thoughts on north carolina? polls show biden leading there.
if biden takes NC, WI and MI, he can lose PA, FL and OH and would still win.
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thoughts on north carolina? polls show biden leading there.
if biden takes NC, WI and MI, he can lose PA, FL and OH and would still win.
I think Biden is favored in NC, but at this point it's kinda dumb to give opinions. We can just wait 11 hours and find out.Quote:
Originally Posted by blake
predictit seems to be shitting itself already...
am i the only one having this issue?
Yep, it's shitting the bed already. It was also down last night periodically. It's going to get ugly.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
Going in to tonight, let's remember the brave sacrifice Bernie bettors made for us. RIP.
Quote:
Originally Posted by PLOL
Jesus Christ they really did circle the wagons against The Bern when the chips were down.
seeing same price on ACR...Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
looks like we might be up to a 7th tier forum...saw all the montanas 63/64/65/66/67 for the republican get gobbled up...
One of the few markets I've still been trading in today, MoV in Texas. Buying GOP NO at 8%+ is free money and it keeps going over 20 cents. Trump is favored in Texas, but he can't win it by more than 8%. He won't outperform Cruz by 5.5 points.
https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...ction-in-Texas
Edit: Just got more filled at 76 cents (people buying up to 24 cents)
ACR sportsbook is ran by BookmakerQuote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenisseeing same price on ACR...Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
Quote:
Originally Posted by blake
I got boots on the ground in 1.5 states one just so happens to be NC they are saying Biden is toast in NC.
I also have sources in Steubenville Ohio and Weirton WV Local strippers.
Good Luck tonight PLOP
I'll be rooting for you.
Looks like Trump has won Arizona.
Local news station has had about 50,000 exit poll pieces of paper filled out, 50% Republicans, 30% Independent, 20% Democrat in Maricopa county (which Biden has to win), and was about 50/50 in early voting/absentee voting.
https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/s...569714688?s=20
Thanks for the status report. You're a Great AmericanQuote:
Originally Posted by badguy23Quote:
Originally Posted by blake
I got boots on the ground in 1.5 states one just so happens to be NC they are saying Biden is toast in NC.
I also have sources in Steubenville Ohio and Weirton WV Local strippers.
Good Luck tonight PLOP
I'll be rooting for you.
Nobody thinks Biden will win the vote count for today. In person election day voting will heavily favor Trump.Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83
The problem is Democrats had less than a 1% margin in Arizona early voting. So you agree that Trump has won Arizona then right?Quote:
Originally Posted by PLOLNobody thinks Biden will win the vote count for today. In person election day voting will heavily favor Trump.Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83
No lol, I don't agree. I think AZ will be close and we'll find out starting at 9pm. Party Affiliation does not equal Party Identification.Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83The problem is Democrats had less than a 1% margin in Arizona early voting. So you agree that Trump has won Arizona then right?Quote:
Originally Posted by PLOL
Odds starting to move for Trump in NC
Up to -140 in some spots. Probably the most meaningful movement of the day
Trump up in FL, NC, and AZ today on PredictIt. But Biden up 5 cents to win the election. Lol.
As you said the above are quickly going Red it seems.Quote:
Originally Posted by PLOL
PA holding strong for Biden for the time being and at some books starting to improve. If this starts to falter we may be looking at 2016 all over again.
heres what i got so far...
only one im not too happy with is TRUMP YES at 58 in florida...paid a little too much there...
British gambler bets 5 Million dollars on Trump to win the electoral vote.
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=...U3NxviAEJomRFY
Here's another fun data point to watch
Pinellas County, FL
Those are the 2016 results ...obviously
Here's the 2020 data in real-time (they keep updating it)
https://www.votepinellas.com/
Currently as of 1:30PM EST when I am posting this it is basically a mirror of 2016, but you can watch throughout the afternoon to see how in-person voting changes things.
Quote:
Originally Posted by mickeycrimm
I am very suspicious that this is indeed “fake news”. This story could definitely turn out some voters for Trump that feel defeat is inevitable. The timing of it and the source just seems off to me. Interested to see how this is covered following the results.
The New York Post is saying sources told “The Sun” from this bookmaker in the Caribbean. So the post is getting this second hand.
Brother I told you this alreadyQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
If you can't trust a striipper from Club Onyx who the hell can you trust?
I'm doing my part here fellas plz do yours
PA Ohio WV NC I got ppl right in the tick of things. My girls will get the info before any news outlet.
:lol2Quote:
Originally Posted by badguy23Brother I told you this alreadyQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
If you can't trust a striipper from Club Onyx who the hell can you trust?
I'm doing my part here fellas plz do yours
PA Ohio WV NC I got ppl right in the tick of things. My girls will get the info before any news outlet.
aight im with you badguy...lets make some fucking money...
daines (R-MT) is up to -270 on ACR...
now daines up to -285...still can get him at -200 on predicit...
You could make some good money trading Arizona if you could read the market. We had a round trip over the last 5 hours. Went from Biden 55/45 to trump 55/45 back To Biden 55/45.
Biden would now have to win Independents by double digits in AZ to win.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
FL is going to be close.
PA sounds like might not be going great for Trump
im STUNNED that ACR is laying -207 out there for trump in FL...Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83Biden would now have to win Independents by double digits in AZ to win.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
FL is going to be close.
PA sounds like might not be going great for Trump
little less surprised but still made me tilt my head that theyre laying -195 out there for biden in PA...
You need to ask yourself a question.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenisim STUNNED that ACR is laying -207 out there for trump in FL...Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83
little less surprised but still made me tilt my head that theyre laying -195 out there for biden in PA...
Is ACR laying -207 because it’s a mistake?
(HINT: It’s not)
Biden has Allegheny County wrapped we already knew thatQuote:
Originally Posted by abrown83Biden would now have to win Independents by double digits in AZ to win.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
FL is going to be close.
PA sounds like might not be going great for Trump
I got 2 chicks I know from Cheerleaders heading out to Westmorland County then Washington County to get the skinny
I think Trump may be in big trouble in PA
I was pretty shocked today though... When I was out at how many Trump signs were around where I grew up.
I mean I didn't see one Biden sign.
I'm in Allegheny County.
I personally think Trump will do better around Pittsburgh this time. He wont win around here but he will do better
He's gonna choke in Westmorland County or something.
oh i know it's not...i was just surprised that trump was that big of a favorite...Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyYou need to ask yourself a question.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
Is ACR laying -207 because it’s a mistake?
(HINT: It’s not)
FLA down to -203 for trump at ACR...
ARZ has been getting more expensive throughout the morning for trump...going from +105, now sitting at -105...
You can’t really say Florida is “down” to -203 when it was -150 this morning thoughQuote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
Isn't this just more a reflection of where the public is at and ACR trying to keep the money 50/50?Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyYou can’t really say Florida is “down” to -203 when it was -150 this morning thoughQuote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
are you ppl saying shoving dems to win PA @ -190 is a wise financial decision that can’t lose?
agreed...just trying to follow the market movements of the books in real time in case there is an opportunity relative to what you can get on predictit...Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyYou can’t really say Florida is “down” to -203 when it was -150 this morning thoughQuote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
FLA now -195...
but there definitely seem to be some spots where you can take advantage of predictit...right now you can get around $85 in value on the montana senate race...also the maine senate race is mispriced on predictit relative to the books...books have the Dem as a -200 favorite...she's close to -300 on predictit...
im sure they dont want to set a line where a sharp will come in and pound them either...Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83Isn't this just more a reflection of where the public is at and ACR trying to keep the money 50/50?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
Id say shove on this.