Already on to the match play. Should of just went all in fading Westie. What a shit show today.
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Last minute bet (starts 7:05 PT):
Clippers vs. Charlotte - Over 232
Zeller and Ibaka are out. When centers who aren't essential to scoring are missing, the game tends to be higher scoring, because there's a hole in the defense. Here they're missing on both ends.
When I bet him he was even on the day and woke up and he was still even. Those odds are probably correct. Too many people and strokes ahead of him. He would have to shoot 8 under or better. He is capable of that (7 under Friday) but hasn’t shown he can shoot like that on a Sunday. Small bet at the huge number I guess couldn’t hurt. He has to really annihilate the course and Harding would have to have a pedestrian round. A few bucks you can’t expect getting back is ok.
Making a hell of a change this morning but it’s too late. He doesn’t shit himself yesterday he’s “right there”.
Betting golf is like poker tournaments except even more top heavy. Some weeks you look like a genius and others you eating toaster oven pizza.
We move on.
Last minute:
Portland vs. Dallas - Under 227
Stein, Johnson out
Gonna be close.
Super blowout game 121-82 with 5:30 left. Hopefully this trash time doesn't fuck me. Will really come down to whether the scrubs can score.
Was getting nervous with some 3s being sunk in late trash time, but fortunately with the game at 132-92, the ball landed in Dallas' hands with 23.4 seconds on the clock, which meant they were obviously going to run it out with the 40-point lead. So the game finished at 224, and I got a much-needed win.
:yes
GL me. The draw is at 11 but I can’t see a better price than this. Had to pounce. LFG DJ!
Euro- giving Burmester another shot at +2500. He played well 3 of 4 days including Sunday. They are playing in the same exact place this week. You are not going to find a weaker field that this time of year on the Euro Tour. I would expect him to stay in form and have a good feeling about this one.
Off PGA Pieters 20-1
Here's a play for a 6:05pm PDT game. Two picks in one game.
Memphis -4.5 vs. Boston (Tatum, Thompson & Walker out)
Memphis/Boston - Under 218
Damn, got a pretty good one. Had Clippers -6.5. They were down 22 in the 3rd at one point and Ty Lue pulled every starter and put in the scrubs and they clawed back, and then starters came back and got the cover. I did have to fade a last second 30 foot junk time 3 by Trey that looked good but was barely short.
1-1 today, but there was a lot of drama to get that win.
Memphis was down 5 after the first half, but outscored Boston by 13 in the 3rd to go up 8.
They were up by 9 at the 6:13 mark, but chunked off the lead, and it was super close at the end. Fortunately it landed on OT, so it gave me a chance to cover. Thankfully the Grizz outscored Boston by 6, and that was that. Covered by 1.5. Phew.
was just looking at matchups for the WCG first round matches...thoughts on doing 2 leg parlays with these guys? wanted to do that bc the juice on some of these is pretty steep...
rory -186 v poulter (love rory in this format where him sticking his dick in the ground with a quad doesnt really cost him)
X -230 v sullivan
english -125 v todd
rahm -278 v munoz
reed - 157 v bubba
spieth -120 v fitzpatrick (same thinking with rory here)
JT -240 v kooch
kiz +104 v louis
zalatoris -120 v kokrak
bryson -240 v rozner
viktor -186 v streelman
morikawa -210 v poston
webb -157 v gooch
casey -195 v hughes
im -143 v henley
DJ -250 v long
This is where the local PPH scene is headed. Haven’t even made a bet yet.
Think about how truly fucking insulting this is. If you 95% of our customers who are DOA and going to ship us money you are more than welcome. If you are 5% of the base and you have a shot at winning fuck you, we only want suckers.
I’ve seen it up close and personal. Agents requesting juice or spreads to be changed for local teams. Parlays to be vastly underpaid. Casinos are all fucking rigged. Have an account disabled when someone is on a heater and have a bullshit error message come up.
They will call and bitch if someone made a big score. If someone is dumb enough to play the casino and win they will say it’s a malfunction. Hidden Terms of Service on the website to show a player after a big score to justify slow paying them. “Hey it was there the whole time”. Sub agents blaming the main agent for fucking over the player. The main agent blaming the PPH operation in CR. Well into 6 figures I’ve had them dick me in the ass.
Meanwhile agents will routinely fuck over other agents by giving them sharp action. Mostly under the pretense of “This guy is a ploppy but I don’t want to book that amount of action”.
Fuck them all. Legalization is going to fuck them. Sure there are guys who like to bet on credit. But most don’t want this bullshit relationship and have this shady meet up every week.
