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Krypt, now you personally understand why I mocked Druff’s dreamland of light regulation for years
DMV sports wagering ughhhh. That’s rough.
COVID saved my state from furthering legalized sports wagering. Fuck that. If they IP banned off shore I’d die.
Loved those -118 NFL lines. I suggest you grab a mask, fix yourself a tall Molotov cocktail and take to the streets.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Krypt, now you personally understand why I mocked Druff’s dreamland of light regulation for years
DMV sports wagering ughhhh. That’s rough.
COVID saved my state from furthering legalized sports wagering. Fuck that. If they IP banned off shore I’d die.
Loved those -118 NFL lines. I suggest you grab a mask, fix yourself a tall Molotov cocktail and take to the streets.
Where can I sign up?
Lot of talk Dunham is showing up for the paycheck tonight.....
Under 2.5 getting attention
don't know where to put this, but figured if you read this thread you would appreciate it...
I just have this feeling that something of this ilk was said in the San household...
I don’t ask for prayers when it comes to money because in the end there are things in life that are much more important. that said - if I am am ever going to have nice things Jordan Spieth needs to take it down one time.
i spread enough on him to win between 40-45 to one at every out I have available to me for between 100-250. It’s enough to buy a car and hurricane shutters for the house assuming only half the outs actualy pay up.
One Time. LFG.
gl daly. Spieth @ +750 worth a couple hundo?
It’s not “sharp”. There are legit 8 dudes who can win today.Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
Woody been my horse right after Day 1. Seen him at plus 900 going in to today. Still good value. This is sharp btw. You’re welcome.
BTW Rahm was my first horse so I was way off. He had played very well off layoffs before even winning the race to Dubai after not playing for weeks. FD brought my cap from 2K to 83.80 the jerkoffs. Surprised they let me get the Live Woody bets in but they were best odds.Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDimeWoody been my horse right after Day 1. Seen him at plus 900 going in to today. Still good value. This is sharp btw. You’re welcome.
Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDimeWoody been my horse right after Day 1. Seen him at plus 900 going in to today. Still good value. This is sharp btw. You’re welcome.
So if they ran the end of the tournament 9 times you think he would
Win more than once?
Yes I would have him +650. I like Spieth if he can stay away from the crooked number. Woody is def undervalued with all the big names out there but his game is up there with those guys right now. Driving accuracy is going to be the main stat for both Spieth and Woody today imho.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Quote:
Originally Posted by JeffDimeYes I would have him +650. I like Spieth if he can stay away from the crooked number. Woody is def undervalued with all the big names out there but his game is up there with those guys right now. Driving accuracy is going to be the main stat for both Spieth and Woody today imho.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Baring a miracle my horse is dead - let’s go Woody
JeffDime: Sucks both our horses didn’t fire.
30 or 40 to one shots aren’t supposed to hit every weekend. Both of our guys were chalk or close to it over the weekend. All you can do is get the money in good and hope it works out. Both were +EV.
We move on
Well said. Always takes me a little longer with the golf sweats because they are 3 or 4 days and close to big scores. But your right life goes on.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
sportsbook is letting ppl take THE GOAT as a ML underdog. 3-0 so far
Bet $ 50.00 to win $ 118.50 (paid $ 168.50)Result: Wager Won
NBA 2K20 Live Simulation - Game 6899
15-16 Cavs 46 vs 95-96 Bulls 66 06/12/20 01:50 EDT95-96 Bulls +237
^^won by 20
Bet $ 25.00 to win $ 32.50 (paid $ 57.50)Result: Wager Won
NBA 2K20 Live Simulation - Game 7137
10-11 Mavs 48 vs 92-93 Bulls 53 06/16/20 01:50 EDT92-93 Bulls +130
Bet $ 13.00 to win $ 76.70 (paid $ 89.70)Result: Wager Won
NBA 2K20 Live Simulation - Game 7133
04-05 Spurs 49 vs 03-04 Pistons 57 06/16/20 00:25 EDT03-04 Pistons +200
NBA 2K20 Live Simulation - Game 7137
10-11 Mavs 48 vs 92-93 Bulls 53 06/16/20 01:50 EDT92-93 Bulls +130
Bet $ 95.00 to win $ 133.00 (paid $ 228.00)Result: Wager Won
NBA 2K20 Live Simulation - Game 7189
00-01 Lakers 47 vs 95-96 Bulls 55 06/18/20 01:50 EDT95-96 Bulls +140
fell to 3-1 with THA GOAT 2 nights ago
Bet $ 46.00 to win $ 75.90Result: Wager Lost
NBA 2K20 Live Simulation - Game 7257
00-01 Lakers 61 vs 92-93 Bulls 5406/20/20 01:50 EDT92-93 Bulls +165
so obv increase bet to get $ back last night....
Bet $ 51.00 to win $ 153.00 (paid $ 204.00)Result: Wager Won
NBA 2K20 Live Simulation - Game 7281
86-87 Lakers 55 vs 92-93 Bulls 58 06/21/20 01:50 EDT92-93 Bulls +300
Bet $ 109.10 to win $ 327.30 (paid $ 436.40)Result: Wager Won
NBA 2K20 Live Simulation - Game 7281
86-87 Lakers 55 vs 92-93 Bulls 58 06/21/20 01:50 EDT92-93 Bulls +300
Anyone that had 6/24 wins as they refunded these today. Obviously they waited until there was a deal in place but clearly there wasn’t going to be a 162 game season.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sheesfaced
My go to guy for MMA is buying Poitier -230 with both hands.
MLB: Must play 60 games for action. All the props. That’s never happening. I keep tormenting myself. Still a pass.
I got some sad news
I so much wanted to fade Dodgers 38.5 wins
LA the new home of ‘rona. Couple guys go down and it’s under.
