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Best advice I can give re: tomorrow’s game. It’s the single deepest market in sports wagering by a huge amount. Only thing close is opening day of the tournament and that’s 32 games in a 48 hour period. Point being Vegas can’t afford to be wrong.
So before you make any bet tomorrow stop and consider the following.
If you find yourself making a bet that flys in the face of this - you might be starting off in the wrong foot
GL to all
I can't believe OKC was up 21 at halftime against a shit team, and blew it in less than a quarter.
I also can't believe I counted on the Nets to go under 233.5 even with 2 stars missing.
I also can't believe it's not butter.
https://target.scene7.com/is/image/T...=488&fmt=pjpeg
Wow, what looked like a 3-1 or 4-0 day might go 0-4 if it keeps up this way:
Memphis blew a 10-point lead and now is behind by 1
OKC blew a 21-point halftime lead and now is behind by 6 (!!)
Nets were slightly on pace to cover under at halftime, now that's a sure loss
Atlanta holding onto precarious 5-7 point lead without being able to pull away
:fail
Never a doubt on that under.
Yeah told you guys it was a great pickQuote:
Originally Posted by nightmarefish
Gonna tie OKC if Minn misses final shot.
Otherwise it's OT or I lose.
Looking like 2-0-1 on the first 3.
What a sweat today
Anyone looking for Bucs +3 vig free for up to 1K PM me. Happy to escrow with Druff if he’s willing.
Another one...Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
nightmarefish how many of my picks did you tail?
Not liking how Memphis is looking, but it's still fairly close, and mid-game. Locked up a winning day either way.
Just Nets under with you.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I had philly -6 and Spurs -1
Tailed simp’s hockey picks as well, 2-0 so far. Still have over 5.5 in the Ducks game.
Been a good day.
lolzQuote:
Originally Posted by nightmarefishJust Nets under with you.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I had philly -6 and Spurs -1
That was the only one I regretted shortly after making. The other three I stand by, regardless of results.
My favorite of the bunch was Atlanta, as I kinda made reference to at the time.
Memphis hanging super tight all the way.
Day of sweats. The only one which wasn't a complete sweat was Atlanta, because they didn't let it get super close, but they were always 2 turnovers away from blowing it until the very end.
Looks like I'm not going to hit this one. Memphis melting down, were up 104-101, gave up 12 straight points to Ingram and Bledsoe.
2 minutes left, this is pretty much over.
Lol - and after you done with Shees hit me up tooQuote:
Originally Posted by Sheesfaced
3.5 you win all pushes and a handful of Adderall you got a dealQuote:
Originally Posted by Sheesfaced
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BcJbzuyp6VY
Id rather a escrow with someone who will pay me before the next SB though
TIA
[QUOTE=Krypt;960656][QUOTE=Krypt;960626]Tennis lock
A. Sevastova
K. Kanepi
I wouldn't bet against Drago here trust me.''
This chick may make a deep run.
No1 is checking for roids in Australia
94th ranked my ass
And 35 yrs old
Shhh!!!
:dancingbabyQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I hate to say this and I wont follow my own advice There are 5 college basketball games better than any option on this crap shoot.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyBest advice I can give re: tomorrow’s game. It’s the single deepest market in sports wagering by a huge amount. Only thing close is opening day of the tournament and that’s 32 games in a 48 hour period. Point being Vegas can’t afford to be wrong.
So before you make any bet tomorrow stop and consider the following.
If you find yourself making a bet that flys in the face of this - you might be starting off in the wrong foot
GL to all
I'm all in on heads on the coin tossQuote:
Originally Posted by badguy23I hate to say this and I wont follow my own advice There are 5 college basketball games better than any option on this crap shoot.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyBest advice I can give re: tomorrow’s game. It’s the single deepest market in sports wagering by a huge amount. Only thing close is opening day of the tournament and that’s 32 games in a 48 hour period. Point being Vegas can’t afford to be wrong.
So before you make any bet tomorrow stop and consider the following.
If you find yourself making a bet that flys in the face of this - you might be starting off in the wrong foot
GL to all
I also believe TB will get the ball first tomorrow. So if you are betting KC for under 300 you may want to wait.
They don't let us live bet like we use too though LOL
Tb getting the opening kickoff should be -200 or worse.
