Official Presidential Polling and Odds thread

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Originally Posted by tgull

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Originally Posted by BCR

I fully expect him to win

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Finally, I am glad you came over to our side. I know you live in border state Ohio, but are you available to do some door knocking in Southwest Pennsylvania leading up the election? Washington PA area. You will organize a team and yes, you will get meals paid for, we have connections with some local restaurants. Interested?

Welcome aboard my friend.

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Is this thread a love letter cause we have Trump Train.

Picking a winner is quite a different thing

🟦 Harris: 49% [-2]
🟥 Trump: 48% [=]

• White: Trump 50-47%
• Black: Harris 74-24% <---------- Ummm?
• Hispanic: Trump 51-47% <------------- WTF?

NPR/Marist Poll

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Originally Posted by tgull

�� Harris: 49% [-2]
�� Trump: 48% [=]

• White: Trump 50-47%
• Black: Harris 74-24% <---------- Ummm?
• Hispanic: Trump 51-47% <------------- WTF?

NPR/Marist Poll

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https://x.com/atrupar/status/1832088369465114709

:lol3

Speaking of polling and odds tgull

You can get all you can eat ($50,000) on Pinnacle and BetOnline Trump +100

Kamala -125 & -120 respectively.

40 cent swing. Wonder if Plop taking profit or what

https://x.com/charliekirk11/status/1...reuters-survey

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Originally Posted by tgull

https://x.com/charliekirk11/status/1...reuters-survey

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:lol

Michigan: Trump vs. Harris InsiderAdvantage
Harris 48, Trump 49

Trump +1

National: Trump vs. Harris Rasmussen Reports
Harris 47, Trump 49

Trump +2

National: Trump vs. Harris
New York Post
Harris 50, Trump 47
Harris
+3

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Democratic U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump 47% to 42% in the race to win the Nov. 5 presidential election, increasing her advantage after a debate against the former president that voters largely think she won, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll that closed on Thursday.

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https://www.usnews.com/news/world/ar...sos-poll-shows

These voter polls don't mean shit because people might lie about who they are really voting for to pollsters.

Are they lying about Trump or Kamala?

https://images.playground.com/a0235c...8bc1bd68d.jpeg

Pinnacle just put up all the swing state odds today.

EC winner: Trump +103, Harris -124
Arizona: Trump -160
Florida: Trump -552
Georgia: Trump -146
Maine: (statewide winner) Harris -725
Michigan: Harris -179
Nevada: Harris -124
New Hampshire: Harris -790
North Carolina: Trump -140
PA: Harris -128
Texas: Trump -909
Virginia: Harris -1050
Wisconsin: Harris -189

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Originally Posted by go_buccos

Pinnacle just put up all the swing state odds today.

EC winner: Trump +103, Harris -124
Arizona: Trump -160
Florida: Trump -552
Georgia: Trump -146
Maine: (statewide winner) Harris -725
Michigan: Harris -179
Nevada: Harris -124
New Hampshire: Harris -790
North Carolina: Trump -140
PA: Harris -128
Texas: Trump -909
Virginia: Harris -1050
Wisconsin: Harris -189

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Those are good odds for Trump, he flips PA he wins. Of course if he flips PA he carries the entire rustbelt. We'll see. I think come November you will see a 1 point National edge for Harris, which will guarantee a Trump EC landslide.

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Originally Posted by tgull

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Originally Posted by go_buccos

Pinnacle just put up all the swing state odds today.

EC winner: Trump +103, Harris -124
Arizona: Trump -160
Florida: Trump -552
Georgia: Trump -146
Maine: (statewide winner) Harris -725
Michigan: Harris -179
Nevada: Harris -124
New Hampshire: Harris -790
North Carolina: Trump -140
PA: Harris -128
Texas: Trump -909
Virginia: Harris -1050
Wisconsin: Harris -189

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Those are good odds for Trump, he flips PA he wins. Of course if he flips PA he carries the entire rustbelt. We'll see. I think come November you will see a 1 point National edge for Harris, which will guarantee a Trump EC landslide.

