At the moment I have Biden +830 for Nevada (on Predictit after fees) and Biden +171 for SC.
Will be loading up more.
Don't underestimate the unions and the black people.
At the moment I have Biden +830 for Nevada (on Predictit after fees) and Biden +171 for SC.
Will be loading up more.
Don't underestimate the unions and the black people.
I guess Bernie's views on Medicare and single-payer insurance have changed.
Back in 1987, Billionaires weren't making the fortune they are today. In the past 12 days, Jeff Bezos has cashed out over $4.1 Billion in stock which will be taxed at 20% (capital gains tax).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NyIWpYDP-PQ
lolz he was only 45 years old in that video.Quote:
Originally Posted by TheXFactor
I think Bernie was born looking old.
Kinda like Doyle Brunson, Wilford Brimley, and Sparky Anderson.
LET'S GO OLIGARCHS!!!
Our little 5’4 Gladiator standing on a huge pile of money
his decision to hire fuckjerry to contribute to his sosh media blitz is problematic but likely not on a broad scale.
Anyone who doesn't know what sonatine is talking about should google "fuckjerry fyre fest".Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
#FuckFuckJerry
Biden is leading on donations in Nevada: https://www.opensecrets.org/news/202...nevada-donors/
He is basically pressing donors by telling them, "If I get clobbered here, I'm fucked, so we really need to win this."
Counting him out of Nevada is foolish, given that he was 9 points ahead for most of the time up until a few weeks ago, and there hasn't been any real polling in a month.
Other reasons why his poor showing in Iowa/NH doesn't mean he will flop in Nevada:
- The huge Culinary Union is behind him, it appears, or at least they're anti-Bernie
- The demographics in Nevada -- less than half white -- are very different than IA/NH, which are over 90% white
- Nevada beats to its own drum. Hillary overperformed there in 2016, whereas she underperformed in almost every other swing state (aside from Colorado)
- Even months ago, he was expected to lose IA and NH (though not this badly)
The odds on him have gotten a little less long today on Predictit. I have him at about +830 after fees, but I still want to put more on him for NV.
can you imagine trying to explain to Bernie the Bloomberg meme deal.Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
Problematic? idk
Loathe some? Umm, yeah.
Trump wading into this pool would be aspirational
interesting to say the least, find it trouble for Bernie if he has a big union going against him...
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmarcan you imagine trying to explain to Bernie the Bloomberg meme deal.Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
Problematic? idk
Loathe some? Umm, yeah.
Trump wading into this pool would be aspirational
trump created the whole notion of an influencer campaign by being a living meme. bloomberg is the only candidate to fully recognize its potential.
this is the future of american democracy.
Somebody's crushing it on soc media. BIG MEME ENERGY
Quote:
Originally Posted by SPIT thisSomebody's crushing it on soc media. BIG MEME ENERGY
im so fucking here for this rich white n-word.
Yeah, what I said yesterday about predictit Bloomberg surge likely being him splashing around is pretty much what everyone thinks at this point. People are jumping into other states waiting for him to pump it. Bernie dropped like .30 in Ohio today with it all going on Bloomberg. Bernie was already overvalued, so there is that, but this is mike being really savvy and getting something that trends on the extraordinarily cheap considering the cap. He can corner this shit with spare change is his couch cushions. I’d buy some Bloomberg for Prez and any place he hasn’t yet pumped and just flip it after he does.Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRYeah, what I said yesterday about predictit Bloomberg surge likely being him splashing around is pretty much what everyone thinks at this point. People are jumping into other states waiting for him to pump it. Bernie dropped like .30 in Ohio today with it all going on Bloomberg. Bernie was already overvalued, so there is that, but this is mike being really savvy and getting something that trends on the extraordinarily cheap considering the cap. He can corner this shit with spare change is his couch cushions. I’d buy some Bloomberg for Prez and any place he hasn’t yet pumped and just flip it after he does.Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
i actually stacked $400 on bloom 4 prez at +790 last night just in case bernie has another coronary.
Latest Morning Consult poll of Dem primary voters:
Sanders Cements Front-Runner Status After New Hampshire Win
Vermont senator expands lead over Biden to 10 points
https://morningconsult.com/2020/02/1...hampshire-win/
P.S. Almost forgot...
