Is that team 1st inning GBCP? TB has been a monster yes
I did take the no with juice today
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Is that team 1st inning GBCP? TB has been a monster yes
I did take the no with juice today
yeah...sorry cut off the header...Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/sta...ate=2019-05-18
1 inning is a pitcher-centric deal. I don’t find that ranking useful. TB did have the crazy run but their pitching is the nuts and consider their spot starter approach. I caught some.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenisyeah...sorry cut off the header...Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/sta...ate=2019-05-18
Grinding 1P numbers by pitcher blows. The data has gotten larger and more stable. I lost a bit early on. I’ve stuck with it
Cash the TB No
Tablet - MLB Props - Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees - Score In 1st Inning - No -145
You’ve been such a mensch GBCP how ‘bout this:
Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 954 Los Angeles Dodgers/Cincinnati Reds under 5½ -105 for 1st 5 Innings W
Mahle/Buehler. You know Buehler. Look at Mahle. Nice price for a 1st 5
Got your note GBCP. Show me two pitchers ERA 0.00 in 1P and I’m your bitch. I exaggerate only a little.
I will find someone else to do the work.
I will share more.
cool thanks man...didn't know if you would focus on the pitcher or the top 3-4 guys in a lineup...pitching obv makes the most sense, but didn't know if you took anything else into account...Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
have my mlb.com stat page saved...will start looking at it going forward
EDIT: for those who want to follow along at home...
http://mlb.mlb.com/stats/sortable.js...t=i01&team_id=
Nice to have some give and take here. Rare lately.
I was on Simpdog’s Show recently and shared this with the audience.
Put this bad boy on your desktop
https://www.digitalliquid.com/baseballweather/
It’s not predictive. It simply shows visually the present moment. It’s visual and I’m lazy.
Marry that with NOAA using the ballpark’s zip code to forecast
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClic...Type=graphical
This feeble contribution entitles me to a brag. Lock it up
MOBILE - BASEBALL - MLB - 966 TAMPA BAY RAYS/NEW YORK YANKEES UNDER 4½ -124 FOR 1ST 5 INNINGS
neat little tool...you're looking at that info for "longer" bets like 5 and 9 inning O/Us, correct?
Oh yeah. Tough to keep me on topic.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
The quintessential example is Wrigley totals. Fenway & other little bandboxes. Fly ball contact type pitcher exposure vs swing and miss guys.
It’s a must. West coast ballparks are a joke so I never look.
You remind me that we need to look at betting 2nd half totals. Bullpens have never been worse. I imagine this is languishing out there.
I have never heard anybody discuss this angle.
On the anti-Zack-Godley train.
Had him on my fantasy team. He was a surprisingly good free agent pickup one year. Then he sucked. This year he shouldn't even be in MLB anymore. He's been moved to the bullpen and sucks there too. Then they spot start him, and guess what, he sucks.
7.65 ERA/1.726 WHIP over 37 2/3 innings!
He's also consistently bad. In 5 of his past 7 appearances, he's given up more runs than innings pitched.
San Francisco (Bumgarner) -109 at Arizona (Godley)
That's all I got today.
had a look at the first innings tomorrow:
Gibson (MIN) 8IP 1.13ERA
Kikuchi (SEA) 10IP 3.60ERA
don't know if that makes the cut or not...
couple of other games where there are 0.00ERA pitchers but they're being opposed by guys who are getting their tits lit up...
NBA first quarter GSW/Portland over 56.5
Like over for game but will bet live at some point.
NHL tomorrow taking SJ/STL over 5.5
10-0 Twins in the 3rd.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I think we can safely lock these bets up
Twins are a regular and still largely undervalued - however, I have never seen them “manufacture” a run. It’s all bombs. Small quibble but will haunt them later.
Mel Blanc was the voice behind Bugs Bunny, Daffy Duck, Yosemite Sam etc.
Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
Y/N & last 3
Gibson 2-6 ... 1-2
Kikuchi 3-7 ... 0-3
We have an edge with no but I’m gonna pass. Twins are an offensive juggernaut.
I don’t see anything super compelling for Sunday.
If you got the sickness...
Rays Morton 2.00ERA 0.89Whip 2-7 & 1-2
Yank Chad Green 9.2IP 13.97ERA 2.28Whip
Yankees gonna turn the tables on Rays with the spot starter. I really don’t understand the Green decision. Fresh from AAA tune up. Was inserted into game Friday and was a gas can.
It is the Rays on the road with 55% per your ranking.
Be curious what the 1P juice would be. No line now. Weird. It’s so fucked up and nonsensical that it’s almost irresistible. I need to be strong. Monday is GA
Obv 1st inning is a super small sample by its nature and prone to variance. Playing small 1P edges and losing just tilts me out. Long summer and if we don’t go blind with the numbers we’ll find something. Today was nice.
Godley fade hits again.
Seriously, boys, keep hitting this one until AZ finally wises up and takes him out of the rotation permanently.
aight san, didn't pull on any of the 1st innings today...
can I interest you in minor (TEX) v leake (SEA)...looking at DK, have it at +120...makes me think that this might not be as good as I originally thought...
both have the same first inning stats...2 earned in 9 first innings...game O/U is fucking 11...jesus...
don't have a line on ARZ/NYM...corbin has only allowed one run in 9 appearances, but Gagnon got slammed for 2 in his only first inning this year...
nothing else is really jumping out off the page...
Gimme a quote on NO
AZ Weaver 0.70 0-3 & 1-9
SD Paddack 0.63 0-3 & 1-7
offer -115Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I don’t get props for several hours.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenisoffer -115Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Put me down for a couple of dimes TIA
Konnichiwa & Gibson was NO winner FTR.
Maybe you are like those pigs that root out truffles. Hmmm.
Minor 1.44 1-2 2-7
Leake 0.89 1-3 1-8
honestly have no clue what is going on yet...saw the MIN/SEA thing...Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarI don’t get props for several hours.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
Put me down for a couple of dimes TIA
Konnichiwa & Gibson was NO winner FTR.
Maybe you are like those pigs that root out truffles. Hmmm.
Minor 1.44 1-2 2-7
Leake 0.89 1-3 1-8
that line on minor/leake is making me feel like such a fucktard for putting money on NO...especially with that bloated O/U...
I see why you like weaver...3 runs in his first start and lights out since...im in...owe you a bourbon if it hits...
10 games of 1P data should be respectable and yet Texas & Seattle looks like an easy over even at 10.5
Not for me. Texas ML in a parlay or something maybe. Seattle is such a mess.
What was the line on the NO? You may dance thru raindrops.
NJ is better than even off shore. You look at PointsBet? They have a promotion for free $1k bet and they pay NBA winner at 3rd period. The NJ promotions are going to be the stuff of legend
I been laying off the NBA pachinko. I have an old Bucks future and that satisfies me. However, Bucks Warriors is a clash of 3rd Periods - marry that with PoinstBet and we might have something to talk about. For real.
NJ will crush Vegas handle really soon. Circa (Vegas) is doing no juice on baseball when they open this summer. Bet a small used car and it’s a free trip. I want to see that book in person. Going to be incredible.
Minor 1.44 1-2 2-7
Leake 0.89 0-3 1-8
Whip
last 3
All 1P’s
Typos can be fatal. Apologies
This will be really interesting to follow.
Last one tonight
Look at 1pm game. Sawks Jays. Insufficient 1P data.
Price off DL - tendinitis elbow. Was never a 1P star. The fag dodged the Astros cause he’s soft.
E Jackson. Literally the most travelled man in baseball. The A’s sold him for travel miles and Chipotle gift certificate. The A’s didn’t get any player compensation. His only outing he started off poor 1st innning.
For an Olive Garden size bet at the right price I’m gonna prolly do it. E Jackson vs Sawks. This is like Batting practice.
sorry I missed this last night san...we were at +120 on the NO...Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
that fucking full game total scares the shit outta me though...
just pulled up pointsbet...thanks for the heads up, never heard of them before...they need to do more advertising...you see DK and FD ads all over the place in NJ...might be a little complex for what people are used to...when is tradesports gonna open in NJ...mentioned a lotta times, i loved that shit...
so ARZ/SD has moved all the way to -152 as I type, up from -115 last night...fucking crazy...NHL 1Ps all over again...
TEX/SEA holding at +120...
