Two unders, one soon, one in awhile.
Soon:
Minnesota (Maeda) at Detroit (Mize) - Under 8.5 -110
Later:
Arizona (Clarke) vs. San Francisco (Cueto) - Under 9.5 -115
Printable View
Two unders, one soon, one in awhile.
Soon:
Minnesota (Maeda) at Detroit (Mize) - Under 8.5 -110
Later:
Arizona (Clarke) vs. San Francisco (Cueto) - Under 9.5 -115
M&M looks amazing Druff. Nice.
I professed my love of Maeda even when he was on the Dodgers. That says a lot. I’ve also autobet him all year long.
We do this today in the face of the (near) no-hitter curse. The games following a no-hitter are supposed to be fades. Public loves the recency. The pitcher’s orthopedic surgeon loves the celebrity visit.
Detroit was a classic Druff dog play at near +200. Druff understood Mize vs his numbers. He took a different tact and that is a great bet too.
This looks like stupidity wagering no matter the outcome. I wish I looked more closely and disabled autobet.
Difficult season & a weak mind.
My first week on this thread and my best week in months. This is a good story I swear I’m not flexing. Well, maybe just a little. So my pick was a Rahm. This was a no cut event but he shot 5 over the first day and 1 over the second. If there was a cut he would of been out. I jumped on Rory, who without a doubt the Northern Irishman has cost this Irishman(In name only, I don’t look Irish for shit) more money than any other golfer ( You owe me another grand Rory).
Rory shoots +3 yesterday and Rahm -4. Rahm gets a penalty stroke for forgetting to mark his ball. All of a sudden both are 3 back at +2 for the tourney going into today. Rory shits the bed but Rahm starts strong. All of a sudden my initial horse(who was dead in the water) is making a charge. Rahm posts -4 for the tournament, shooting 10 under over the weekend. Dustin is one back. All I have to do is a fade a 44 footer for him on the last hole and I got my 5 figure score. He nails it from down town. That penalty stroke now is looming large as it is bringing me into a playoff with either a huge score or zip.
Both are on the green in two. Rahm is outside has a 66 footer. He fucking drains it. Dustin misses his 30 footer and I take it. I love this fucking thread.
Yeah 2-0 .... but these were two great great picks.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Thx for the second pick. I didn’t think of either on my own this morning.
Thanks.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarYeah 2-0 .... but these were two great great picks.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Thx for the second pick. I didn’t think of either on my own this morning.
Did you bet both of them?
I have mostly stayed away from Sundays in past years, because of all the stupid things managers do with lineups on that day, plus the large number of day games which also throws things off.
However, this whole season is super-screwy every day,, so Sunday isn't much different anymore. You either join the chaos or stay away..
Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
GambleBot will tell you It was also on Rham this weekend. The last two hours of that tournament were batshit crazy.
Long term takeaway for me.... lot is being made of Morikawa as the new iron player on tour, and deservedly so. People are overlooking Niemann.... hes 3 years younger and this is the second time post Covid he had made a late charge. I bet he binks one at 50-1 odds in the next 6-8 months
Gainwell (Stud RB for Memphis) is out. Line fell past 21 to 19.
I’ll probably still be in Memphis day of, but that’s a big loss.
J Chase our for LSU. Smart move. He would have gone WR1 if he came out last year. No lines to impact but can probably lop off the season win total.
I’m with you San, but I was shopping for straight jackets online after DJ drained the 44 footer to force a playoff. Hopefully it’s still early enough to cancel. Got a great deal. It was Houdini sheik.
Cards (Hudson) +108
Yanks (Cole) 1st 5, -.5 Even
Philly (Howard) -123
Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
Cole shit the bed. Luckily didn’t lay odds on him. Other two look decent early. Checking for something in the night slots.
I’d like to go on the record and say the US books are completely missing the fucking boat on the PGA Championship this weekend.
For those not aware the format they playing is they use a points based formula to adjust the starting score for the amount of points they have won over the past season. So Because DJ is God and world
#1 he starts at -10. Rham and JT start -8. Tony Finau and a bunch of others who just made the top 30 cut start at Par. So if you wanted to take a Dog like Finau, who would normally be +3500 against a full field not you also have to lay 10 strokes. Basically the real price is closer to +35 Million but because there are only 30 runners it somehow is supposed to even out the odds. DJ start the tournament +150...... jump right in boys.
