I took Chicago +1 tomorrow. Look at the lineups the lakers have been trotting out. Even if Lavine sits the bulls should be able to handle the Lakers featuring heavy usage from the likes of Caruso, Wagner and Williams.
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I took Chicago +1 tomorrow. Look at the lineups the lakers have been trotting out. Even if Lavine sits the bulls should be able to handle the Lakers featuring heavy usage from the likes of Caruso, Wagner and Williams.
Not a clue is my impression of your betting, Druff. I am keen to spot someone who runs well. That has not been your profile.
I can run the numbers for every bet made today. I gave you a brief previously posted example.
My impression is you don’t read the thread.
I will guarantee my math is more detailed than yours.
Okay, let's see the numbers you ran, showing your bets were +EV.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
As I said, you bet on hunches and enjoy pressing buttons, which is totally fine if you're doing it recreationally, but it's not a formula to being a long term winner.
Even in this "bad" NBA season, I've gone .500 on my sides/totals bets, and now 4-0 on dogs (which is equivalent to 9-0 on sides, based upon what they pay).
Last NBA season, I won over a large number of picks, and same with last MLB season.
No one has made more thoughtful posts regarding the process. I am endlessly curious about the why.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffOkay, let's see the numbers you ran, showing your bets were +EV.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
As I said, you bet on hunches and enjoy pressing buttons, which is totally fine if you're doing it recreationally, but it's not a formula to being a long term winner.
Even in this "bad" NBA season, I've gone .500 on my sides/totals bets, and now 4-0 on dogs (which is equivalent to 9-0 on sides, based upon what they pay).
Last NBA season, I won over a large number of picks, and same with last MLB season.
I have posted fucking endlessly about the why of hockey and the first periods. I really get the impression that it doesn’t resonate with but a handful.
“Pushing buttons and betting hunches”. You’re a dick.
It is eminently clear to all here you don’t read the thread. You aren’t interested in what others are contributing.
As well, I do get feedback that I post too much here.
You really are a pompous dick.
San,
Don't sweat the small stuff. We all know Druff doesn't read most of the posts in this thread (or any other) that doesn't have his name in it or isn't a response to a post he made. The rest of us know what is up, so don't worry about his cluelessness.
lol what an asshole comment.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Can’t wait to see what this place looks like in the dregs of summer.
Fuck Druff. Not a single person has posted more thoughtful insite into sports betting than Sanlmar. Druff has the audacity to come in here swinging his tiny smegma covered micropenis around and challenging San the Man?DIAGF you worthless fuck
You endlessly razz me on this site, but I know it's not meant with hostility, and I think some of it you don't really believe.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarNo one has made more thoughtful posts regarding the process. I am endlessly curious about the why.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I have posted fucking endlessly about the why of hockey and the first periods. I really get the impression that it doesn’t resonate with but a handful.
“Pushing buttons and betting hunches”. You’re a dick.
It is eminently clear to all here you don’t read the thread. You aren’t interested in what others are contributing.
As well, I do get feedback that I post too much here.
You really are a pompous dick.
I've never been insulted by any of it. However, you have to expect some razzing back in your direction.
Earlier today you said, of my NBA picks, "This is true if you are picking randomly as you appear to do with totals."
That's not any less offensive than my post about you betting hunches and clicking buttons.
I do enjoy your contributions on this forum, and even in this thread. I was just giving it back to you. I'm not meaning anything offensively.
I stand by my comments about people betting big favorites, though.
It wasn’t apparent you were joking. Fair enough.
Line is moving towards Lakers. Lakers -2 now. As someone who has been following the Bulls and Lakers recently for various reasons I just don’t get it.
Druff it appears you're insulting all of our 1st period efforts in the NHL.
We're betting heavy favorites from -150 to -190 but the key is we are rolling with a record north of 65%.
The past month has been a fun month on here and it's like you don't appreciate the efforts/achievements.
No I’m not insulting anything.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
I just personally do not like betting big favs because it is tough to figure out your true edge.
Much easier to say “This +150 is great because I think the team is 50/50 to win” than “I think -190 is great because it should be -230.”
I’ve seen that you have done very well the past month, and I’m glad you have, and that you’ve shared it with PFA. As you’ve seen, I’ve actually bet real $ on some of your picks.
NCAA CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT CHAMPIONSHIP
MWC Nevada -167
SEC Kentucky +170
BIG10 Michigan State +160
BIG 12 Kansas +300
YOUR WELCOME
pretty amazing the line movement on the overs compared to the unders…
PIT/WSH...got it at 182, now im seeing 245
SJ/WPG...got it at 175, now im seeing 220
DAL/BUF...got it at 136, now im seeing 152
cant believe the under side of the market is being pretty much ignored when DAL is right up there with the top over teams in going under...
san think the NHL heard you...think there have been about 10 PPs in the DAL/BUF game so far...
Here are some NBA plays today, all starting at about 5:05 PDT:
Half/half spread/moneyline (I'm making half a bet on each):
Minnesota +9.5 at Denver
Minnesota +375 at Denver
Moneyline (full bet):
Dallas +140 vs. San Antonio (+135 ok)
Total:
Dallas vs. San Antonio - OVER 219
Wow
-On megatilt from that Bulls diarrhea.
Portland -3.5
Denver -10
From Mrs Daly who is the be all end all prop expert of the royal family....
Btw, if folks are taking bets on Meghan and Harry’s baby name... I called it with Charlotte... but if it’s a girl, my money would be in Elizabeth Diana. Justnsayin’
Gonna lose both Dallas picks because Luca Doncic was awful.
5-18, 1-7 in 3s, and inexplicably, 1-9 in free throws.
