Kemba is playing on a minutes limit FWIW.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
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Kemba is playing on a minutes limit FWIW.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I got info he was out. Great.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaardKemba is playing on a minutes limit FWIW.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
This one looked like a lock.
151 after 3 quarters. Then 85 (!!) in the 4th.
Plus OT.
Wow
Columbus/Calgary over 5.5 -125
Boston at Cleveland - Under 215.5 (Walker, Garland, Drummond out)
Orlando +6.5 at Miami
Boston starting very shortly
One more.
The fail Knicks' 2-game win streak is about to end.
Utah -9 at New York
BIG EAST TOURNAMENT LUNCH MONEY BET:
this tourney is wiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiide open this year...it wouldn't surprise me if any team outside of DePaul won the thing...
with that being said I really like the price on SETON HALL +400...I have no clue why they are the third favorite to win the thing...they are a bunch of fucking dawgs, old school big east players...as a nova fan I hate fucking playing these guys and am gonna hate watching the NOVA/HALL game that starts in an hour...
myles powell is one of the best players in the nation, tough as shit...one of those kids that can will his team to victory...
an addendum to this...if you like to fire on live dogs, PROVIDENCE at +1000 isn't a terrible bet...they started off like shit, but man have they been good in big east play lately...post February 1 they've beaten 5 top 25 teams to go from waaaaaaaaaaaay out of the tourney to most likely in...
Only 16 points in the final minute of an 8-point game with Boston, fucking my under, making the total 218.
Wow. Thought that was almost a lock given the 8-point difference and the fact that the total of 202 with 1 minute to go meant my 215.5 was safe.
Nope.
:gay
Aannnnnnnd the Jazz had a 20 point lead with 6 min left, let it slip down, were up 13 with the ball with 36 seconds left, and somehow only won by 8.
Including choosing not to hold the ball in their final possession, missing a dumb 3, and letting NY score a trash basket with 1 second left.
I really run as bad as verminaard with this shit.
Seriously guys, I should've gone 3-0 here and instead went 1-2.
Look at how absolutely awful I ran in those two I lost. Both were like a 90%+ favorite to win at the very end. I had to fade 14 points in the final minute in an 8-point game in one, and had to fade a 5-point comeback when my team had the ball in a blowout with 36 seconds left (that one had to be like 99% to win).
:gay
only had 2 penalties in 60 mins +OT? You can’t handicap that.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
North Americans can’t get enough penalties. The NHL has endeavored to keep up. This game was unusual. No penalties = no power plays. Still close Simp. You weren’t wrong.
Preseason MLB and I am officially open for business. The 1000 point swings and day baseball. Lord help us.
There were 11 games today and the books hung double digit totals on 9 of them.
Now they offer live wagering on preseason baseball. You think they have an accurate algorithm for preseason? Impossible son. If you have the time it offers great potential for profit. You got the madness in the big casino currently and I only have 4 screens and half a brain.
February is the worst month in sports. Our long national suffering is behind us. I hope.
Sanlmar what is your approach with preseason baseball?
I find it impossible to handicap because it's so unpredictable regarding who will play, and for how long.
The games are also full of scrubs with zero point zero chance of making MLB teams this year, and I hate to rest my fortunes on their shoulders.
Random thoughtsQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
The best value is the absurdity of the books to offer live wagering. Let’s start there.
The way preflop lines are tethered to live despite a dramatic turn of information.
Certain managers close to game time will tell the local announcers or press exactly what he wants to accomplish that day.
The announcers in certain markets are informed and quite clearly tell you what the pitcher is trying to accomplish.
A veteran is working on his slider. He doesn’t care if it gets hit.
A kid is playing for a spot. He’s serious. Google rotoworld as a start. Scouting reports.
Kid or veteran is laboring but the manager is gonna leave him out there for 2 innings for the work. Live wagering.
Trevor Bauer is on the mound. You know I love the wackjob. He’s signaling his pitch with his glove like he’s in the bullpen. Just being a smartass and a god.
It’s a job. It takes time and sometimes there is no action. But you are also gathering huge info for the start of season when the best MLB money is made
Does anyone have props on Steph Curry up yet?
First game back tonight vs the Raptors.
