*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

so you lose to troy on homecoming, almost lose to a fucking shit syracuse team at home, and go into starkvegas and get rolled like you never have in the history of the matchup all the while looking like you have zero fucking clue on offense and you're only a 2.5 point dog on the road against a good defensive team...does not compute at all...

this week's line that smells like absolute dogshit is LSU (+2.5) @ Florida...

EDIT: and your fucking defense which has been the staple of the program in recent history even when the offense has been terrible has been fucking soft as shit too...

I put an opening posistion on Miami -3. Started to tell everyone what a winner it is. 90% of the people think it's an easy winner.

Just bought out of 80% of it.

HAMMERED BOISE ST -7.5 AND ON FENCE ABOUT FLORIDA -2.5

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Originally Posted by Daly

Winds in Purdue 20-30 MPH 90% .....under 47

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I was just there a month ago. If the wind is coming from the west, that giant wall of booths is on the west side of the stadium. The wind may not affect the field that much, but I always like these types of analysis.

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Originally Posted by Daly

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Originally Posted by Daly

Hang onto it for now. You may catch +3 later in the week.

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Forget about 3, +3.5 now available.

Maybe you got a winner here.

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Nope. Good call. Glad I dropped my action by about 40%.

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Originally Posted by Tellafriend

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Originally Posted by Daly

Forget about 3, +3.5 now available.

Maybe you got a winner here.

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Nope. Good call. Glad I dropped my action by about 40%.

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Hey sometimes it's a losses you don't take

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Originally Posted by DRK Star

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Originally Posted by Daly

Winds in Purdue 20-30 MPH 90% .....under 47

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I was just there a month ago. If the wind is coming from the west, that giant wall of booths is on the west side of the stadium. The wind may not affect the field that much, but I always like these types of analysis.

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I don't care what direction the wind is coming from when volatility in the air of 20 to 23 miles an hour is going to wreck havoc with the passing game

For all I know these two teams will break out the triple option and score 80 but I'm going with it

So.... Miami is getting 80% of the $$ but FSU just moved -2.5? I smell a rat

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Originally Posted by Daly

So.... Miami is getting 80% of the $$ but FSU just moved -2.5? I smell a rat

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Definitely seems fishy. Worse, IMO, is the Florida line moving from -6.5 to -2 this week. What do you make of that?

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Originally Posted by Tellafriend

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Originally Posted by Daly

So.... Miami is getting 80% of the $$ but FSU just moved -2.5? I smell a rat

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Definitely seems fishy. Worse, IMO, is the Florida line moving from -6.5 to -2 this week. What do you make of that?

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You really enjoy betting on sports huh Tellafriend?

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Originally Posted by big dick

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Originally Posted by Tellafriend

Definitely seems fishy. Worse, IMO, is the Florida line moving from -6.5 to -2 this week. What do you make of that?

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You really enjoy betting on sports huh Tellafriend?

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I'm really just a degen at heart. Will gamble on most anything. Have my whole life. Then i chose a profession where i do it daily. Makes me uneasy when i'm not in action of some sort. I'm not bragging, mind you, just being candid. If i could go back and change it all, i would.

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Originally Posted by Tellafriend

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Originally Posted by big dick

You really enjoy betting on sports huh Tellafriend?

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I'm really just a degen at heart. Will gamble on most anything. Have my whole life. Then i chose a profession where i do it daily. Makes me uneasy when i'm not in action of some sort. I'm not bragging, mind you, just being candid. If i could go back and change it all, i would.

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Trader?

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Originally Posted by Tellafriend

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Originally Posted by Daly

So.... Miami is getting 80% of the $$ but FSU just moved -2.5? I smell a rat

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Definitely seems fishy. Worse, IMO, is the Florida line moving from -6.5 to -2 this week. What do you make of that?

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look at my post on this game on the last page...

you find me one good reason that LSU should be a less than TD dog in this game based on their performance in the last 3 games...it makes ZERO fucking sense...its not like one side of the ball (for them, it would be their D) is playing outta their mind so you could maybe justify them being a slight dog...

I'm seeing 2 right now as well...probably gonna wait and fire tomorrow if I see the line start to creep towards 3...Its not gonna surprise me in the least if LSU gets fucking rolled and ill definitely live with it, but though the first 4-5 weeks this line is the one that I think has fucking stunk the most...add in the fact that the line has been in freefall and its almost like the books are begging you to take florida at this point...