We are not electing what would be the second shortest President in American history in a tv era. 0.0% ChanceQuote:
Originally Posted by BCRYeah, what I said yesterday about predictit Bloomberg surge likely being him splashing around is pretty much what everyone thinks at this point. People are jumping into other states waiting for him to pump it. Bernie dropped like .30 in Ohio today with it all going on Bloomberg. Bernie was already overvalued, so there is that, but this is mike being really savvy and getting something that trends on the extraordinarily cheap considering the cap. He can corner this shit with spare change is his couch cushions. I’d buy some Bloomberg for Prez and any place he hasn’t yet pumped and just flip it after he does.Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
Also, soda tax lulz
Sanlmar, I am now thoroughly regretting defending Warren against claims disparaging her character. Perhaps there was a noble basis for it at some point, but how she has responded to her rapid slide in the polls after bubbling up to the top a few months ago has shown how correct you were about me and how wrong I was to defend her.
https://youtu.be/1zTNdtfGIvs
He's thoroughly regretting it bro
I would have said the same about a morbidly obese candidate, but Trump won and he's fatter than any president ever except Taft.Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83We are not electing what would be the second shortest President in American history in a tv era. 0.0% ChanceQuote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Also, soda tax lulz
Quote:
Originally Posted by Walter SobchakI would have said the same about a morbidly obese candidate, but Trump won and he's fatter than any president ever except Taft.Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83
Bloomberg’s rise in the polls is a net negative for Bootyjudge, Biden, and Klobu
I see this as net net positive for Bernard.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
yeah he's harvesting all the moderate votes and then he's going to spend bernie into the dust.
then hes going to win the election with like 70% of the electoral votes.
How fucking weak do the loser establishment dems look sucking mini mikeÂ’s cock just because heÂ’s a billionaire? Like you spend the last four years calling Trump a corrupt nyc insider billionaire and then you choose to throw your perceived moral high ground in the garbage by endorsing this clown.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
hard to say but i can tell you this much; they arent as mad as you.
the last time they allowed the numbers to be public, there were something like 6000 children in cages.
if youre willing to say to one of them 'oh im sorry but youre going to stay here indefinitely because i couldnt stomach voting for the incredibly successful conservative democrat over the drug addicted borderline personality suffering despot' then i have to question your priorities.
Lulz
Bernie Bros attack Culinary Union members in NV. Way to turn the entire union to Biden, guys.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/nev...ers-supporters
druff you’re gonna lose your ass on those Biden NV winner bets
You generally don't "lose your ass" on +800 bets lolQuote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
If you're wondering what moved Biden up 10 points in SC on predictit. It's this:
This is true in a vacuum, but the man has proudly proclaimed being long Biden this entire primary season (not dissimilar to you) and is essentially throwing good money after bad money in all of these spots.
Stay tunedQuote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
#ImWithJoe #ComebackJoe
last night, bloomberg was +790 to win it all, he's currently +500.
Thoughts on possible VPs?
Pete or Joe => Kamala/Stacy Abrahms
Warren or Amy => Kamala/Booker/Abrahms/the black guy that ran for FL governor
Bloomberg => ?
Whoever has a grip of delegates and will give them up at the convention in exchange for VP slotQuote:
Originally Posted by duped_samaritan
Could see Pete or Amy doing that, especially Pete, VEEP style, but not Biden Bernie Warren or Bloomberg. Too old.Quote:
Originally Posted by SPIT thisWhoever has a grip of delegates and will give them up at the convention in exchange for VP slotQuote:
Originally Posted by duped_samaritan
Bernie Sanders endorses Kim Foxx for Chicago state's attorney. If you're unfamiliar with Kim Foxx, she's the girl who is friends with Jussie Smolett and intervened in his case to make sure he got off, and is now under investigation for it. Sad!
https://www.chicagotribune.com/polit...54q-story.html
lolzQuote:
Originally Posted by SPIT thisIf you're wondering what moved Biden up 10 points in SC on predictit. It's this:
I love all the overreactive political geniuses in this thread declaring Biden dead in SC, as if a 23-point lead is just going to evaporate overnight just because Biden performed poorly in two lily white states. What a shock that he's 18 points ahead in nearby GA. Who would've thunk that all his black supporters in the south didn't abandon him just because white people in Iowa rejected him?
Now that we finally have a recent poll in GA showing him still solidly ahead there, it's time to hammer him in all black-heavy states. You guys are forgetting how hard Bernie got pwned in those states 4 years ago by Hillary.
Guilty white liberals just don't vote the same way minorities do. That should have become abundantly clear in 2016.
I'm actually starting to feel better and better about Biden in NV. I think the Culinary Union is going to keep hammering Bernie hard in the coming days and scare the fuck out of all their members that Bernie is going to take their great healthcare and turn it into shit (which isn't actually too far from the truth). Notice they're also trying to fire up their membership with stories of Bernie Bros "viciously attacking" union members. That's a huge win for Biden right there. The union itself is about 2% of Nevada's population, and far bigger than that regarding the percentage of likely-to-vote Nevada Democrats. If most of them take a "fuck Bernie" attitude, that gives Biden a huge boost.
That Biden 32% is -9 since September, and Sanders +6. Biden isn't dead but he IS dropping, which isn't a great sign. GA over a month away might means it gets much closer.
The story in GA here is Warren who has dropped 13 points. Bye Felicia!
Warren's campaign is absolutely dead. She's just staying at this point either out of stubbornness or spite (or both?)
I admit that Biden isn't looking great overall, but he remains much more competitive than people were giving him credit for, especially in states where he was thought to be a big frontrunner. Where he's struggling is in states where he was never particularly strong.