Yeah - what he said. No.Quote:
Originally Posted by handicapme
Would you take 8.5 at even money?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
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Yeah - what he said. No.Quote:
Originally Posted by handicapmeWould you take 8.5 at even money?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Well, turns out the answer was yes. But yo wouldn't have felt good about it there at the end.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyYeah - what he said. No.Quote:
Originally Posted by handicapme
Local book just sent out lines, he's got ATL -2.5 vs NO. This has to be a joke I assume. So I scour the web and see it at -3 most places but line seems to be moving down since it opened. So I come here to ask "am I missing something?" 5-0 ATL vs 1-4 NO and I don't even have to cover a FG?
NAME POSITION INJURY MON. TUE. WED. GAME STATUS
Person, Mike G Ankle DNP DNP - -
Jones, Julio WR Toe/Hamstring DNP DNP - -
Hankerson, Leonard WR Ribs LP LP - -
Freeman, Devonta RB Toe LP LP - -
Durant, Justin LB Elbow DNP DNP - -
This probably coupled with the NO at home mystique. But I think it doesn't matter about mystique if you're simply horrible. Vegas insiders currently has 94% of money on ATL -3. Line just seems super weird IMOQuote:
Originally Posted by DRK Star
I had an interesting conversation with a friend of mine who does quite well with baseball
Props. In short you can basically make easy money by blind betting K's unders in the playoffs.
If somebody here has a bovada account that hasn't been cut off from prop betting, and wants to make some $$ - PM me.
Maybe you didn't watch the game last week but Atlanta was owned fucking silly and was bailed out by a pick 6. I think they win and actually have a max bet at -1 (early line they post a week in advance) and have them in alot of 7&10 pt teasers, but think it's a field goal game in which they could lose it there. Personally, I dont feel safe at even -1 with julio injured and if I can't grab them at +3.5 or more in a teaser I wont take them. There is a reason the line is -3/-3.5 with 90% of the public on them.... Vegas is going for the push/outright win with that spread and I think they have it down perfectly.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22This probably coupled with the NO at home mystique. But I think it doesn't matter about mystique if you're simply horrible. Vegas insiders currently has 94% of money on ATL -3. Line just seems super weird IMOQuote:
Originally Posted by DRK Star
This is true especially with pitchers who are throwing on few days rest and sometimes in cold climates where they can't get a good grip on the ball.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
With that said the total strikeouts for tonight's starters are too low for me to feel comfortable betting.
Cueto is at 5.5k on Bovada. He hasn't struck out 6 or more since August 10th, 9 starts. And he'll have a quick hook in this elimination game. As A Royals fan I'm betting under and hoping I'm wrong!Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPokerThis is true especially with pitchers who are throwing on few days rest and sometimes in cold climates where they can't get a good grip on the ball.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
With that said the total strikeouts for tonight's starters are too low for me to feel comfortable betting.
I prefer the McHugh under 4.5, but I think both unders can work.
Looking like the early game is going 1/1 unless Cole breaks an arm.
For those of you with a bovada account.
Bobrovsky clb und 27.5
F Anderson Ana und 27.5
Atlanta will be like tied at halftime and still win by 17-20.
Sizzle... gl today(royals)
Bovada has Anton Khudobin in goal tonight for Anaheim. Still a good bet or no?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Good point. I know all about Cueto struggles like everyone else but wasn't sure if he was still getting a decent number of strikeouts in that time. He will be on a short leash tonight for sure.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22Cueto is at 5.5k on Bovada. He hasn't struck out 6 or more since August 10th, 9 starts. And he'll have a quick hook in this elimination game. As A Royals fan I'm betting under and hoping I'm wrong!Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker
The number 5.5 just sounds too low that if I didn't read this thread I would have just skipped over even considering this and now I am so thanks to you both.
Yes - they changed starters. It really just translates to phx under 30 shots. It's a play with holly-boo-linQuote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22Bovada has Anton Khudobin in goal tonight for Anaheim. Still a good bet or no?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
They won't let me risk much for these hockey props. Maybe I waited too long but it was $40 max on the first game lmao.
I bet it anyways cause now I like it even more.
I got -110 and -115 respectively; let's do thisQuote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker
Was the max for everyone $40?
I was shut off completely. Usually it's $25, $250 for those not cut.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I only bet $22 and $23
11 saves after 2..... Fucking Joke. Pay us.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22I got -110 and -115 respectively; let's do thisQuote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker
I got $50 on each.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I pride myself on my prop plays. These are the plays I grade myself on.
My action junkie play is Avs -140 vs the Bruins. The B's suck balls this year.
Was that max, or just what you laid out? It's ok regardless. I'm just curious.Quote:
Originally Posted by DetroitI got $50 on each.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Just what i laid out.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyWas that max, or just what you laid out? It's ok regardless. I'm just curious.Quote:
Originally Posted by Detroit
lol @ the guy dressed like an ape Behind home plate trying to distract Mchugh every pitch
Ha! Bye bye McAssholeQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
$40 max bet on both for me. I tried to fire again afterwards just to see if they would allow me more action 20 minutes later but nope.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Cash the first one. I don't watch much hockey outside of the my home team Red Wings but I this Sergei Bobrovsky goalie from Columbus is having a terrible year so far from his stats and tonight he stayed on cue.
Damn you Cueto! Get those outs but not strikeouts sir. I put the same $40 on the under 5.5 strikeouts as the hockey props just to keep it easy so hopefully I'll still get a tiny profit out of this second hockey game otherwise at least I didn't lose much.
Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyHa! Bye bye McAssholeQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
What do you mean McHugh under 4.5 I have never really looked at these kinds of bets. What has/had to happen for that to pay?
Edit: Strikeouts I assume.
Hell yeah! Anton Khudobin gave up 3 goals in 13 minutes and got pulled.
You the man Daly!
Daly 2-0 NHL propsQuote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker
jsizzle 5-0 NFL games
Hell of a team we got going. If you ain't making money in this thread you're special
Thanks guys, but you are missing the trees though the forest. It's great he got pulled, but even if he didn't they still only had 25 saves combined. I had them figured for 23/24. That's how we should be looking at these SOG props.
Happy it worked out (better than my Boston bet for sure).
damn I missed out on the action yesterday.
Daly, what you like today?
Line is up to 4.5 most places. I got my biggest bet of the year down on ATL -2.5. I would say jump on and get some of this action but it might be 5 or 6 before you noobs realize what happened.Quote:
Originally Posted by handicapmeMaybe you didn't watch the game last week but Atlanta was owned fucking silly and was bailed out by a pick 6. I think they win and actually have a max bet at -1 (early line they post a week in advance) and have them in alot of 7&10 pt teasers, but think it's a field goal game in which they could lose it there. Personally, I dont feel safe at even -1 with julio injured and if I can't grab them at +3.5 or more in a teaser I wont take them. There is a reason the line is -3/-3.5 with 90% of the public on them.... Vegas is going for the push/outright win with that spread and I think they have it down perfectly.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
Like I said I own it at -1, I won't trust it above -2.5. I see know value if it's a 3pt game outcome. I would stay away at -3 or above but that's just me being a nit. This line won't go above -5Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22Line is up to 4.5 most places. I got my biggest bet of the year down on ATL -2.5. I would say jump on and get some of this action but it might be 5 or 6 before you noobs realize what happened.Quote:
Originally Posted by handicapme
http://detroit.cbslocal.com/2015/10/...-out-evidence/
Detroit turning on Stafford?
Most of what I grabbed is gone but if you fins these anywhere they are worth a shot
Snead over 4.5 -145
Jones under 7 -120
Jones under 94.5 -115
Ingram Over 3 -120
Any of you with a 5 dimes account
S.Anthony O7.5 tackles (-105)
They are a bit different on Bovada right now mainly the Julio Jones yard total:Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Jones under 79.5 -105
Jones under 6 -115
Ingram over 3.5 -125
Snead over 5 -130
You like the Snead or Ingram bets still at these prices? I'm not touching anything with Julio Jones tonight. He's banged up but it hasn't stopped him in some past games where he was reported the same only for him to just go off.