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Okay, let's try to win in MLB here.
The Red Sox have won 9 in a row. Too bad Sanlmar isn't here anymore to taunt about this. Today it ends. No 10 game streak for you! In fact, I'm so certain that I'm laying the 1.5.
Minnesota (Pineda) +140 -1.5 vs. Boston (G. Richards)
Also, Rich Hill is 41 and has looked pretty bad both in the spring and in the regular season. The Rangers suck, but they're showing a little life lately.
Texas (Lyles) +166 at Tampa Bay (Hill)
Not many games running in the NBA.
I see an over I like, and that's about it.
Sacramento vs. Phoenix - Over 234
We are going to end up so one week early on Cam Smith aren’t we?
Wow, 3-0 in the 8th, and the fucking Twins give up a bases clearing double to Alex Verdugo after working him to a 0-2 count on a lefty-lefty matchup.
Brutal.
The worst part was that he almost struck out on a foul tip, but the catcher dropped it. That would've preserved the 3-0 lead.
Now I'm fucked unless they score 2 in the 8th, or unless they hit a HR to win by 2+. That's the problem with -1.5 home bets.
Wellllllllllll
Twins have 1st and 2nd nobody out. Get them both home and I'm back in biz.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Yes, yes we are
Going against the Druff grain today.
Sacramento vs. Phoenix - Under 234.5
Don't go against my grain when I'm 33-14 in the last 47 picks!Quote:
Originally Posted by BlunderMaker
This looked like a lock win for me (and loss for you), but a head scratchingly low scoring 4th quarter (in a close game, no less) has made this one close.
214 points right now with 4:37 left.
Live line right now is 237.5, so I'm slightly favored.
I'd say good luck, but...
So in MLB today I took a bad beat in the first game, as I mentioned earlier. I was a dropped foul tip away from very likely winning Twins -1.5, but a bases clearing double fucked me, and I had the heartbreak of having a tie game go into the 9th when holding the home team -1.5. Of course, the Twins won 4-3, so my bet lost.
On the plus side, my extra innings magic continues. Texas went into extras tied 4-4. put up 2 in the 10th thanks to a home run, and blanked TB in the bottom of the frame. So I hit that +166, for a winning MLB day overall.
Wow, this one coming down to the wire. 120-112 with 58s left. I would've had a guaranteed tie minimum had Hield not missed 2 of 3 free throws.
Edit: Two more shots hit, the second of which with 23.4 seconds left, putting it at 236 and sealing it.
Sorry, Legalize Meth. Hard to fade me right now in NBA.
Two MLB I like so far:
Arizona +171 (Widener) at Washignton (Scherzer)
Miami +119 (Castano) vs. San Francisco (DeSclafani)
Two excellent teams in Miami and Arizona on our radar!
NBA:
New York at Dallas - Over 211
Utah vs. Indiana - Under 233 (Turner, McDermott questionable)
Portland -2.5 at San Antonio
Portland/San Antonio - Over 234.5
Orland at Toronto - Under 212.5 (Siakam/Lowry/Carter-Williams/Anunoby out, Bembry/Trent doubtful, VanVleet probable)
With you on Miami. Why the hate though? Decent time will compete for wild card. Wait until Sixto gets back and then they have a great rotation!Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Well, I just took a bad beat in NBA, which was inevitable as I had dodged it for awhile.
Toronto under was looking great, and then a shitload of idiotic points rained down during the last 2.5 minutes of trash time, and the total ended up 215.
Yuck.
Already won the Utah under (though it was also close).
Both segments of the Portland game aren't looking good (Portland down 8, live-lined to a total of 218.5), and NY over is off to a decent start.
So this might end up being a bad day, though if NY over holds and I can somehow get lucky with Portland, then I could win. But in all reality I'm probably going 2-3 or 1-4.
In MLB, Widener pitched great for the Dbacks, but he matched 0s with Scherzer, and Schwarber hit a walkoff HR in the 9th to win 1-0.
Miami popped off their own big HR in the 8th to break a 1-1 tie, and win for me and NickyPipes, so I go 1-1 and slightly win in baseball for the day.
Well, the day wasn't good, but it wasn't horrible.
2-3 in NBA, winning the first (Utah under) and the last (NY over), and losing the other 3 in between. Honestly the Toronto under should have been a win. That was pure bad luck. The Spurs/Portland game almost halfway hit, as the Portland -2.5 part fell a bit short, with the Blazers winning by 1.
Baseball I had two 8th inning ties split. Marlins won thanks to a 3-run HR, Diamondbacks lost thanks to a 9th inning HR. I'd rather it was reversed, but I still come out a bit ahead with both being dogs.
