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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Druff - there is an expression in the car business. If you sell ten cars and don’t take a loss you are not buying enough cars.
Booking a loss here and there is part of the game. Anyone who says different is full of shit.
Penguins -1.5 +115
Tampa over 6 -120
Bonus pick
Carolina -210. -1.5 is tempting but I'm going with the ML here. Juice doesn't matter if you win.
Nothing interesting in the tennis slate tonight, but if you want some action then Yastremska at +145 isn’t the worst bet. Ash Barty is unequivocally a fraud.
Starting soon:
Philadelphia vs Chicago - Under 213.5 (213 ok)
Rublev tonight (early morning) is chalky parlay material.Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
All the chalky favorites are there. Your boy Wawrinka, Shapo, TsTsifly parlay parlay
I was staring at +750 Serena to win AO early this morning. I put it in my shopping cart around noon on BOL and was cruising the aisles for more treats. When I went to checkout it was then +500. I was so tilted but took it. It’s +400 now.
Get to work on your quarters. I gotta do that now.
Some off beat picks
RAMOS-VINOLAS, ALBERT -167
LAJOVIC, DUSAN +127
you haven’t renewed your subscription Simp but we’ve decided to waive your direct access fee.
Did you lose the password?
to all the UFC guys here...
got an odds boost on connor at +100...I know jack shit about UFC, but guessing it's a no brainer...
Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
wtf is an odds boost?
legalized books in NJ will have bets where you can bet $25 max and they'll juice up the odds...Quote:
Originally Posted by rollinx420Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
wtf is an odds boost?
so for this connor is -330, but you can bet $25 at +100...for the national championship game the line on Monday during the day was LSU -5.5 at -110...they let you take LSU -5.5 at +150...
never gonna get rich off this shit, but they offer probably 1 good one per week on average...ive made about 5-6 of these bets in the last few months and haven't lost yet...end of the day they buy you a couple of ny strips every week...
Mcgregor is pretty damn close to a LOCK; Cerrone just happy to be there and collect a paycheck
I said it two weeks ago at +130 r. Pennington. Now +105. I’m balls deep.
pennington is a good bet imo, but how will she beat Holm? Holm is washed and has a glass jaw
Also was heavy on grasso who didn’t make weight.
Ufc thread bet?Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
1-2. Carolina loss with big juice.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Time to hang up the skates for the weekend. Seeya Monday
Easily won the Philly under after the 0-4 brutality yesterday.
Split the two simp NHL picks I bet, so I'm fine with that.
I should have not went with the bonus pick like Druff.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdogI should have not went with the bonus pick like Druff.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
threw a huge dagger into both my parlays, $1500 swing on that ducks overtime goal
bored and watching a rerun of the PGA golf from today to see who was playing well...
then I got the idea to check in on the early masters odds...
now this pick is for change you might find in the cupholder in your car...a few bucks change you might get from your morning coffee...aka the opposite of a simpdog collection of hockey picks...
VIKTOR HOVLAND +7000...kid was the USAm champ in 2018 has a shitton of fucking game...played 2 majors last year...finished low Am at the masters (T32) and low Am at the US Open (T12)...I think he might still be a little too green to win at augusta just yet and maybe this price is a little steep, but I think you could do worse for a long-shot sweat bet for the masters...
augusta is it's own beast, so him getting 4 rounds of competitive golf in there last year definitely will flatten out his learning curve going into his 2nd start...
EDIT: actually the price is probably ok...forgot to take into account this is around an 80 person field, with like 10 old farts who have literally no shot...
Chicago -7.5 vs Cleveland
Starting soon
What would you do if you were responsible for half this action?
Win Super Bowl
Titans 20 to win 1000
Titans 10 to win 600
GB 10 to win 200
KC 10 to win 100
KC 142 to win 994
KC 50 to win 200
KC to win AFC
294 to win 1000
100 to win 200
Todays bets tn v. kc
Titans +7 even 300 to win 300
Titans +265 100 to win 265
Titans +7.5 -115 172 to win 150
Roanoc v Albot +320 @8:15p AO Tennis. Giving it half a unit of Simps profit.
Huge sharp action today on Albot. Down from +375 even as late as this early morning. Roanoc has had some injury issues and Albot has looked really good of late. So we missed the top but we have a sort of confirmation and that has value I guess we pay for.
I posted my other AO thoughts previously and won’t bore you with a rehash. More interested in Krypt and badguy.
NFL.. I just have Titans +7.5 & +280. I faded Pats taking the points and ML and fired repeatedly. I’ll show mine if you show yours, lol. So yeah, I’m filled with Vrabel and Henry recency but who can handicap this stuff? It’s small and really just action. GL GL
When the public is on the Dog esp in big playoff matchups I’m always Leary. Titans +7 looks too good to be true.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Based on today's bets, you obviously don't care about hedging. So just ride it outQuote:
Originally Posted by Goodpoop
Quote:
Originally Posted by SPIT thisBased on today's bets, you obviously don't care about hedging. So just ride it outQuote:
Originally Posted by Goodpoop
It wasn’t really today but a few days ago. I’m sure they will be calling for more today. Wonder what I should hold and send. Still looks pretty bad.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
i swear every time i follow you, which isn't often, i lose.
Aight Krypt, I’m getting pissed.
I took this couple days ago
Lanovic v Kyle Edmunds 9pm
It is now +127 —> +171. Kyle Edmunds is a slow witted player who didn’t look good against big ol’ Isner. Kid needs to only play grass or clay.
You have, no doubt, recognized my brand as ridiculing stupid sharps when they disagree with me and I use sharps to confirm my handicap. Give me credit for not blind following them.
In this instance, the sharps are the dumb money. Feel free to unload.
I’m officially annoyed now. Why do I have to correct all these mistakes?
Can’t think about tennis san, only the nfl matters rn
Big decisions. You’ll be fine.Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
You still in the wealth management game or did you sprout a conscience post puberty?
wealth mgmt is obv a scam (knew that going in); I work at a SaaS co now
The ad budgets tell ya all you gotta know. It’s prolly like DK/PointsBet ads in NJ.Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
I’m close to losing my shit with those endless commercials. Insulting, pseudo-nerd culture stupidity. One of us gotta take a swipe one of these days in a post. You prolly got some stories.
Honestly cheerleaders should be forced to wear their usual outfits even in arctic temps. WTF is the point of having cheerleaders if they’re all bundled up?
They used to shoot them up with Toradol pregame in the old days.Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
Gone soft and not in the right places.
albot is all the way down to +275 in the great dumpster that is NJ...will be joining you in the live betting streets if we can get to +300 or better...
on lajovic...let's get this party started boys...
I got over 51 for my liver In the chiefs game its time to be a real gambler Need that tennis money
I think this stays under 65 what they have live
:to
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x5RlSaI4hrQ
Don't plain on getting any KFC by J Searles house tonight.
It's party time.
Free Cookies for everyone!!!Quote:
Originally Posted by badguy23
At least verminaard isn't betting on my picks. Then I'd be .000.Quote:
Originally Posted by TellafriendQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
i swear every time i follow you, which isn't often, i lose.
But thanks for explaining why this lost, and why the miracle comeback in the 4th didn't quite go far enough.
Indiana -1 at Denver -- Milsap out
Bovada is an outlier right now, you can get it at +1 -115 if you want (or +0 -110 if you have "sharp" stuck to your account)