Because I've been hella unlucky for 5 weeks straight and I am getting sick of it.Quote:
Originally Posted by lewfather
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Because I've been hella unlucky for 5 weeks straight and I am getting sick of it.Quote:
Originally Posted by lewfather
dude u play lhe of all things you should understand varianceQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffBecause I've been hella unlucky for 5 weeks straight and I am getting sick of it.Quote:
Originally Posted by lewfather
get it together druff
head up
Overall record?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
+$ or -$?
plus the nba is pushing to get betting on games passed, i highly doubt that now of all times games would be fixed.
remember my pm about haralabob and the variance of the 3 ball, pinch to zoom on that.
and back that money truck up kid
Lost $ after this latest slumpQuote:
Originally Posted by Hockey GuyOverall record?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
+$ or -$?
Druff whatever you do don't go saving the day betting Atlanta +2 against Memphis tomorrow. Atlanta might go out and win by 15 but just skip it and any other "weird" lines. I've been winning a lot more just staying away from these types of lines or going the other way.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daredevil
:lol
I tried to educate him but apparently he knew about everything I posted & still thought it was good value. I'm sure it wasn't just because he looked at the records & didn't take anything else into consideration. All these teams play 3 games in 4 nights a couple times a week so I'm sure that had no bearing on their performance.Quote:
Originally Posted by rollinx420Quote:
Originally Posted by Daredevil
:lol
I need to stop making so many stupid ill-informed posts on hockey so I'll be taken more seriously by the more informed hockey savvy posters on this board.
Alright, alright. I admit it looks like I was way off on this one.
:facepalm
SHUT IT DOWN TMMLK 2.0Quote:
Originally Posted by Daredevil
First off if Druff wants to quit betting sports more power to him. As long as it's not for a silly reason like running bad.
Druff if you bet tomorrow just tail me.
Under in that morning game if you wake up in time. 209 or so.
MINNESOTA ALL DAY
SAN ANTONIO ALL DAY
STAY AWAY FROM THE HAWKS GAME ALL DAY UNLESS YOU WAIT TIL TIP AND GET THE GRIZ PICKEM.
Suns vs Kings under 208 is like stealing
Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
how much $ are you putting on this?
Didn't bet.Quote:
Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit
Scoreboard on the above so far:
Under on LAC/OKC - Lost badly
Minnesota - Won easily
Memphis vs. Hawks - Won fairly easily
San Antonio - Losing after 3 quarters, but has a chance
Too bad I wasn't making my own picks today, because I totally would have gone with Memphis/Atl under.
You know, this is just too tempting.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
I agree, Suns/Kings under looks great with no Bledsoe, Gay, or Collison. So I'll bet U208 -115.
I will also go with Phoenix here -8 -105.
If I lose, I'm re-banning you.
soooo druff is a nit?
Sheboon, I have to say I've been impressed with your "concept" picks and predictions.
Like the Cavs killing the spread over the next 10 games or whatever, and then they did.
Like staying away from "strange" lines where a good team inexplicably isn't favored much (or at all), such as Atlanta today.
Like the Minnesota bandwagon (though I've ridden that a bit as well recently).
Like knowing the Pelicans would lose yesterday.
Very good.
That game was going under if it had went to triple OT.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffYou know, this is just too tempting.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
I agree, Suns/Kings under looks great with no Bledsoe, Gay, or Collison. So I'll bet U208 -115.
I will also go with Phoenix here -8 -105.
If I lose, I'm re-banning you.
Druff, you have to stop betting so many damn lines. Of course if you bet spread and over under you only turn a profit 1 out of 4 times. Pick great lines and bet those. 1 or 2 a day is fine
Druff
Have you been keeping heck of you record for taking, laying, over and unders all individually?
You should do that and see if you have any weak spots.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Thanks. My early start time under concept failed but been doing ok.
Tonight I like obviously Minnesota against Atlanta but Bovada is not offering a line
Also trying to figure out if Anthony Davis will be in the lineup for the Pelicans. This is a big enough difference to probably base your bet off of this and take them if he plays and go against if he doesn't. The oddsmakers still don't respect him
So far I've got
Knicks +4 at depleted Heat
Mavs -9 against depleted Griffinless Clippers. Also have the over 208 in this one.
Bucks -4.5 against Brooklyn (got it last night. -5.5 now)
Edit: Got Minnesota +6.5 and moneyline for +230
LETS GO! I have over $3,500 on the line tonight. which is quite a bit above average for me.