Still lost a full unit today overall, but as Daly always says, "We move on."
Even when you're running hot, every day can't be a winner.
Golfs been really tough lately. I just stayed away from the PGA this week. S Y Kim has played well but 6 bogeys is too much this week. Too much to ask to catch both Lydia and Nelly. I am beating myself up for not taking Kaymer at the Austrian Wednesday Night at +1000. I gave it some serious thought and was just to gunshy to pull the trigger. So essentially at very short odds, now he’s probably a slam dunk.
DJ and Rory have cost people a lot of money including myself. I got off the Rory train in a timely fashion and I think it’s time to fade DJ as well. He seems to be hanging around making cuts and not stringing the birdies together. Very similar to his play before he had such a ridiculous year. I think Rahm is the guy right now to really give a look at. In all honesty he really should of been in the thick of things at the Masters. It looks like he has adjusted to the new clubs. So many top guys but I see him getting a W in the upcoming weeks.
Can't find any MLB I like today, despite all the games.
Only one NBA.
Light day.
Phoenix vs. San Antonio - Under 227
Just an absolute clinic by Cink this week. Might be a Sunday where they post lines for who is going to finish in second place.
183 points with 509 left and a 23-point blowout. I can claim this W.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Last minute:
Portland at Charlotte - Under 216.5 (Lillard out, Hayward out, Graham out)
Somehow covered the under despite a 68-point 1st quarter.
Phew!
Second consecutive 1-0 day, and aside from that 2-3 day on Friday, I continue to roll in the NBA.
NBA RECORD UPDATE
Total through 4/10: 99-95-3 (+5.13 units)
4/11: 0-2 (-2.00 units)
4/12: 1-1 (-0.09 unuts)
4/13: 3-0 (+2.73 units)
4/14: 4-1 (+2.62 units)
4/15: 1-0 (+0.91 units)
4/16: 2-3 (-1.18 units)
4/17: 1-0 (+0.91 units)
4/18: 1-0 (+0.91 units)
Total 4/11-4/18: 13-7 (+4.83 units)
GRAND TOTAL: 112-102-3 (+9.96 units)
I'm 38-17 since March 21
Okay, so I only see one MLB game I like so far.
Joe Musgrove has been getting all the press this year, with his no-hitter and 0.47 ERA.
But what about Brandon Woodruff? Did you know he had a no-hitter through 6 on April 7? Did you know he's been one of the best pitchers in baseball since 2020? He has.
The Brewers are banged up, playing without Yelich, Cain, and Wong, but I like the price here, in what should be a pitchers' duel, and to be honest I believe Woodruff will perform better.
Milwaukee (Woodruff) +147 at San Diego (Musgrove)
WARNING: The line has been moving the other way, so the books don't seem to agree with me. Bet at your own risk.
Time for some NBA
Boston -6.5 vs. Chicago (LaVine out, Walker/Smart questionable)
Utah -7 vs. Lakers (Davis/Schoeder/Gasol/Conley/Gobert probable, Mitchell out)
Oklahoma City at Washington - Over 232 (Hachimura/Dort out, Len questionable)
Okay I was vacillating on this one but I decided to fire:
St. Louis -108 (Flaherty) at Washington (J. Ross)
I’ll take Nats -102Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Add in the Rays -102 as well.
I’m 3-1 in posted MLB plays. I’ve quietly been having a great start to the MLB season. Did very well last week playing some big dogs, including riding Tigers in Houston and Rays in New York and Miami in ATL. Running good to hit big dogs at a high rate. Let’s see how these “toss up” games go
You faded me in the wrong sport yesterday. Though you were bailed out by the Rays pick to basically break even.Quote:
Originally Posted by NickyPipesI’ll take Nats -102Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Add in the Rays -102 as well.
I’m 3-1 in posted MLB plays. I’ve quietly been having a great start to the MLB season. Did very well last week playing some big dogs, including riding Tigers in Houston and Rays in New York and Miami in ATL. Running good to hit big dogs at a high rate. Let’s see how these “toss up” games go
I went 2-0 in MLB yesterday, winning both St. Louis (easily) and Milwaukee (tight game, but took it down).
Unfortunately, a terrible 45-point third sunk my OKC over in the NBA, and Boston lost outright. The Lakers did their part in losing big, so I got that one, to finish 1-2.
Light NBA schedule today.
