Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Routine 131mph serves stillQuote:
Originally Posted by rollinx420
Love the hurry up offense, must admit .... so American. FML
a lot of the stuff u say just flies right over my head, not gonna lie
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarRoutine 131mph serves stillQuote:
Originally Posted by rollinx420
Love the hurry up offense, must admit .... so American. FML
a lot of the stuff u say just flies right over my head, not gonna lie
Opelka rushes his serve. He doesn’t do a little dance and fuck around when serving. . Alluding to NFL offenseQuote:
Originally Posted by rollinx420Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
a lot of the stuff u say just flies right over my head, not gonna lie
I’m kinda stressed... losing my shit little by little.
I’ll log off after this.
Sanlmar is God... straight sets victory for me at +390
Tellafriend binks his Lojovik San Fran parlay and my conscience is clear. He maybe hit +250 on that.. sweet prince
I hear Federer is smoking Marlboro Reds to get ready for his match. They could shut this thing off any time. Not a good spot.
Hit 'em both with little sweat.
:yes
Nice picks except you posted first one to late so I missed itQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Really the big take away for me is BOL is getting into the screw the squares game. Sportsbook and Bovada it’s nothing new.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarI’m going to embrace this as more than something you saw on a message board. I know you.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I may be the ostrich with its head in the sand.
I will always treasure this photo. It was Kershaw headed to mound versus Nationals. One of the greatest sports events of my life.
Assholes. I’ve seen it since too.
You offer a bet with a stated maximum and you flat out don’t accept it. They didn’t freeze the line for everyone.
I’ve experienced that many times since. It’s new to me this year. I’ve been hoping this isn’t the beginning of nonsense.
Thanks for the anecdote. I try to stay off message boards and remain pure of mind but maybe I need to plug in.
I guess I can’t really blame them. I can’t imagine having 550,000/500,000 of action on KC -3, All pre paid cash up front. Shit they even paying the processing fees for me to hold the $$. Can hold it as a bet knowing you got a ton of +EV. Can find a shop to give you KC -1.... can arb the hell out of it.
Who has the best defense in the NFL? 49ers
Who has the best offense in the NFL? 49ers
What team is more likely to fuck up? Chiefs
There will be fumbles, turnovers and mistakes committed by the Chiefs.
The last two games the Chiefs have played well.
That comes to an end in the Super Bowl.
49ers will stop Mahomes and destroy the Chiefs.
49ers and over 53.5 points.
What is the saying?
Defense wins championships.
49ers will be Super Bowl Champions.
https://i.pinimg.com/236x/15/f1/95/1...orts-memes.jpg
Yeah Bovada is just so dirty with their tactics.
They have their square lines where any square over or favorite is one notch worse. Then they put the sharp bettors on regular lines so they can't take advantage.
And now they review any bet over $50 for anyone remotely sharp, and take a minute to do it so they can fuck you and accept it if the line got better for you in that minute.
And their live betting... oy vey.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Mucho gracias mi amigo. Good call. Have to be honest, was not happy with the bet after initial start yesterday. I wanted the suspension to equal a cancel. Glad it went the way it did, made over a dime. I will remember you in my will.
The most important person in the NFL is the QB. The Chiefs have the best one in the league. Mahomes has never lost an NFL game by more than 7 points (he’s 27-7 overall btw). No one is “destroying” anyone. Mahomes alone will keep the Chiefs in it. I think this is a 31-27 game either wayQuote:
Originally Posted by TheXFactor
So I bet tsonga last night, hedged live in 2nd set. Pushed the live bet and lost on tsonga. Aids
I know you were a Yastremska guy, Krypt. I’m leaning Woz vs the Yaz recency.
8:15p
YASTREMSKA, DAYANA VS WOZNIACKI, CAROLINE +145
I’m ready to move on to the next chapter in my life," Wozniacki, 29 "Australian Open 2020 is going to be my last tournament."
She just got married to some ex nBA guy.
She’s gonna leave it all out there. She gives a shit.
I think her numbers are better than Yaz and we have value.
Talk to me
They still have to catch the ball.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
The speed that the 49ers are playing will also be a factor.
They are play very fast. I doubt the Chiefs will be able to adjust.
49ers have a clear advantage.
https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/15612...f1c6f0753e3d15
This is has got to be the darkest time of the sports wagering year. Just grim
NHL is about to take a break. Dead of winter and you gotta be up at 2am to wager smoky tennis on the other side of the planet.
I feel like some ancient who prayed to his god for spring not fully sure that it would come because even he knew there were no locks.
No picks from druff or simpdog so I had to go it alone Bruins - 1 1/2 @+155
I do love super bowl props. Every year I put way too much time into the anthem prop but it’s paid off.
Right now the time is 2:03:50 -150 to the over +135 to the Under - so two minutes three and a half seconds.
Demi has sung the anthem publicly four times.
So the first three at 1:50ish - all outside non recorded. The fourth and most recent was indoors at the Floyd McGreggor fight. Timed at a lengthy 2:11. So clearly the bettors are taking the big moment into account allong with the most recent version.