The Euro books are throwing away the starting advantage adjustment and going for normal score - but the US books I can’t seem to find.
Fucking dumb. Someone make me a price on X for the weekend being low scorer.
Jersey Books have the option to bet without the advantage. This is MGM.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDimeJersey Books have the option to bet without the advantage. This is MGM.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Hard to be super duper excited about it - but give me X Man at 11-1
Best I can find you is FanDuel.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Been a Yankees guy for the past few years.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDimeQuote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
Cole shit the bed. Luckily didn’t lay odds on him. Other two look decent early. Checking for something in the night slots.
Cole won 20 straight games. Regression from history making. Meanwhile, that is a 2nd string lineup. 2nd string is a lot better than most but this isn’t what the public imagines when thinking of when considering the Yankees.
It may not happen this year. They are broke and broken.
It’s wide open this year for more reasons than you can count.
I will be honest, I thought tonight he would bring his A game. Far from it. It didn’t matter anyways, because the Yankees didn’t manage to sniff a run in the first 5. Other 2 much better plays.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarBeen a Yankees guy for the past few years.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
Cole won 20 straight games. Regression from history making. Meanwhile, that is a 2nd string lineup. 2nd string is a lot better than most but this isn’t what the public imagines when thinking of when considering the Yankees.
It may not happen this year. They are broke and broken.
It’s wide open this year for more reasons than you can count.
Live bet Padres @ Rockies bottom 2nd over 9 total.
Line was 12 preflop
WAR What is it good for?
Well, top of 3rd Tatis drives in 2 then scores on subsequent play. 3-0 Line now 11.5
Win or lose I can sleep peacefully. Unless, Bruins lose.
Bottom 3rd first batter.. 111mph line drive to Tatis which he jumps to catch. Ridiculous.
WAR. Is Yaz still #1? I hope not
Meant to bet Miami Heat moneyline yesterday but wasn't available. Ugh.
Anyway, here's an under for you:
Dodgers (Urias) vs. Arizona (Alex Young) - Under 8.5 +100
Denver nugs/ Pik em game 7...... /. heavy pre series chalk in gm 7 at pic em....gimme some !
Druff NEVER bets Dodger games. Honestly can’t recall him doing this in 6 years.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
It’s Urias so Druff is trying to do the un-obvious Urias thing. I don’t see it but Druff is running good. AZ has probably quit, so there is that.
We are going to have lol wow look in on you this evening.
So, I just put a nick on Hovland to have the lowest 72 hole score not counting bonus strokes. It’s a long shot play but here is my thinking.
1) I got value. He is anywhere from 28-1 to 33-1 on most books. I got him at 45-1, just an absurd number. Not sure why this book is so much off here but I can’t miss the shot at big balloons.
2) He won an opposite field event. Has not shown the mental game and the scrambling to win a tournament with a super field, but he doesn’t have to win here. I love that he is starting 10 strokes back. No pressure to win and hopefully the kid keeps up that great play tee to green. If he has to scramble a lot there is no shot.
3) Hasn’t payed his best last few weeks. Why the number is so great but I think the kid can bounce back. Greens in regulation will be his key stat.
4) As his first time playing the FedEx Cup Championship he is going to just want to focus on playing well. I don’t think he will worry about winning and making up the ten strokes. Hopefully settles the kid down.
Think he is worth a flyer for a nick to win 23 K.
Kids got talent, I could see it.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
I think X Man is the horse to beat though and at 12-1 that’s a fair offer.
I like the play and am thinking about him as well. Sucks he moved down to 11-1 on FanDuel as well. But X seems to be taking money.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
This Golf shit is getting real Old
If you want some real action that pays the same day there is some Hot Milf action going on as we speak tune into Espn
Kim Clijsters has 3 kids and will win this match.
This could be the sleeper of all sleepers at this years Us Open.