Is anyone else following this thing with the Jazz fan?
He basically claims he yelled at Westbrook to ice his knees. Westbrook says he heard, "get on your knees" and somehow construed this as a racist attack. Either way, I seriously doubt any racism was involved. Why is everyone so obsessed with trying to be a victim by manufacturing something that isn't there? And all the other NBA players seem to be mindlessly slurping the made up racism kool-aid.
It is basically Jussie Smollett all over again. It is most likely straight nonsense, and the entire black community and left is just mindlessly slurping it up.
except this happened in Utah...he's gonna get the benefit of the doubt because of where it happened...Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
yeah, that not a guy who would ever yell racist shit
Are you implying Mormon people are inordinately racist agains blacks? Do you actually have any data to back this up, or is this just unsubstantiated verbal diarrhea? Sounds like you are the bigot here, with your bigoted generalizations, that are probably not even true.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenisexcept this happened in Utah...he's gonna get the benefit of the doubt because of where it happened...Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
This guys seems like a douchey troll, and I don't even mind if they want to punish him for his behavior. But it is sick the way everyone wants to view the world through this victimization lens and imagine themself as a victim.
NBA players have long talked about Boston and Utah being particularly racist crowds.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaardAre you implying Mormon people are inordinately racist agains blacks? Do you actually have any data to back this up, or is this just unsubstantiated verbal diarrhea? Sounds like you are the bigot here, with your bigoted generalizations, that are probably not even true.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
This guys seems like a douchey troll, and I don't even mind if they want to punish him for his behavior. But it is sick the way everyone wants to view the world through this victimization lens and imagine themself as a victim.
I wasn't implying anything...as crowe mentioned in his post and as ive seen when this was discussed today by former NBA players who you know have actually played there, they mentioned that Utah was one of the worst places to play for this type of stuff...Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaardAre you implying Mormon people are inordinately racist agains blacks? Do you actually have any data to back this up, or is this just unsubstantiated verbal diarrhea? Sounds like you are the bigot here, with your bigoted generalizations, that are probably not even true.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
This guys seems like a douchey troll, and I don't even mind if they want to punish him for his behavior. But it is sick the way everyone wants to view the world through this victimization lens and imagine themself as a victim.
I don't need to make things up...I highly doubt multiple NBA players would make this shit up, but if that makes you sleep better at night then by all means go for it...
Getting back to the incident in question, if anything you could could argue the intent of the comment was homophobic. I dont even see how you could argue a racial element. And yet everyone seems to have mindlessly drunken the racism kool-aid. It is like we are all trapped in this game of make believe, where we just all nod our heads and agree with something that makes no sense if you take 2 seconds to actually use your brain.
I guess this is a testament to how far we have come in the US today, that we feel the compulsion to make up racism, because reality doesn't support the racism narrative.
just looked at my early line for CHI/TOR..
1.5...240
2...118
cant wait to see this hit 325 by time I wake up tomorrow...doubt im gonna fire at that price...they finally got me...
looking at PIT/BUF at 139 right now...feel the fucking penguins have just fucked me more often than not, but that price is kinda sexy even against the sabres...
Yo dont do itQuote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
Dont forget I was the one who told u Vill wouldnt finish in the top 25
Pens play bad 2 places Carolina and Buffalo
gonna be close...shoulda taken you up on this bet...was worried about the whole quinnerly drama that was going on right about the time we were gonna make the bet...jay buried his ass so deep on the bench that it doesn't really matter...think it's a flip if nova is gonna be top 25...the BET will be telling...Quote:
Originally Posted by badguy23Yo dont do itQuote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
Dont forget I was the one who told u Vill wouldnt finish in the top 25
Pens play bad 2 places Carolina and Buffalo
thx for the heads up on the penguins...don't feel great about them anyway and they're playing an under team...now you're tempting me to fire on the under at plus money...
Atlantic Coast Conference: North Carolina Tar Heels - Louisville Cardinals. Spread North Carolina Tar Heels -7.5 -112
Mountain West Conference: Nevada Wolf Pack - Boise State Broncos. Total Over 143.5 -111
BIG 12 Conference: Kansas Jayhawks - Texas Longhorns. Money Line Kansas Jayhawks -149
Atlantic Coast Conference: Duke Blue Devils - Syracuse Orange. Total Under 144 -110
thanks for the heads up on PIT/BUF, badguy...got a little taste of the 1P under...
Can't wait till tomorrow's college lines come out, I'm eager to see a few lines, mainly duke v north Carolina.
Also, west virginia is gay, they win this huge game, and more than likely tank it tomorrow...
NORTH CAROLINA ML+155
NEVADA WOLF PACK VS SAN DIEGO ST O141.5
SAN ANTONIO SPURS VS NY KNICKS O215.5
LA LAKERS VS DETROIT PISTONS O215.5
Charlotte +135 at Washington - starting NOW
Charlotte going well so far. Apologies for not posting it with more notice.
I have an under for 5:05pm.
Portland at New Orleans - Under 233 (232.5 ok)
Harkless, Davis, and Holiday are out.
Charlotte pick was gold. Was ahead the whole way, and while it got closer in the final minutes, it was never in real jeopardy.
I was considering picking a bigger underdog also, in Miami. A lot of the numbers added up right, but something didn't feel correct about it, so I skipped it.
Then I look, and it's 62-42 Miami at halftime, over 1st place Milwaukee.
Fuck.
Now look at the score. Epic, epic, epic collapse by the Heat. Would have been brutal watching this if I bet on them.
However, looks like I'm going to barely lose this New Orleans under unless I get lucky.
Former Laker Julius Randle is killing me, with 45 points. Didn't expect that. 120-110 right now with 55s left.