Trump now leading in CNN poll 48-45
Tied in CBS 46-46.
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Trump now leading in CNN poll 48-45
Tied in CBS 46-46.
Overall national polls don't mean shit. There are 5 States in play and that's all that really matters. But from that I saw that they were statistically tied in a majority of them.Quote:
Originally Posted by NaturalBornHustler
This is the first time where Trump has taken lead in a polls like CNN/CBS, and it represents huge bounce. That is why it is significant.Quote:
Originally Posted by 4DragonsOverall national polls don't mean shit. There are 5 States in play and that's all that really matters. But from that I saw that they were statistically tied in a majority of them.Quote:
Originally Posted by NaturalBornHustler
And he's up at least a point or two in every single poll that has data post July 20th according to RCP and their average.
Are the rest of you still thinking that Hilldawg is going to win in a landslide? This whole Bernie fallout and what may happen as result, plus claimed nuclear bomb leaks from Assange yet to come could very easily lead to a negative, post convention bounce for the cunt. Every single democrat I know is furious. The 18-35 vote is gone for her essentially, and you're a fool if you think the blacks are going to turn out and vote for her anywhere close to like they did for Obama. I'm loving this because it's waking people up to the Libertarian party.
I have spent a decent amount of time in 5 different states throughout the primary process and seriously didn't come across a single Hillary supporter or see a single bumper sticker, yard sign etc. until just two weeks ago, and it was an old white lady with a Hillary "I'm with her" sign in her back window of a Honda hybrid who appeared to be wearing a pant suit - no lie. She has to be the least popular candidate ever. Obama had support all across Texas even that I personally witnessed. He even got a few of my white guilt friends. Trump might end up crushing her, especially if he handles the debates well.
Nate Silver now has Trump as the FAVORITE to win the election. And there are more e-mails to come. It's gonna be Trump in a landslide and Libs everywhere can feel this seismic shift taking place.
It's not the Muslim killing people it's the Constitution, s fault. We need more Sharia less Constitution.Quote:
Originally Posted by MintjewlipsQuote:
Originally Posted by TheXFactor
LOL
libtards just can't come to the realization that Trump not only is going to get the "angry white vote", but millions of "minority" votes as well. Not to mention disgruntled Bernie voters.
The "only angry white guys are voting for trump" narrative is and has been pushed by not only the MSM, but both Bernie and Hillary. Just goes to show how naive libtards can be. Just because Trump rallies aren't attend by a significant amount of minorities doesn't mean that there aren't a huge amount of disenfranchised sections of minorities that will vote Trump.
Trump isn't going to win with just angry white guys, if he wins he is going to need some minorities to vote for him.
The strategy is clear for Trump, convince people he's the lesser of two evils, which he is going to do with precision. While she harps on how he called a woman fat, he will simply remind people who put the crooked in crooked Hillary.
It's not the ever growing despair and welfare lines it's about the bathrooms.
In Europe it's not the colonization by Muslims there. I mean immigration.
It's the lack of tolerance of the non Sharia adherent Europeans. Not the Muslims..
It's not about school choice but raising taxes for an education monopoly.
It's not the govt pensions but the private workers who don't work hard enough or long enough and should contribute more.
Brexit is not about freedom but there just isolationist that don't want to join the collective. How rude of them. The E.u is becoming a modern fuedel system!!
Libtards are absolutely insane..
It's not that trump is the best person for the job at hand. It's all about ideological purity I guess..
I think more jobs at higher wages cures all(most) ills the fairest most efficient way.
