$1800 TD shoved right up my ass...
fuck the iggles...
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$1800 TD shoved right up my ass...
fuck the iggles...
Expensive night.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
We move on
Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
Literally mind blowing how I lost my DK Double up on that cocksucker Wentz.
I wonder what % SportsScience or whatever gave them doing that
good to see we covered both sites, OSA...Quote:
Originally Posted by OSA
i got fucked on FD because of it...
Book written by an ESPN writer. Bill Simmons and The Ringer is on it too.
Pappyland: A Story of Family, Fine Bourbon, and the Things That Last
https://youtu.be/DKG8YMDsAxw
Golf in Dubai Championship begins basically late tonight as it is Wed-Sat in Dubai. This pick is more a value pick than last week, where I just really had a strong feeling and more recent info to work with. Who the fuck knows how these guys are going to play in Dubai. That is the main reason I wanted to find a guy whose odds I believe are lined up with his chances. There are many golfers with bigger names and lower odds. The winner is most likely going to come from one of these guys, but to differentiate between them is tough and the prices all suck.
Sami Valimaki (Anywhere from +2800 to +3300) would be my pick. He won his first title in his 6th ever event back in late February. This was the last event before the shutdown. It’s been a weird year for him as it has for many. If you look at his stats for this year they won’t blow your mind (Thus the great price). He had a few missed cuts in a row when he returned. However, he has been trending up his last 4 tournaments. He was contending in the last two. I think he’s well worth a few bucks at his odds.
PGA tour is tough this week. JT at odds between +600 to +700 and Brooks around +1100. At this point their odds are just too low to take but I am not sure I want to try to beat them. JT is the best grinder on tour imho. If you put your money on him, you can count on him to play his ass off for you. Just at 6-1, in a venue you need to go low, the price isn’t right. I have a feeling we may get a winner with +3500 odds or more. Just not sure which one yet.
Conners +3000Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I was actually in Vegas last year and bet Conners going into the weekend on the tournament he won. He can go low when he’s on. Main thing for him is GIR. If he needs to rely on his short game too much it’s going to be tough. I like the play. Probably won’t be in Jersey to put in my Mexico bets until tomorrow, but I will at least ride 100 or so with you.
Ok I put $179 on Valmaki +2800 to win $5k.
Thanks, Jeff.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
why not put any unclaimed freeroll $ on him ? would be a hell of a free roll if we won.
Apparently someone dropped 500k on seahawks according to MGM.
OUCH. Krypt I did lose $110 on them if you're keeping track.
As Daly said we move on.
Value Alert- MGM has Leishman for the Mexico PGA at 55-1. His form hasn’t been good but he has come out of nowhere before. He had a decent Masters T13. Most books have him at 40-1. I wouldn’t touch that price. 55-1 is an offer I can’t refuse.
Well Bez won from off the pace last week, I’m sure Sam has it in him as well.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
Cant have assholes shooting 61’s though
Valimaki is already 9 behind, middle of the pack.
Oh well... good bet in theory, at least.
Yea it was pretty tilting. This course is playing as easy as possible. He birdied the first hole and I was just waiting for him to string them together...it just never happened. A bogey free -2. I'm driving today in gridlock and because the European Tour focuses so much on the UK players, I didn't get to a see a single shot he hit. He was also moved into a 2-some which I wasn't excited about. My guess is a lot of 2 putts. His card doesn't look like someone scrambling, someone just not rolling them in.
Sullivan I have burnt a lot of dough on. Painful to see him put together that round. The early wave had the low scores. It's going to be a tough road ahead but the good news is we will know if there's any shot pretty early tonight. He tees off around 11pmEST. Needs to shoot 65 or lower for sure. I am hoping he just had a shitty day on the greens and he gets the stick working.
Those Covid infested Ravens are in your neighborhood badguy.
I know you don’t make decisions this far ahead of the kickoff.
I saw it was -10.5 everywhere but my book so I bought some at 10. Not much of a reason, I’ll admit.
Love to bet RG3 interceptions but my props have retarded prices.
Seems like every week you hear how the Steelers haven’t played this guy well or this team well at times. Then you look down and their 8-2 ATS. This chatter is mostly for the Steelers themselves to not let their guards down. As a bettor got to drive out that chatter. I was thinking about it today...rivalry game, middle of the week and 10.5 points. Big Ben historically underperforms early in games and keeps them closer than they should be. Take the points right? This could for sure be a clunker and thats a lot of points. I just know after the game it may be another “fuck this was easy money on the Steelers”.
Somewhere in my travels I heard or read someone talk about the difference in commercial advertising revenue between Thanksgiving and mid week daytime game show syndication rates
Will be interesting to see the ratings of this game. NFL always seems to do a decent number. This is new territory for them. With the Steelers being a National brand and a lot of people working from home, I think it will do better than expected. Wonder what the discount is to the advertisers.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Amazing how every game has a garbage TD that fucks the overwhelmingly bet favorites the past few weeks.
Conners down to Plus 2000, Daly, even though he’s afternoon wave & hasn’t struck a ball yet. Good call getting him +3000. Morning wave isn’t exactly lighting it up so it’s pushing the prices lower for the late tee guys.