Don't forget Kimmy is the only person to ever beat Serena and Venus in the same tourney ever. She did it twice dont let those big thighs fool you this chick is one of the best ball strikers ever in womens tennis.
Im thinking Jimmy Conors run here
Bad guy, this will never get old for me. If you really want a separate Golf thread we can do that. Or you can put me on ignore. There is a sharpie baseball there as well.Quote:
Originally Posted by badguy23
Im just messing with you bro. Glad you won last week. No need for a seperte thread the more info here the better.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDimeBad guy, this will never get old for me. If you really want a separate Golf thread we can do that. Or you can put me on ignore. There is a sharpie baseball there as well.Quote:
Originally Posted by badguy23
IN & OUT FOR 2 LARGE
Bet $ 133.00 to win $ 1,995.00 (paid $ 2,128.00)Result: Wager Won
Series Winner | Jazz vs Nuggets
Utah Jazz 0 vs Denver Nuggets 108/30/20 07:00 CDTDenver Nuggets +1500
Es niceQuote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
Serious question.
What became of the MLB Salami? Did COVID kill the Salami? Is it offered anywhere?
I’ve only bet it in hockey. I would think with the postponements for a COVID combined with the weather as usual, make it very difficult to make the proper line. I’ll check the Jersey apps in the morning to see if I see it anywhere and let you know.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
The “man on second” extra innings rule spikes scores.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDimeI’ve only bet it in hockey. I would think with the postponements for a COVID combined with the weather as usual, make it very difficult to make the proper line. I’ll check the Jersey apps in the morning to see if I see it anywhere and let you know.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
10 games in 7 days leads a manager to more quickly punt a game and save your relief.
The line doesn’t miss close. It misses HUGE
(I’ve had good luck Live betting overs on games where the dog & non contender is losing by 5 or more. The live total can’t get big enough. This is a permutation of the position player finishing a game on the mound live betting the three outcome prop we did a few years ago.)
Dodgers as we speak fits that description. Let’s see
Chris Taylor is killing me.
I felt Urias would have a strong game, hence the under. He did.
However AZ is pitching badly, and Dodgers up 6-1 after 6.
Taylor has 4 RBI via 2 doubles. Hopefully scoring ends here. Dodgers at home so I gotta fade 2 runs in 2.5 innings.
2 out, 9th, nobody on, 6-1.
Alexander suddenly can't throw strikes.
Walks Calhoun.
Nick Ahmed comes up. Alexander goes 2-1, forces himself to throw one down the middle, and Ahmed crushes it.
Outrageous. I had a run to spare, so that walk was huge.
I’m gonna threaten a Dodger rant if they fuck my run line.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I may bink this all in exquisite fashion. One more run.
We sports fans always remember the last thing that happened in a game and forget all the other equally meaningful plays.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Dodger Team Risp 3 of 15 ..... 12 men were left on 2nd and 3rd
I am reminded of the 1st inning where AZ’s Young threw 34 pitches. The Diamondback announcers were worried for his health and 40 would have been bad. Hanging by a thread. Only one run was scored through some miracle and bases left loaded.
I got lucky as far as Urias was concerned. My handicap faded him. Urias was very good and quite unexpectedly lasted 6 innings. Very un-Urias-like.
I see you went Dodgers -1.5 -130. I considered that one, too. I went with the under. Oh well.
The number of Dodger wins by 2 runs or more this year will make you violently ill if you are not auto betting. I was late.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Stupidity Wagering is available on BOL for Padres
Odds to win World Series
Dodgers +375
Padres +1000
Odds to win the National League
Dodgers +165
Padres +500
Odds to win NL West
Dodgers -1100
Padres +700
Longer odds to win NL than NL West ... stupid
Lest you have been watching Hallmark channel or NBA ..... playoffs will be bubble @ neutral sites.
The Yankees will likely play in Dodger stadium. This is bizarro world. Need to noodle this out.
Honestly the MLB playoff system this year is the most offensive change.
Far worse than the 7 inning doubleheaders or the automatic runner on second in extras.
The fact that the Dodgers -- who will probably finish with better than a .700 record -- will have to win a 3-game series against a sub-.500 team in order to advance is an absolute joke.