Portland vs. Brooklyn - Under 231.5 (Jurkic, Durant, Irving out... Harden questionable with neck pain)
I had Phoenix under for a second, but decided to retract it (and didn't bet it either).
Decided to bring the Phoenix under back.
Miami vs. Phoenix - Under 214
Miami PHX OVER 214
In the aggregate, when I was in my twenties. I learned to let it go and promised myself to never make a bet with an agent again. I appreciate the offer, but it’s in the past. I never worked in CR but have spent time there and know how the PPH operation works on all the levels. Suffice it to say there is a reason that they say you don’t want to see how the sausage gets made.
That’s not to say that there aren’t good people in that world. Compared to the post-up operations they look like fucking saints. Most of those joints essentially count all deposits as revenue, they pay out so little.
I haven’t even responded back to my buddy who got me the account yet. Honestly this just smacks of a small timer that knows just enough that there is this thing called “sharp action” and it can beat you if you taking bets.
I agree with Jeff that there are some very large PPH agent networks out there and they don’t have your best interest at heart. Most of them turn out to be small timers that are trying to make a few bucks on a hustle. If this guy was really “evil” he wouldn’t say shit about sharp action and take the shot on me and then say “I’m not paying..... because you must be..... sharp?”.
That being said it has nothing on the offshore business. He is 100% correct in that thy treat any deposited money like it’s their own. That goes for poker as well. The minute anyone starts to try and withdraw its a problem. Nobody has time for that.
I’ve had way way way way more players who I have helped to get an account stiff me than any book. As bad as a rep as books/agents get the players are much worse.
Yep that Nets under was a miracle. Miller time again.
Not in form. Don’t love the bet but I love the price. Kind of Lazy. But I can’t pass up +1200 on J Ko. I had her last at +600. If she sorts it out, she can do some damage. Joe may have had a point in the tour championship paying 10 times a normal tournament. I’m willing to take a chance at 12-1.
Some injury/sitting NBA bets for today:
Chicago -7 vs. Cleveland (Drummond, Sexton, Love out)
Charlotte -3.5 at Houston (Olapido, Gordon, Nwaba, Ball out)
Still waiting for the Bulls to start playing. They're letting a neutered Cavs team beat them. I mean... it's one thing to have no Drummond or Love, but no Sexton?? How are the Bulls having a hard time with this team while at home? Embarrassing.
The Bulls have actually been good in recent weeks at beating worse teams than them. They've gotten stomped on by good teams, but they're pretty good at beating up the weak. Not today, at least not so far.
Charlotte up by 10 after a lackluster first half.
Teeing off real soon but read a good argument for Hartman > Hideki today.
Wish I was able to ride this with you. What a scrappy motherfucker is Harman is.
Not greedy, I just want one DJ, Pieters or J ko. Number one female golfer in the world 35 fucking putts. She’s in the mix, the course is playing tough but talk about pissing away a great tee to green round.
For DJ today’s match is must win or tie. B/C Mac won yesterday. If he lost outright he would have to win tommorow, Mac would have to lose and then he would have to win a playoff to get to the weekend. Bottom line. Must win or tie.
Got the miracle tie so DJ technically is in control of his fate to get into the weekend. If he wins he still may have to face Mac in a playoff. Na has nothing to play for, so he will be super aggressive against DJ. I’ll say this about Mac... His only Euro Tour win was in a shootout format. He had to go low every day. No doubt about it, next match play event he is worth a bet. Guy is tough as nails.
1-1 yesterday. Neither was close.
Just have one today, a late game.
Sacramento -4 vs. Golden State (Bagley, Curry out, Draymond out)
Just announced Draymond was out as I was betting this, so it jumped from -3.5 to 4. Shoulda bet before posting it here. Oops.
I’m going to ride with you on this one. I like the bet. Barnes had a lot of trading interest, and Sacramento said they weren’t moving him and are going to push for the playoffs. Teams usually respond well psychologically to that in the short term ime.
Edit-mine is already -4.5 -112.
Wondered when we would get the rep update....
TY blunder
Brittney Griner's Clit: nice thread you started bro. 82 pages and counting.
jsearles22: Nice thread you started bro. 501 pages and counting
1marley1: Nice thread you started bro. 1024 pages and counting!
BlunderMaker: Nice thread you started bro. 1438 pages and counting.
Again going with the coy intro....
Heard a good argument for Fleetwood > Bryson today.
DJ not exactly setting the world on fire. Halved a par 3, even after Na hit his tee shot in the water. 1 down thru 6. Going to need to sniff the smelling salts soon or his tournament ends today.
Well that’s that. Down to Pieters.
Put a few hundred live on rahm +1200. Hopefully his wife doesn’t go into labor.