That would put the DEMS out of business,
Psychos taking over the Democtatic Party? Did you even watch the GOP convention?Quote:
Originally Posted by 4DragonsWinning the election has no bearing on how evil the democratic party is. That is just a statement on how the psychos have taken over the asylum.Quote:
Originally Posted by JayjamiAnyone here want to put their money where their mouth is? I take Clinton, you take Trump, $1000. Escrow with Druff. (Sound of crickets chirping)
Which might explain the subject of this Fox News segment.Quote:
Originally Posted by JayjamiPsychos taking over the Democtatic Party? Did you even watch the GOP convention?Quote:
Originally Posted by 4Dragons
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G0CJ...ature=youtu.be
I don't know if you intentionally rephrased what I said there to fit your lame joke narrative or if you have comprehension issues.Quote:
Originally Posted by JayjamiPsychos taking over the Democtatic Party? Did you even watch the GOP convention?Quote:
Originally Posted by 4Dragons
Sorry. I am just not very smart. Perhaps you could educate me, but I am Democrat so it would probably be a futile effort.Quote:
Originally Posted by 4DragonsI don't know if you intentionally rephrased what I said there to fit your lame joke narrative or if you have comprehension issues.Quote:
Originally Posted by Jayjami
Wikileaks just tweeted more coming soon on ol Hilldawg and the DNC. Just getting started.
:TRAIN MORONS
I kinda agree with Ben Shapiro about Trump. Sure well have an Republican in office for 4 years, but afterwards, I have a feeling that he will ruin the chance for any other Republican winning for another 20 years.
Quote:
Originally Posted by BiffCo99
The fact that he has Trump a 57.5% to 42.5% favorite and him flipping Pennsylvania now should be enough to make a believer out of the people in this thread who say he has no chance. Nate Silver literally called all 50 states correctly in the last presidential election.
http://townhall.com/tipsheet/katiepa...inton-n2197533Quote:
Julian Assange has made an incredible statement in an interview with ITV. Assange says that Wikileaks, the infamous whistle-blowing website, will soon be publishing documents that contain “enough evidence” for the Department of Justice to indict Hillary Clinton, the expected Democratic nominee.
is it really out of the range of possibility that hillary's private server emails end up on wikileaks?
Hard to take Silver seriously regarding Trump, though, because he's been way wrong about him the entire way.Quote:
Originally Posted by VaughnPQuote:
Originally Posted by BiffCo99
The fact that he has Trump a 57.5% to 42.5% favorite and him flipping Pennsylvania now should be enough to make a believer out of the people in this thread who say he has no chance. Nate Silver literally called all 50 states correctly in the last presidential election.
I still don't believe he wins PA, but even if he does, he still has to take FL, OH, and NC, plus cover everything Romney won in 2012.
I just don't see it happening, unless more really damaging stuff related to the Hillary e-mails either comes out or blows up huge in the media.
Druff, have you honestly looked at the data? Virginia, Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Colorado, are all close enough to be flipped, and then there are Pennsylvania, Nevada, Florida, Ohio, and New Hampshire that data suggest already have been --- Every state listed is a state that Obama won in 2012. Connecticut and Maine could even possibly be in play.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffHard to take Silver seriously regarding Trump, though, because he's been way wrong about him the entire way.Quote:
Originally Posted by VaughnP
I still don't believe he wins PA, but even if he does, he still has to take FL, OH, and NC, plus cover everything Romney won in 2012.
I just don't see it happening, unless more really damaging stuff related to the Hillary e-mails either comes out or blows up huge in the media.
Don't forget that there are tons of people who answer that survey that will not PuBlicly expose there voting for trump, but absolutely will.
Trump has over performed every survey on almost every election
Quote:
Originally Posted by VaughnPDruff, have you honestly looked at the data? Virginia, Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Colorado, are all close enough to be flipped, and then there are Pennsylvania, Nevada, Florida, Ohio, and New Hampshire that data suggest already have been --- Every state listed is a state that Obama won in 2012. Connecticut and Maine could even possibly be in play.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I'm not saying you're wrong, or Trump won't win, but 538 is simply a snapshot in time. Last week was the opposite. In between conventions always favor the party that just had their convention. Go back and look through history. If Trump is favored in late August, then Hillary is in deep trouble.
Such a strange election. Obama at historically high approval of 56% in a bad poll for Hillary is so bizarre. Tbh, the numbers have never added up for the polling so far. Both parties nominated the only person in the world who could lose to the other. The GOP convention was a comedy of errors, and now the Dems are going to have DWS banging the gavel to a chorus of boos.
The worst part for Hillary is that these polls were compiled largely before the DNC hack news. She could drop another 3 points before her convention bump in a week,
If anyone wants to bet on PA going red, I'll gladly take the other side with Druff escrow. (not referring to you Vaughn, just anyone else who hasn't been around forever) to be fair-predictit has it at 65-35, I'd lay 550-400, but not 65/35
And you nailed it right there. Won't be any post DNC bump, and actually could go the opposite way. Which would be a CRUSHING blow for Hilldawg if they came out of both conventions down 3-5, after being UP 3-5 just a couple weeks ago.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRQuote:
Originally Posted by VaughnP
I'm not saying you're wrong, or Trump won't win, but 538 is simply a snapshot in time. Last week was the opposite. In between conventions always favor the party that just had their convention. Go back and look through history. If Trump is favored in late August, then Hillary is in deep trouble.
Such a strange election. Obama at historically high approval of 56% in a bad poll for Hillary is so bizarre. Tbh, the numbers have never added up for the polling so far. Both parties nominated the only person in the world who could lose to the other. The GOP convention was a comedy of errors, and now the Dems are going to have DWS banging the gavel to a chorus of boos.
The worst part for Hillary is that these polls were compiled largely before the DNC hack news. She could drop another 3 points before her convention bump in a week,
If anyone wants to bet on PA going red, I'll gladly take the other side with Druff escrow. (not referring to you Vaughn, just anyone else who hasn't been around forever)
I love the site and your radio show but You have been wrong about Trump the entire way too. I don't think there's any denying that Trump has a very legitimate shot at winning this thing. Not long ago many were saying there was NO CHANCE that he could beat Hillary.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffHard to take Silver seriously regarding Trump, though, because he's been way wrong about him the entire way.Quote:
Originally Posted by VaughnP
Just got a news alert on phone that DWS will not be banging the gavel to a chorus of boos. She got yanked.
Quote:
Originally Posted by VaughnPQuote:
Originally Posted by BiffCo99
The fact that he has Trump a 57.5% to 42.5% favorite and him flipping Pennsylvania now should be enough to make a believer out of the people in this thread who say he has no chance. Nate Silver literally called all 50 states correctly in the last presidential election.
Did you read this wrong or did he flip it already? I see Hillary ahead on 538 by both traditional and polls plus metric. Hillary +7 on polls, +15.6 on polls plus
http://fivethirtyeight.com/politics/
Total disarray at DNC.
Sanders basically got booed off the stage after saying they need to back Clinton.
From jan 27
After a slip of the tongue at a Clinton town hall. Rush totally busts CNN and the DNC rigging it for Hillary. They def. planted the question and this was way before wikileaks said as much. Even the format benefits Hillary. Anyone with half a brain could see it was rigged long ago. (Sorry DirtyB n Henry)
260 views no one else caught this but it's solid proof.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SVIDqn-E9Wg
Worse then that!!!!Quote:
Originally Posted by NaturalBornHustler
There actually starting to turn on Bern!! The last! thing! They ever wanted! To see was Bern make a deal with Hillary. Especially after that v.p. pick. They are!! Starting to turn on Bern..
They might not turn to trump but there not going to vote period!!!!
And probably have a secret pleasure of trump beating Hillary.
This is the now model based off of the latest data. The percentages have changed slightly since this morning. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...-forecast/#nowQuote:
Originally Posted by BCRQuote:
Originally Posted by VaughnP
Did you read this wrong or did he flip it already? I see Hillary ahead on 538 by both traditional and polls plus metric. Hillary +7 on polls, +15.6 on polls plus
http://fivethirtyeight.com/politics/
Quote:
Originally Posted by JayjamiSorry. I am just not very smart. Perhaps you could educate me, but I am Democrat so it would probably be a futile effort.Quote:
Originally Posted by 4Dragons
I guess pick the category you fall into:
4 Kinds of Democrats
1. THE ENSLAVED: Those who depend on democrats winning because of their job situation: ie, Union workers, non-military government employees, welfare recipients and those that make money from servicing those people (civilian contractors, environmental cleanup, new energy companies), and those who get government grants from 'green' research and development.