I have one for now:
Atlanta vs. Orlando - Under 217.5 (Ennis out, Carter-Williams out, Gallinari out, Hunter out)
Here's five MLB games:
Milwaukee (Burnes) +105 at San Diego (Paddack)
Yankees (Taillon) -123 vs. Atlanta (Morton)
Cubs (Arrieta) +115 vs. Mets (T. Walker)
Baltimore (Harvey) +109 at Miami (Neidert)
Kansas City (Keller) -101 vs. Tampa Bay (Hill)
Incorrect. There was no bail out. Rays won EASILY, never in doubt baby. I also had Boston earlier in the day but won’t take any credit for it as I didn’t post here about it. #winningday Boston seems to be underrated by the books so far this year. I think their team looks pretty good!Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffYou faded me in the wrong sport yesterday. Though you were bailed out by the Rays pick to basically break even.Quote:
Originally Posted by NickyPipes
I went 2-0 in MLB yesterday, winning both St. Louis (easily) and Milwaukee (tight game, but took it down).
Unfortunately, a terrible 45-point third sunk my OKC over in the NBA, and Boston lost outright. The Lakers did their part in losing big, so I got that one, to finish 1-2.
I’ll join you on Yankees, take the Marlins , Rays and join you on Cubs
Also took Chi Sox
Well there was indeed a doubt today for the Rays, as old man Rich Hill did old man things and blew a 5-0 lead, allowing KC to get it to 5-4, with a man on second nobody out. Then KC shit the bed once Hill was gone, and the Rays are ahead 7-4 right now. Marlins also came back but didn't quite get there, and it's 7-5 Baltimore in the 9th.Quote:
Originally Posted by NickyPipesIncorrect. There was no bail out. Rays won EASILY, never in doubt baby. I also had Boston earlier in the day but won’t take any credit for it as I didn’t post here about it. #winningday Boston seems to be underrated by the books so far this year. I think their team looks pretty good!Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I’ll join you on Yankees, take the Marlins , Rays and join you on Cubs
As I'm sure you saw, we already won the Yankees, and Cubs are up 3-1 in the 6th.
My sole NBA pick won without much drama, thanks to a good 3rd quarter. First half wasn't good, but it ended up not being close. If Cubs and Orioles hold on, I have a guaranteed winning day in MLB as well.
I turned the Rays game off, any update?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffWell there was indeed a doubt today for the Rays, as old man Rich Hill did old man things and blew a 5-0 lead, allowing KC to get it to 5-4, with a man on second nobody out. Then KC shit the bed once Hill was gone, and the Rays are ahead 7-4 right now. Marlins also came back but didn't quite get there, and it's 7-5 Baltimore in the 9th.Quote:
Originally Posted by NickyPipes
As I'm sure you saw, we already won the Yankees, and Cubs are up 3-1 in the 6th.
My sole NBA pick won without much drama, thanks to a good 3rd quarter. First half wasn't good, but it ended up not being close. If Cubs and Orioles hold on, I have a guaranteed winning day in MLB as well.
Yes, Royals pitching is trashQuote:
Originally Posted by NickyPipesI turned the Rays game off, any update?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Brad Keller was quietly one of the best pitchers in baseball last year. This year he’s been a steaming pile of shit.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffYes, Royals pitching is trashQuote:
Originally Posted by NickyPipes
His last start was a lot better, so I thought he would at least be able to outpitch old man Rich Hill (who, as I expected, was terrible). Unfortunately, the Royals bullpen was also awful.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22Brad Keller was quietly one of the best pitchers in baseball last year. This year he’s been a steaming pile of shit.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
With that said, it was good day.
I went 4-1 in MLB (losing only that Royals pick), and 1-0 in NBA.
I actually tailed you tonight but only partially. Bet the NBA game and decided to pick one MLB game last minute and went with the royals. Still broke even but SFOQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Well I was begging for Lydia Ko to make a bogey last week and it never happened. She doubles right out the gate this week. Got a few bucks on J Y Ko. Didn’t like it enough to post.
As for the Zurich Classic, obviously the two fav pairs have merit. Rahm/Palmer have won before and enjoy playing together. X/Cantlay are the best overall team by a mile when it comes to world rankings. Cantlay is not in form at the moment.
The prices just aren’t right. These guys have to go so low that taking 7 or 8 to 1 just doesn’t seem smart to me. I don’t want to burn too much more money on Finau but I think a small bet on Finau/Champ at 18-1 is a good play. I’ll prob put a few hundred on them, nothing huge.
I’ll wait for the Euro tournament to sort itself out and maybe pick it up live.
Give me some Horschel/Burns for all the gumbo.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime