I have a 3 team parlay this week. Will update thread.
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I have a 3 team parlay this week. Will update thread.
Talk about max pain.Quote:
Originally Posted by Mintjewlips
I don’t blame you. I’d keep your dog in the house tonight nevertheless
Holy hell Druff
Thank you. I don’t understand
126 end of 4th
128 under your call
I took you live and it went south fast
10/22/2018 11:58:58 PM
DESCRIPTION:
TABLET - PHOENIX SUNS AT GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS [BASKET PROPS] TOTAL UNDER 228.5
I saw live 241.5 late and that was justified
Wagering is killing me. It’s like Alice’s rabbit hole
After the 70 point 3rd, I turned it off.
Was ready to come on here and concede that unders aren't the same anymore since they changed the offensive rebound shot clock.
Then somehow only 39 points dropped in the 4th, and we win by 2.
Not my proudest victory, but I'll take it.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
A win is a win my furor. It squeaked by. Only because the scrubs got put into the game on both sides. What's the best way for a scrub to get his coaches attention?
PLAY DEFENSE!
Hopefully tonight you learned a lesson . Luck will only carry you so far. Continue picking unders and leave luck to decide the 3-10 start I see in your future
Overs were crushing all season in the NFL and went 4-11 (or something around there) last week. These things will balance out in the NBA too at some point, but when it does is anybody guess.Quote:
Originally Posted by GookieheimowitzQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
A win is a win my furor. It squeaked by. Only because the scrubs got put into the game on both sides. What's the best way for a scrub to get his coaches attention?
PLAY DEFENSE!
Hopefully tonight you learned a lesson . Luck will only carry you so far. Continue picking unders and leave luck to decide the 3-10 start I see in your future
Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaardOvers were crushing all season in the NFL and went 4-11 (or something around there) last week. These things will balance out in the NBA too at some point, but when it does is anybody guess.Quote:
Originally Posted by Gookieheimowitz
Yes it will balance out. History shows that these guys tend to get in shape by the end of November and start playing defense some what . It does all equal out and the books will adjust the totals downward as season progress. Playing unders in first month though is asking for disaster IMO. There is no way any of these fools are going to play high level defense and risk getting hurt.
If that were true, you should be hammering every single game over for the next 3 weeks and you'll make a fortune.Quote:
Originally Posted by GookieheimowitzQuote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
Yes it will balance out. History shows that these guys tend to get in shape by the end of November and start playing defense some what . It does all equal out and the books will adjust the totals downward as season progress. Playing unders in first month though is asking for disaster IMO. There is no way any of these fools are going to play high level defense and risk getting hurt.
Why aren't you?
Gookie won't like this, but here's another under:
Philadelphia at Detroit - Under 215
Drummond is sick but playing.
Simmons is out.
Todge that is going to fly over baby what is u doing
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffIf that were true, you should be hammering every single game over for the next 3 weeks and you'll make a fortune.Quote:
Originally Posted by Gookieheimowitz
Why aren't you?
I don't bet totals or original lines . That's so 90's . I bet in game and only during certain situational occurrences. It's your money and sanity . I'm just being entertained
Did anyone bet worst anthem ever?
Well, I'm not going to switch to betting overs, but I will concede that something is very different this season... probably because of the 14-second offensive rebound clock, and perhaps the general pace and defensive focus has also changed. Maybe it will resolve itself after a few weeks (at least the pace/defense), and perhaps it won't.Quote:
Originally Posted by GookieheimowitzQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I don't bet totals or original lines . That's so 90's . I bet in game and only during certain situational occurrences. It's your money and sanity . I'm just being entertained
In the meantime, I will reevaluate my strategy, as the 2017-18 unders strategy I was using has been a big failure this year. Going to lose this one, and honestly deserved to lose yesterday. So that means a lucky/undeserved win and 3 bad losses.
All good things come to an end, though, and sportsbetting is an ever-evolving animal.
I disagree that unders are '90s. I definitely had something going with them last year, as well as this year with MLB. But in 2018-19 NBA, I need to redo the strategy, apparently.
Yung todge reevaluating yall
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffWell, I'm not going to switch to betting overs, but I will concede that something is very different this season... probably because of the 14-second offensive rebound clock, and perhaps the general pace and defensive focus has also changed. Maybe it will resolve itself after a few weeks (at least the pace/defense), and perhaps it won't.Quote:
Originally Posted by Gookieheimowitz
In the meantime, I will reevaluate my strategy, as the 2017-18 unders strategy I was using has been a big failure this year. Going to lose this one, and honestly deserved to lose yesterday. So that means a lucky/undeserved win and 3 bad losses.
All good things come to an end, though, and sportsbetting is an ever-evolving animal.
I disagree that unders are '90s. I definitely had something going with them last year, as well as this year with MLB. But in 2018-19 NBA, I need to redo the strategy, apparently.
I didn't say understand where so 90's . What I said is betting into pregame fixed lines are old news. If you like an under at 215 that's fine but when they give you a sneak peak of the first five minutes of a game and the line is ever adjusting I would feel you could make better choices . In game wagering is the only way to play NBA .
Denver playing defense. High total. That an under to watch?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Fucking imbecile.
Why not bunt in that position?