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Originally Posted by Tellafriend

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Originally Posted by Daly

So.... Miami is getting 80% of the $$ but FSU just moved -2.5? I smell a rat

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Definitely seems fishy. Worse, IMO, is the Florida line moving from -6.5 to -2 this week. What do you make of that?

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I think people are putting money on talent and Troy being a fluke. If you are a 5 star prospect you go to Bama. If Bama doesn't have a spot for you most people go to LSU next. That LSU roster is loaded with talent.

Not sure I'd put my money on them, but this is my best guess.

75% of the $$ is on Memphis tonight.

I'm waiting until 6:58 and going to fire on UConn and hope the line gets to 17.

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Originally Posted by Daly

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Originally Posted by Tellafriend

Definitely seems fishy. Worse, IMO, is the Florida line moving from -6.5 to -2 this week. What do you make of that?

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I think people are putting money on talent and Troy being a fluke. If you are a 5 star prospect you go to Bama. If Bama doesn't have a spot for you most people go to LSU next. That LSU roster is loaded with talent.

Not sure I'd put my money on them, but this is my best guess.

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I don't think you can say troy was a fluke at this point...they got slammed by Mississippi state and the cuse game was shit too...this is three straight weeks of playing like garbage...they may have talent, but they are sure not playing like they have it...again to keep harping on it, their D has been shit...offense I can at least explain...when they were highly ranked under les I think you could say that most years their offense was at best average, but their D was top notch...this year their D is LOL bad and soft...37 against MSU, 26 against Syracuse, 24 against troy? a great LSU D wouldn't have allowed those last 2 teams to score more than 10 points...

the only explanation would be derrius guice playing in this game...he played against mississipi state (did nothing), played little against Syracuse, and didn't play last week...nobody is fournette, but he was at least supposed to be a reasonable facsimile as a replacement this year...

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Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis

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Originally Posted by Daly

I think people are putting money on talent and Troy being a fluke. If you are a 5 star prospect you go to Bama. If Bama doesn't have a spot for you most people go to LSU next. That LSU roster is loaded with talent.

Not sure I'd put my money on them, but this is my best guess.

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I don't think you can say troy was a fluke at this point...they got slammed by Mississippi state and the cuse game was shit too...this is three straight weeks of playing like garbage...they may have talent, but they are sure not playing like they have it...again to keep harping on it, their D has been shit...offense I can at least explain...when they were highly ranked under les I think you could say that most years their offense was at best average, but their D was top notch...this year their D is LOL bad and soft...37 against MSU, 26 against Syracuse, 24 against troy? a great LSU D wouldn't have allowed those last 2 teams to score more than 10 points...

the only explanation would be derrius guice playing in this game...he played against mississipi state (did nothing), played little against Syracuse, and didn't play last week...nobody is fournette, but he was at least supposed to be a reasonable facsimile as a replacement this year...

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I'm not telling you to bet LSU. I'm doing my best to explain why I think the line dropped in this instance. I won't be anywhere near this game.

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Originally Posted by Daly

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Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis

I don't think you can say troy was a fluke at this point...they got slammed by Mississippi state and the cuse game was shit too...this is three straight weeks of playing like garbage...they may have talent, but they are sure not playing like they have it...again to keep harping on it, their D has been shit...offense I can at least explain...when they were highly ranked under les I think you could say that most years their offense was at best average, but their D was top notch...this year their D is LOL bad and soft...37 against MSU, 26 against Syracuse, 24 against troy? a great LSU D wouldn't have allowed those last 2 teams to score more than 10 points...

the only explanation would be derrius guice playing in this game...he played against mississipi state (did nothing), played little against Syracuse, and didn't play last week...nobody is fournette, but he was at least supposed to be a reasonable facsimile as a replacement this year...

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I'm not telling you to bet LSU. I'm doing my best to explain why I think the line dropped in this instance. I won't be anywhere near this game.

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I feel ya...lived down there for a couple years when I was a kid and LSU was the only game in town (LOL saints at that time) so it's frustrating as fuck to see them in a freefall like this...wish they woulda backed up the brinks truck for jimbo...probably wouldn't have left FSU, but as nice of a guy as coach O is, don't know if he's the answer...

SIR Daly- Any Idea how much money is on the nationals and cubs moneyline? I see public on nats a bit but would love to know how much is wagered total on each team.

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Originally Posted by big dick

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Originally Posted by Tellafriend

I'm really just a degen at heart. Will gamble on most anything. Have my whole life. Then i chose a profession where i do it daily. Makes me uneasy when i'm not in action of some sort. I'm not bragging, mind you, just being candid. If i could go back and change it all, i would.

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Trader?

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Trial lawyer.