*** Official NFL/ NCAA Betting Discussion Thread

late to the party but here goes...

Ticket Number: 31418548
Sep 0812:04 PM INTERNET / -1 Sep 0810:40 AM NFL
STRAIGHT BET
[453] PATRIOTS (NE) - WEEK 1 -10-110
220 / 200

Ticket Number: 31418705
Sep 0812:04 PM INTERNET / -1 Sep 0810:41 AM NFL
STRAIGHT BET
[459] BUCCANEERS (TB) - WEEK 1 -4-110
220 / 200

Ticket Number: 31418856
Sep 0803:25 PM INTERNET / -1 Sep 0810:42 AM NFL
STRAIGHT BET
[473] CARDINALS (ARZ) - WEEK 1 +4-110
220 / 200

Ticket Number: 31419162
Sep 0812:04 PM INTERNET / -1 Sep 0810:44 AM NFL
STRAIGHT BET
[463] BENGALS (CIN) - WEEK 1 +140
120 / 168

[QUOTE=BCR;191260]

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Originally Posted by BCR

3-2 ytd


tomorrow

oregon/virginia over 63.5 big w

Indiana -12 big l

smiss/nebraska over 60.5 average w

Miami +3.5 small w

wkentucky/tenn over 58.5 average w




7-3 ytd NCAA

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NFL

Chiefs -4.5
Cleveland -1.5
Bengals +9/ Pittsburgh -1 teaser

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Steelers might be drafting in the top 5. They suck, and Pouncey's injury looks serious.


Rams -3.5
NYG + 3.5
NYG ml +150
nyg + 9.5/OVER 43.5 TEASER

PLOL made this gif for me, thought you guys would appreciate it in the thread.

http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/b...3/09/dance.gif

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Originally Posted by chinamaniac

Parlay shot

Bet $24.00 to Win $3004.93

09/08/13Saints (NewOrleans)-3
13:05 ET(-120)
09/08/13Giants (NewYork)+155
20:35 ET
09/08/13Packers (GreenBay)+177
16:30 ET
09/08/13Patriots (NewEngland)-460
13:05 ET
09/08/13Patriots (NewEngland)Under 51.5
13:05 ETBills (Buffalo)
09/08/13Colts (Indianapolis)-500
13:05 ET
09/08/13Panthers (Carolina)+155
13:05 ET
09/08/13Steelers (Pittsburgh)-270
13:05 ET

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Had both my parlays got tits up as well.. New england damn near lost outright which fucked me on my one. Also had Carolina over Seattle and killed my other. I had the under in the Pittsburgh game right at least. Also Indy fucked me which was on the same ticket as the NE game. Still have seperate single game bets on NYG beats Dal and WAS beats Phl. Only truly lost the one parlay the other was freeroll from 1st bet match from Carbon.

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Originally Posted by ShadyJ

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Originally Posted by ShadyJ

2-0 on posted service plays when more then 1 good service has the same side or just a huge play on them. Both were dogs that won outright. I will post these every week and see what we can make from them.

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The service play is NO-3

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3-0!!!!!

I'm 4-4-1 as of right now (Amazingly I'm just a little down from when I started)...

GB/NYG can make this a non betting monday night football game for me.

Should have gotten Buffalo +9.5 just didn't pull the trigger on it since it was opening day.

(Added these to my lineup)
NE/BUF u 51.5
CAR +140
CLE -2
K.C. -3.5

Wait GB was screwed by an incorrect call by the officials? Theres a shocker. I have to apoligize to Pete Carroll for putting him in the same relm of deuchbagness as Jim Harbough. This guy makes Doug Lee look like a great guy.

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Originally Posted by ShadyJ

Wait GB was screwed by an incorrect call by the officials? Theres a shocker. I have to apoligize to Pete Carroll for putting him in the same relm of deuchbagness as Jim Harbough. This guy makes Doug Lee look like a great guy.

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Doug Lee is a tool box so what's worse that a tool box, a douche nozzle?

