*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

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Originally Posted by jsearles22

Baseball betting is all about finding profitable spots. Even bad teams win 40-45% of the time. I think I see a profitable spot tonight.

What if I told you a pitcher was 7-3 with a 2.08 ERA, 2nd in MLB (better than Kershaw or Scherzer. Better than Strasburg or Sale) This guy is at home tonight where his ERA is even better, 1.59. The team he is facing tonight he faced once earlier this year on the road, pitching 6 innings of 1 run ball, 6 Ks. Last Friday the guy pitched a complete game shutout at home. Seems like a great spot if the line is right. Well the ML on this guys team is +150! How is that possible you ask? Well he is 2nd in MLB in ERA but is facing the #1 guy. I still like the +150 value though. At home, and like I said earlier bad teams win a ton in MLB. +150 is too juicy.

Im riding Jason Vargas vs Houston tonight at home, +150. It may not win, it might. Nonetheless I feel like this is a great value underdog play. Also Kuechel is a little worse on the road, with a 2.20 road ERA vs 1.04 ERA at home. KC also has some momentum with a come from behind win yesterday and a walk off HR. Houston was on an 11 game win streak that ended last night. They might be in let down mode too, maybe finally resting players who havent had anytime off during the streak.

That was for you Sanlmar. I know you like details instead of just bets with no explanation.

In before game wins and Druff is too late to bet it

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My one concern here is that Vargas went 9 innings on June 2.

In 1985, I would have LOL'd at that concern, but nowadays pitchers don't do that often. He's also lost his ability to strike a lot of people out -- only 31 over his past 8 starts combined.

I agree this is tempting, but Keuchel has just looked so dominant, and that Houston offense...

I think I have to pass.

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As I'm reading your post, Vargas struck out Springer to open the game

Just sayin

***Edit- and Ks Correa to end 1st

partially off topic, but did anybody around here fire on tradesports (or something like that) back in the day?

trading binary options right now and that reminded me of that site...I think there is another site like tradesports out there that serves euros but obviously since gambling is bad they pulled the plug a long time ago in the US...find that type of action way more enjoyable than firing on shit live...just keep the spread static and allow buying and selling based on the spread...just a fucking phenomenal idea...

Ooooooooohhhhh shit. Kuechel a late scratch, which now makes this my best bet of the year. I clicked the "Vargas must start" box but intentionally did not click the Kuechel box

Horrible with that White Sox game.

They took a 1-0 lead (which seems to be a death knell for me this year), the the Rays got a run on an error, and even worse, a run on a bad call which the Sox inexplicably didn't challenge (would have been ruled an out).

WTF

So it's 3-1 Rays now.

:gay

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Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis

partially off topic, but did anybody around here fire on tradesports (or something like that) back in the day?

trading binary options right now and that reminded me of that site...I think there is another site like tradesports out there that serves euros but obviously since gambling is bad they pulled the plug a long time ago in the US...find that type of action way more enjoyable than firing on shit live...just keep the spread static and allow buying and selling based on the spread...just a fucking phenomenal idea...

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I loved that site. I used to bet on when Saddam would be captured. That was fun.

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

Bronson Arroyo auto-fade:

St. Louis (Lynn) -105 at Reds (B. Arroyo)

Line has moved huge. Started out -126

I think people have a hangover from Scooter Gennett.

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

at Braves (Foltynewicz) -125 vs. Phillies (Eickhoff)

Eickhoff has been a disaster this year. Hasn't won yet in 11 starts. 5.13 ERA, 1.575 WHIP.

Folty, for all his inconsistency, has made 6 quality starts in his last 9, including 7 shutout innings last time out.

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I played St. Louis hard again tonight. Maybe the 6th time is the charm.

Druff, after you posted that about Atl I researched it, agreed with you, and then it was too late to post with my man. Shit. Looks like you are doing well with it. GL...

I also went with JSizzle. KC for the win!

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Originally Posted by Tellafriend

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

at Braves (Foltynewicz) -125 vs. Phillies (Eickhoff)

Eickhoff has been a disaster this year. Hasn't won yet in 11 starts. 5.13 ERA, 1.575 WHIP.

Folty, for all his inconsistency, has made 6 quality starts in his last 9, including 7 shutout innings last time out.

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I played St. Louis hard again tonight. Maybe the 6th time is the charm.

Druff, after you posted that about Atl I researched it, agreed with you, and then it was too late to post with my man. Shit. Looks like you are doing well with it. GL...