2. THE BRAINWASHED: Those who vote because they believe in all of the stories that liberals tell their constituencies and blindly follow the line that democrats are infallible, even though they lie incessantly, get caught and suffer zero consequences as a result of their satanically evil manipulation of the public.
3. THE LIED TO: Those who feel that somehow the party that created the KKK, shot Lincoln and instituted Jim Crow laws is the party that will be the best to represent not all people of color.. pretty much just blacks and non Cuban hispanics, homosexuals or those confused about their genetic makeup.
4. THE RANCHERS: The party elite, Machiavellian Fabian Socialists. Those who went to ivy league schools and make their money by climbing the social circles surrounding government and the trillions of dollars that it spends on its friends. Ranchers do not believe in the stories they weave for the masses to consume, they help write them in order to divert funds into their pet projects which usually involve removing freedom from the masses in exchange for a shiny new toy or scare mongering people into believing in a false narrative so they can again remove freedoms in exchange for a false sense of security. They do so by creating a problem from nothing and then offering the solution to that problem. See: Alinsky, Saul.
Let me post this again for the idiots that think Trump has a chance.This guy is no dipshit and has outpreformed Nate Silver int he past
http://actuarygambler.blogspot.com/
Trump is also likely getting the usual convention bump (though this time it's a bit surprising, given all the fail which occurred).
We will see what it looks like after the DNC.
And it looks like the DNC may end up seeing more disruption than the RNC.
Satisfying to see Wasserman-Schultz get her comeuppance. Always hated her.
Many liberal Democrats waking up to find that their own party is corrupt. All this time they thought that such behavior was limited to those greedy, heartless Republicans, and that Democrats were for the people. I am enjoying the ensuing drama from this. The Democratic elte have taken advantage of the far left for years, basically taking their support for granted while shoving them in the background so as to still appeal to the centrist voters. Now the inevitable rebellion is occurring, not too different from the Trump rebellion which occurred against the Republican Party.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Of all the bizzaro through-the-looking-glass third tier conservative radio talk show delusions I've seen trotted out here, this is perhaps the most hilarious.
http://dailycaller.com/2016/07/24/le...-appointments/
:whatQuote:
Democratic National Committee documents recently released by WikiLeaks include spreadsheets and emails that appear to show party officials planning which donors and prominent fundraisers to provide with appointments to federal boards and commissions.
LOL at how corrupt the current Democratic Party is. Hillary fits in perfectly with them.
gop and the Russians on the same team
Our own SetOfKs had a funny response to Negreanu today:
This has been happening since the inception of politics. I don't see how this is shocking news.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Quote:
Originally Posted by big dick
Not exactly. Putin recognizes that Trump would make his life about a trillion times easier. Also the assertion that Trump and the GOP are on the same team is pretty loosey goosey; there is no GOP at this point. It simply folded under the weight of its own theocratic hubris and Trump cashed in on the carnage.
In a very literal sense, Trump shorted the GOP.
honestly what makes me lol is all the Trump train riders won't put a dime on him.
Pussies
Quote:
Originally Posted by snake_in_the_assThis has been happening since the inception of politics. I don't see how this is shocking news.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
If you were a freshly orphaned Republican, wouldnt you take every opportunity to throw a spotlight on anything other than the embers of your ludicrous, shattered dreams?
Daniel is not very smart. Even if he is passionate about politics, he should not be using his twitter handle to express it. He is being paid a lot of money to represent PokerStars, not being a political analyst. The guy used to be a druggie and a drunk and now he is telling us to vote for? Oh yeah, he is also brainwashed by ChoiceCenter.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Sweet Jesus this man delivers