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Originally Posted by lewfather

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sfnGtG-R6xI

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wzbt_yQrQjk


MEEEEEEEEECHIGAN

HAIL TO THE VICTORS

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Have you seen the Mich vs OSU documentary?

The best quotes

When they asked Woody Hayes why they went for 2 up 26 he said because they wouldnt let me go for 3.

Woody said if his car ran out of gas in Michigan he would push it across the border instead of filling up in Michigan.

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Originally Posted by ShadyJ

I dont really follow services that much in NFL, because I just like to play my own plays. Week 1 overload
Buff +10
Buff +375 just a feeling
SF-4Top play I bought it to -4
Zona +4.5
Zona +185
Seattle -3.5
Seattle under 45
Minny +5.5
NO-3Indy -10 This should be a route
No/Atl over 54 Im playing every Saints game over this year regardless of the line
Cincy +3 they could set a record for sacks in a game
Dallas -3
SD +4

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Pretty good day

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Originally Posted by ShadyJ

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Originally Posted by lewfather

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sfnGtG-R6xI

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wzbt_yQrQjk


MEEEEEEEEECHIGAN

HAIL TO THE VICTORS

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Have you seen the Mich vs OSU documentary?

The best quotes

When they asked Woody Hayes why they went for 2 up 26 he said because they wouldnt let me go for 3.

Woody said if his car ran out of gas in Michigan he would push it across the border instead of filling up in Michigan.

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Yea I've seen the doc, it's good stuff.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=liNBAvdfakg

Still stumped on how Eli pulled out those 2 super bowls. The guy fucking sucks

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Originally Posted by ShadyJ

I dont really follow services that much in NFL, because I just like to play my own plays. Week 1 overload
Buff +10
Buff +375 just a feeling
SF-4Top play I bought it to -4
Zona +4.5
Zona +185
Seattle -3.5
Seattle under 45
Minny +5.5
NO-3
Indy -10 This should be a route
No/Atl over 54 Im playing every Saints game over this year regardless of the line
Cincy +3 they could set a record for sacks in a game
Dallas -3
SD +4

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Boom great fuckin week. I love the NFL its just easy to beat. The only game Im shocked over was Indy not killing Oakland. I guess Pryor played about better then expected.

The Packers played much better then i thought. I thought SF would kill them, but i came away super impressed with 2 things. GB's defense they stopped the run. The secondary got roasted but they were without their 2 best players in the secondary. 2nd was Kapernick. Hes impossible to sack in the pocket hes so elusive, and he proved he can sit in the pocket and beat teams with just his arm. I always thought hes accuracy was his downfall but he put balls in Rodgers type of windows.

On paper SF is the team to beat and GB went into SF and played them back and forth the entire game without 2 defensive starters, so Im really optimistic for GB this year.

Tonights service play is Houston-4

ytd 3-0

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Originally Posted by chinamaniac

Still stumped on how Eli pulled out those 2 super bowls. The guy fucking sucks

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too harsh of a criticism...the guy has had his moments. won 2 SB's...from where i'm standing, he's prolly going to the HOF.

romo on the other hand hasn't proven shit, other than fail after fail. and dallas extended him..lol

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Originally Posted by mulva

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Originally Posted by chinamaniac

Still stumped on how Eli pulled out those 2 super bowls. The guy fucking sucks

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too harsh of a criticism...the guy has had his moments. won 2 SB's...from where i'm standing, he's prolly going to the HOF.

romo on the other hand hasn't proven shit, other than fail after fail. and dallas extended him..lol

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Give me romo or eli manning for the next 5 years I take romo

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Originally Posted by chinamaniac

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Originally Posted by mulva

too harsh of a criticism...the guy has had his moments. won 2 SB's...from where i'm standing, he's prolly going to the HOF.

romo on the other hand hasn't proven shit, other than fail after fail. and dallas extended him..lol

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Give me romo, tebow or eli manning for the next 5 years I take tebow

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obv

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Originally Posted by chinamaniac

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Originally Posted by mulva

too harsh of a criticism...the guy has had his moments. won 2 SB's...from where i'm standing, he's prolly going to the HOF.

romo on the other hand hasn't proven shit, other than fail after fail. and dallas extended him..lol

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Give me romo or eli manning for the next 5 years I take romo

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Its time for a Tebow intervention.

