looking likely
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looking likely
Not saying shit about shit yet, but I see you over there Simpdog...
Same plan tomorrow?
DK gave me a 50% profit boost to bet round 1 of the PGA today so took Dechamber against Ricky at about even money...
Been watching the coverage because of that and im going to be looking to bet against Ricky tomorrow if I can and also looking to bet against spieth...
The round 2 bets are probably gonna be betting against guys you’re in a group with so that might make it tough...Love Dechamber against Ricky again tomorrow but at -160 I’m really lukewarm at that price..
Leave it to my luck for Cleveland to score big for the first time all season today.
Almost every game they've played this year has been under 6 total. Today they were up 13-0 last I checked.
I squeaked by with Philly, so the 6-6 Baltimore/Miami game will determine it, which to be honest is a crapshoot at this point.
0.7 Seconds
I’m not sure I have what it takes anymore...... brutal.
holy fuck just made a post celebrating 5-0 and went back for one final check and saw the score update...
wow...
well 4-1 aint too fucking bad either...
let's run this shit back tomorrow...
ive opined about the greatness of legalized betting over the last few weeks...about how im getting bet boosts, free bets, and all this shit...
but there is some bullshit to be had with it...ive mentioned it before when i bet my LAD season under pre-COVID...
so ive been betting these hockey unders over the last few days, increase my bet size slightly as they have been winning...
i just went to bet all the unders (except for the CHI/EDM over) and i had all of my bets go through an approval process for a good portion of my bets...again if i am winning on DK, it's sure as fuck ain't by much and i'd be willing to bet that im losing on there and they made me jump through hoops to bet what for them should be a measly $200 per game...
NYI/FLA U (-132) got to bet $148.78 had to get approved for the rest...
NSH/ARZ U (-127) got to bet $143.13 had to get approved for the rest...
PIT/MTL U (-122) got to bet $137.90 had to get approved for the rest...
EDM/CHI O (-155) got to bet $173.96 had to get approved for the rest...
VAN/MIN U (-127) got to bet $85.88 had to get approved for the rest...
they wouldn't budge on letting me bet more than $160 on the PHL/WSH U today...
i get it, hockey isn't probably going to be that liquid...but we're talking about $200/game...these guys are giving 10% profit boosts on live betting baseball every night...50% on the first round of the PGA today...basically $100 free in betting the NBA straight up the first weekend...
i also have trouble live betting NBA games at the end of the first quarter...im capped at around $125 per game during the Q1/Q2 intermission...
i have zero clue on what the fuck is going on...they obviously dont want their markets to get tilted to one side, but again IT'S 200 FUCKING DOLLARS!!! and this only seems to be on DK...haven't had anything like this happen on FD...................yet...
simp the boys in NJ are fuckin scrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrd of you man...
just checked and i did get the entire amount for all the games...
At GA tomorrow morning remind me not to bet NBA. 4-1 on unders and likely 1-0 on NHL. Then 0-1 on NBA bet Lakers without Lebron like a noob didn't know he was out. Also bet baseball with Yankees and icing on the cake Druff took the other side and it actually won.
Tomorrow is same idea. Taking Hawks over and rest under. Hoping for another good day like today.
And don't even get me started on the Leafs. 3 goal leads are the worst in hockey and especially if you're a Leafs fan.
3-0 smooth sailing and they managed to lose 4-3.
why are there ppl still posting in this thread? Sports betting, and sports in general, are dead for good. It’s over. I just focus on high finance now and my general mood has vastly improved as a result.
In the Girl with the Dragon Tattoo or one of the trilogy there was a character that was especially dangerous cause he couldn’t feel pain.
He would have been a great sports bettor.Quote:
He suffers from a bizarre medical condition called "congenital analgesia," which leaves him unable to feel pain.
very outside possibility it's that...but didn't bet anything today until you said it was a lock and load and still got restricted in betting PHL/WSH...
and then i have that restriction on live betting NBA totals between Q1/Q2...that one has me flummoxed...i bet one game today where i got 1/2 a unit down between quarters and then they opened the markets back up maybe like 30-60 game seconds in to the Q2 and i was able to take the same side for another 1/2...
i know FD is a multi-state sports betting organization at this point and im pretty sure DK is too...i get the NHL probably is a really thin market for them, but they shouldn't be sweating the action on a $200 bet...i just can't see their NHL market being THAT small...the NBA thing is the one that makes no sense...that has to be a fairly deep market and for them only wanting to accept $125 in bets when the action is paused has me wondering what the fuck kinda algo they're running...
I lean toward Simp’s take.