Edit: Nvm, just realized who was at the plate
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
240 points and rising.
:denied
Forgot to post this.
First time, in 20 years, I have ever bet on the Red Sox to win in ANY game
They say bet with your head not your heart
Baby StepsQuote:
Originally Posted by OSAForgot to post this.
First time, in 20 years, I have ever bet on the Red Sox to win in ANY game
They say bet with your head not your heart
You have no idea what I’ve have been going through.
I’m on them too.
Was gonna lay a thou on this series but I couldnt have myself even say the words.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarBaby StepsQuote:
Originally Posted by OSAForgot to post this.
First time, in 20 years, I have ever bet on the Red Sox to win in ANY game
They say bet with your head not your heart
You have no idea what I’ve have been going through.
I’m on them too.
Figure I just throw 200 on Sale
Need another run to cover 2nd bet
Welcome aboard Onstep.Quote:
Originally Posted by OSAWas gonna lay a thou on this series but I couldnt have myself even say the words.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Figure I just throw 200 on Sale
Need another run to cover 2nd bet
Also I’ve said numerous times in this thread that I’ve met a lot of successful betters with a lot of different angles. Never once have I met anyone who has consistently made money on Run/Puck lines.
There is always some feel good story in World Series. The little guy Altuve. Young rookiesQuote:
Originally Posted by OSAWas gonna lay a thou on this series but I couldnt have myself even say the words.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Figure I just throw 200 on Sale
Need another run to cover 2nd bet
Absolutely nothing likeable about either of these top two mega dollar outfits. It’s like cheering for Dick Cheney
Just take the money. They do
Theres nothing wrong with betting unders or overs or anything for that matter. If a play has value it has value.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffWell, I'm not going to switch to betting overs, but I will concede that something is very different this season... probably because of the 14-second offensive rebound clock, and perhaps the general pace and defensive focus has also changed. Maybe it will resolve itself after a few weeks (at least the pace/defense), and perhaps it won't.Quote:
Originally Posted by Gookieheimowitz
In the meantime, I will reevaluate my strategy, as the 2017-18 unders strategy I was using has been a big failure this year. Going to lose this one, and honestly deserved to lose yesterday. So that means a lucky/undeserved win and 3 bad losses.
All good things come to an end, though, and sportsbetting is an ever-evolving animal.
I disagree that unders are '90s. I definitely had something going with them last year, as well as this year with MLB. But in 2018-19 NBA, I need to redo the strategy, apparently.
As far as things changing from early last year to this year something may be different that could be going against how you pick plays. But I wouldn't get too far ahead of yourself trying to figure that out after a handful of plays but you should always comb your data to see if you messed up or if you notice a trend.
But also consider your hot run to start last year could have just been you enjoying the right side of variance (which I would lean towards because of the tiny sample size).
While it is entirely possible that run was skill, without a huge sample tracked you will never know.
My question for you is this, let's assume you have a method that really works and you start crushing the totals again early this season. How do you know the timeline of when your method will stop working?
These Red Sox hitters go after the high fastballs like I go after twinks who need pot at festivals
me and my well heeled mexican neighbors just all yelled god dammit in unison
Baruch Hashem.
Whoever that shmuck was, thanks for that.
Has there been an inning where the Red Sox havent had a RISP?
calm down with ur jew code
i swear you Skat idiots are like 4 people - all probably the same.
Sonatine-Gary, Gray, And Grary?
my birth name is gary sanzobal sanchez the 14th
Quote:
Originally Posted by lol wow
dakota plays also
What does she play with?Quote:
Originally Posted by lol wow
Your son, after he has bottomed for me.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sam SneadWhat does she play with?Quote:
Originally Posted by lol wow
Don't get cute.
I think I heard at this point last season 6 teams averaged 110 points or more. This season it’s 20 teams.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Someone look up Totals wins/losses ytd.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarI think I heard at this point last season 6 teams averaged 110 points or more. This season it’s 20 teams.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Someone look up Totals wins/losses ytd.
66-36 overall for all teams Overs.
I have blindly bet every laker game over so far and have gone 3-0 without a sweat. However, I looked at the line of 239 today and I took some pause. That is a damn high line. Most of the other lines today are in the high 220s or 230s. With these inflated lines Is this the day the unders clean up?Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarI think I heard at this point last season 6 teams averaged 110 points or more. This season it’s 20 teams.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Someone look up Totals wins/losses ytd.
Might be, might not be, books will keep adjustingQuote:
Originally Posted by verminaardI have blindly bet every laker game over so far and have gone 3-0 without a sweat. However, I looked at the line of 239 today and I took some pause. That is a damn high line. Most of the other lines today are in the high 220s or 230s. With these inflated lines Is this the day the unders clean up?Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Price gonna Price tonight?
I mean if Sale gave up 4 then he has to give up like 14.
I think the bet here is Red Sox for the game, but the Dodgers the first 5 innings.
I donno how much you watch dodgers, but there MO isn’t for middle relievers to give up runs in close games. Yesterday was an anomaly. Most of the time the middle relief in close games is good and Jansen is the one who can be shaky in the 9th, although he hasn’t been lately. I am not sure that is a very good game script and you might be assuming because something happened once it is likely to happen again, when it isn’t.Quote:
Originally Posted by OSA