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Reds share similar Runs Scored with the Dodgers this year. Should be runsQuote:
Originally Posted by padre33
Also.... if we get into extra innings .... Dodgers opponents have stolen 10 or 11 bases past 2 or 3 days.
Guy has a 97mph fastball against a team that can’t hit fastballs so he throws breaking balls and walks the 1st Dodgers batter. Lol
sally are you sure you can be seen posting here after pledging allegiance to the martin wagon
fat tine and mjcdot gordo industries dont forget bro
Marty makes a mean grilled cheeseQuote:
Originally Posted by lol wow
Time for a crooked number.
Edit 2 run shot
https://twitter.com/BR_MLB/status/13...324142083?s=20
Votto telling the fan betting is a trap was hilarious. #Trapliving
Dodgers are #1 in stolen bases allowed in the MLB
The more you know
does he though it took his father being dragged across a firing squad in 59 for him to acknowledge gruyere he was literally shouting NO ITS TOO FRENCH I WANT MY RETARD SON TO LIVE IN SACRAMENTO BUT NOT KNOW ABOUT CHEESES before he was shot to to death by Koreans sall it was a fucking thing bro
Quote:
Originally Posted by lol wow
Post more.
To think I invited JD to come play a tournament and wanted to stake him and drink beers and post a trip report when he lived in Mx. I've staked dead money before but this could have been much worse.
What a delight.
Bauer tomorrow. I don’t want to end up like Marty’s dad.
Nice win guys! Max sweat value. Early leans tomorrow are Braves, Orioles, Pirates..
Giants trying to make it a 3 team race in the NL West. Who do you like to win AL West Salnmar?
please it took a martin meltdown to bring me back we keep it mellow in the skatz admin forum sall 2 fingers though this doyer season is shaaaaaaaaaaaping up though
how you blow a 6 run lead in the 7th is basically hollywood to get these casual goons to lean into the season
Simpdog & I go back and forth. I went 12-4 in baseball on my posted picks. Fair sampling of dogs too.Quote:
Originally Posted by padre33
I’m kinda burned out. I can’t think about any more games.
Good to see you back on the street after being sequestered with the jury lol wow.
Ciao
Votto is right though. Everything he said was accurate:Quote:
Originally Posted by padre33
1) Dude is in a Giants jacket and clearly isn't a real fan of the Reds.
2) Votto doesn't and shouldn't give a shit whether they score in the first inning. His goal is to win the game, whereas this guy's goal is just to win a bet about the first inning.
3) Sportsbetting is a trap for a very high % of bettors, where they have no chance long term due to the juice. Unless you know what separates you from other bettors (aside from "I know sports"), you're going to lose in the medium and long terms in sportsbetting.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffVotto is right though. Everything he said was accurate:Quote:
Originally Posted by padre33
1) Dude is in a Giants jacket and clearly isn't a real fan of the Reds.
2) Votto doesn't and shouldn't give a shit whether they score in the first inning. His goal is to win the game, whereas this guy's goal is just to win a bet about the first inning.
3) Sportsbetting is a trap for a very high % of bettors, where they have no chance long term due to the juice. Unless you know what separates you from other bettors (aside from "I know sports"), you're going to lose in the medium and long terms in sportsbetting.
It can be funny and factually correct at same time right? Not mutually inclusive or whatever..
1- Dude has the degenerate look which makes the exchange funny for me. He looks like a guy that hangs with the IceMan at the Orleans sports book.
2- I have always liked Votto. Was surprised to see his new batting stance last night. He wants more than just the .400 OBP this year. Injuries have taken away a lot of his power. He knows its a trap despite never making a bet most likely.
3- I have been on both sides. 99% of bettors are fish. A guy I used to play poker with for years in San Diego John Spatafiore Rip used to hustle Puggy on the golf course once said in 2003ish, "Thats why the bookies are driving Cadillacs and bettors are looking for a new spot to bet." That comment has always provided me some laughs. I have donated a nice chunk of my Bellagio poker room winnings to the Sports book in the perfect location. Definitely down 6 figures betting NFL and up 6 figures betting MLB.
That being said I'll be betting the rest of my life. Its enjoyable for me and altho booking is a gold mine I don't feel like dealing with the headaches that come with it.
Hey guys, just wondering who has the best fucking record in baseball? Is it the best Dodgers team ever? Surely it must be.
Surely young jsearles can't be trashing the Dodgers for a 15-8 record, when dealing with the injuries to multiple players, right?Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
The Dodgers indeed have a bullpen problem, but the Royals bullpen is worse.
The Royals are hitting well -- which was somewhat expected before the season -- but it just doesn't look like a team which will win in the playoffs. In fact, your team has just a +4 in run differential, which doesn't bode well for the future.
The team I don't understand is the Giants. They're just not that good. I can't imagine them holding up.
I don’t understand the “young” Searles comment. Maybe start there? I’m sure it’s meant as an insult but I simply don’t get the joke.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffSurely young jsearles can't be trashing the Dodgers for a 15-8 record, when dealing with the injuries to multiple players, right?Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
The Dodgers indeed have a bullpen problem, but the Royals bullpen is worse.
The Royals are hitting well -- which was somewhat expected before the season -- but it just doesn't look like a team which will win in the playoffs. In fact, your team has just a +4 in run differential, which doesn't bode well for the future.
The team I don't understand is the Giants. They're just not that good. I can't imagine them holding up.
For fancying yourself an mlb aficionado you’re sure wrong a lot. One of the Royals strengths is their bullpen. Much like it has been in the past. Sure they had a few bad games (when you bet on them). But overall they are very solid.
The Royals are also facing injuries. Adalberto Mondesi is the catalyst for this entire team and he hasn’t played yet. He will completely change their lineup when he comes back. Secondly super stud Bobby Witt Jr will be in the bigs this year. HeÂ’s just too good.
The Royals don’t have a starter hitting over .288. Jorge Soler is below the Mendoza line. Carlos Santana is only hitting .230. This team can actually get much better. I’m super excited for the rest of the season. This team was projected to go 72-90. I’m gonna go ahead and say the pundits were way wrong.
I’ll take your word on not being able to win in the playoffs. You’ve got a very long history of knowing what that looks like.
Young searles,
I didn't bother to look at what the Royals were projected to do this year. I do know that there was some excitement that their lineup was considerably better this year, and perhaps that would prevent them from being a failteam.
I don't know why you're going on about batting averages, because those are down in 2021. Only four teams are batting better than .247. Yes, you read that right. Go look it up.
The mediam team batting average right now is .231.
Mark my words, your pitching will be the problem this year, not your offense. The Royals won't have a bad year, and might even make the postseason, but they don't have the pitching to win in the playoffs, unless they acquire some, or unless some unheralded pitcher steps up.
“The Royals pitching won’t be good unless it is.”Nice hedge Old DruffQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Best record in baseball. Sit on that dick
Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22I don’t understand the “young” Searles comment. Maybe start there? I’m sure it’s meant as an insult but I simply don’t get the joke.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
For fancying yourself an mlb aficionado you’re sure wrong a lot. One of the Royals strengths is their bullpen. Much like it has been in the past. Sure they had a few bad games (when you bet on them). But overall they are very solid.
The Royals are also facing injuries. Adalberto Mondesi is the catalyst for this entire team and he hasn’t played yet. He will completely change their lineup when he comes back. Secondly super stud Bobby Witt Jr will be in the bigs this year. HeÂ’s just too good.
The Royals don’t have a starter hitting over .288. Jorge Soler is below the Mendoza line. Carlos Santana is only hitting .230. This team can actually get much better. I’m super excited for the rest of the season. This team was projected to go 72-90. I’m gonna go ahead and say the pundits were way wrong.
I’ll take your word on not being able to win in the playoffs. You’ve got a very long history of knowing what that looks like.
Got me sold Searless nice writeup. When is Mondesi expected back? Soler should get going and Sal Perez is a top 3 catcher. I'm on other side tonight but have bet Royals a lot and will continue to. The starting pitching is suspect but between Indians and Tigers those are weak lineups imo and you see them a lot.
Sorry to be a homer, but Salvy is the best catcher in baseball bar none. Who else you got above him?Quote:
Originally Posted by padre33Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
Got me sold Searless nice writeup. When is Mondesi expected back? Soler should get going and Sal Perez is a top 3 catcher. I'm on other side tonight but have bet Royals a lot and will continue to. The starting pitching is suspect but between Indians and Tigers those are weak lineups imo and you see them a lot.
Mondesi is at least a few weeks away. They are being cautious and probably more so with the hot start.
Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22Sorry to be a homer, but Salvy is the best catcher in baseball bar none. Who else you got above him?Quote:
Originally Posted by padre33
Mondesi is at least a few weeks away. They are being cautious and probably more so with the hot start.
Can't say you are wrong. Remaluto maybe and definitely not Sanchez.
This Twins team has to be making you lose your mind gut. They have like every thing annoying going on as a fan. Most two out runs given up. Losing every close one and extra inning game. Tons of unearned runs. That ninth tonight giving up two runs with a ball not put in play in 40 minutes of walking guys. That Colome has to be one of the most annoying pitchers ever. Slowest dude ever on mound. Human rain delay. Twins were good last year. It’s early, just surprised how bad they look thus far.
How’s it going Padre & Druff?
Lol
The +1000 was pizza money but it’s a lot of pizzas
No matter outcome fading Dodgers is just plain +EV
Another blown lead by Los Doyers. Votto comes thru, please no Amir Garrett. I couldn't pass on +240
Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarHow’s it going Padre & Druff?
Lol
The +1000 was pizza money but it’s a lot of pizzas
No matter outcome fading Dodgers is just plain +EV
Live bet +1000 haja love it. Lets close this game out Reds!
Bullpen just not the same without Machine Gun Kelly.
Injuries and other assorted excuses.
You on Giants, Padre?
I cannot believe I’m watching Daniel Bard close. Serious time tripping. He was a Boston phenom waaaaaaay back
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
No I have under 8. nfg
Quote:
Originally Posted by padre33Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
No I have under 8. nfg
Close to dead even after many wagers with Reds +240 left..
Sure would be nice to add one since we most likely see Garrett as Seager and Muncy due up. Where is BadGuy? Sweating a game is different when he is on a good one. Miss that guy
Let's just say I have a good idea why badguy is absent. And it has nothing to do with me or any of the drama here in 2021.Quote:
Originally Posted by padre33
Anyway, Doolittle is on now. I'd rather see Garrett, given that I'm watching as a Dodgers fan, and not a bettor in this game. I already won my one MLB pick today (Tampa).
Calling it drama is putting lipstick on a pig.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffLet's just say I have a good idea why badguy is absent. And it has nothing to do with me or any of the drama here in 2021.Quote:
Originally Posted by padre33
Anyway, Doolittle is on now. I'd rather see Garrett, given that I'm watching as a Dodgers fan, and not a bettor in this game. I already won my one MLB pick today (Tampa).
Don't say he's locked up.
OMG
It’s Clayton Kershaw tomorrow. Somehow I missed this.
Clear my schedule.
Gotta push the over 7½ button given the bum the Reds are trotting out. Kershaw is good for some runs too. Both bullpens are rubbish.
Wish team totals were avail overnight. Only the special kids get to hammer that line out.
The only risk is that the Dodgers believe load management is more important than stopping the skid. That’s a legit concern.
Take the runline -1.5 +102 ...... I hate Runlines. I’m not a Dodgers guy but I like money. Keep it a standard unit. Scale into the over. It may actually see 7 cause people will just see Kershaw’s name and equate that with low scores.
Reds team total is a potential tasty treat.
Yeah man, plus Covid outbreaks!Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
The decisions they made this offseason with the bullpen just confused me. Just being cheap while in the window of contention, I suppose that is classic Twins. At the same time, none of the guys who left signed gigantic deals elsewhere, MAYBE Trevor May was paid more by the Mets than we could "afford", but still. Didn't like the Colome signing at all and he has been a trainwreck.
Defense has been atrocious so far. Loved on opening day, sitting and watching new defensive savant signee Andrelton Simmons (don't get me wrong, I still like that signing) boot like the 4th play of his season. I was thinking "hey Polanco blew that playoff game last year the same way! Coulda just kept him at SS."
Most of this I will chalk up to small-sample size, and still am confident they will win the division. Maeda has been shaky, but Berrios and Pineda look great. Still have SP depth with Dobnak and Smeltzer if anyone gets hurt. Buxton is playing like the superstar he was projected to become, although he keeps being as fragile as ever. I don't care about my homerism here, he is the most exciting player in baseball right now, IMO. Nelson Cruz is the Tom Brady of baseball right now.
If the bullpen remains the biggest real issue, thats the easiest, and cheapest, thing to fix come trade deadline.
Lotta luckbox at the end to go over. Runline will not become a habit.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Playing the Dodgers like a stringed instrument all season. I am now self certified as an authority again in 2021.
So the Dodgers were recently the second worst team in obs vs fastballs.
Bet you can’t tell me who is #1 against the fastball, young Searles? That’s right. Royals.
Shake that money-maker. They gotta be one of the most profitable teams this year.
Red Sox vs deGrom was a wise guy play today and I just didn’t do it. Run Line was the sharp play. Sigh.
I do have a deGrom NL Cy Young. IT DOES NOT MATTER ONE IOTA WHAT HIS WIN/LOSS IS. FREAKING HISTORIC STUFF.