100% of KC wins toss
50/50 if TB wins, but I’d lean closer to 66/33
5 NBA games today, believe it or not. All morning and early afternoon, slated to end before the Superbowl. I'm looking at them presently.
Only came up with one.
A moneyline.
Charlotte +105 vs. Washington
Daly, you really betting against the goat? Not the news I was hoping to see today
He's been inconsistent and against KC offense, you cant make mistakes.
I suspect they'll be down at the half 17-10 or 20-13, and Brady will try but not be able to mount a comeback this time.
I’m a pats/Brady homer from way back. I was at the snow bowl (aka tuck rule game). So as a fan I’d love to see #12 win another one.Quote:
Originally Posted by HoodedN
Mahomes is 19-1 in his last 20. Obviously vs the spread it’s not near that good. Some things you just can’t overthink. Can’t read the previous and not arrive at KC ML as a lean. Now that being said there is way more Tampa money coming in then the books expected is the early news I’m seeing in media as well as some wise guys I know. Maybe they know something I don’t.
Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyI’m a pats/Brady homer from way back. I was at the snow bowl (aka tuck rule game). So as a fan I’d love to see #12 win another one.Quote:
Originally Posted by HoodedN
Mahomes is 19-1 in his last 20. Obviously vs the spread it’s not near that good. Some things you just can’t overthink. Can’t read the previous and not arrive at KC ML as a lean. Now that being said there is way more Tampa money coming in then the books expected is the early news I’m seeing in media as well as some wise guys I know. Maybe they know something I don’t.
I think the easier bet is the O/U. I don't see it being as fast to start off with, so 27.5 1st half Under seems like a good guess and if you want to follow that logic under for the game as well
Nba autobets yesterday 1-3. Record on year 5-4.
Knicks are now > 70% unders so adding them to the list.
Knicks under 207
Half bet Charlotte/Washington under 238.5
Nhl 2-1 yesterday
Dallas -155 moneyline for game
Vegas in regulation -170
Wash/Philly over 6
It’s +3 Tampa with juiceQuote:
Originally Posted by Sheesfaced
You can get KC -3 +100 now all you can eat.
I’m just wading in now but what are the ramifications of -2.5 KC? Can you imagine?
I see this as a flippament and hold KC small. I don’t really have a dog in this fight but I am quite sure Andy Reid hasn’t slept a wink in 2 days. He’s no prize under the best of circumstances.
I like the way the KC coaching staff has minimized the Super Bowl distractions here.
There have been some heated arguments in the Sanlmar household. Like not kidding. The passion surprised me.
Okay, as much as I hate low lines like this in 2021, I decided I like this last-minute under
Miami at New York - Under 207
GL i jumped on also- good recovery after bad start lolQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Most likely going this route
KC ML
Under 56
Props
Under 330.5 Passing for Mahomes
Under 50.5 Rushing Fournette
Over 5.5 Rec Godwin
Either team scores within 1st 7 min of the game
About 15 minutes before kickoff, open your betting site/apps and bet unders on the most popular players in the game
Especially Mahomes / Hill and Kelce
Fish have already bet a lot of this stuff up and when the pros keep pounding it back down the fish keep betting the overs back up
Do not be the fish, think like the pros and take advantage
Brad Beal will drag the Wiz over the line
Doin the work before the fun.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
They towed my small used car away so I’m still sore. Resisting urge to smash bets and dinnerware. Just grinding the hockey wins on your back.
Simpdog
I don’t want you change a single thing you are doing..... however... a conversation we had recently about GSAA really got me thinking and watching.
Nobody and I mean nobody is using any kind of hockey analytics.
I recently watched a video somewhere. Some touts or whatever you wanna call them were making hockey picks. May have been wagertalk on YouTube. Panel of guys. Not once did anyone talk about analytics. Not even Corsi. Fuck, they don’t even talk about who is in goal.
This isn’t an indictment of Wagertalk (if that was them). I have seen some others and they are no different. Again, what is especially stunning is NOBODY talks about even who is in goal. It’s like betting baseball and ignoring the pitcher.
Hockey wagering is in the fucking Stone Age. Hockey and tennis are the frontier gentlemen. Sell your possessions and head west.
Last time I digress from NFL. Good luck
Quote:
Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk BucketGL i jumped on also- good recovery after bad start lolQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
My hero!! lol
I took Hockey VGK/Kings to score more in 1P than SuperBowl 1Q.
:lolQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar