Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I don’t shit talk you much Simp but you defied me
this “1st inning YES” has been an insane streak of purity and goodness
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I don’t shit talk you much Simp but you defied me
this “1st inning YES” has been an insane streak of purity and goodness
My nationals series bet could help.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I don’t shit talk you much Simp but you defied me
this “1st inning YES” has been an insane streak of purity and goodness
SweetQuote:
Originally Posted by simpdogMy nationals series bet could help.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I don’t shit talk you much Simp but you defied me
this “1st inning YES” has been an insane streak of purity and goodness
I bet a Soto future to win the HR title. Pretty good odds. No regrets. Great bet.
Kid is other-worldly & clutch .... on the big stage
Kid won the NL title but couldn’t buy a drink that night.
Great game. Corbin losing would be front page
I am naked and afraid. No hedge...., yet
Whole series hinges on inning 6 on here. If Scherzer comes back out and survives you can have my money. HOF
Scherzer done. 112 in 5 huge pitch countQuote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarSweetQuote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
I bet a Soto future to win the HR title. Pretty good odds. No regrets. Great bet.
Kid is other-worldly & clutch .... on the big stage
Kid won the NL title but couldn’t buy a drink that night.
Great game. Corbin losing would be front page
I am naked and afraid. No hedge...., yet
Whole series hinges on inning 6 on here. If Scherzer comes back out and survives you can have my money. HOF
Still lots of time for Astros. Cole should be able to pitch 7 or 8.
It has been 1000 pitches since Cole was last pitching from behind.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdogScherzer done. 112 in 5 huge pitch countQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Still lots of time for Astros. Cole should be able to pitch 7 or 8.
Great trivia
OkayQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
1-0 start.
So far, so good.
Josh Gordon done for the year. Makes sense why they went out to get Sanu
Still favorites for Superbowl....but would be nice to have 2 big threats.
Guys, you have to tail these picks. My picks have a 100% success record in the 2019-20 NBA season.
Absolute truth.
Boston at Philadelphia - Over 215
Denver at Portland - Under 217.5
Boston starting soon
D Smith Jr Under 12.5 points but has to be at a “must play” book, not “must start”
Looks like I'm going to take my first loss of the NBA season on the Boston over. Celtics can't score. 5 points through the first 5:30 of the 3rd ain't gonna cut it.
I really like the Portland under through, so maybe I'll at least get a split tonight.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
2 points
just how big is that Nantucket house that you're buying off these 1st inning YES bets, san?
It’s the most amazing thing. Have you seen anyone talking about this streak in the press or twitter? Somebody must have picked up on it.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
On the other hand, I have 3 units of Astros futures that return 8. In other words I have Astros at an average +265
I never hedged. I never hedged during a Series where Mattress Mack gifted everyone with stupid National odds - I said no thanks.
Mattress Mack got down around $8m on the Astros across the country I heard. That has treated guys like Simp with the gift of skewed Nats odds. The books were begging for Nats action to balance. Simp took it.
I got the first inning and the game total over live tonight but almost nothing will erase my feeling of being fucking stupid.
I am so annoyed
so in summary:
san is going to have to settle for gold toilets in his mansion instead of platinum...
:to
When everyone and their brother is calling a World Series in 4-5 games ....take the other side
Washington has 2 amazing pitchers who can match the Astros (if not 3).
That being said after tonight I may need to hedge some. I am reckless moreso than Knish (Sanlmar) but it
may be time to take the money and run.
Gonna respond to you publicly GBCP. Druff’s server might have a dead man’s timeout so it’s a public service.
No I don’t have 2P’s. My observation is that I can instantly do better after the puck drops live vs preflop on 1P & 2P’s anyway.
However, that is work. I recognize I am procrastinating about NHL. My therapist believes I am subconsciously avoiding the stress I was experiencing especially toward the end of last season.
I am a hybrid Kelly Criterion disciple. (There’s an app for that). Amongst the rules you bet a percentage of your bankroll. I have separate (ledger) bankrolls for each sport. So hockey bet sizing got larger and larger as we won more and more. I started to really get freaked.
Then I had Bruins and Blues futures and they met in the Stanley Cup. The only futures I bet. I was sharing with Simp the choices all along. Exhausting.
I watch most games on ESPN+. I have not renewed the subscription. It’s 2pm on a dead sports night and I am still procrastinating about handicapping NHL
I am also verklempt about this Nationals thing. It’s not the outcome. It’s not that the Nats are winning. It’s the fact that I missed one of the historically fucked up lines in wagering history. The Mattress Mack thing obv.
For ex: Strasburg was no fucking way +170 to Verlander. But there it was. The futures liability demanded it. Handicapping had nothing to do with it.
I am a damaged human.
aight we're gonna try this again boys...seemingly good prices here...all 1Ps...
SJ/MON O -141
LAK/STL O -121
ANA/DAL U -152
FLA/CGY U -108
and since im a glutton for punishment, im going for one 2P because the juice isn't too bad...
MIN/NSH O -175
FWIW
NBA - 529 MILWAUKEE BUCKS -103 FOR GAME W
NBA - 531 LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS PK -112 FOR GAME
NBA - 532 LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS/GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS UNDER 227 -105 FOR GAME
NCAA - 103 SMU -13˝ -108 FOR GAME
NHL - 2 BUFFALO SABRES/NEW YORK RANGERS UNDER 1˝ +128 FOR 1ST PERIOD L
Detroit vs. Atlanta - Under 222
Was considering opposing San and going with Clippers over, but the line has been bet up to 227.5, and I'm still feeling out the Clippers' defense, so I will skip this one.
So I found myself limited to $50 on the Atl/Det under 222 bet on Bovada.
:what
Either something funny was going on with that game, or I've been limited in NBA spread/totals betting, which would be insane.
It is true that I've run well on Bovada with my NBA bets and run very poorly on 5Dimes, with Betonline being kind of a middle ground. So on 5Dimes I look like a huge sportsbetting fish (RIP Tony), and Bovada I probably look way better than I am.
I'm 2-1 in this young season, and none of those bets were on Bovada. Maybe they banned me in the offseason?
Bovada customer service was useless. They claimed there are "no restrictions" on my betting limits, which is totally false. My props have been restricted for 3 years.
Got a supervisor.
When I asked for my NBA limits, they gave me some nonsense answer about how it's market area determined (which is false).
Supervisor checked with "the sportsbetting team" who told her, "He was told of his limits in 2016", and that was it. That's not true. All they told me in 2016 was that my props were degraded to $25 max. Besides, up until this season, my NBA limits of $500 were fine.
She denied there was a way to speak to someone above her, which is also false (I've done it tons of times before). Claimed that I was just "confused" when I claimed to have spoken to upper managers in the past.
Hung up on her and gave up.
I guess I'll get the truth tomorrow if I try to place another NBA bet there.
BTW I had to accept an inferior 221.5 line on BOL because I couldn't make the Bovada 222 bet, and the game is super close (totals wise).
Right now it's projected to finish at 222.
If this screws me, I'm gonna be so pissed.
You took that down pretty easilyQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Tailed ya
Speaking of dead sports book owners.... Didn’t Calvin Ayre sink a majority of his fortune into Bitcoin Cash a year or two ago?
He was a nutty evangelist for that format for some reason.
That had to leave a stain
Appreciate your Bovada trip report. Good luck.
this is better...2 unit getback after the 1.6 unit loss the last time I posted...Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
will see what we have for tomorrow...
Some basketball futures I forgot to post earlier. Paid A LOT of juice on some of them. Whatever, it is what it is.
That Charlotte come from behind win game 1 could come back to haunt me. Also, WTF is going on with Butler?