Maybe value fading GSW?Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Toronto has 3 starters who are legitimately Q and is still a 8.5 pt favorite. The Warriors being bad tonight, even with Curry back, is already built into the line.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffMaybe value fading GSW?Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Maybe warriors 1q +2.5 is a good play then. Figure warriors want to start out strong with Steph back in and maybe raptors don't adjust til later in the game.
Wichita State vs Memphis -2 (-110)
Any NCAAB Matos?
Haven't picked any college games yet today... Not sure on this one at all. They have moved down to 1.5 for meQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I've been looking into spring training as well. I don't have live betting available to me but there has to be some good spots. I read that just going with road dogs vs playoff teams on the run line has been 370-171 from 2013-2018. Maybe combining that with some more insight can lead to big wins. https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/ml...ategy-tip-2019
clippers -1 (-110)
Decided to steer clear of Toronto/GSW entirely.
Only pick today:
Philadelphia at Sac - Under 218.5 (Simmons/Embiid still out, Fox likely to play but has abdominal pain)
Siakim over 6.5 rebounds -155
Curry over 2.5 turnovers -105
I take a one hour break from PFA to replenish fluids and you post your annual NBA pick then?Quote:
Originally Posted by Kryptclippers -1 (-110)
Reminds me of that ATT commercialQuote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
NBA? Feels like only an OK use of you handicapping skills Simpdog.
https://youtu.be/n0wOAEiz5Ss
Thanks for the NHL picks today though. Sweep hopefully
stress and drama free - please clap and show respectQuote:
Originally Posted by Kryptclippers -1 (-110)
Taking Curry under 20.5 pts too is tempting. Any thoughts?Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
He's only playing 24-28 mins.
Edit.
After Q1
Siakim - 2 rebs
Curry - 0 turnovers
Curry - 0 pts
Half
Siakim - 3 rebs
Curry - 1 turnover
Curry - 11 pts
Two picks on the NY game:
OKC at NY - Under 216.5
NY +6
Starting now
Chicago +120 vs. Indiana (+2.5 ok)
New Orleans vs. Miami - Under 232.5
Both starting at 5:05pm PT
Thought you’d enjoy this Druff
Elapsed time 10 min
Mariners 7-3 top 7
tiger not playing in the players next week...
i think we can say his prep/chances at the masters are getting worse and worse...he's actually 14:1 to win which is pretty damn low for tiger, so think the books are even starting to discount how much action they can get on him...
i doubt matchups are gonna be posted already, but I will definitely be firing at any reasonably priced matchups versus tiger...
also Koepka shot 81 at the Arnold palmer today...he's struggled since having a knee procedure done in September...he's another guy to watch going into the masters as a fade...
The underdogs in preseason MLB may be the way to go, given the tendency of both teams to play scrubs. Good job San.
One pick today:
Golden State vs. Philadelphia - Under 220.5 (Curry out, Draymond out, Simmons out, Embiid out)
Not sure how much I like the under there given the line already adjusted down 6 points from the open... 76ers went up 1.5 points to -4 from -2.5
Feel like 76ers should crush this warriors team and think that's where the value is. But it also seems way too obvious which scares me a little.
Alright matos
MOBILE - BASKETBALL - NBA - 571 PHILADELPHIA 76ERS -1 -115 FOR 1ST QUARTER W
I luckboxed that Oklahoma TCU game. Last second shot to win. That was the first time they led I think.
Line adjusted because Curry was declared out.Quote:
Originally Posted by matos
IDKQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
1 degen total over 10 +148
Top of 8th 6 runs and bases left loaded. Scrub pitchers late so mom can see them on tv.
Let’s go with a little Leishman over Hatton -120 in round 4.
I’ll help seed the thread too
1:40p
GOLF - FED-EX 500 ROUND 4 - 7401 MARC LEISHMAN -117 FOR GAME W
Blind tail
4:00p
839 CONNECTICUT -6½ -105 FOR GAME L
4:30p
844 MICHIGAN STATE -6½ -110 FOR GAME W
7:00p
846 IOWA/ILLINOIS UNDER 148 -105 FOR GAME
Lol Pelicans Thunder 247 total
22-8 under games 240 or more? I just can’t.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
JFC - looked decent early but the last 15 minutes have been aids.
We did it San