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Originally Posted by mulva

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Originally Posted by chinamaniac

Still stumped on how Eli pulled out those 2 super bowls. The guy fucking sucks

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too harsh of a criticism...the guy has had his moments. won 2 SB's...from where i'm standing, he's prolly going to the HOF.

romo on the other hand hasn't proven shit, other than fail after fail. and dallas extended him..lol

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eli with those 2 SBs is a mortal lock to go to the HOF as stunning as that is to say...

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Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis

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Originally Posted by mulva

too harsh of a criticism...the guy has had his moments. won 2 SB's...from where i'm standing, he's prolly going to the HOF.

romo on the other hand hasn't proven shit, other than fail after fail. and dallas extended him..lol

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eli with those 2 SBs is a mortal lock to go to the HOF as stunning as that is to say...

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eli has looked bad at times, but he's also looked great..he's also clutch..

romo hasn't proved anything yet but costing his team. i seriously question how good he really is and if he'll really take dallas anywhere,

Interesting first week.

SF vs Seattle next Sunday night is the game that intrigues me the most in Week 2.

Oh, and this video never gets old:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qe_324wnNQU

Sports Illustrated has a five part revealing of their findings in the Oklahoma State scandal going up over the next week or so.

Part 1 is here:

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/col...-part-1-money/

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Originally Posted by mulva

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Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis

eli with those 2 SBs is a mortal lock to go to the HOF as stunning as that is to say...

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eli has looked bad at times, but he's also looked great..he's also clutch..

romo hasn't proved anything yet but costing his team. i seriously question how good he really is and if he'll really take dallas anywhere,

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Originally Posted by mulva

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Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis

eli with those 2 SBs is a mortal lock to go to the HOF as stunning as that is to say...

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eli has looked bad at times, but he's also looked great..he's also clutch..

romo hasn't proved anything yet but costing his team. i seriously question how good he really is and if he'll really take dallas anywhere,

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eli is such an enigma...he can be so fucking clutch in one game and then he can look worse than complete dogshit in the next game and have many manning faces...

I think romo gets a bad rap...not saying he's in the brees/peyton/brady/Rodgers group, but his numbers are pretty sick if you look at them...and I know numbers are numbers, but he just cant suck given his numbers...I think he's actually the anti-eli...he has a lot of dogshit moments and then he'll throw those clutch plays in where youre like, 'oh guess he's not total shit'...

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Originally Posted by ShadyJ

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Originally Posted by ShadyJ

I dont really follow services that much in NFL, because I just like to play my own plays. Week 1 overload
Buff +10
Buff +375 just a feeling
SF-4Top play I bought it to -4
Zona +4.5
Zona +185
Seattle -3.5
Seattle under 45
Minny +5.5
NO-3
Indy -10 This should be a route
No/Atl over 54 Im playing every Saints game over this year regardless of the line
Cincy +3 they could set a record for sacks in a game
Dallas -3
SD +4

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Boom great fuckin week. I love the NFL its just easy to beat. The only game Im shocked over was Indy not killing Oakland. I guess Pryor played about better then expected.

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Relax, if it was that easy you wouldn't have your day job.
1 week of 20+ w/playoffs.

Vegas had a great opening weekend, the bettors got smoked.
TB, Houston and Indy looked like the big covers for the books.
http://www.grantland.com/blog/the-tr...id=grantland33

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Originally Posted by JimmyG_415

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Originally Posted by ShadyJ

Boom great fuckin week. I love the NFL its just easy to beat. The only game Im shocked over was Indy not killing Oakland. I guess Pryor played about better then expected.

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Relax, if it was that easy you wouldn't have your day job.
1 week of 20+ w/playoffs.

