write up of your handicap the other day too.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I love this for all the reasons you stated about today’s MLB.
Cardinals even $ vs the Diamondbacks? C’mon. All you can eat.
While we are at it..... Can you find any 1st inning props on BOL? They definitely have a new contractor for their live service.
Looks like you'll be getting a nice rib eye from Ruths Chris on me Druff
Speith was the last betting favorite to win outright in a while on the PGA tour. Making it look like he may do it in back to back tournaments where he is the 10-1 or so betting favorite. He has missed one putt from inside 20 feet all fucking day.
Royals rays under 24.5
Angles As under 25
Never in doubt, the Rays win another series and Pipes cashed another series bet. Was not bluffing on the 4 figures bet! Glad to bet Rays against Royals any day any amount! Great teams win series! Was glad they lost the first game so I got a sweat this time, it’s been smooth sailing and it will continue to be but it’s fun to ride a few waves now and again!Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22Wish I would have saw this earlier. I would not have bet $1000+ (yes, that is in fact above my bankroll) but I would have done $400 to your $1000Quote:
Originally Posted by NickyPipes
Looking at the Phillies this weekend, hopefully the Rays can get a good price against the overrated and talent wasting Phillies! No series bets as it’s a 2 game weekend series (weird), but hoping for some nice game prices, as I anticipate continued domination by TB!