hit 53, my face is red with embarrassment.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Printable View
hit 53, my face is red with embarrassment.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Just being a contrary fuck with self destructive tendencies
Live betting window open
Ticket Number: 285777518
Accepted: 12/21/2014 8:30:45 PM
Description: Tablet - FOOTBALL - 129 Seattle Seahawks/Arizona Cardinals over 36½ -113 for GAME
Type Risk To Win
Total $125.00 $111.00
Ticket Number: 285776944
Accepted: 12/21/2014 8:26:57 PM
Description: Tablet - FOOTBALL - 130 Arizona Cardinals +½ 125 for 2ND QUARTER
Type Risk To Win
Spread $100.00 $125.00
As expected, went 2-1, and none of them were close.
Surprisingly Miami crushed Boston despite lacking both Wade and Bosh.
Now 41-33-3.
Seahawks -4.5 -109 live bet. Still tiny nothing big on this snoozer.
Would be nice if Seattle could get a bit closer (or not get within FG range). 2 missed fgs could hurt a bit later in the game.
I'd much rather back up their 3rd string QB with a punt inside their 10.
OK seriously no more fg attempts > 30 yds at this point.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Hauschka is normally automatic from everywhere so this is quite surprising.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdogOK seriously no more fg attempts > 30 yds at this point.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Unless Steven Hauschka is impersonating a Lions kicker I don't know wtf is up with him tonight. Maybe he bet the under???
Seems insane to take a team -9.5 pts on the road.
Kept the bets small, but I'll take it.
Small?Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
With my patented system I am up $14.50
Nice. Didn't you have 2 bets?
Edit: can't lie. Only $11
Two small bets don't add up to a big. Didn't have the guts.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarSmall?Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
With my patented system I am up $14.50
Nice. Didn't you have 2 bets?
When does your system come out?
Actually added another $100 right before kickoff. I don't think it was the smartest move especially with -9, but whateva. It's not like im betting with G's or anything.
I had a good feeling...but I need to stop playing with feelings, and learn to bet the right way.
Slow roll mofo.Quote:
Originally Posted by GordmanActually added another $100 right before kickoff. I don't think it was the smartest move especially with -9, but whateva. It's not like im betting with G's or anything.
I had a good feeling...but I need to stop playing with feelings, and learn to bet the right way.
I actually netted $11 Gotta stop shooting off on quarter bets. WOT
Picks for today. I'm currently in a 6-7 malaise, but winning at a 55% clip overall.
San Antonio +1.5 -115 vs. Clippers: San Antonio has lost 4 straight for the first time in 3 years. The Clippers have won 3 of 4. However, I like SA here for various reasons. The Spurs played Dallas tough on Saturday, leading much of the way but eventually losing by 6, despite no Ginobli, Duncan, Parker, or Leonard! They get back Ginobli and Duncan today, who were simply rested on Saturday after playing in back-to-back triple OT games. The Clippers have looked inconsistent in their last 6 games. They lost to Washington and Milwaukee, beat Detroit easily, then barely beat Indiana, lost to Denver, and barely beat Milwaukee. So other than their contest against terrible Detroit, they have not had a decisive win during that span, including versus various inferior teams. I like getting points with SA at home, even without Parker and Leonard. If the Clippers barely beat the Bucks while at home, I think they will have trouble with the Spurs in San Antonio. Look for the Spurs' streak to end tonight.
Sacramento +11.5 -105 at Golden State: Cousins is back, so why are the Kings such a huge dog here? They're playing back-to-back, and they're facing the 22-3 Warriors. Even more, the Warriors are finally getting back David Lee. But did they really miss Lee? Seems like they did great without him, and integrating a long-injured player back into the offense often throws teams off -- especially if they were rolling just fine in his absence. I think Sacramento will play them tough enough to keep the score closer than 12 points, and even if they don't, these games often fall under 12 during trash time anyway. This isn't a +11.5 on New York, Detroit, Philly, or Minnesota. This is Sacramento, a team which is actually fairly capable with Cousins in the lineup.
Unbelievably, even though I am taking the "sharp" side of both games, once again Bovada favors the other side.
WTF
Not betting either of these now.
Well I actually misread the Bovada line on SA, as that was actually equivalent to Vegas.
Sacramento's line was +11.5 -115 instead of -105, but Vegas has changed and now -110 (and is even worse than Bovada on several online books, including 5Dimes), so I placed that as well.
Both 805 to win 700.
I'm dipping my toes into the Druff NBA "tout" scheme. Note also that Green and Splitter did not play in that Dallas game, so the Spurs hung with the Mavs with their "reserve" eight. Druff what do you think of the over 202 (line at the Greek) for the SAS/LAC game?
On Friday, I bet the under 47.5 on the DEN/CINCY NFL game (PINNACLE) - that line is now 47 at many places offshore and Vegas. I think the Broncos will try to run the ball and chew up the clock and I have no confidence in Andy Dalton doing anything against one of the top defenses in the league.
I'm betting the whole Denver Passsing offense complex under tonight. They are still priced as though Peyton is going to throw for 300+
I have no opinion on the 202 line for the SAS/LAC game. San Antonio has been very inconsistent with whether they play high or low scoring games, so I stopped betting on O/U with them.Quote:
Originally Posted by blueodum
If you're betting the dogs, why not wait until closer to gametime? You will definitely gain some juice and possibly another 0.5 or even 1.0 pt.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff