san you in for PHL tonight at -159 on the road for the first 10 minute goal?
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san you in for PHL tonight at -159 on the road for the first 10 minute goal?
As someone who does DK just for shits n giggles at a very small level (usually only 1 or 2 entries in large field $0.25 or $1 entries) I'd agree the NFL ones are straight lotto. I do best at NBA, although with very chalk lineups that frequently min cash. Nonetheless, I'm still "ahead" overall, but not any significant amount.
I do like when DK changed the rules limiting "high-volume" players to $3 and over entries. Allows us minnows to swim freely.
That reality show couple were dolts tho. I'm sure there's plenty of colluding going on, but literally the LAST person you want to collude with is someone living in your house. lulz.
In my mind, I’m supposed to.
There have been many matchups on the road that didn’t bode well but they hit. This game opened with a 5.5 total overnight. Yeah, it’s 6 now. That’s still not swell if you’re a pessimist.
Professionally, it’s an autobet but I haven’t pushed the button. That number will be there til puck drop. It’d be great if Simp gave a quick take. Would he take the 1P over just to frame it more easily. (We are talking about 1st 10 scoring, Simp tbc) Simp did point out the Philly goalie is trash. Blues are pretty good on defense, imo.
In tennis, I still have qualifying matches that were pushed back from yesterday. Not happy. I got a 9 piece parlay with 3 legs to go. I need to focus on a live hedge if things look bad to preserve my equity. So, I got enough to sweat.
I’m just not filled with warmth about Australia as a venue right now. Tennis players can so easily pack it in. You gotta be careful about how your book regards mid match “injuries” or “no shows”. The woman player who gakked mid match. Some books will push and some will lose. Wagering is tough enough. Some were arguing the whole tourney should be cancelled. Just sayin.
Shapo just might take the whole tournament. Easy power. He didn’t lose his shit but once cause it’s his pal across the net. Kid is a mental case but so gifted.
They had a tie break. Lol, what a call. Zero profit cause I’m a nit
Kyrgios and his back problems coupled with his whole love/hate relationship with Australia. Today he’s the darling with his pledge of $200 per ace.
People talked about how Shapo and Pospisil both quit social media and their games improved. It’s about distractions and I worry about Kyrgios.
Ramble
Two under today. Beware as they are under 210, which is a risk these days in this league, and my record on those in 2019-20 is poor.
Still....
Charlotte at Denver - Under 209.5
Orlando at Lakers - Under 210
didn't want to post this cause I don't know jack shit about tennis...
watching isner/Edmonds first set and threw down on over 10.5 games in the 2nd set at -125...
test run for the aussie...
shapo seems to have ol' ugo overmatched with his serve...
but -275 for a guy with a 5 cent head is a little much...
EDIT: take the nickel guy at -162 to win the first set down 5-4...
I passed on Shapo.
I have one more leg on a nine piece chalky parlay with some flips. Tennis, NBA, NCAAB
Ruusuvuori v Mena
It’s a qualifying match. Should be a layup. But of course his match was delayed by the fire. Shoulda been yesterday. Then it was supposed to be 8:30p and it’s been delayed and delayed and delayed. Still waiting.
I got the Vaseline ready
Thank you Simp. I didn’t have to make any decisions today
you were right san...
leave it to the guy with the 5 cent head to double fault at set point...
don't have the stomach for betting on guys like this...
Why am I laying in bed refreshing a Denis Shapovolav tennis match? You guys have made me sick, lol
I was able to get over 9.5 games at -150 for the second set when it was 30-0 ugo in the 4th game...
just don't see ol' ugo breaking shapro…
of course mr 5 cent head could fuck that all up...
couldn't resist took shapo at +163 down 3-2...
double faults to lose both sets...
impressive...
glad to break even while learning a huge lesson...
so fucking sick...mertens choked on a big dick in that match...
Capitals -1.5 -125
More to come, but get this in early.
Bruins -120
Tampa -150
Anaheim +170
Buffalo +175
LA/Florida under 6 +100
Can I get an amen on Penguins Bruins over 6, Simp?
Yastremska +123 ML @ 7:30 pm EST
Starting soon:
New York +115 vs. Phoenix
New York / Phoenix - Over 226.5
Two more:
Milwaukee -11 vs. Boston
Orlando at Clippers - Under 215.5
My favorite two simp picks of the day were Washington and Anaheim, so that's who I fired on.
I see Washington is up 1-0.
gogogo
Glad I had simp's 2 bets to soften this terrible day.
0-3 headed into the Clippers under which was close.
29 seconds left, 214 points, and the Clippers up by 24 have the ball. Do they hold it? No, they shoot a 3-pointer and hit it. Final total 217.
0-4.
This is the reverse of the over I lost where both teams held the ball with a similar amount of time left, but that one was even worse because the team behind had a full clock and chose to hold it, which is usually only done by either the winning team or if there's only a few seconds left.
What also sucks is that all 4 picks had a chance. Milwaukee was up by more than 11 for almost all of the game, then collapsed at the end. The Knicks jumped out to like a 10-point lead before getting blown out. The over on that game was on pace to cover for some of the game, and then came fairly close at the end.
:fail
Great job simp. Killing it in hockey again.
You've become a PFA treasure... at least during hockey season.
Simp's doing God's work this time of year.
This thread isn't for trolling.
It's especially not for trolling the owner of the site.
If you have an actual issue with any picks I post, and want to post criticism, that's fine. However, if you're going to mock me when I have a bad day, or if you're going to red-rep-troll me here, I will both kick you from the thread and turn off your rep.
This is aimed at one habitual troll who is best known for welching on a bet. I have no issue with anyone else. This will be my one warning about the matter.