I have a slightly different spin, not without risk. If you pull up and watch the latest version she had to pause on four different occasions for 3-5 seconds. She “had to” do this because the crowd was going fucking bonkers for her rendition and obviously they were a super hot crowd in an indoor arena. The super bowl is going to be outdoors and the accompanying music is almost always recorded. There is almost always a flyover. In short they have it timed down to the second because 15 seconds = 2-3 Million dollars in advertising time. They simply don’t fuck around with the schedule.
I think this year there is value on the under. She won’t be able to pause/stop for long stretches in the middle on the rendition and she shouldn’t have too. “Dead time” isn’t something I can ever recall any other anthem having a lot of.
I’m waiting to see if people continue to pile into the over and we start to see some 2:06 or higher.
You must be drunk. SF got torched by Atlanta. KC’s offense is better. SF gave up 46 to NO. KC is better. To think anyone can shut down this healthy KC juggernaut when Reid has two weeks to prepare is asinine at best. The Chiefs o27 and game o54 are the prudent bets. Those could both happen and SF win, don’t get me wrong.Quote:
Originally Posted by TheXFactorThey still have to catch the ball.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
The speed that the 49ers are playing will also be a factor.
They are play very fast. I doubt the Chiefs will be able to adjust.
49ers have a clear advantage.
https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/15612...f1c6f0753e3d15
Penguins -135 moneyline
Young hotshot with the cool name, Sinner, vs the guy who snuffed Shapo. Except we all know Shapo defeated himself cause he’s a Candadian mental defective (5¢ head) thus, the Fucsovics recency is mistaken.
This is really how my mind works. Lol.
9pm match. If Simps bet looks ready to cash maybe you fire.
Sf has a better defense than both of those squads so comparisons don’t work. Not saying result is wrong. My fear is sf not being able to keep up but that will only be necessary if their defense fails them. TBD.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22You must be drunk. SF got torched by Atlanta. KC’s offense is better. SF gave up 46 to NO. KC is better. To think anyone can shut down this healthy KC juggernaut when Reid has two weeks to prepare is asinine at best. The Chiefs o27 and game o54 are the prudent bets. Those could both happen and SF win, don’t get me wrong.Quote:
Originally Posted by TheXFactor
So I say SF DEFENSE gave up 46 to Saints and Chiefs offense is better. Your rebuttable is that SF has a better defense than NO?Quote:
Originally Posted by TellafriendSf has a better defense than both of those squads so comparisons don’t work. Not saying result is wrong. My fear is sf not being able to keep up but that will only be necessary if their defense fails them. TBD.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
They weren’t as healthy then. Surely you would agree.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22So I say SF DEFENSE gave up 46 to Saints and Chiefs offense is better. Your rebuttable is that SF has a better defense than NO?Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
Starting at 5:35 PT
Clippers at Dallas - Over 232
Porzingis is coming back after an absence. You might want to consider this, as sometimes this wreaks havoc upon handicapping.
This is also the "public" side.
Boy I run bad.
I pick this over, and there's 3 points in the first 4 minutes, on 1-for-17 shooting.
Amazing.
I don't think I've ever given up on a total 4 minutes into the game, but this might be it.
I tailed.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I was about to ask. I'm assuming you didn't tail the last 3, all of which won.Quote:
Originally Posted by TellafriendI tailed.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Actually it's picked up a bit. 17 points in the past 2.5 minutes, so while it's behind pace by a lot, it's no longer shut out of winning.
Precisely.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffI was about to ask. I'm assuming you didn't tail the last 3, all of which won.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
Well they scored 45 points in the final 8 minutes of the quarter. That would've been great if they didn't score 3 in the first 4 minutes.
Anyway, it's no longer the fiasco it appeared to be. Live betting has it at 220, which isn't good for us, but not unwinnable.
My Monday morning:
Still have a chance over 232, I just fired on over 113 2nd halfQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
what a first set comeback by wozniacki…think she was down 2 breaks in the first set and rallied to win 7-5...
if I know my man, san, he got some of that sweet sweet +320 action live...
Dallas has to get back into the game or this is fucked. If the Clips turn it into a blowout, it will kill the possible 4th quarter fouling and frantic scoring in the final minutes.Quote:
Originally Posted by 4BETStill have a chance over 232, I just fired on over 113 2nd halfQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I’m about the swings and locking in guaranteed $.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
So I parlayed Ash Barty & Woz preflop for +170. Little extra .30 bump
I pocket
+.70 Woz wins
or
+1.70 Yaz wins
My life as a nit. Homeruns are for baseball
never underestimate the 'give a shit' factor or the '5 cent head' factor...
atta boy san!!! thanks for the eventual risk free profit...
:to
That’s about as good as sports gets. Down 1-5Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
I had no idea who would prevail.
Nice preflop pick it was
cirstea was like +140 in the late 2nd set....dont know jack shit about womens tennis so didn't feel comfortable firing on it...
was gonna go on the theory that betting against a child (even as talented of a one as coco is) can't be that bad of a bet...
Too late for me to jump inQuote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
No feel
coco is gonna be interesting to watch in the next 5 years...she hits one helluva hard ball for a chick who's only 15...Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarToo late for me to jump inQuote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
No feel