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I'll bet you 500 that Trump will not be president next term. You're loaded so 500 ain't nothing. We can escrow with druff. Let's go, faggot

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Originally Posted by RichardBrodiesCombover.

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Originally Posted by tgull

Those are good odds for Trump, he flips PA he wins. Of course if he flips PA he carries the entire rustbelt. We'll see. I think come November you will see a 1 point National edge for Harris, which will guarantee a Trump EC landslide.

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I'll bet you 500 that Trump will not be president next term. You're loaded so 500 ain't nothing. We can escrow with druff. Let's go, faggot

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$500, I mean give me a break. That is what I spent at a steak house last weekend. I am debating whether I should bet $10K or $25K on Trump. I am going to wait for the polling data to come out this weekend, I am careful if nothing else. Being very careful served me very well in the stock market this year. I am not sure why people on this site always want to make bets and escrow with Druff anyway. There literally are hundreds of betting sites worldwide without having to bother Druff.

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Originally Posted by tgull

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Originally Posted by RichardBrodiesCombover.

I'll bet you 500 that Trump will not be president next term. You're loaded so 500 ain't nothing. We can escrow with druff. Let's go, faggot

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$500, I mean give me a break. That is what I spent at a steak house last weekend. I am debating whether I should bet $10K or $25K on Trump. I am going to wait for the polling data to come out this weekend, I am careful if nothing else. Being very careful served me very well in the stock market this year. I am not sure why people on this site always want to make bets and escrow with Druff anyway. There literally are hundreds of betting sites worldwide without having to bother Druff.

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This fag can't even afford to lose 500 lol. What did you do with your life?

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Originally Posted by RichardBrodiesCombover.

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Originally Posted by tgull

$500, I mean give me a break. That is what I spent at a steak house last weekend. I am debating whether I should bet $10K or $25K on Trump. I am going to wait for the polling data to come out this weekend, I am careful if nothing else. Being very careful served me very well in the stock market this year. I am not sure why people on this site always want to make bets and escrow with Druff anyway. There literally are hundreds of betting sites worldwide without having to bother Druff.

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This fag can't even afford to lose 500 lol. What did you do with your life?

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I gotta put you back on block pal. I tried to give you a chance, you are just too immature. Good luck though with your forum bets.

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Originally Posted by tgull

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Originally Posted by RichardBrodiesCombover.

This fag can't even afford to lose 500 lol. What did you do with your life?

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I gotta put you back on block pal. I tried to give you a chance, you are just too immature. Good luck though with your forum bets.

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Run and hide pussy.

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Originally Posted by tgull

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Originally Posted by RichardBrodiesCombover.

I'll bet you 500 that Trump will not be president next term. You're loaded so 500 ain't nothing. We can escrow with druff. Let's go, faggot

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$500, I mean give me a break. That is what I spent at a steak house last weekend. I am debating whether I should bet $10K or $25K on Trump. I am going to wait for the polling data to come out this weekend, I am careful if nothing else. Being very careful served me very well in the stock market this year. I am not sure why people on this site always want to make bets and escrow with Druff anyway. There literally are hundreds of betting sites worldwide without having to bother Druff.

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Bullshitting fucker

Still got nothing but love for you bro but you are a bullshitter.

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Originally Posted by tony bagadonuts

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Originally Posted by tgull

$500, I mean give me a break. That is what I spent at a steak house last weekend. I am debating whether I should bet $10K or $25K on Trump. I am going to wait for the polling data to come out this weekend, I am careful if nothing else. Being very careful served me very well in the stock market this year. I am not sure why people on this site always want to make bets and escrow with Druff anyway. There literally are hundreds of betting sites worldwide without having to bother Druff.

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Bullshitting fucker

Still got nothing but love for you bro but you are a bullshitter.

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Oh, I have bullshitted my whole life. It's that tactic that has made me millions. Some I squandered and some I still have. It all comes down to money Toney, make no mistake about that. Only poor people complain. The rest of us leave one shrimp behind on a $25 Shrimp cocktail, because we can.

Nice to hear from you again.

