huuuuuuuge misunderstanding clearly
huuuuuuuge misunderstanding clearly
Hmmm...maybe Yang supports "Medicare for None" plan instead?
honestly nice guy etc but yang the politician is fucking sketchy and all those yang = closet libertarian hot takes have aged wonderfully.
So wait. We’re not voting for the little china’min now?
taking the side of shaun king while the only viable option for their party is running on name recognition and is no doubt a choke artist. less degen stock market type gamblers should really be going max bet on trump 50/50 where they can find. personally im not interested in ONLY doubling my $
Might want to consider betting Biden max thenQuote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
Quote:
Originally Posted by SPIT thisMight want to consider betting Biden max thenQuote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
I wouldn't take biden if he was 30/1. 40 I probably do it just to be a degen
guy is a bumbling stooge and always has been, NO WAY he can go all the way to the top job in the world
Ok, give me 20 to 1 and let's escrow with Druff.Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedishQuote:
Originally Posted by SPIT this
I wouldn't take biden if he was 30/1. 40 I probably do it just to be a degen
guy is a bumbling stooge and always has been, NO WAY he can go all the way to the top job in the world
Quote:
Originally Posted by SPIT thisOk, give me 20 to 1 and let's escrow with Druff.Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
lol ya im gonna give druff a shit ton of $ for possibly 10 months and not spend it myself. don't be a newb, that fits my personality 0%
That's fair. I don't really trust him eitherQuote:
Originally Posted by thesidedishQuote:
Originally Posted by SPIT this
lol ya im gonna give druff a shit ton of $ for possibly 10 months and not spend it myself. don't be a newb, that fits my personality 0%
Julian Castro is OUT. I think this man deserves at least 1 Trump tweet exit ribbing. He earned it
Latest January 1st 2020 Democratic poll
Biden 29%
Sanders 19%
Warren 18%
Buttigieg 8%
Bloomberg 3% - no chance/will dropout soon
Klobuchar 4% - no chance/will dropout soon
Yang 3% - no chance/will dropout soon
Booker 2% - no chance/will dropout soon
Gabbard 3% - no chance/will dropout soon
Steyer 2% - no chance/will dropout soon
Castro 1% - out
Delaney 0% - no chance/will dropout soon/no one gives a shit
Bennet 0% - no chance/will dropout soon/no one gives a shit
Another one bites the dust.
https://9b16f79ca967fd0708d1-2713572...1547321613.jpg
Hmm... define "soon". I agree Gabbard has no chance, but don't think she's likely to drop out "soon". She seems to be the type to stay in as a protest candidate. She could actually outlast Warren who would probably drop out after Super Tuesday if it seems inevitable she won't win. Yang could possibly stay in for a while too. Klobuchar could stay in for a while hoping Biden has a heart attack. Not sure what Bloom and Stey Guy are thinking. Booker probably will drop out soon. I think he's just sticking around hoping people will eventually realized he's the only colored guy remaining. And I had to google to make sure Bennet hadn't already dropped out yet. Indeed he is still running... for some reason.Quote:
Originally Posted by TheXFactor
Actually what happens if Biden amasses a ton of delegates and then dies/becomes incapacitated? Do those delegates become unbound and we have a brokered convention?
Speaking of having the field whittled down, it looks likely that we'll have a 5 person debate in January. Yang only has 1 of 4 qualifying polls, and only 8 days left to get the remaining 3 polls. Prediction markets only give him a 16% chance. The pollsters have been sleepy because of the holidays. There's simply been very few qualifying polls released since the last debate.
The debate's on the 14th and is the last debate before the Iowa Caucus, and it's being held in Des Moines. Little Amy has to be happy about that.
I really hope this shit happens.
The media would go fucking nuts and people would go fucking insane. Complete Chaos.
Quote:
In the presidential election, the Democrats will flip Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin but the Republicans will flip New Hampshire. The result will be a tie in the electoral college. Under Article II, section 1, of the Constitution, the choice must then be made by the House of Representatives.
Quote:
The 26 states that have a majority red House delegation will vote Republican; the 22 states that have a majority blue delegation vote Democratic. The other two states, where the delegations are divided, will cast no vote, resulting in another tie.
https://api.time.com/wp-content/uplo...0&h=628&crop=1Quote:
Before the courts can rule, the political parties will agree to hold a new presidential election in February of 2021. Under the agreement, Trump will remain in office until that time but can take no action without the concurrence of Congress. Lawsuits will immediately be filed to block the plan, including by Trump himself, who will claim that not having been defeated in the election, he should win by default.
If democratic nominee dies after the convention, the most recent living nominee assumes the nomination by default.Quote:
Originally Posted by SPIT this
I'm down with that. Trump v Clinton volume 2 is the election we deserveQuote:
Originally Posted by duped_samaritanIf democratic nominee dies after the convention, the most recent living nominee assumes the nomination by default.Quote:
Originally Posted by SPIT this
Lol Yang will not be on the Ohio ballot because his campaign screwed up some paperwork.