I also went with JSizzle. KC for the win!

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Barring an assfucking with Atl or StL, or an unexpected comeback in the White Sox game (sadly that TB rookie is looking great), looks like a 2-1 day for me.

This is getting real old.

3-0 and then 4-1 lead blown by the Cards in the 7th.

Now 4-4

I can't recall any stretch where I've lost so many late leads of multiple runs, without ever getting it the other way.

:gay3

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Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass

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Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis

partially off topic, but did anybody around here fire on tradesports (or something like that) back in the day?

trading binary options right now and that reminded me of that site...I think there is another site like tradesports out there that serves euros but obviously since gambling is bad they pulled the plug a long time ago in the US...find that type of action way more enjoyable than firing on shit live...just keep the spread static and allow buying and selling based on the spread...just a fucking phenomenal idea...

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I loved that site. I used to bet on when Saddam would be captured. That was fun.

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lol that's fantastic! man that shit is really old school...aaaaaaaah the good ol' days of free wheeling internet gambling...

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

This is getting real old.

3-0 and then 4-1 lead blown by the Cards in the 7th.

Now 4-4 with runners on.

I can't recall any stretch where I've lost so many late leads of multiple runs, without ever getting it the other way.

:gay3

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I'm fucking stunned. This CAN"T be happening again. It can't. I was leading Washington all day today too. Holy fucking shit. Anything but a 91 mpb pitch right down the fucking middle Holy shit. Anything but a fucking home run. All they had to do was to get through 2 more innings without giving up more than 3 fucking runs. That's it. Holy shit.

Now Votto hits one out

LOL

Down 6-4 and probably not coming back.

WTF is with all these comebacks? And why never on the side I'm betting?

I really deserve the White Sox to come back and beat the Rays. Won't happen, but I deserve it.

And I don't think I deserve much in gambling.

Me right now

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Originally Posted by jsearles22

Ooooooooohhhhh shit. Kuechel a late scratch, which now makes this my best bet of the year. I clicked the "Vargas must start" box but intentionally did not click the Kuechel box

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it used to be any pitching change got the bet cancelled, but all these options have fucked me. i now say any change and bet cancelled.

Try to do the impossible: Place your bets and don't watch the games. Less headache sometimes. Druff is going to have a heart attack sweating each pitch. A 3 run lead early in a game is nice but not insurmountable. I don't get comfortable unless I got a 7+ run lead these days.

Took Warriors -3.5. I'll take it.

4.20 Bangor Be My Sea 7/4 not life changing but every gambler I know is on it.

Stick it in a double with Theresa May lol

i am hitting a few favorites today, DET, AZ and stros. the grand salami worked really well yesterday, i ould have hot it today, except stl/cin game started early!

1-0 Tigers bottom of 1st 1 out
LOS ANGELES ANGELS OF ANAHEIM at DETROIT TIGERS Total OVER 9.5

Couple sloppy picks with not a lot of thought involved.

Sawks hate bet. 2 tommy john prospects duke it out. Price v Pineda
Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 966 New York Yankees -113 for Game

Two meatball pitchers
Lively v Dickey
Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 960 Philadelphia Phillies/Atlanta Braves over 9½ -120 for Game

Edit

Just before HR

2 units

LOS ANGELES ANGELS OF ANAHEIM at DETROIT TIGERS Total OVER 7.5 -115

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Originally Posted by YUUP

4.20 Bangor Be My Sea 7/4 not life changing but every gambler I know is on it.

Stick it in a double with Theresa May lol

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Nice!! Next time PM me

Lol Tigers

Losing 11-4 in 7th after leading 4-1.

Fulhmer loves his arm & his fastball. Was pumping 71% last I looked. Overthrowing slider.

Tigers announcers were drooling all over the guy while relating how the kid was hitting the weight room during his 6 days between starts.

Not a hater ... just saying the catcher or the bench should have told him to take a little off. He's just young and feels strong.

There were 11 different ways to win here on totals ... Tigers bullpen, Tigers bats, Angels pitching.

David Price

Guy is having a complete meltdown in Boston. The brutal fans & press have sniffed the air of faggot and are killing him. Twitter happy metrosexual.

The highest paid pitcher in the MLB. Allowed most hits in MLB last year. Continued his 0-8 playoff streak last year too.

He's in the wrong town. He belongs in LA or some other town where they really don't care.

Price could shove it up the fans' kiester tonight but he ain't Scherzer.

Gawd, I love Boston sports.


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