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Originally Posted by tgull

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Originally Posted by tony bagadonuts

Bullshitting fucker

Still got nothing but love for you bro but you are a bullshitter.

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Oh, I have bullshitted my whole life. It's that tactic that has made me millions. Some I squandered and some I still have. It all comes down to money Toney, make no mistake about that. Only poor people complain. The rest of us leave one shrimp behind on a $25 Shrimp cocktail, because we can.

Nice to hear from you again.

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Quick tip amigo, people who actually have money typically don't mention it.

heads up all of this is verryyyyyyyyyy gay

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Originally Posted by tgull

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Originally Posted by RichardBrodiesCombover.

I'll bet you 500 that Trump will not be president next term. You're loaded so 500 ain't nothing. We can escrow with druff. Let's go, faggot

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$500, I mean give me a break. That is what I spent at a steak house last weekend. I am debating whether I should bet $10K or $25K on Trump. I am going to wait for the polling data to come out this weekend, I am careful if nothing else. Being very careful served me very well in the stock market this year. I am not sure why people on this site always want to make bets and escrow with Druff anyway. There literally are hundreds of betting sites worldwide without having to bother Druff.

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Let me see. You’re going to lay 25 grand on Trump but you won’t lay an additional $500 to own one of your tormentors? lol.

https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images...57c3d36615.jpg

https://x.com/FirebaughNorman/status...56412619276363

https://x.com/Bubblebathgirl/status/1834368567145300045

https://x.com/_johnnymaga/status/1834302166586327372

https://x.com/GrageDustin/status/183...fed77fda108743

Please keep discussions related to polls. This thread should be treated as seriously as the hurricane ones

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Originally Posted by BetCheckBet

Please keep discussions related to polls. This thread should be treated as seriously as the hurricane ones

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lol. Did Druff make you the hall monitor or something?

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Originally Posted by tgull

https://x.com/GrageDustin/status/183...fed77fda108743

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splitthis: He is a trannypedofaggot

Donald Trump welcomed and praised the inclusion of transgender women in the Miss Universe pageant.

In since unreported radio and television interviews from spring and summer 2012, Trump celebrated the interest in a 23-year-old transgender woman named Jenna Talackova participating in a Canadian pageant. He then later effusively praised the winner of the Miss USA pageant, Olivia Culpo, for saying that transgender women should be allowed to compete.

National poll - Are you better off than 4 years ago? 🟥 No 57% (+20) 🟦 Yes 37% RMG Research 1,000 RV

Michigan: Trump vs. Harris
Mitchell Research
Harris 48, Trump 48
Tie

In 2020 they had Biden up 52-45

https://x.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1834578211725824350

#New General election poll - North Carolina 🔴 Trump 50% (+2) 🔵 Harris 48% Quantus #N/A - 815 LV - 9/12

https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1...7Ctwgr%5Etweet

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Originally Posted by tgull

https://x.com/GrageDustin/status/183...fed77fda108743

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Holy shit it's Dustin Grage

🚨 BREAKING: Trump ticks back to being the 61% favorite in Nate Silver’s election model after more polls release 🔴 Trump: 61% (+22.3) 🔵 Harris: 38.7% The model also gives Trump a 63% chance of winning PENNSYLVANIA, and a 52% chance at MICHIGAN. Silver Bulletin | Sept. 13

Wonder what the October surprise will be

Is Rasmussen ever accurate?

I listen to a Christian radio station that has a financial program on daily. According to some financial expert who watched the markets, not the debate said Harris won the debate and will most likely win the election.

If I were still a betting person, would bet Harris, calling it a win-win situation. Harris wins, you gain cash, Harris loses, you win Trump.

Jesus loves you.

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Originally Posted by tgull

I am debating whether I should bet $10K or $25K on Trump

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I would urge considerable caution in this market. I now feel Kamala will win but even if I'm wrong it will be very close.

On the UK site betfair Kamala has been a narrow favourite for some time. You can currently get 11/10 on Trump.

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Originally Posted by tgull

https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1...7Ctwgr%5Etweet

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Once they conduct post debate traditional landline phone polling we will get the results to make us feel warm and fuzzy.