Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
Pieters is very live. Nice call.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
Pieters is very live. Nice call.
Thanks brother. Rahm can save my weekend too. He’s on the right side of the draw. Favored now. I am not greedy. Just one I’ll take.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
Pieters is very live. Nice call.
Rahm only top 16 seed to advance. JFC.
Starting at 5:35 PDT
Dallas vs. Indiana - Under 225 (Doncic out, Stein out)
Harman or bust here.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDimeThanks brother. Rahm can save my weekend too. He’s on the right side of the draw. Favored now. I am not greedy. Just one I’ll take.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Rahm only top 16 seed to advance. JFC.
Rham in a great spot
Please don't brick
Washington vs. Detroit - Under 224
Utah vs. Memphis - Under 226.5
Washington starts at 5:05 PT, Utah later.
Was going to fire Houston but they just announced Wood out, so fuck it.
One more.
Milwaukee has a different looking team taking the floor tonight.
No Giannis, no Middleton, no Holiday, no Tucker, no DiVicenzo.
Knicks missing Randle and Bullock but it's not the same. Knicks should be bigger faves here.
NY -2.5 at Milwaukee
I took Bucks -8.5 before the news. Talk about drawing dead.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Reports:
Knicks - Looking good (up 7) but not a lock
Detroit under - Looking like a lock with no OT (172 points with 5:15 left)
Utah under: Looking not very good, but not out of it yet (105 points, 3:43 left in 2nd)
Kawhi is playing. New pick, starting in 5-10 min:
Clippers -5.5 vs. Philadelphia
Well that's not good. Knicks up 96-91 with 2 min left, and give up 5 quick points to make it a tie. I gotta win by 3 so I really can't have it sit close like this, unless I get OT which wouldn't be terrible at this point with 1:35 left.
Well the Knicks pulled it off. Props to the Bucks reserves for playing the whole game and almost beating the Knicks (who also had starters out, but only two).
So I'm 2-0, but the Utah under is likely losing, so it'll be up to the Clips to make this a winning day.
Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDimePlease don't brick
Wind jumped Up and bit him in the afternoon along with the rest of the players.
Still very live.
Was just a disappointing day as a lot of golf has been lately. Pieters has the prototype body (athletic and lanky like DJ) and is a great ball striker. Seems to be the greens and the mind. But I am high on the guy. Hope he figures it out.
J Ko was about to shoot 66 today. Inbee would of probably been too far ahead and to solid on the greens to get caught. Another nominee for worst bogey all time. Drivable green par 4 16th. She lands short and rolls to just off the fringe. Bad chip and 3 putts from there for a momentum ending bogey. Probably wouldn’t of mattered with her spotting Inbee too many shots. But it would of been live at least.
Hamilton Bahrain Grand Prix +225 is a play for me. I like Versteppan in general, but will gladly take Hamilton starting 2nd at Bahrain at this price all day long. One mistake for Max and Hamilton takes it. You won’t get him almost 2-1 at most races this year.
Clippers cover easily, I went 3-1.
On a nice 8-2 run after the bad streak earlier in the month.
Hamilton just overtook Max. Now no mistakes for Lewis and should be good.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
I honestly gave some thought to taking the 5/2 on my money that MGM was offering me for Pieters. To be honest, the guy became an absolute nervy horror show around/on the greens as soon as he was tied for the lead yesterday. Could of really used this one. A lot of gut punches lately.
Horschel +115 (Maybe nerves finally get to Scottie)
Kuchar -110 Consolation (Playing for dough/fedex points only)
I see Kyle Larson for the Truck Dirt Race anywhere from +150(William Hill) to +240(Bet MGM). Worth a few bucks at +240, but wouldn’t play it for anything less. As for the Cup race after, I see him around +280-+300. Starting in the back of the field because of engine trouble. Too many variables in that one and shitty price. Not playing it at all.
Would be nice to keep the little steak alive and get something going.
Finally got the truck moving and het gets wrecked immediately. Oh well. No play for the cup race.
VALUE ALERT Bet MGM Truex JR for cup dirt race +2000. They are napping and haven’t changed the odds after the truck race. +900 at WH. Prob will change soon.
MGM still napping. Tons of value.
Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
Why is this value?
Need some education here
After Truex ran the dirt race earlier and won (of course luck and the car, but he dominated) his odds dropped drastically from around +2000 to anywhere from +900 to +1200 on most offshore & regulated sites for the cup race that is about start. William Hill moved him to +900 for the cup race. Bet MGM didn’t update their odds. So anyone who has access to that kind of account could still have gotten the +2000 for a significant amount of time. Last I checked they still haven’t moved it.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
Why is this value?
Need some education here
LFG
Daly, right after you posted they updated. Look at this fucking movement. Race still hasn’t started. We got a great price regardless.
Lol. Never been offered 1/2 before a race started. Had to show this.
Sure sucks. Dominant car that they just either over adjusted or didn’t adjust enough for the changing track conditions. At least it was an outright bet b/c it would of been an awful Top 3/Top 5 loss when he spun the tires in overtime. Looked good. Disappointing but was a good play. Ah ya.
Lol - took some top 3 at +500.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
I didn’t want the restart i saw that shit coming a mile away.
This is what we can’t have nice things.
Sacramento at San Antonio - Over 229
Golden State -1.5 vs. Chicago (Curry is playing)
Fuck man. Couldn’t have gotten the money in any better. Short track, short race, dominant car, single file re-starts and no passing on pit row. On top of that the Chalk (Larson) crashes. That long run in the first 50 miles of the second stage fucked us. He keeps the front I think he stays.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyLol - took some top 3 at +500.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
I didn’t want the restart i saw that shit coming a mile away.
This is what we can’t have nice things.
I’ve been getting the money in good lately. I am sure of it. But the variance, except for that little streak I had yesterday, has not been going my way. Would of loved to get us home Daly. Think I’m going to take the rest of the week off.
Bet some B Grace before you take the rest of the week off
+6600. Done. LFG!Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Easy like Sunday morning!
2-0 today, and it could have been 4-0 if I placed a bet I considered (Sac moneyline) and a bet I meant to do but thought it was later in the day (Boston under).
Now 12-3 in my last 15, after a 3-13 beatdown right after the All-Star break.
TY sir. Finally was able to ride part of the streak. A minute or two late, had to lay the -120 (live juice) on Golden State 1 and a hook, but well worth it. Sorry I hadn’t been along the whole way. Hell of a run you’re on.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Just when I think I'm out, William Hill (of all people) pull me back in. Most books have Finau 12-1 - 14-1. This bloke has it at 16-1. If they wanted to tempt me to donate another nickel in pursuit of Tony's win, mission accomplished. In all seriousness, this is the perfect type of tournament for Finau to beak through with every one focusing on next week. Weak field. Fading Jordan and Scottie here. Tony didn't play well last week, but should be fresh for this week and his numbers have all and all been very good the Last few months
Valero
Finau (William Hill) $500 16-1
B Grace $150 66-1 (Always listen to Daly)
Ana Ins
My girl, J Ko $777 10-1 She played well over the weekend. Inbee just too good thurday and Friday.
Godspeed
Starting at 4:05 PT:
Charlotte -4.5 at Washington (Beal, Ball out)
NFL is adding a regular game for next season.
Charlotte has been 10 points ahead for a long time. Now in the final minute, Westbrook is trying to fuck my spread win here.
111-104 at the moment, 34s left
Charlotte wins by 10.
:yes
That puts me on a 13-3 run, the exact flip side of my 3-13 slump preceding it.
Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime