I think I call that more of a Hanukkah gift -400 or -350 what it went off at.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
So now in this thread we r pumping r chest on -400 favs?
Tag me in.
:siren:facepalm
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I think I call that more of a Hanukkah gift -400 or -350 what it went off at.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
So now in this thread we r pumping r chest on -400 favs?
Tag me in.
:siren:facepalm
I've never seen a more rigged fight (((lol)))
The guy Canelo was fighting was smiling as he was taking a knee
:lol4
I'm very interested in knowing who (((if anybody))) made a YUGE third round tko prop bet or anything like that...
daly what do you think about UAB -2.5? they're one of the few teams Ive watched 0 minutes of this year, but just really like the story...watched a ton of NOILL and read a preview about the game...their current coach has really gotten his ass beat in bowl games and hasn't done much since he players of the previous regime graduated...hate betting on a storyline, but this one just seems like a really good one to take the chance on, but don't know enough on how good UAB is...
Marcus Peters goes into the stands.
Anyone on the Utah Jazz under train?
You're not?
I didn't feel well today and woke up too late for it.
87 points (total) in the first half.
Teams with 33% or less in bowl season with a spread +\- 7 cover over 66% of the time.
NIU is one of those teams.
Problem for me is so is USF and I like Marshal in that game.
Under 60.5 in the Bahamas Bowl.
90% chance of rain and winds of over 25MPh
My guess is this will kickoff in the mid to low 50’s if the weather holds.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Daly check PM's please
Funny and painfulQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I would have rejoined your congregation if you had posted.
I admit I was sold on the idea previously but forgot about it.
Really really top notch. I wonder how quickly the models adjust?
Starting at 4:35pm PT
Lakers at Brooklyn - Under 229
Here's one with a lower total, but I still think it's good:
Dallas at Denver - Under 208 (207.5 ok)
Starts at 6:05pm PT
when did UAB turn into texas tech east? didn't see them winning slinging the ball all over the place...jesus...
Last week sucked ass. Nice to get off to a good start to this week with UAB.
Rut Roh. I guess the silver lining is if it goes over by 1 point or 50 points the loss is the same.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Yeah that one was a disaster. At least I won the Lakers under.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaardRut Roh. I guess the silver lining is if it goes over by 1 point or 50 points the loss is the same.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Not that it was close, but I think I'm pretty much done betting totals like 208 in the 2018-19 NBA.
Unless it involves Utah.
all the value was sucked outta this one when grier wasn't going to play in the game, but now WVU is down their #2 WR as Jennings is out...
Jennings is a nice little player but he isn’t anything special. Can’t make big line adjustments on a WR2 when the WR3 is just about as good.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
grier and cajuste are obviously the biggest losses there, but it's just another ding against them against cuse...guess I like Jennings more than you do...shit is a helluva lot different without grier, but in the few games I watched they seemed to stretch the field with Jennings (and sills as well)...don't really remember them using simms in that role...im trying to figure this out from a DFS standpoint...no clue on what to do with this game on the WVU side of the ball...Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyJennings is a nice little player but he isn’t anything special. Can’t make big line adjustments on a WR2 when the WR3 is just about as good.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
Split 'em yesterday.
Finally jumping on the Utah under train.
In 5 of the past 11 games, one or both teams in Utah games finished with 91 or fewer points.
In 6 of the past 11 games, the total was 201 points or fewer.
For 2018-19, that's pretty notable.
Soooo...
Golden State at Utah - Under 223
One of the sharpest guys I know says cuse at +$ is a sharp playQuote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenisgrier and cajuste are obviously the biggest losses there, but it's just another ding against them against cuse...guess I like Jennings more than you do...shit is a helluva lot different without grier, but in the few games I watched they seemed to stretch the field with Jennings (and sills as well)...don't really remember them using simms in that role...im trying to figure this out from a DFS standpoint...no clue on what to do with this game on the WVU side of the ball...Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
not surprising...babers has done a helluva job in bringing them back from being a laughingstock to being a respectable team...Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyOne of the sharpest guys I know says cuse at +$ is a sharp playQuote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
If you want to oversimplify it they stood toe to toe with clemson. WVU didn’t play a team half that good all year.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenisnot surprising...babers has done a helluva job in bringing them back from being a laughingstock to being a respectable team...Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
All aboard the Utah Under Train!!!Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Back to .500
12-12-1
TIMBER!!!!!Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
56 and falling
November 6, 2018Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyTIMBER!!!!!Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
56 and falling
Buffalo 48
Kent State 14
As a rule, bad weather is for squares. In fact, Daly took the over @ 40 once the public (and probably the sharps) bid the total down.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I just want to be clear when Daly tosses out this weather porn. I have not looked at the game yet but this should be your lean.
If I had you outside and we were looking at the tops of trees - I would wager you any amount of money you could not guess the wind speed within 5mph. You have no idea what 25mph is. Truth.
We move on.
Somewhere in this pig pile I saw Daly endorse Marshall v South Florida. I bought this a week ago
Accepted: 12/13/2018 5:30:40 PM
Description:
Mobile - Football - NCAA - 215 Marshall -2½ -123 for Game
I liked the story. Marshall coach is Doc Holliday. Right there Marshall had my bet.
Doc Holliday has won the last 5 Bowl games he has been in. He seems to know how to get his kids up for meaningless bowl games.
South Florida is playing a bowl game at home. How thrilled do you think those kids are? Especially after losing last 5 games following a 7-0 start.
I think the Florida QB is nicked up too. Haven’t looked recently.
This is pretty much all you need to know but I actually like the matchup too.
Yeah that buffalo game didn’t work out well. Seem to recall doing OK in a few other of these types of spots though.
I posted the play at 60.5 and the total is currently at 56. Point being I got some real value here. Does that make it a guaranteed winner? No.
And as far as the quip about looking at the top of a tree and not being able to guess the MPH is irrelevant. What I can say is rellivant is being able to look at the top of a tree and knowing if it’s 5MPH vs 30MPH. Winds over 20 esp in the college game can wreck an offense.
From what I can see, the money is super heavy on the under on that one, hence the line move. Probably many have the same idea regarding the weather.
I meant to bet it before, but I'm not going to bother now that it's down to 56.
Public AF tonight. Houston has finally caught fire. HOU -3 . Riding the wave here.
Sanlmar -> Leafs playing tonight. Keep it on your radar incase they are held scoreless for the first and/or first two periods.
From what Im hearing one book has canceled a shit ton of bets on the opener stay tuned.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
If this happens all will follow suit. Trust me. They are going to claim bad line. If this happens sports gambling as we no it is dead. This aint a pitching change.
Bro that shit is down to 51 and has been forever I got 59 under cuz of this thread. They best cancel all bets now if they are canceling anything and not wait fir game to be played. LOL I kid I kid u fools.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I do got under 59 Daly who do u like tonight?
That would be complete bullshit if true...... unless they move the game back a day or the venue. 99% of books have posted rules for this very reason.Quote:
Originally Posted by badguy23From what Im hearing one book has canceled a shit ton of bets on the opener stay tuned.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
If this happens all will follow suit. Trust me. They are going to claim bad line. If this happens sports gambling as we no it is dead. This aint a pitching change.
If someone gets a bet canceled on this game I’d be very interested to hear about it.
That said - I wouldn’t be surprised to see some shady ass local try and cancel...... dirty business
51 or 56? 51 is the total for tonight’s game. We talking about the FIU game tomorrow which is 56 and to be played (I hope) in the Bahamas.Quote:
Originally Posted by badguy23Bro that shit is down to 51 and has been forever I got 59 under cuz of this thread. They best cancel all bets now if they are canceling anything and not wait fir game to be played. LOL I kid I kid u fools.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I do got under 59 Daly who do u like tonight?
I like Marshall tonight but it’s a crowded trade.
Prefer -2.5 1H over -4.5 Game if you opening a new bet.
Bro I was kidding its not true!! Just fckin with ppl blindly following u. I put todays o/u up of 51 they prob dont even no the teams playing or its tomorrow. That was a great call win or lose. I swear I like South Florida tonight but no u said u love Marshall but also said about that 33% thing and N.LL got smacked the other night on the same angle. U think that angle can lose twice in a row ?Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyThat would be complete bullshit if true...... unless they move the game back a day or the venue. 99% of books have posted rules for this very reason.Quote:
Originally Posted by badguy23
If someone gets a bet canceled on this game I’d be very interested to hear about it.
That said - I wouldn’t be surprised to see some shady ass local try and cancel...... dirty business
I don’t think so re temp. It is windy though. Was on beach till 5 today. Here’s the weather:Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyTIMBER!!!!!Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
56 and falling
5-0Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
They said the total was flashing 7 some places in Vegas. It inspired reminiscing for the Gretzky days when you saw 8.
I need to resolve to work harder at NHL.
Howie Long’s kid built a Foles shrine in Eagles locker room
Pats & Eagles have had quite a ride after the Super Bowl. The shrine and the good Eagles chemistry tells you who is on the rise.
Patriots not so much. I took Bills and 13.5 Lol but serious. I am not done with Patriots betting by a long shot. This is just a start. Lol Flash Gordon.
The man called “Gronk” will hereafter be referred to as Robert James Gronkowski. Gronk passed away quietly this year. RIP
Things have run pure for “the public” with the favorites undefeated so far (although FIU is up now).Quote:
Originally Posted by badguy23Bro I was kidding its not true!! Just fckin with ppl blindly following u. I put todays o/u up of 51 they prob dont even no the teams playing or its tomorrow. That was a great call win or lose. I swear I like South Florida tonight but no u said u love Marshall but also said about that 33% thing and N.LL got smacked the other night on the same angle. U think that angle can lose twice in a row ?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Sad thing is I really like BYU tonight too.
Don’t max bet this Daly else you’ll get banned - outs so few
Tablet - TOLEDO ROCKETS at FIU PANTHERS [DRIVE PROPS] Total [3rd Quarter Only] OVER 13.5 -105
I have FIU +5.5 and U57.5. Horrible lines On both bets but looking good to at least split.
hands of stoneQuote:
Originally Posted by verminaard