Not off to a good start post-break.
Boston hung with Brooklyn the whole way, but collapsed at the end, as Kyrie just destroyed his former team.
Trash time will determine whether or not my Heat pick (up 10 with 57s left) wins.
Printable View
Not off to a good start post-break.
Boston hung with Brooklyn the whole way, but collapsed at the end, as Kyrie just destroyed his former team.
Trash time will determine whether or not my Heat pick (up 10 with 57s left) wins.
Yep. Screwed in trash time as Butler misses a free throw and the Heat hold the ball after the Magic give it up with 22s left. 111-103, and I lose by 1.
Record on 3/2/21: 67-66-2 (+5.01 units)
3/3: 3-3 (-0.27 units)
3/4: 1-2-1 (-1.09 units)
3/10: 0-2 (-2.00 units)
3/11: 0-2 (-2.00 units)
Total 3/3-3/11: 4-9-1 (-5.36 units)
GRAND TOTAL: 71-75-3 (-0.35 units)
I've officially fallen back into the red.
:gay
I ended up going 5-5-1 today so lost just under half a unit with the juice. stuck just under 1.5 units total with the 1q under after all star break strat. Going to try it again tomorrow for the last four games involving teams that haven't played since the break (Lakers, Grizzlies, Jazz, and Cavs).
Out of curiosity, how much is a unit? LolQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
A unit is whatever you want it to be.
I bet the same amount on every game. If I win a -110 spread pick, I win 0.91 units. If I win a +125 moneyline, I win 1.25 units. Any pick I lose is exactly -1 units.
It's a fair way to publicly keep track of how good my picks really are.
Golf is just heart breaking. DJ played the first nine in 4 under. Of course the announcer’s jinxed him a million times. Then PGA Tour live missed his double on 7 when he drove it in the water. It did look like he was about to go into God mode to be honest. It is just so fucking tough right now. GL everyone. Getting second dose of the vaccine late today so I’m just going to let everything play out. Shit is just so stressful.
Florida vs Tennessee over 133
1q degeneracy:
unders continued:
cavs vs pelicans u58.5
nuggets vs griz u58
rockets vs jazz u58
pacers vs lakers u55.5
some 1q sides:
pacers +1
rockets +6
and normal whole games:
heat -2
76ers vs wiz o234
cavs vs pelicans o228.5
UNC +3, underrated team that was not strong to start the year. Do not forget how FSU collapsed against UNC a few weekends ago. Was very sad to see!
Memphis +130 vs. Denver
I’m taking a small flyer on IM.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
But either way this is a shit show.
BTW the Jazz are a 19 point favorite tonight over the Rockets.
That may be the biggest NBA favorite I've ever seen.
UCONN +107
BTW, OK STATE is an auto bet every single game. Wow!
Only made one pick today, partially because I've been cold, and partially because there wasn't much I liked today.
But I did like this Memphis game, and for the first 1.5 quarters, it looked like I was right. At halftime, it was still 55-53 Memphis.
They've been horrendous in the 3rd, and are 10 down. They've scored 14 points in 10.3 minutes. Not good.
I can't figure out Denver. Any game I bet involving them, I lose.
Well, Denver has scored zero point zero in the first 3 1/2 minutes of the 4th, plus didn't score at the end of the 3rd. Even though Memphis is also shooting like crap, they've gone from 12 down to 1 down.
Now 3 down as I type this.
Well, Denver rained down a ton of 3s at the end, but somehow the Grizz are still in this, and it's down to the final shot.
Grizz ball, 6.3s left, 103-102 Denver.
Come on... let me have one of these for once.
Nope. Morant has a layup opportuntiy, and misses.
:fail
4-5 today -1.25 units
Blind under after all star break ended up breaking even. And my game totals were off. My instinct on Lakers was right (probably should have bet game there) And heat are continuing in their winning ways. Back to normal picks tomorrow. May continue experimenting with quarters but going to analyze more. Also need some recalibration of the auto over fires.
Hoping simp comes back with some hockey picks soon so I can add some more action.
A +162 dog isn't the best way out of a 5-game losing streak, but I'll do it anyway.
Two banged-up lineups today in the morning game.
NY is without Rose, Robinson, Rivers, and perhaps Payton and Quickley. OKC is without Alexander, Bazley, and Hill.
It's going to be a shitshow. I'm taking the Thunder and hoping Payton/Quickley either don't play, or are limited.
OKC +162 vs. New York
I hate Michigan too much to bet them, and Ohio State has a history of beating them when they’re better, but they lost earlier to them and have no answer for big men, and I hope Ohio State wins, but I expect to lose by 15. Michigan got much easier baskets last to around and won by probably 8 and it wasn’t that close.
I took State +4.5Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
I like:
OK STATE +3
Western Kentucky -120
AAC Semi Final Parlay for you - yes haters, a PARLAY!
Wichita St & Houston to win, get a little better than 1/1 on your money
Both teams will win and play in the finals
Buffalo -2.5
Glad I didn’t bet against Buckeyes. Still would be tempted to take live +900 the way we have finished the last two games.
Where the hell is badguy? Thread just isn't the same without him IMO.
Hornets -2.5
Hawks -4
Suns -7
Pacers Suns Over 225
Bucks Wizards Under 241.5
Pistons Nets Over 225.5
Atlanta -4 vs. Sacramento
Agree with matos
Going to also oppose matos on one, which is good for him since I'm 0-6 (!!) since the All Star break.
Brooklyn vs. Detroit - Under 226
Stewart vs Anders under 2.5 +200
Nicolau +100
Grant +255
Hit my two evening picks easily.
Finally broke the streak.
Leicester v Sheff Utd
Leicester -2 goals is 5-1
Leicester -3 goals is 15-1
I really wouldn't be surprised is Sheffield United gets smashed by half a dozen goals.
They are shit, and Leicester is a bit better then most people think.
I'm going to bet both, and -1 goal.
1 unit -2 goals and half a unit -3 goals
$2.68 -1 goals maybe 3 units on this.
Wish me luck, teams have just been posted... 40 minutes to kick off :)
At least 5 or 6 Leicester goals went begging, but I'll not complain too much and happily take the win 5-0.... nailed all 3 bets.Quote:
Originally Posted by Salty_Aus
3 units @ $2.72 returns 8.16 units
1 unit @ $6.00 returns 6 units
.5 unit @ $17.00 returns 8.5 units
4.5 units invested returns 22.66 units.
Geez I like hitting them at 16-1 :)
Can't give tips till the team sheets are released. Or would have posted earlier sorry.
Some proof for the non believers.
Arsenal V Tottenham
I really like Tottenham here, strong side and stars sitting on the bench too.
Unlikely Arsenal can play European football next year, spurs win they'll likely make it... José Mourinho loves UEFA cups so plenty to play for.
Arsenal are a bogey side for me though, but I'm not superstitious.
3 units outright and 1 unit -1 goal.
Pray for meQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I mean not really, it’s only money. But it would be really really nice.
:entertained
:entertained
:entertained
:entertained
Almost made no picks today, but I decided I do like one. Coming up at 5pm PDT.
Boston at Houston - Under 221.5
Houston has scored double-digits in 4 of their last 7 contests, and no more than 114 in any of those 7.
They're also horrible at this point, and are likely to get blown out. Wall, Wood, House, Gordon all out.