*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

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Originally Posted by Tellafriend

Well, as I've said, I'm Fucking cursed. Without a doubt the worst 2-3 weeks of my life gambling on sports. Cards blow another 2-0 lead in bottom of the 7th. Had it big. Real big. Feeling sick.

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You know what's amazing, is how many picks I posted (not sure how many you bet) which had 3-0 leads, late 2-run leads, or 9th inning leads, which have lost.

I've only made 17 picks so far. Provided the Brewers lose (down 4-2 after 8, after leading 2-0), this will be the 6th loss I take of this type, yet I've had zero come-from-behind wins.

That's running bad. Hopefully the Brewers get 2 in the 9th against Melancon, but I'm not counting on it.

Only good luck today was my inability to bet the Cards because of the slowness of my BTC deposit.

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Feliz is 100% pure trash.

All in Dodgers..

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Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

You know what's amazing, is how many picks I posted (not sure how many you bet) which had 3-0 leads, late 2-run leads, or 9th inning leads, which have lost.

I've only made 17 picks so far. Provided the Brewers lose (down 4-2 after 8, after leading 2-0), this will be the 6th loss I take of this type, yet I've had zero come-from-behind wins.

That's running bad. Hopefully the Brewers get 2 in the 9th against Melancon, but I'm not counting on it.

Only good luck today was my inability to bet the Cards because of the slowness of my BTC deposit.

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Feliz is 100% pure trash.

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He is, but the Brewers were probably losing before he came in anyway.

Dodgers aren't coming back from this

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

Dodgers aren't coming back from this

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Druff lets live bet it

Wash has one of the worst bp in league.

youll see im right 4-0 right now u can get +2000

Druff i ask u in pm even dont fck with me in baseball

4-1

Toders only plus 152 now we could of made r money and ran

TODGERS DODGERS GETTING PUT TO THE TEST

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

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Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass

Feliz is 100% pure trash.

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He is, but the Brewers were probably losing before he came in anyway.

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Agreed. Feliz has 0 confidence, he is guaranteed to get slaughtered every time he enters.

badguy23 just shipped me $200 in BTC to bet this Dodgers live for him. I also went $200 so we each have +1.5 +150 for $200

Go Dodgers

Dodgers with a runner at 2nd with nobody out in the 8th and can't score. Also had a runner at 2nd with 2 out in the 9th. Also had a runner at 1st with nobody out in the 7th.

Nothing.

Lose 4-2 and badguy23 & I go down.

:gay

The beauty of this series is you can win it all back tomorrow

Scherzer v McCarthy

Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 961 Washington Nationals -115 for Game

Again, poised for multiple units if dumb LA money does its usual thing.

I can flesh this out but I really think this is self explanatory given the two pitchers. Jansen scares me but it should be well in hand by that point as McCarthy won't last 5.

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

The beauty of this series is you can win it all back tomorrow

Scherzer v McCarthy

Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 961 Washington Nationals -115 for Game

Again, poised for multiple units if dumb LA money does its usual thing.

I can flesh this out but I really think this is self explanatory given the two pitchers. Jansen scares me but it should be well in hand by that point as McCarthy won't last 5.

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Appreciate the encouragement to bet Washington last night. Was only 1/3 of my loss on the Cards, but it beats a loss. Did manage to get lucky with other small bets that won due to last minute home runs that didn't mean anything in Milwaukee and Houston.

See anything else interesting today?

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Originally Posted by Tellafriend

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

The beauty of this series is you can win it all back tomorrow

Scherzer v McCarthy

Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 961 Washington Nationals -115 for Game

Again, poised for multiple units if dumb LA money does its usual thing.

I can flesh this out but I really think this is self explanatory given the two pitchers. Jansen scares me but it should be well in hand by that point as McCarthy won't last 5.

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Appreciate the encouragement to bet Washington last night. Was only 1/3 of my loss on the Cards, but it beats a loss. Did manage to get lucky with other small bets that won due to last minute home runs that didn't mean anything in Milwaukee and Houston.

See anything else interesting today?

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I don't cap or anything of the sort so take this with a grain of salt...

I don't get how matt cain can be a -130 dog to anybody...his best years are waaaaaaay behind him...only issue with taking the brewers is that they can make even the shittiest pitcher look like Kershaw because they strike out a fucking ton...just looked it up...570 times in 58 games...2nd in MLB...

I am eyeing Tampa 2 units. Not 3 as archer can shit the bed. Quintana has been terrible, Tampa better hitting team, white six in a slide. If I can get 7 I am going to add the over. Whoops He line moved from -140 to -170. 140 was rich but 170. Come on. Pass

Just some thoughts...

This pains me but I like Sawks over Yankees

Sawks +107

Sawks Pomeranz v Yankees Tanaka

Tanaka is one of those guys with a partial UCL tear that never got Tommy John. He's a good pitcher with a handicap. You never know how he's feeling & whether he's feeling discomfort. No pitcher will ever disclose the truth.

He's good then he's bad. More recently pretty bad so his results kinda tell you what's up.

I just had the thought that when you're hurt or not feeling right your mechanics drift. You would think this would be a reason for teams to get the surgery done as you are fucking with the guy's muscle memory over time. Price is another guy - highest paid pitcher in baseball (big investment) why fuck with the guy?

Pomeranz's curve is working pretty good. Otherwise, he's no prize but he's "on" now.

Yankees are home but Sawks closer Kimbral is lights out. Trick or treat, meh Sawks offense.

****

The Cleveland Colorado game total under interests me too. Love both these pitchers. Some wild action on the total. Wish I had a take back on Under 11 +104

I'll keep an eye on this when I can.


*****

Pulled trigger on both

Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 963 Boston Red Sox +107 for Game

Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 980 Cleveland Indians/Colorado Rockies under 10½ -102 for Game

Still have
Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 961 Washington Nationals -115 for Game

Riding a Nationals series bet

Added first 5 run line as a hedge against Dodgers bullpen. I gotta lot of exposure now on Scherzer & Nationals
Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 961 Washington Nationals -½ +120 for 1st 5 Innings

I kinda have Tellafriend on my watch list. He may travel more than The Shrink. He must have some time share at the Atlantis.

His screams of pain got me to thinking about my bankroll management. The topic triggers the most arrogant "know it all" conversation in gambling but I am reflecting on mine.

I bet 5% of bankroll as a unit. Small enough that one loss doesn't hurt. A win ain't life changing. I can do the right thing with a bet instead of pressing and rationalizing. Not giving too much of a shit is liberating.

I've had a hell of a run. I acknowledge I've run good too. Along the way, my basic unit has grown (constant 5%). Leaves me lots of room for live betting etc. The unit is now well more than double what it was at start of the season.

The daily decisions are no better than they were before. My edge is no better. I could run bad and screw up the season win percentage real quick. I know myself and pissing away a good run will tilt me.

I am gonna get through today and regress back to my starting unit & re-embrace my true nit self.

Supposed to be fun Tellafriend. No pain, bro

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Originally Posted by Daly

Northwestern over 7 wins -125

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My book releases the CFB lines today and NW was O7.5 -140.

Dodgers' minor league team cancels 'Hourglass Appreciation Night.'

They were going to have 8 stunners - one between each inning for pictures and leering. Cancelled

Instead, Dodgers will have LGBT night at Dodgers Stadium.

I'd say Dodgers are gay but clearly that's obvious.

I remember "Cup Night" at my kids minor league game. Wasn't beer cups but actual cups to protect your junk.

East Coast masculinity vs West Coast limp wrist culture.

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

Dodgers' minor league team cancels 'Hourglass Appreciation Night.'

They were going to have 8 stunners - one between each inning for pictures and leering. Cancelled

Instead, Dodgers will have LGBT night at Dodgers Stadium.

I'd say Dodgers are gay but clearly that's obvious.

I remember "Cup Night" at my kids minor league game. Wasn't beer cups but actual cups to protect your junk.

East Coast masculinity vs West Coast limp wrist culture.

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Too much east coast bias here.

The Hourglass Appreciation Night was to take place during a game for the minor league team based in Ogden, Utah.

It was canceled because of liberal snowflakes who objected to it as "sexist".

That's right... appreciating beautiful women who voluntarily model for the crowd is apparently sexist now.

While this sort of thinking is common in liberal areas of California, it's not restricted to there. Look at all the east coast states which repeatedly go blue in Presidential elections. Look at all of the east coast colleges with ridiculous protests due to microaggressions and the need for safe spaces.

LGBT night at Dodger Stadium is just for money. There's a sizable enough gay community in LA to where the Dodgers want their money, too. I don't care. Let there be an LGBT night. If you really want to laugh at a Dodgers promotion, take a look at Hello Kitty night.

Back to baseball betting.

These are starting fairly soon.

at Atlanta (J. Garcia) -103 vs. Philles (Nola): I really like this one. Nola had one good year in 2015, when he was a rookie. He's been terrible ever since the start of the 2016 season. Jaima Garcia has allowed 0 ER in his past 2 starts. It's also the Phillies on the road. 'Nuff said.

at Milwaukee (C. Anderson) -126 vs. Giants (Cain): The last time Matt Cain had a sub-1.500 WHIP was 2014. He's had some fairly good games, but much of this was due to luck, as he was constantly battling himself out of trouble. He is one of those pitchers who can be either decent or absolutely get hammered, but he's rarely dominant nowadays. I'll go against him for this price, especially with a fairly good Milwaukee team at home.