Vegas had a great opening weekend, the bettors got smoked.
TB, Houston and Indy looked like the big covers for the books.
http://www.grantland.com/blog/the-tr...id=grantland33

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You obviously got smoked. Only winners get wings you hungry bitch. The NFL is easy money and betting on sports and playing poker is my day job once again.

Pats
Jets +13

Taking Jets & points.

Can't get away from this bet. The Pats were awful and the only two bright spots were Vereen (wrist surgery) & Amendola (groin) and they are are done.

Jets defense good enough & the Pats defense is wanting. Ridley in the Pats backfield is a prop bet for over/under fumbles. Receiver Tompkins is overwhelmed.

Too many points. The public has not caught on to just how incomplete the Pats offense is post Welker, Hernandez, Gronkowski etc etc. Public still prolly has Pats as Superbowl contenders. Unique opportunity.

Not a lock but +EV with the points.

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

Pats
Jets +13

Taking Jets & points.

Can't get away from this bet. The Pats were awful and the only two bright spots were Vereen (wrist surgery) & Amendola (groin) and they are are done.

Jets defense good enough & the Pats defense is wanting. Ridley in the Pats backfield is a prop bet for over/under fumbles. Receiver Tompkins is overwhelmed.

Too many points. The public has not caught on to just how incomplete the Pats offense is post Welker, Hernandez, Gronkowski etc etc. Public still prolly has Pats as Superbowl contenders. Unique opportunity.

Not a lock but +EV with the points.

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Brady is going to throw for 5 touchdowns. Can the Jets score 22+?

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Originally Posted by simpdog

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

Pats
Jets +13

Taking Jets & points.

Can't get away from this bet. The Pats were awful and the only two bright spots were Vereen (wrist surgery) & Amendola (groin) and they are are done.

Jets defense good enough & the Pats defense is wanting. Ridley in the Pats backfield is a prop bet for over/under fumbles. Receiver Tompkins is overwhelmed.

Too many points. The public has not caught on to just how incomplete the Pats offense is post Welker, Hernandez, Gronkowski etc etc. Public still prolly has Pats as Superbowl contenders. Unique opportunity.

Not a lock but +EV with the points.

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Brady is going to throw for 5 touchdowns. Can the Jets score 22+?

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I cannot imagine who will be on receiving end of those passes.

the pats defense is better than you think. and the jets offensive is worse than you think.

only way the pats don't score big is if the jets can establish the run and milk the clock.....if that's the case, the jets might not make it to 14 pts,,in fact, i can see the jets scoring 1 TD and 1 FG here if it turns into a defensive game....equally, i can see new england throwing up 49pts as well and it wouldn't surprise me.

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Originally Posted by mulva

the pats defense is better than you think. and the jets offensive is worse than you think.

only way the pats don't score big is if the jets can establish the run and milk the clock.....if that's the case, the jets might not make it to 14 pts,,in fact, i can see the jets scoring 1 TD and 1 FG here if it turns into a defensive game....equally, i can see new england throwing up 49pts as well and it wouldn't surprise me.

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First, I am still on tilt. AA vs JJ.

Seriously, where do the snap 5 TDs or 49 points come from? The running game? That is the legacy Patriots respect that has the line at 13. And that is why I can't shake this game. I am convinced its a pricing mistake resulting from the same folks buying the NFL's women's apparel. Trendy money pushing the line.

Looks like a good chance for rain at game time. FWIW

Ex Pats Reciever Brandon Lloyd turned down Patriots offer. Belichick hated Lloyd too. But they need receivers. Edelman is gonna be tired catching all those TD passes. Lol

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

Ex Pats Reciever Brandon Lloyd turned down Patriots offer. Belichick hated Lloyd too. But they need receivers. Edelman is gonna be tired catching all those TD passes. Lol

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Word is Lloyd has turned down 6 teams total!

I am playing under 43.5 Pats Jets

Pats lack weapons as do the jets and they have a rookie coming to Foxboro.

The jets line is still not great, rookie QB, bad RBs, their leading WR from last year is out with a concussion.