Early MLB game:
Sharps and public are on this one.
10:07am PDT start time
Boston (Price) at Toronto (E. Jackson) - Under 9 -115
Yes, Sanlmar, I'm betting UNDER involving Price and an opponent journeyman who pitched in MLB in 2003.
Lord help me.
I’m backing the Sawks under also
No Vlad & JDMart
Travel day game after rough Astros matchup for Sawks.
MOBILE - BASEBALL - MLB - 960 BOSTON RED SOX/TORONTO BLUE JAYS UNDER 9 -116 FOR GAME L
Rocky start for both pitchers?
MLB PROPS - BOSTON RED SOX @ TORONTO BLUE JAYS - SCORE IN 1ST INNING - YES -110 W
Druff, why the 30 point drop on the Braves ML with “My Sharona”/Saroka on the hill? Yeah, GBCP, wild swings. Will dig into news later but I took some -133 to start
Diamondbacks dawgs against recently beat Paddack looks tasty. Paddack $ prolly still piles in so there is time. Idea at this point
nice YES on BOS/TOR san...shoulda taken that as you waxed poetic last night...
Jeez, GBCP. All that typing. Kill yaQuote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
Did you tap that price on that other 1st inning - NO? Weaver Paddack. I set alarm this AM just to get it. I was -125. It’s -145 now. You were offered -115
This Jays bum was to be an “opener” but who knows. Basically, the whole under hinges on him finding the pine in the 2nd inning
Edit
Actually Jackson started ruff last outing too.
too much green/red flickering across to type much...im mesmerized...Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarJeez, GBCP. All that typing. Kill yaQuote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
Did you tap that price on that other 1st inning - NO? Sweet price. I was -125
This Jays bum was to be an “opener” but who knows. Basically, the whole under hinges on him finding the pine in the 2nd inning
yeah I hopped on ARZ/SD last night at -115...
my TEX/SEA has moved up to +123...staying away...
musta missed something where we converted to the metric system in this country...
GBCP,
Pull up the weather ballpark thing I told you about in this thread last Sat
Here’s some lulz... it sorts by wind
David Price - folks in Toronto going, “yup, he hasn’t changed a lick”. What a fraud.
you're harsh on price, san...wind is blowing out at 19...Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
:lol2
Live
Tablet - RED SOX vs BLUE JAYS [BATTER PROPS] Total OVER 12.5 +105 W
19yr old Jays pitcher can tell his friends at recess he pitched against the Sawks on the holiday
Price out.
I don’t throw shade in this thread often but did you all just tout an Under with Edwin Jackson pitching?
We encourage shade.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
That was a 1st inning bet. Rusty Jackson hasn’t started sharp recently amongst many other reasons. Jackson 1st inning Yes
We followed with a Druff under but I have two eyes so we hope to wash that loss with an in game over. 19 yr old was in Jays pen and Sawks pen had action for our fragile hero Price.
Druff and his sharps. Sigh
We swing both ways here.
FTR Sawks bullpen allowing .199 recently. This is excellent. Not good for me but we learn.
Jays fans are all pissed that they didn't play Vladdy Jr on Victoria Day.
I wouldn't have minded him hitting a homer off Price, but it's the regular season so likely wouldn't happen.
The camera caught Vlad stretching and yawning with a big smile on his face like he just woke up. The Boston announcers were laughing. He looked like every teenager you’ve ever known. Not a care in the world and just snoozin’.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
He’s 20 freaking years old, why rest.. 20 yrs old ... could go 48hrs no sleep. Physical prime of life. Give the kid big league reps.
Not really following Jays until the final yard sale. Gotta be concerned.
Twinkie’s on sale again today.
Team total price is off and everything.
I hated myself for backing an under with Jackson, and I hate myself even more now.
Here's a chalk spread play to compensate.
Starting in a few
Washington (Corbin) -1.5 -101 at Mets (Font)
25mph wind blowing in
Seattle (Leake) at Texas (Minor) - Under 11 -115
Might be good time to live bet Nats if you can. They blew 1st and 3rd in the top of the 1st, and then Mets plated 2 in the bottom half with two solo shots.
Not saying the bet is going to win, but you'll get a good line, and honestly, Wimer Font is awful.