List of active candidates who missed being on ballot in the following states with # of delegates:-
Williamson : 291 del. (IL/OH)
Patrick : 208 del. (MI/AL/AR)
Delaney : 205 del. (VA/OK/UT/ME/VT)
Yang : 136 del. (OH)
Bloomberg : 114 del. (SC/NV/NH)
Bennet : 40 del. (ME/VT)
Booker : 16 del. (VT)
Iowa is still lit
NH is tight also. Biden is looking very good in NV and obvious lock in SC.
Bernie’s recent climb in Iowa and NH, along with Warren’s big fade in the polls, has prompted me to switch back to supporting Bernie, and now at double what I was doing during the summer. (Sorry, Elizabeth. I gotta go with who can legit beat the Republicans-lite within the Democratic Party.)Quote:
Originally Posted by duped_samaritanNH is tight also. Biden is looking very good in NV and obvious lock in SC.
Biden's odds on primary are now +175.
I bet him at +500
Yup
Yup. Shut off your brain and take the money.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
It’s like the Republicans have an empty net but the Democrats decide to send out a team of paraplegics
Bernie Sanders has raised the most money of any Democratic candidate.
He also has the most support than any other Democratic candidate running for President.
The polls are mostly bullshit.
They usually poll a hundred or a couple of hundred, registered or likely voters. Very rarely do they poll over a thousand voters.
Biden will lose every primary and caucus until South Carolina and he may lose there too.
Bernie could actually win this thing.
https://i0.wp.com/media.boingboing.n...b841.jpg?w=970
I think it's still worth betting at +175Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
It probably is, but I am angry at myself for not continuing to fire when I personally moved the line, and it changed from +500 to +450, and simultaneously +450 to +400 on other books.Quote:
Originally Posted by SPIT thisI think it's still worth betting at +175Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
The line definitely moved because of me, because it was at like 3am, and I was firing $500 over and over on the +500, and suddenly it became +450. Then I checked the other books and they were suddenly 50 points lower, as well.
My thinking at the time was that I'd just wait a day or so and it would restore to +500, but it didn't. Then I started seeing that Biden was probably losing IA and NH, so I figured I would wait it out until he lost those, then fire right after when everyone would be temporarily doubtful about his chances.
But now it's collapsed down to +175, so even if he does lose IA and NH, it's not getting back anywhere near +450. I still think that's the best plan to wait for those to happen (or at least Iowa), before firing on him further.
Good plan. ‘Cause there’s a good chance that Biden’s line will move to offer better odds until at least just prior to the South Carolina primary, which is likely his best chance before Super Tuesday to halt to coming Sanders steamroll.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffIt probably is, but I am angry at myself for not continuing to fire when I personally moved the line, and it changed from +500 to +450, and simultaneously +450 to +400 on other books.Quote:
Originally Posted by SPIT this
The line definitely moved because of me, because it was at like 3am, and I was firing $500 over and over on the +500, and suddenly it became +450. Then I checked the other books and they were suddenly 50 points lower, as well.
My thinking at the time was that I'd just wait a day or so and it would restore to +500, but it didn't. Then I started seeing that Biden was probably losing IA and NH, so I figured I would wait it out until he lost those, then fire right after when everyone would be temporarily doubtful about his chances.
But now it's collapsed down to +175, so even if he does lose IA and NH, it's not getting back anywhere near +450. I still think that's the best plan to wait for those to happen (or at least Iowa), before firing on him further.
https://youtu.be/Z6uP2grzxQU
Cliffs:
My condolences on Warren, Mumbles.
"Biden doesn't have it."
- Obama
Browsing alt-right media archives from like 2 months ago?Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
it seems blatantly obvious to me that Sanders will win the nomination outright. At this point, i’m basically trying to conceive of scenarios in which Sanders beats Trump in the general. Not quite sure he’ll be able to pull it off, but Trump did beat Hillary sooo
You take Sanders, and I'll take Biden. The rest is a wash. $100 to $1k.Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
Last Vice President to be elected President was in 1836, when Martin Van Buren succeeded Andrew Jackson.
Last U.S. Senator to be elected President was Barack Obama.
America hates Vice Presidents and sees them as fuckups.
Just look at Dick Cheney and Joe Biden.
https://i.gr-assets.com/images/S/com...59._SX540_.jpg
http://patriotretort.com/wp-content/...c-violence.jpg
yeah george bush sr tho
the debates are going to be huge and sanders will, guaranteed, talk working class common sense while trump does his jim jones at the pulpit act.Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
i think enough of his cult gets off the train at that point to tip the scales.
i don't get why she tanked in the polls
boomers gonna boom