I so much want to throw a peanut at Toronto Blue Jays.
What a crummy year.
I know san has the fucking DTs and lord only knows what the hell is going on with simp but think he might be ok since he has seemed to come to jesus with stock market gambooooooooling...
anyway found this interesting...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WbA--RXKhXQ
premise...lay the over 2.5 goals (buy the under 2.5 goals) on matches where the price is substantially in favor of over 2.5 goals for the game and then sell out as you get the time decay and look to be flat the position by 20' into the game...basically looking to lock in 20-30% profit on initial stake...
I am going to attempt to do a small sample test on this with tomorrow and Thursday's games if I remember to fire up my live betting...not really worried about shit going right because we are expecting it to, more trying to see what happens when shit goes wrong and you get that early goal and you have to bail outta the position...also trying to see how big the decay of the over is in the higher priced over games (inter-Brescia and man city-Liverpool) if there isn't a goal scored quickly...
GA is absolutely empty these days. I don't even show up any more.
Really hope the major leagues start up. Could find some edges, maybe more upsets due to shorter seasons/lack of preparation?
Stock market is going okay for me still off all time highs but chugging along.
Like the content here, will keep an eye on it.
im sure it's gonna be a shitshow...there will be money to be made...Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
first game in the books...
not overly impressed with the pricing that im seeing...the betfair markets that this guy was trading in seemed night and day as far as how dynamic they were compared to my DK live betting...my prices probably moved one time per 5 minutes...was expecting it to be a little more than that...but game 1 is profitable...will do the example calc for it after I finish collecting the data for the other games...
next two in the books...
interesting two games...bologna-Cagliari went exactly how we would want it to go...notice how that price really starts to accelerate in our favor between 15' and 20'...
the inter-Brescia game is very interesting...Ashley young scored at around 4:30 so just as we would have started to take off a little...but notice the price change between 5', 10', and 15'...you get a fucking MASSIVE spike in the over from -250 to -770 at minute 5 and then the bottom just falls out at minute 10 to -530 and then again at minute 15 to -455...they scored a PK at right around the 20 minute mark so that's pretty much all she wrote, but very interesting to see that price action when a goal is scored very early on...
got the data from today's games...scratching my head a little...but will post when I get the chance to do a writeup...
this might work really well in the betting markets like betfair has in europe, but in the live betting markets it seems to be a bit of a dud...
NBA Silver talking about a broadcast delay because no crowd noise and swearing gonna be loud and clear.
There goes in-game wagering if it comes to pass.
Silver, more than any commissioner, understands how how bread is buttered so will be interesting to see how this develops. In-game is the ONLY reason anyone would watch NBA
Dollars are still locked up tight
Everyone wants to hear the players shit talk live, but 98% of people are not prepared for what that shit talk would really be.
It would honestly make this place look like a chapel. It's not a thing you can just bleep as it comes, it's a torrent of sexual preference jokes in a deep sauce of n-words, on its best day.
Anyone see value live Rocket Mortgage golf?
Hubbard +2800?
Edit
Webb Simpson +180 v Ricky Fowler
Need some Blue Jays futures $
Ricky Fowler recovering from terrible blisters from too much practice.
Simpson lips out a 5’ putt to give Sanlmar a loss. Lol, WTF. Got it in good
Fowler falling apart
Same shit Simpson +290 @ hole 8 vs Fowler
Loss
Can you give me a ride to GA Monday, Simp?
Mls soccer
NE
Montreal
Over 1.5 live bet +100 at half.
:failQuote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Pound the under. Aside from the Patriots, it's very tough to win even 2 SBs in a decade in the era of parity. Of the teams that did it, none of them had the highest paid QB in the league the year they won because you need money to pay a supporting cast.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
Mahomes is fantastic but a big part of what he does is create with his feet and as we've seen time and again, those guys get hit and they do not hold up as well as classic pocket passer types. Mahomes was hobbled by his ankle already last year.
If Mahomes plays out that whole contract without restructuring or renegotiating and is actually paid the full headline-grabbing number I'll give you $503M.
Finally, let's not forget, let's NOT forget Dude, they are coached by Andy Reid.
https://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/i...h-fixing-alert
Sorry San going to have to rely on WYNN puts to get your fix.
Obviously a publicity gimmick; only a fool would lock up their money for 12 years for such a bet.Quote:
Originally Posted by Walter SobchakPound the under. Aside from the Patriots, it's very tough to win even 2 SBs in a decade in the era of parity. Of the teams that did it, none of them had the highest paid QB in the league the year they won because you need money to pay a supporting cast.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
Mahomes is fantastic but a big part of what he does is create with his feet and as we've seen time and again, those guys get hit and they do not hold up as well as classic pocket passer types. Mahomes was hobbled by his ankle already last year.
If Mahomes plays out that whole contract without restructuring or renegotiating and is actually paid the full headline-grabbing number I'll give you $503M.
Finally, let's not forget, let's NOT forget Dude, they are coached by Andy Reid.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Walter SobchakPound the under. Aside from the Patriots, it's very tough to win even 2 SBs in a decade in the era of parity. Of the teams that did it, none of them had the highest paid QB in the league the year they won because you need money to pay a supporting cast.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
Mahomes is fantastic but a big part of what he does is create with his feet and as we've seen time and again, those guys get hit and they do not hold up as well as classic pocket passer types. Mahomes was hobbled by his ankle already last year.
If Mahomes plays out that whole contract without restructuring or renegotiating and is actually paid the full headline-grabbing number I'll give you $503M.
Finally, let's not forget, let's NOT forget Dude, they are coached by Andy Reid.
Oooof.
Absolutely positively do NOT pound the under.
Maybe if they gave you 5% interest on the money.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak
Oooof.
Absolutely positively do NOT pound the under.