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Hopefully Tellafriend didn't fire this in time.Quote:
Originally Posted by 4BET
In for nickel each, Same line you have on bothQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Washington is tired. Back to back on the road and they had OT last night.
On the downside, Cleveland is terrible and Washington has been playing a bit better this week.
Seems like a good enough reason to fire the betsQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffHopefully Tellafriend didn't fire this in time.Quote:
Originally Posted by 4BET
Washington is tired. Back to back on the road and they had OT last night.
On the downside, Cleveland is terrible and Washington has been playing a bit better this week.
This 2nd was the opposite of the 2nd quarter of my two bets yesterday.
Washington won it and there were 76 points. Ugh.
Hopefully Washington fades in the 2nd half because of fatigue. Hard to believe they can play with intensity for the entire game when back-to-back on the road AND just off OT.
Yes bad 2nd, I think only hope is Cleveland can come back and cover for 1-1 on the day but looks like that will be a tall taskQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
The sad thing is that I was considering making my second pick the Lakers over and forgoing the Cleveland -2.5, but I decided I didn't trust crappy Brooklyn to score that many points, and I felt uneasy about that pick. So I went and fired Cleveland -2.5 which I also liked, but that's likely losing. I'll be happy for us to get out of this 1-1. Lakers game as 70 points already.
You say Lakers?
I know nothing about lazy 4thQ and load mgmt but this seemed a layup against a notoriously slow starting Nets
1Q overs look like a thing based on what I read here. Must explore. Lakers/Nets were 73. Stupid numbers
Cavs getting owned.
Time to root against all scoring and squeak by with the under for a split.
Well, it's time for a tweak to my strategy. Will start implementing tomorrow.
Been too inconsistent lately, and I think I see some flaws in what I've been doing.
This drove away the greatest totals bettor of all time
I’m here if ya wanna talk about variance Druff
Zzzzzzzz
I heard about that goldsberry diagram, but forgot to look for to...
Thanks for posting, San...that is just staggering...
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Can't blame me now. Back to Verm.
on the strength of joe rogans endorsement, my 22c predictit bernie 4 pres investment has shown a profit for the first time. which says an awful lot about the types of people on predictit.
I remember people talking about octagons and the reference mystified me. Zoom in on the picture. You can really lose yourself down that rabbit hole but there are just so many hours in the day.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
I understand the general trends. I don’t know how they fix the game from an entertainment standpoint. Don’t really care anymore
RIP the midrange.
Chuck it or stuff it.
I actually am going to mine the 1Q trends. Funny how those early game derivatives have been profitable opportunities across all sports
If you boys want to get your parlay fix going
Sweet Karolína Plíšková Is playing tonight at 7est shes -340ish she wont lose!!! If you don't want to lay the juice Parlay the fck out of her LOL
Fck Russia
I am seeing -370, Man just don't think I can fire on tennis, Looks like I am on my own today, No Basketball picks posted, No hockey games. Celtics + 2 1/2 over OrlandoQuote:
Originally Posted by badguy23
Toronto at New York - Over 218
Atlanta +8 at OKC
Miami +115 vs. Clippers (+2 ok)
Miami/Clippers - Under 219.5
Miami has Dragic out, Clippers has George out
Edit: Fixed two lines (one better, one worse) because they changed as I was posting
I’m on the same side as Druff but I had to take +3.5 1stQ from a while ago
GL gentlemen
Go figure Boston getting blown out of the building by a trash Orlando team, This is why I need other peoples picks to keep from going busted
The problem is they're missing Tatum, Brown, and KantnerQuote:
Originally Posted by 4BET
I had no idea, Never looked#Fish. At least Orlando likes to lose, So always hopeQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffThe problem is they're missing Tatum, Brown, and KantnerQuote:
Originally Posted by 4BET
I think you're going to get this one. Orlando is a weird team. Sometimes they are decent, sometimes they're horrible. Today they looked good and suddenly they're collapsing.Quote:
Originally Posted by 4BETI had no idea, Never looked#Fish. At least Orlando likes to lose, So always hopeQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Our 1H on the Toronto over is on pace for 218, after a bad 1st and a good 2nd. Toss up at this point. At least the game is close. I considered Toronto -8.5, then backed off at the last minute, then was thrilled I did (they started off down 14), and now I kinda wish I had it, because the Knicks are shitting the bed as usual. I just want the game to stay close for our over's sake.
Atlanta hung with OKC for the first quarter, but is starting to slip. Still early though.
good pick on ATL, san...
got a shit line so that fucking paul 3 pushed me...
That was retarded. Half second leftQuote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
However, if you like schadenfreude (and who doesn’t) I’m gonna ship it back on my Sweet Karolína anchored parlay
She’s gassed.
Hopefully I catch a beating from badguy for losing the faith
I’d like that
Three of my four bets are too close to call right now. The only bad one of the bunch was the Miami under, which strangely enough, I liked the best of the four. That one is almost surely losing (128 points after 1H).
Right now, Toronto is lined at 221.5 live, Atlanta +5.5 (though they're down by 1, which is good), and Miami -1.5. All three are shading on the winning side, but all three could easily lose, too.
Maybe things can break my way and go 3-1. A man can dream.
Good 1Q with Atlanta, San. Maybe I will start looking at those, too. You might be onto something. There are games like this one where the sharps are expecting the worse team to be able to hang, but I always feel leery betting them, because of the inevitable second half beatdown by the better team. It seems in games like this, the bad team hangs decently for the first quarter, before collapsing. It's rare where the reverse occurs, where the bad team starts off horribly and then comes back.
Looks like 3 of your picks will be down to the wire, Heat going under will need a hurricane to win. Edit both teams look flat to start 3q maybe a shot at the under stillQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffI think you're going to get this one. Orlando is a weird team. Sometimes they are decent, sometimes they're horrible. Today they looked good and suddenly they're collapsing.Quote:
Originally Posted by 4BET
Our 1H on the Toronto over is on pace for 218, after a bad 1st and a good 2nd. Toss up at this point. At least the game is close. I considered Toronto -8.5, then backed off at the last minute, then was thrilled I did (they started off down 14), and now I kinda wish I had it, because the Knicks are shitting the bed as usual. I just want the game to stay close for our over's sake.
Atlanta hung with OKC for the first quarter, but is starting to slip. Still early though.
Nice lock up win tor/ny over, Which was right on pace either way whole game
Badguy bailed and hit the Russian up.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
You want to talk about a great live betting match that was won in s8 sets. The Russians run tennis!! No doubt in my mind!!
Its Halep or bust now
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WvAeWtyZ-uE
GBCP
That PointsBet data is god.
Thx
So I know it’s all hockey and tennis now but the “big game” is taking in moneybat a 10-1 clip on the over 54.5.
Still holing the line on the total as only 25% of the $$ has been bet at this point, but it sure seems to me that Vegas is very comfortable with over money at this point.
It helped I had Purdue linked to the czech but I bailed hard at +570 then again at +270 in 2nd set I was rooting for the Russian hard in the tie breaker.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
At one point they had the Czech at -745 down a break. I give it up to the Russian the 2nd game of the match took like 18 mins and she lost it. That girl is in better shape then she looks.
Your pics suck as badly as your grammar. You are nearly as bad as verm. You owe me another $200.Quote:
Originally Posted by badguy23Badguy bailed and hit the Russian up.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
You want to talk about a great live betting match that was won in s8 sets. The Russians run tennis!! No doubt in my mind!!
Its Halep or bust now
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WvAeWtyZ-uE
LOL I seen you in here after I picked it. You r the jinx!! Show us some more pics of all your casino chips please!!Quote:
Originally Posted by TellafriendYour pics suck as badly as your grammar. You are nearly as bad as verm. You owe me another $200.Quote:
Originally Posted by badguy23
You aint a gambler your a wanna be
I think Tellafriend bet my pick boston +2 1/2 but will never admit it
Seriously you are a fraud. Stick w impersonating pimps.Quote:
Originally Posted by badguy23LOL I seen you in here after I picked it. You r the jinx!! Show us some more pics of all your casino chips please!!Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
You aint a gambler your a wanna be
What a collapse by the Heat and Hawks.
Looks like it's gonna be 1-3
Yea but he parlayed it with my pickQuote:
Originally Posted by 4BET
HAELPPPPPPPPP!!!!!!!!!Quote:
Originally Posted by TellafriendSeriously you are a fraud. Stick w impersonating pimps.Quote:
Originally Posted by badguy23
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KGRoEfRJSGs
Miami only lost by 5. Too bad they let themselves fall 18 behind after being tied in the late 3rd. They were much better than the Clippers in the 4th, but it didn't matter.
:fail
I took them live at a pick'em -112 in the 3rd.. I Tellatubbied you. If I knew you bet that I would of took the Clippers for the max. LOLQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Sorry about my grammar four all thes years.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y5qKNlcUwKs