[253908] TOTAL u24˝-130
(CLE CAVALIERS RSW vrs CLE CAVALIERS RSW) (CLEVELAND CAVALIERS - REGULAR SEASON WINS)
[253912] TOTAL u48-140
(GS WARRIORS RSW vrs GS WARRIORS RSW) (GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS - REGULAR SEASON WINS)
[253913] TOTAL o54˝-115
(HOU ROCKETS RSW vrs HOU ROCKETS RSW) (HOUSTON ROCKETS - REGULAR SEASON WINS)
[253928] TOTAL u27-115
(WAS WIZARDS RSW vrs WAS WIZARDS RSW) (WASHINGTON WIZARDS - REGULAR SEASON WINS)
[253930] TOTAL u24-165
(CHA HORNETS RSW vrs CHA HORNETS RSW) (CHARLOTTE HORNETS - REGULAR SEASON WINS)
[253938] TOTAL u27˝-115
(MEM GRIZZLIES RSW vrs MEM GRIZZLIES RSW) (MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES - REGULAR SEASON WINS)
[253939] TOTAL o43-165
(MIA HEAT RSW vrs MIA HEAT RSW) (MIAMI HEAT - REGULAR SEASON WINS)
[253944] TOTAL u28-175
(NY KNICKS RSW vrs NY KNICKS RSW) (NEW YORK KNICKS - REGULAR SEASON WINS)
[253954] TOTAL u45˝-115
(SA SPURS RSW vrs SA SPURS RSW) (SAN ANTONIO SPURS - REGULAR SEASON WINS)
Trump always comes out ahead, take the stros
NHL 1Ps:
COL/VGK O -134
SJ/TOR O -155
Signs of the Stupidity Wagering Apocolypse
GBCP hits 4 of 5 with a methodology and crickets.
Later.
Ate at Chef Andres Restaurant in Vegas. Best steak ever.Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
I'll have to try this place next time I'm there.Quote:
Originally Posted by OSA
I'll skip the stairwell blow jobs by other dudes for dessert, though.
In NBA, I'm 3-0 in unders and 0-1 in overs. No spread picks yet.
Let's change that.
NY at Brooklyn - OVER 229.5
Phoenix at Denver - OVER 220 (219.5 -112 at Betonline right now, as I write this)
Update on Bovada:
Yes, the fuckers demoted me to $50 on spread/totals bets. Unbelievable.
However, it's not a full demotion. Anything more than that gets put through a brief "approval" process where they decide whether to take it or not.
Yesterday my $550 to win $500 on Detroit under was rejected.
Today, my $275 to win $250 on NY over was accepted.
I think the difference is that overs are assumed by Bovada to be public, and unders sharp, so I'm guessing they will be more willing to accept my over action, which is stupid, but that's my theory at the moment.
The whole thing is stupid though. They must really think highly of my abilities to be restricting my straight NBA betting. I only wish I were really that good. What idiots.
lost some juice...all good...Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
Die hard Leafs fan.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenislost some juice...all good...Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
Defense sucks and have a lot of scoring but they seem to start slow quite a bit.
Astros Nats under 8.5
yeah was kinda hoping that the sharks would be able to draw it outta them in the first...Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdogDie hard Leafs fan.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
Defense sucks and have a lot of scoring but they seem to start slow quite a bit.
was able to get down on the over VGK/COL 2P live and hedge it out for a free 1/2 unit so not too bad...
this shit is fucking crack cocaine...
don't worry daly, im still processing CFB in the back of my mind...
Rut roh.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Rut roh indeed.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaardRut roh.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Let's just say I'm mad at myself because I misread some numbers which caused me to pick Phoenix over, when in reality, had I read everything properly, I would have either skipped it or gone Phoenix under.
I don't regret the other pick. Just scoring died at the end of the 4th from bad shooting.
Laughably even OT isn't saving me with the Phoenix pick (which just occurred), where it will still surely lose unless we see 2OT.
Just came back from the Nets Knicks game where there were 15 traveling calls combined and Knicks couldnt hit a free throw in the 4th quarter. What a shitshow of a game.
Up 3 with thr ball and 1:20 left and still lose? Ugh, gonna be a loooong season.
Tell me about it. If even some of that shit didn't happen, I'd have won that over pick.Quote:
Originally Posted by OSA
The Knicks are again honestly one of the most fail organizations in sports in the 2000s, if you look at what they've spent versus what they had to show for it.