Death taxes and Bama 1h
Not only am I going to pass on Wis I’m jumping the fence. Iowa small
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Death taxes and Bama 1h
Not only am I going to pass on Wis I’m jumping the fence. Iowa small
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Someone should tell Tommy that. We should have a shit the bed meme. What a wasted opportunity. He has even a close to average day overnight and he’s in the lead right now.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
Only way I’d feel worse is if I backed Reed. He should be 5 shots clear and -400. That was beyond a Bedshit.
100% agree, just woke up, that was not worth staying up for. Hatton didn’t play great but got a few unlucky breaks, including moving a loose impediment that moved his ball. Agree with you about Reed and he’s still got two lucky breaks with his ball staying out of the water by inches twice coming home. I’ll be pulling for you with Mac. Love the way he putts. That first 73 hurts us with Ko. Even with her C game she is T9. Need the leader to choke a bit to have a chance though. Only 3 players left under par. Let the nerves come out some more.
Rahm won this on a tougher set up last year at -20. Tommy shot -19. I feel like you put JT on that course with his B stuff and he is 4 ahead right now. Reed is lucky none of those top guys came over because they would be destroying this course. I was gonna back the truck up on Reed yesterday at -140. Glad I didn’t and I’ll be routing for your horse.
Ufc Ferguson -160 (bet 365). I would take it up to -200 for an iPhone.
I’m fairly sure Bama is going to rape Florida next week, tonight isn’t changing my mind in that score.
I’m reasonably confidant clemson is going to beat ND, potentially badly.
I could go though all the ins and outs but I think the fourth playoff spot has a real good chance to be A&M. I also think A&M is more dangerous than most people realize. I don’t think they win it all but it’s not imposable they could. More importantly I think they fix it so that they play Ohio State or Clemson in round one and not Bama. I do think A&M could beat one of them. I think it’s less than a TD. So I guess what I’m saying here is it’s not far fetched they end up in the NC game.
If it’s possible to Pick some A&M up at +2500 tomorrow I think we may be able to do hold it for a while and then arbitrage the shit out of it.
Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Fucking Christ - fight still going I shut it off. What a fucking ass kicking that was. Ferguson May be done
Ferguson was shit awful.
Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Painful. I guess doing two weight cuts right before fighting Gaethje might not have been a good career move. Never seen Tony look terrible before and he looked terrible af tonight. 2020 continues to ruin any and all good things.
What a great championship fight. Moreno still throwing a broken left arm after getting dick kicked earlier.
Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDimeQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
100% agree, just woke up, that was not worth staying up for. Hatton didn’t play great but got a few unlucky breaks, including moving a loose impediment that moved his ball. Agree with you about Reed and he’s still got two lucky breaks with his ball staying out of the water by inches twice coming home. I’ll be pulling for you with Mac. Love the way he putts. That first 73 hurts us with Ko. Even with her C game she is T9. Need the leader to choke a bit to have a chance though. Only 3 players left under par. Let the nerves come out some more.
You may have the wrong Ko in this one. Should be a good final round to watch.
I’m sure the way this week went for me your Ko will win over mine. GL Joe, but I won’t be watching. I’ve been on Middle Eastern time last two weeks, South African time before that and Cypress before that. I’ll be sleeping. I’ll sign for either Ko. My retinas can’t take watching another putt burn the edge.Quote:
Originally Posted by JoeD
if you have access to FD sportsbook you can get A&M at +6000...they are basically pricing them like it's a foregone conclusion that the top 4 are gonna be the top 4 regardless of what happens...having a hard time seeing that...Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
i dont think anybody wants to see a one loss ND team get curb stopped by BAMA...
i probably just torched $50 given what the prices are, but i like daly's logic...im not an A&M fan by any means...years of DFS play has turned me off to the inconsistencies of mond, but they can also get in if OSU loses to NW...is that highly likely? i mean in a normal year probably not, but fields has shown he can get TO happy and they've played 5 games so the rust could be there and while NW aint gonna do anything flashy but i admire that fitzgerald gets the most outta his guys that arent the same athletes that they get at the state schools of the big 10 (think the TB Rays of the big 10)...
at 60:1, we goin' fuckin sizzler if A&M gets into the playoff cause there will be a ton of ways to profitability...
