Originally Posted by
Dan Druff
I watched Chrissy's latest video which Rivers commented on.
I have some thoughts, as well.
First off, 100% Chrissy has been told by strip casinos to not bring around "customers". Look at the three places they visited -- Orleans (southwest of strip) to downtown (Circa -- way north of strip) to Palace Station (north of strip).
What a bizarre selection, requiring a bunch of driving. If they're going to move around that much, why not also visit the strip? Clearly because Chrissy can't anymore. He's probably been threatened with bans if he continues to do so.
I think he likes Circa so much because it's a new property where he's not known yet, so he can bring customers there and can semi-justify why he's not just taking them to dumps like Orleans and Palace Station.
Anyway, this isn't random. Notice he's not taking anyone to Cosmo, Bellagio, Caesars, etc. That's all over, apparently.
Regarding the two guys in the video, I think they were just gullible rubes. I was looking for signs that they were knowingly lying. They seemed to be telling the truth -- or at least close to the truth. Remember, Chrissy's idiotic system will produce some wins. It will also produce some massive losses, and get clobbered fairly quickly. I think these guys legit won. Notice Chrissy had them only play three short sessions. That wasn't an accident. This allows a much higher chance for winning overall (since it's a -EV system, so the longer you play, the more likely you lose overall.)
Regarding the sudden reduction to the $25 starting bet, down from $100 -- I think it could be two things. First, the obvious is that Chrissy is hurting for money, and that's all he can afford. The "let's see if I can show the low rollers they can do it too" excuse is laughable. But second, Chrissy might have finally discovered that a $100 starting Martingale bet greatly increases the chance he and his customers will go bust. A $25 starting bet gives him two extra Martingale bets before going broke, which is huge. It's still a losing system, but it changes the percentage of winning sessions. The $100 base bet results in more bigger winners but more devastating losses. The $25 base bet results in more smaller winners, fewer bigger winners, but also fewer devastating losses.
Of course, the $25 bet totally contradicts everything he said in prior videos about "poor people being afraid to take risks" and "FEAR is your enemy." But maybe he's right. Chrissy is now likely poor, and indeed he's afraid to take risks!