*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

The true test of a degenerate man is wagering on spring training baseball.

It’s time to reload and take a hard look in the mirror.

Early regular season last year was very good to me. I was posting my record in my signature for a while until it just became embarrassing. This year, there are no fresh insights or room for anti establishment opinions. Early regular season will just be the third half of 2017. That blows.

Red Sox play Boston College today. I actually looked for a line. Two losers take the field in Florida. No JD so BC might have been the favorite.

If you follow Twitter and podcasts and get an understanding of a manager’s goals for his pitching staff and how he approaches spring training you can get an edge as lines are posted without listing the pitchers. It’s a lot of work but if you like baseball you’re listening anyway.

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If there is an angle I'm in

NBA afternoon games:

Charlotte -8 (Bovada is -7.5 -115)
NY +3.5 (moneyline +140 or better ok)

Maybe picks later the two late games

Blind Druff tail.

Knicks vs Magic - Live Betting Game Line
Knicks 27 vs Magic 32 02/22/18 19:05 EST Knicks +5 (-115)

Nice return from the break.

Charlotte easily covers, Knicks win

:outright

I don't see anything worth betting in the remaining 2. I'll take my 2-0 and run.

Record 156-127-4

Ok I am betting some good value on Memphis, Utah and NOLA.

NBA incoming...stand by

Houston under 225 (224/224.5 ok) - Gordon questionable but I think he won't play - starting 5pm PST

Looking at Spurs side and under, but not firing yet

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Originally Posted by Charham

Ok I am betting some good value on Memphis, Utah and NOLA.

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GL, I'm staying away from all of these, though I understand why you like all 3.

Memphis has the best value on the surface of the ones posted above, but I am afraid they may be tanking at this point.

NOLA looks a bit like a Trapper John MD line.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

Houston under 225 (224/224.5 ok) - Gordon questionable but I think he won't play - starting 5pm PST

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The public has abandoned Druff so this must be the sharp play. I don’t have a damn clue otherwise.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets 02/23/18 20:05 EST Under 224.5 (-110)

PST vs EST +3. I’m taking EST

Let's do it.

Spurs under 212

Public is super heavy on the over.

Wish I didn't fire on the Spurs under.

High scoring 1st (39 points in 7 minutes) thanks to a million 3s being made.

I hate when that happens. Still early, and it's possible a scoring drought will save me, but totals like 212 need to be going well most of the way or you're fucked.

Spurs pick a disaster.

Houston under was great, but trash time almost ruined it. Still covered by 3.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Charham

Ok I am betting some good value on Memphis, Utah and NOLA.

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GL, I'm staying away from all of these, though I understand why you like all 3.

Memphis has the best value on the surface of the ones posted above, but I am afraid they may be tanking at this point.

NOLA looks a bit like a Trapper John MD line.

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Shoot looks like 1 and 2 on the value play.

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Originally Posted by Mintjewlips

Also, prop bet for Lakers making the playoffs was +450 then shot too +650, lol at max bet $250, I definitely fired the 250, GLGLGL

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LOCK

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Mintjewlips

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Mintjewlips

Also, prop bet for Lakers making the playoffs was +450 then shot too +650, lol at max bet $250, I definitely fired the 250, GLGLGL

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LOCK

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Wanted to fire Lakers -3.5 tonight but that side was so "public", I was scared off. Now I wish I had.

Anyway, regarding the Lakers and the playoffs...

I can't see it happening, even if they play better going forward.

They are 11th seed, trailing the Jazz by 6 games, the Clippers by 7.5, and the Pelicans/Nuggets by 8.5. Ouch!

There's only 25 left to play. Let's say they win tonight, so it would be 24 left to play, and they'd be 8 back.

The Lakers would have to leapfrog not one, not two, but THREE of these teams in order to make the playoffs.

How tough is that?

Even if the Lakers go 17-7 in the final 24, they wouldn't catch any of these teams if they all played .500 ball.

They would need to pass THREE of them, remember.

In other words, you just lit $250 on fire.

OH I can't wait to quote that followed by an lol4

:lol4

LAKERS WINNING 10 STRAIGHT 21-3 OVERALL FOLLOWED BY A MELTDOWN FROM PELICANS JAZZ AND CLIPPERS, QUOTE ME ON THAT!!!

Ok my model is showing a lot of value on knicks, ok, twolves and jazz. Obv spread bets. I think I’ll just bet ok plus 9 though. Jazz were way out of sorts yesterday, butler injured, and not sure if Knicks can stay with Boston. Gl. I am tailing you tonight Todd so looking forward to some good ones.

This is what I got so far:

Orlando under 216.5

Another:

Miami Over 197 (197.5 ok)

Will post the later games (5:30pm PST and beyond) as we get closer.

BTW my record is 157-128-4.