Jesus Jeff - if you told me she passed the Leader and everyone in front of her I would have said we are going to sizzler.
Can’t believe someone behind her passed her to win. Wow.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
This one really hurt brother. Yea, 3 birdies from a girl wasn't even on the leaderboard. Would of been 23K. This year can't end soon enough. Coming that close really isn't a conciliation. Anyone else who road my picks, I really wanted to get you paid. Going to try and take a month off. Would of been a nice way to end a tough year Daly. Kind of numb at this point.
5 figures for me as well buddy. Keep Your head up. You can’t go into these with the expectation to win every week.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDimeQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
This one really hurt brother. Yea, 3 birdies from a girl wasn't even on the leaderboard. Would of been 23K. This year can't end soon enough. Coming that close really isn't a conciliation. Anyone else who road my picks, I really wanted to get you paid. Going to try and take a month off. Would of been a nice way to end a tough year Daly. Kind of numb at this point.
One Hell of a call here. Took an all time comeback to not win.
Tilt shipped the Ravens -3 -120. May want to fade my ass.
Good griefQuote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
i cant believe that they fucking covered it
:lol2
Had Browns +3. When Tucker made the kick with 2 sec left was never a doubt that was how the game was going to end.
Standard.
that finish right there is why gambling is forbidden in Islam.
Just wait for betting kiosks at stadium.
Lives would be at risk
Rovell came out today and announced he has ~$240K on the line this weekend if NW (beats Ohio state) and wins the big ten. It works out to 1550/420K and a bunch of different odds. All the bets are at pointsbet.
The book offered him a buyout of $20K as the game Is lined -1100
He countered the line maker and asked him to watch the game with him live and play “deal or no deal”. Should make an interesting podcast.
I’d feel like I’m drawing live if I had a passing team against Ohio State. I’d ride that out. Facing the 12th best passing team in the BIG I honestly feel as confident as I ever have laying 21. I honestly expect them to win by over 40. I was shocked at the line.
It’s a great spot for him obviously, and I don’t know how exactly that wager works, but I would rather have about 8 teams in BIG before NW
Fun readQuote:
Originally Posted by BCR
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/...n=DarrenRovell
Great read. I thought maybe it was like action points wager China used to love, but it’s just incremental bets. I didn’t get the 240k followed by 1550/420k part.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
My first thought was is he an alum? I looked at his wiki and it reads
“Rovell graduated from Roslyn High School in Roslyn Heights, New York in 1996.
Rovell attended Camp Greylock for Boys, a sports camp in the Berkshires.
He attended and graduated cum laude from Northeastern University in Boston, Massachusetts, in 2000, where he is on the advisory board for graduate programs in sports administration.[3] He majored in theater. However, he also hosted a college radio show about sports business.[4]
I see now he is your rare Northeastern and NW grad. Makes more sense, even though the logic of betting on smart team to get through Covid was solid reasoning to just be in this spot to get offered $20k buyout.
I’d wish him well, but I’d be lying. It’s great for his podcast.
Gambling Gods have revoked my whining/bitching/complaining license for the time being in exchange for that safety. This thread is included, so feel free to red rep me if I disobey.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarGood griefQuote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
The only thing I have ever heard about hockey in Sweden is that it is notoriously low scoring. Think it was on some kind of special on Henrik Lundquist back in the day. BTW, even the reporter in the photo has a guilty look on his face. That smirk he’s holding back says I had Alternate Puck line -3.5 myself.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Mom may let you watch but she won’t let you play
Yes, this is void of value, somewhat lazy and self indulgent. Basically insurance against back to back steamy weekends. I am concerned about her running out of gas after playing three weeks in a row after sitting out most of the season. That being said...her form can't be disputed. She had played solid and she didn't come over here at the end of the year to not keep grinding this week at the tour championship. I would of liked to get 12-1 or so but I'm going to swallow the 10-1.
Tournament has only 60 players not 156.
Looked like she was on her way to posting real low. Go out to shovel snow and she has her first double in two weeks. Plenty of time...just would of been nice to post a real low number today.
-4 one back now. If she can post -4 or -5 I would be extremely happy with the round (except for not betting bigger)Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog-4 one back now. If she can post -4 or -5 I would be extremely happy with the round (except for not betting bigger)Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
-4 with a double got to take it. She is the best female golfer in the world from what I’ve read and seen last few weeks. Was trying to go to the wip early, would be nice to end 2020 on a decent win. Maybe we can go real low tomorrow.
I meant to jump on your golf bet this week, but keep forgetting to check early enough. Golf is hard to hit, and you’re hard on yourself, but you’re clearly very good at it.
Love Rutgers ML at +200 tomorrow night. Obviously I like the +6.5 as well, but I view Rutgers as a small favorite imo even with a dinged up QB. I don’t quite understand why Nebraska is favored at all. I see that game as a coinflip at best.
Researching alternate line for Ohio State game. Obviously I’m extremely confident in that one from previous post. It’s available to me at -20 -110, but also plan on firing at -27, is +200 the proper value for that bet? Feels a bit short.
I’ve been betting through one book, and can’t recall if that’s in line with alternate lines I used to bet on. I have no over 35 option with heavy odds as I was hoping. It tops out at -29.5 for only +240 and I would feel that stupid to give up that 2.5 for the extra $40.
Some bets just make themselves
10:00a ETPNC Championship Tournament Matchup - Team Singh vs Team Daly
Team Singh
-115
Team Daly
Yeah it’s a bit short I’d say. 7 points is about $1.50 of value. So I’d say it should be closer to +240 or so. Alt lines are an exotic bet so they get a price.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
I’m in for Rutgers. Or should I say I’m in for the Nebraska fade.
Thx. I thought it was a bit short.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyYeah it’s a bit short I’d say. 7 points is about $1.50 of value. So I’d say it should be closer to +240 or so. Alt lines are an exotic bet so they get a price.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
I’m in for Rutgers. Or should I say I’m in for the Nebraska fade.
As I said, Rutgers QB is dinged and might play or not. I’m in either way. Backup came in and beat Maryland, who is better the Nebraska. I just feel like Rutgers has had a successful year under Schiano and will end on high note, and Nebraska is struggling.
Edit- Just got text Olave is out for Ohio State from buddy who stays with team before travel. Outside Fields, that’s the biggest loss that could occur. I doubt that becomes public until shortly before game time so I won’t even get a break of any line movement. From what I can see googling, it doesn’t seem public info. We have ten 5* wrs, but that’s the clutch dude every time you need a catch.
I see it reported as one of star receivers. It’s not Wilson, it’s Olave if they offer player props on college games. My site doesn’t.
Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDimeYes, this is void of value, somewhat lazy and self indulgent. Basically insurance against back to back steamy weekends. I am concerned about her running out of gas after playing three weeks in a row after sitting out most of the season. That being said...her form can't be disputed. She had played solid and she didn't come over here at the end of the year to not keep grinding this week at the tour championship. I would of liked to get 12-1 or so but I'm going to swallow the 10-1.
Tournament has only 60 players not 156.
I was just logging in to see which one of my picks got cancelled/suspended.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRThx. I thought it was a bit short.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
As I said, Rutgers QB is dinged and might play or not. I’m in either way. Backup came in and beat Maryland, who is better the Nebraska. I just feel like Rutgers has had a successful year under Schiano and will end on high note, and Nebraska is struggling.
Edit- Just got text Olave is out for Ohio State from buddy who stays with team before travel. Outside Fields, that’s the biggest loss that could occur. I doubt that becomes public until shortly before game time so I won’t even get a break of any line movement. From what I can see googling, it doesn’t seem public info. We have ten 5* wrs, but that’s the clutch dude every time you need a catch.
I see it reported as one of star receivers. It’s not Wilson, it’s Olave if they offer player props on college games. My site doesn’t.
I must defy you BCR
I bet Chargers Raiders game last night. I may have a gambling problem. I should just flip cards at blackjack
No one ever goes broke fading me. I must point out you’ve invested in a team that lost to MSU. That has to give you pause.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarI was just logging in to see which one of my picks got cancelled/suspended.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
I must defy you BCR
I bet Chargers Raiders game last night. I may have a gambling problem. I should just flip cards at blackjack