The overnight offshore 1P lines are just test lines offered to sharps for small money just to get the price right.
They feel out the price at small $ so they don’t get hurt by being wrong. They hammer the price out with small limits
I am surprised NJ offers anything at all this early. NJ originates their own numbers? That’s kinda shocking.
I do appreciate the story GBCP. It’s interesting.
It sounds stupid but I thought that DK and FD were getting their lines from Europe. Will Hill or the like. I don’t care as it doesn’t affect me but I had that odd idea somehow.
I see a 2 -143 for Chicago which tells ya all you need to know. Simp made that exception to our rule a while ago.
To O.P>
IMO..after reading this Paragraph>>>>
"i just went to bet all the unders (except for the CHI/EDM over) and i had all of my bets go through an approval process for a good portion of my bets...again if i am winning on DK, it's sure as fuck ain't by much and i'd be willing to bet that im losing on there and they made me jump through hoops to bet what for them should be a measly $200 per game...
NYI/FLA U (-132) got to bet $148.78 had to get approved for the rest...
NSH/ARZ U (-127) got to bet $143.13 had to get approved for the rest...
PIT/MTL U (-122) got to bet $137.90 had to get approved for the rest...
EDM/CHI O (-155) got to bet $173.96 had to get approved for the rest...
VAN/MIN U (-127) got to bet $85.88 had to get approved for the rest...
they wouldn't budge on letting me bet more than $160 on the PHL/WSH U today..."
IT is Time tget a New BOOKIE... we can go 1k here. sad.. Them mouse books are pigs don't want to gamble they want to grind you out ..
figured you'd like it, san...i share it because i know it's coming to everybody who reads this thread at some point in the near future...
that overnight theory would make total sense if they weren't restricting me on day of betting and live betting...
good question on where the lines come from...honestly dont know...i will say in the live betting NBA markets DK/FD can be quite different...as much as 1-4 points on totals post Q1...for as calculated as DK is (down to the fucking penny with what i can/can't bet) it wouldn't surprise me if they made their own lines and had their own algos...i honestly dont pay attention to FD that much, i have an affair with her every now and again...i should probably look at that more closely...FD offers a SHITTON more live betting options compared to DK...on FD you can live bet individual NBA player performances on points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks...it's fucking wild shit...
fucking 2 goal totals...fuck these commie bastards!!!
couldnt agree more...the only thing great about living in NJ is that i believe we have 10-11 legal sports books where we can bet...so if i can't get a bet down cause im restricted i always have a shitton of other options to give action to...
i will say this...foxbet (aka pokerstars) has their limits on betting, but those motherfuckers ain't afraid of fucking SHIT...here are a few examples of their overnight limits on NHL/NBA...i usually dont look to bet much there because a good chunk of the time their prices are around $5-10 worse than FD/DK...kinda surprising that their 1P hockey line for that game is on par with DK...i havent looked at their 1P lines in AGES because they were usually like $15-25 worse than DK...might have to start giving them another shot...
1p 21-12 now overall. 21-9 if you’re avoiding hawks (should be taking overs).
Doubling up on Islanders and Leafs unders today. Everyone under and Hawks over for me.
If you want to skip a game, skip Nashville (1-2 under).
If you want to skip a second game, skip Hawks over (3-0 over) just because it's an elimination game maybe they will tighten up.
First periods 2-1 today so far. (2-2 if you doubled on islanders)
Bauer vs Lauer. See, you are already hooked
Regular readers know I love the crazy narcissist Bauer. He’s killing it.
Both teams suck on offense.
Bullpens are for gamblers
1st 5 under 4.5 -110 standard bet
LFG Tellafriend
3 straight walks to load the bases and Gary Sanchez out on 3 pitches.
I find comfort in the familiar things of summer
One time
I am turning over my account to Simpdog. Wait til he posts his numbers.
Here we go Yankees
Fuck. 1-2. Why throw him a ball he can hit. Fuck
I fired like a degen on:
Seattle (Kikuchi) -124 vs. Colorado (Sentazela)
Minny -120 NHL
Run don't walk to bet it.
@badguy...yeah took the hockey one but it all worked out in the end...
In simpdog we trust...
Those fucking GA meetings are gonna be quite sparse going forward...
Just as I type this Austin Matthews scores the winner in OT...there’s some sort of poetic justice in there somewhere...the Canadian helps the Americans and the American helps the Canadians...
LOL
4-2 today if you can paint by numbers.
Tomorrow and Sunday is golf and beer sorry may not be here to hold your hand. GBCP and San must continue the flame.