As for a Valimaki, fucker had another bogey free day but just 4 birdies. He’s putting more like Stevie Wonder than Bez. I am more frustrated at giving the pick out than it losing for myself. It does look like Sully may just be a runaway train. He continues the way he is going it wouldn’t of mattered anyways. Still, Valamaki has lost 5 or 6 strokes to the field putting. He should be 6 behind. Not 11.
Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
Word to the wise. Don’t get caught up in wining golf tournament plays every single week.
It will be back to mainly matchups and three balls etc. I just felt strong that there was value last two weeks. Appreciate you looking out. Can't swing for fences every week. No question.
By the way the obvious answer for golf this weekend was right in front of us the whole time.
icket #146674716
November-30,12:33:49 PM INTERNET/-1
December-06,4:00:00 AM
TNT TO WIN SOUTH AFRICAN OPEN
[72501] CHRISTIAAN BEZUIDENHOUT +750
Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
I think I wasn’t very clear in my response. By all means go ahead and fire at tournaments Every week so long as you feel you got a edge and are able to identify the “horses for courses”.
My point of “getting caught up” I meant more emotionally. You could be really good at this and pick a winner once every 3-4 months. Some weeks you are dead money after day 1. Best baseball player still makes an out 70% of the time sort of thing. There is a reason why books offer 30-1 + on most winners..... it’s hard to pick one
Sami was -7 today, tied for 19th at -13
Basically a day too late....but turning it into a +EV bet if he throws up another decent round tomorrow.
Yeah I saw that too.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
This would've been epic if he just had a better first two rounds. I believe he was tied for the best in round 3.
They did split tees so I had fell asleep after he started with 5 pars and then his first bogey of the tournament. At that point no way I thought he would shoot anywhere near 65. I guess I wish he had that bogey earlier because he finally started scoring like I knew he could. Unfortunately, he will run out of race track, which happens in golf outrights a lot, especially when the leaders all went low the first 2 and a half days. It is frustrating because his prices are inflated because he is not a UK player, overly flashy etc. He does everything pretty well. He won’t be a one hit wonder. He has the game. I was hoping to hit him with the inflated price.
Daly, I know what you mean about not getting emotionally caught up. When Tommy missed the 2 footer and lost the playoff to Aaron Rai (Who looks like a 25 Handicap with two gloves on and iron covers) I will admit I steamed. I have steamed more this year than in a while. Of course, there’s a lot of factors going on this year, but at the end of the day that is on me. So it’s always good to get a wake up call and I appreciate you looking out. Nice bet on Bez, none of the Jersey Books even took action on that tournament but I did see him +700 on the offshore books. Nice bet. Hope he goes back to back for you.
Is William Hill following this thread? Speak of the Devil and he shall appear.
Anybody on Louisiana vs App St? I'm leaning ULL but seems like a coin flip..
I didn't expect to see you use cocksucker as an insult.Quote:
Originally Posted by OSA
I think we get to keep that one. It just rolls off the tongue to well (No pun intended). It's also almost universally used to insult a straight guy and not as a gay slur. I have dropped the f word from my vocab a while ago. I like to keep CS in my back pocket for special occasions. Special occasions meaning every time I lose a bet.Quote:
Originally Posted by Walter SobchakI didn't expect to see you use cocksucker as an insult.Quote:
Originally Posted by OSA
It’s decision time.
Am I actually going to violate the “Fade All Michigan Teams Rule” and take Michigan St +23.5 vs Ohio? This is an awful awful spot for Ohio.
tbh I actually have Lions +3.
I might have a lot in common with those tweener girls who cut themselves.
Ohio State -23.5
Texas Tech o62.5
As bad as Ohio States dbs are, I struggle to see MSU score more than 17. Ohio State will be mid 40s minimum. Who had Covid wasn’t released, but I know it isn’t Fields. I had my buddy ask last week before game was cancelled, and he found out Fields had it before the season, and it wasn’t publicly released, still hasn’t been, so that’s all the really matters on offense given how deep they are everywhere else.
Kansas gives up a ton to everyone. TT will need to score most of total themselves, which I expect.
I made that post before I saw yours San. It wasn’t in response to.
I’m out - this is a sketchy Covid coin flip
Until the Buckeyes release their Game Day Status Report on Saturday morning we don’t know anything. They are flying in late tonight for a noon time kickoff.
BYU vs those frauds, Coastal Carolina, needs our focus
I almost wrote down BYU -11. I just don’t trust that last minute fly across country thing for non scheduled game.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
They’ll probably win 48-14. That’s what my gut says, but I’m hesitating for some reason. I’ll probably fire on it if Buckeyes look good. BYU in Covid season is probably perfect. They are all married with kids already. No bars. Everything already closed at 9 Pm.
Bless me father for I have sinned.Quote:
Originally Posted by padre33
I missed this post. I hope you took ULL
I might sweep tonight so I can sleep tonight
Daly--
any college football bets we should be looking at for tomorrow?
Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarBless me father for I have sinned.Quote:
Originally Posted by padre33
I missed this post. I hope you took ULL
I might sweep tonight so I can sleep tonight
batshit ending for both under and the +3