Pats lost so much in the offseason in Welker, Hernandez, Lloyd and Woodhead. Gromk is doubtful as is Amendola who was Bradys go to guy last week in the clutch. Tompkins, an undrafted rookie FA had 13 targets but only managed 4 catches. Sudfeld who is Gronks fill in caught 0 balls and didn't look good. Vereen had an awesome game and he is out and Ridley is fumbling again. Could see a Blount pounding the ball and a lot of ball control offense.

So with Amendola out they are looking at Ridley/Blount Tompkins/Edelman/Sudfeld and Maybe Boyce or Dobson.

Of course they always have Brady and if he gets in sync they could put up points but with the lack of firepower on both sides under 43.5 I have to play.

All the fish at my local casino were talking about the game, and how much they love the Jets. I think they are both awful, but NE will beat them. I would wait if you like NE I think it will be close to 10 at gametime if the public keeps betting it down. I would consider playing it at -10, but theres a 60% chance of storms. If theres rain I wouldnt touch it. I think Chinas correct the under is probably the best play.

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Originally Posted by ShadyJ

All the fish at my local casino were talking about the game, and how much they love the Jets. I think they are both awful, but NE will beat them. I would wait if you like NE I think it will be close to 10 at gametime if the public keeps betting it down. I would consider playing it at -10, but theres a 60% chance of storms. If theres rain I wouldnt touch it. I think Chinas correct the under is probably the best play.

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The more I think about this game if the weathers fine NE has to win by at least 14. The Jets running backs had 22 carries for 44 yards. Their top receiver although a fuckin soldier hes a tight end and not that good. I think NE will play alot of nickel and dime and keep the rookie in the pocket and say beat us by throwing. Not sure if I will play it yet but Im leaning towards NE and under.

I'm just now starting to look at this weekend's games and these are the first two that stick out to me. I think South Carolina covers easy, but I don't see WV just destroying Georgia State by 40. What do you guys think?

You ask people what makes the Patriots so good and every one will tell you it's Tom Brady, and maybe the coach. The reality is it's Tom Brady and the O-Line. It's the same now as it was back in 06 when they were rolling out Caldwell and Gaffney and still posting 40 point weeks. Brady is still very good and the O-line is still one of if not the best in the NFL. I'm not worried about the WE/TE situation the ball will get there and someone more often then not will catch it.

All that being said - it's the NFL. 12 points are too many. I can't bring myself to take the Jets, but if I had to bet it I'd lean NYJ.

I like the following overs in NCFF action.
Troy Over
Texas Tech Over

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Originally Posted by chinamaniac

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

Ex Pats Reciever Brandon Lloyd turned down Patriots offer. Belichick hated Lloyd too. But they need receivers. Edelman is gonna be tired catching all those TD passes. Lol

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Word is Lloyd has turned down 6 teams total!

I am playing under 43.5 Pats Jets

Pats lack weapons as do the jets and they have a rookie coming to Foxboro.

The jets line is still not great, rookie QB, bad RBs, their leading WR from last year is out with a concussion.

Pats lost so much in the offseason in Welker, Hernandez, Lloyd and Woodhead. Gromk is doubtful as is Amendola who was Bradys go to guy last week in the clutch. Tompkins, an undrafted rookie FA had 13 targets but only managed 4 catches. Sudfeld who is Gronks fill in caught 0 balls and didn't look good. Vereen had an awesome game and he is out and Ridley is fumbling again. Could see a Blount pounding the ball and a lot of ball control offense.

So with Amendola out they are looking at Ridley/Blount Tompkins/Edelman/Sudfeld and Maybe Boyce or Dobson.

Of course they always have Brady and if he gets in sync they could put up points but with the lack of firepower on both sides under 43.5 I have to play.

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Amazing...

PARLAY (2 TEAMS) RR (1P-2T)
09/12/2013 @ 05:25 PM NFL [102] TOTAL u42½-110
(NY JETS vrs NEW ENGLAND)
09/12/2013 @ 05:25 PM NFL [102] NEW ENGLAND -525

Was thinking the same thing