Just to recap, $200 must be a big deal to you.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
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Just to recap, $200 must be a big deal to you.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
Off to a terrible start with Kanter having 6 points and 4 rebounds in the first quarter. He's been playing a lot less minutes lately, Noah supposed to be back in this one, and just in general a bad matchup for him against the SAS big men. Oh well, we'll have to see how the rest of this one goes.Quote:
Originally Posted by KidPresentable
We can't all be rich ballers like you. I know if I bet ML on a bet I could get +350 it would bug me. Must be nice to be so rich not to give a fuck like you.Quote:
Originally Posted by TellafriendJust to recap, $200 must be a big deal to you.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
Watching this game. It is starting of very fast. Both teams running and getting a lot of layups. Not good for the under.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
It is. Maybe do another recap on where we are with this $200 wager?Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaardWe can't all be rich ballers like you. I know if I bet ML on a bet I could get +350 it would bug me. Must be nice to be so rich not to give a fuck like you.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
Did OU win?
Finished with 12 and 6 to somehow come out 2-0. Unfortunately(?) the best part of my handicap was the playing time.Quote:
Originally Posted by KidPresentableOff to a terrible start with Kanter having 6 points and 4 rebounds in the first quarter. He's been playing a lot less minutes lately, Noah supposed to be back in this one, and just in general a bad matchup for him against the SAS big men. Oh well, we'll have to see how the rest of this one goes.Quote:
Originally Posted by KidPresentable
9-1 +7.85
Too bad my props are disabled on Bovada. KidPresentable really off to a hot start.
I'm the opposite of hot.
1-7 in the last 8, and none of those 7 losses were close.
This is the reverse of what I was doing for much of the year -- not just winning 60%+, but winning many by blowouts, and not losing many by a wide margin.
I will be engaging in some introspection here as to what's going wrong, and see if any adjustments are warranted.
Getting the 100th win is proving tough. I went from 98-62-2 to 99-69-2 in the past 3 days.
Shockingly small amoutn of green for the new kid. Starts right off on a 9-1 ripper.
Just saying.
As I have discussed before there is no point to doing props for most of us. If you lose the books let you do them and if you win they shut you out. I am not part of some syndicate with a bunch of burner accounts to do props. There is literally no upside for me (and 99% of other sports bettors) to doing props.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaardAs I have discussed before there is no point to doing props for most of us. If you lose the books let you do them and if you win they shut you out. I am not part of some syndicate with a bunch of burner accounts to do props. There is literally no upside for me (and 99% of other sports bettors) to doing props.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
This seems somewhat true, and why I don’t participate much in this thread either, but clearly Daly has a real job and a family and would spend his time doing something more profitable if it wasn’t worth his time. And his prop prowess is the only true long term sustainable thing Ive ever saw here in regards to sportsbetting. There’s a few exceptions, Druff’s NBA run, BGC seems quite good at March Madness, JMM on boxing, but the first two are still sample size questions and JMM has strong opinions rarely. Daly and props are the only thing I’ve ever seen sustained and beyond variance. It does suck the way the books treat them. This new kid is off to a hot start. Interesting to follow.
Totally unrelated, just because there’s no where else to put it. Just saw Marvin Lewis resigned for two more years. 15 years running of no playoff victories. They should be exempt from Rooney Rule for 100 years after this and be able to hire retread old white guys without a single question ever.
Fair enough. I am just explaining why most of us aren’t too interested with props and hot prop runs. Cause we can’t ever find most of those props at those prices, and if we could we would just get shut out anyways if we win.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRQuote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
This seems somewhat true, and why I don’t participate much in this thread either, but clearly Daly has a real job and a family and would spend his time doing something more profitable if it wasn’t worth his time. And his prop prowess is the only true long term sustainable thing Ive ever saw here in regards to sportsbetting. There’s a few exceptions, Druff’s NBA run, BGC seems quite good at March Madness, JMM on boxing, but the first two are still sample size questions and JMM has strong opinions rarely. Daly and props are the only thing I’ve ever seen sustained and beyond variance. It does suck the way the books treat them. This new kid is off to a hot start. Interesting to follow.
Totally unrelated, just because there’s no where else to put it. Just saw Marvin Lewis resigned for two more years. 15 years running of no playoff victories. They should be exempt from Rooney Rule for 100 years after this and be able to hire retread old white guys without a single question ever.
Following a gambler, even a seemingly successful one, making bets you can’t even make isn’t too interesting.
The owner of the bengals is notoriously cheap and Lewis seems ok with that in a way I doubt other coaches would be. Hard to entice anyone new when they know you aren’t going to spend any $$ to give them a chance.
Shut down the thread Druff.
Aparently we only let loosers play here.
It takes work to get action down on winning bets. Sorry to tell you books don't like giving away money. But my all means keep firing at Bama -4.5, it will win half the time.
I loved when the race-baiters went after the LOLBrowns last month for rushing to hire Dorsey as GM. Their last 2 GM's were black, and the current coach is black. Rooney rule is fucking dumb and clearly not needed anymore in most situations. there is a black assistant (Maybe it was Austin, the lions DC...cant remember) who spoke out last year about getting all these token interviews by teams who had their own guy lined up already....but just had chat with a black guy for a couple hours.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRQuote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
This seems somewhat true, and why I don’t participate much in this thread either, but clearly Daly has a real job and a family and would spend his time doing something more profitable if it wasn’t worth his time. And his prop prowess is the only true long term sustainable thing Ive ever saw here in regards to sportsbetting. There’s a few exceptions, Druff’s NBA run, BGC seems quite good at March Madness, JMM on boxing, but the first two are still sample size questions and JMM has strong opinions rarely. Daly and props are the only thing I’ve ever seen sustained and beyond variance. It does suck the way the books treat them. This new kid is off to a hot start. Interesting to follow.
Totally unrelated, just because there’s no where else to put it. Just saw Marvin Lewis resigned for two more years. 15 years running of no playoff victories. They should be exempt from Rooney Rule for 100 years after this and be able to hire retread old white guys without a single question ever.
I have made a lot of money on Daly's props.
In fact, I wish I could have made more, but the limits aren't very high (the biggest challenge with props, as Daly mentioned).
And yes, I usually get worse lines than Daly's #stalelines because of the shallowness of the market, but I only bet the ones which are fairly close, and therefore still +EV. Good props still have wiggle room to where they are still profitable even if the line degrades some.
Anyway, if you don't want to bother with Daly's props, that's better for me, because it means you won't drive the line to get worse (something a single bet can do).
*** WARNING ***
This is the coldest I've been in the NBA since I started betting this season.
I'm 1-7 in the last 8, and all seven losses were substantial misses -- none were close to covering.
The substantial missing is what concerns me more than losing 7 of 8, which is the converse of the confidence I had before when I was winning by 15-30 points on a lot of my bets, and rarely getting blown out when I lost.
Anyway, with that said, here are two bets today from the very large NBA schedule:
Detroit +2 (moneyline +115 is ok)
Minnesota Under 212.5 (212 ok)
Detroit held close but crapped the bed at the end.
Minnesota under was winning the whole way, and now will take it for certain barring OT.
Probably 1-1.
Yeah, under covered by 17.5.
Detroit was tied very late, but ultimately lost 111-104.
1-1 day, got my 100th win finally, but also my 70th loss.
100-70-2 is my record.
I bet Warriors -5.5 and 10 minutes later Durant is announced out and the line goes down to 4. You literally can't make this shit up.