I'll just dip my toe in the water with Bucks -5.5 here.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Sounds good. I just had too much bet out today and skipped Pelicans game.
Timberwolves are good though. I'm just sayin. Pretty fun to watch as well with the team healthy. Is Atlanta gonna come out to play tonight? Something tells me that they won't.
Under 214 Oklahoma City
Lol, yeah that bet is fucked after a 76 point 2nd quarterQuote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
You meant after 3 quarters right?Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22Lol, yeah that bet is fucked after a 76 point 2nd quarterQuote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
JS gives good picks just brush this one off bro. Obv they were all smoking good weed b4 tonights match up in the Rocky Mountains. No Defense what so ever.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22Lol, yeah that bet is fucked after a 76 point 2nd quarterQuote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A3VgSOYsUBo
At this time I'd like to honor John Denver and his most under rated song ever.
The funny thing is going to be when Denver comes back and covers!! It's coming!!
Druff u need to start emailing me in the am about these games.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Glad u won tonight but u r going about this like a rookie looking for his first cookie.
Plz don't email me with your statistics and closed mindset. Got it??
Finally a close win for me.
I also lucked out in that I tailed the only PFA pick today that won.
Psst I was 4-0 today I drink only Kool-Aid during the NBA. I no these players.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Quote:
Originally Posted by badguy23Psst I was 4-0 today I drink only Kool-Aid during the NBA. I no these players.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
post before games. Also druff the over part of my dallas vs. clippers bet won. Still a losing day though.
:thisQuote:
Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's ClitQuote:
Originally Posted by badguy23
post before games
Quote:
Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's ClitQuote:
Originally Posted by badguy23
post before games. Also druff the over part of my dallas vs. clippers bet won. Still a losing day though.
I refuse to jinx myself on this pile of shit site. Show your tits or gtfo!! That's why I told him to email me. I have posted my picks before hit around 64% in Ncaa Tourney. I'm a radio personality and recovering pill head here I don't post my picks for free.
Quote:
Originally Posted by badguy23Quote:
Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit
I refuse to jinx myself on this pile of shit site. Show your tits or gtfo!! That's why I told him to email me. I have posted my picks before hit around 64% in Ncaa Tourney. I'm a radio personality and recovering pill head here I don't post my picks for free.
cuz he's the baaaad guy.
Liverpool -.5 -105 Must win for them. Go big or go home
Opinions on Houston/Phoenix Under 217.5?
Both teams have the potential to put up a ton of points, but both have been in a lot of low or semi-low scoring games lately.
Public loves the over here, as line has moved from 213.5 to 217.5.
That scares me, but part of me still wants to take the under.
I bet the under, but small.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I'm very much a streak bettor in basketball. If you look at these two teams last 5 games each, only 1/10 went over 217.5. So I'll just ride that under all day. Maybe a narrow minded philosophy but I'm sitting at 66% this year over a small sample
Last 5 games total doesn't mean much, because O/U have a lot to do with the combination of the two teams playing and the pace likely to be played (along with the defensive skill of both teams).Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22I bet the under, but small.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I'm very much a streak bettor in basketball. If you look at these two teams last 5 games each, only 1/10 went over 217.5. So I'll just ride that under all day. Maybe a narrow minded philosophy but I'm sitting at 66% this year over a small sample
But points scored/allowed for each individual game recently DOES mean a lot, and that's why I'm tempted.
I'm just not sure if it's going to go way under (like last night's Philly/GS game, which I scared myself from betting), or if both are going to explode in a contest of no defense.
The fact that Howard is out is likely to increase the score, since his presence tends to lead to better defense.
I don't ride or die on the last 5. That was very much just an example. Like I said, it's worked well so farQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffLast 5 games total doesn't mean much, because O/U have a lot to do with the combination of the two teams playing and the pace likely to be played (along with the defensive skill of both teams).Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
But points scored/allowed for each individual game recently DOES mean a lot, and that's why I'm tempted.
I'm just not sure if it's going to go way under (like last night's Philly/GS game, which I scared myself from betting), or if both are going to explode in a contest of no defense.
The fact that Howard is out is likely to increase the score, since his presence tends to lead to better defense.
I took Charlotte -2 and Phoenix -1.5 last night (Detroit ahead by one point now)
Took under 190 in Memphis vs. Brooklyn now.
Will read your posts now druff.