Supposed to be windy as fuck I Utah at kickoff but temper off.
Under 23 1h
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Supposed to be windy as fuck I Utah at kickoff but temper off.
Under 23 1h
I am watching the Alabama game. First time I have really watched them play all season. Damn this Hawaiian QB is good. I don't really see any way Ala loses a game this year as long as he is healthy. They may not even have a close game. Its gonna be crazy if they are favored by 35+ when they play LSU and Auburn later in the year, but I can definitely see it happening.
Ohio State Live +165
Absolute shit show. Culminated by kneeling inside the 5 to fuck usQuote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
KC + 5.5
LAC -8
Indy +6
Pretty much this. Last night was supposed to be when the young defense got tested by the best receiver core in college football and they shut them down after that initial td. Pretty easy schedule for my guys this year too with lots of home games. It's damn scary what they're doing the last few years since Saban handed off control of the offense and they are no longer a run first team.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
Vermin:
STRAIGHT BET
[181] TOTAL o69½-105
(ALABAMA vrs MISSISSIPPI)
Again Pal, could you try to post a little earlier for the rest of us?
Going over in chargers/bills and Houston/tenn
Both games at 41.5
Running good in college but just pocket change for a sweat here. I need a reason to watch
A Sunday nap vs early season NFL. Tough spot.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Hope you're right about IndyQuote:
Originally Posted by varys
So you can fade?Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
I think our collective bankrolls should be on the chargers this week. This looks like a 20+ pt bloodbath.Quote:
Originally Posted by hongkongerHope you're right about IndyQuote:
Originally Posted by varys
I posted that several hours before game start and line had gone up to 71 by then too. You had plenty of time if you were inclined to fade.Quote:
Originally Posted by hongkongerSo you can fade?Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
DeGrom vs Sale (2-3 innings)
Mets +164
Mets offense on the road is actually pretty good.
yw
Also, I had Az St. last night. I know none of you guys were watching but there was this weird play at the end where Az threw a hailmary that was "caught" at the 5 yard line, and the defensive back did a clear headhunt targeting to try to break up the play. And the ball moved around at the end. And the refs called it incomplete and a 15 yard targeting play instead of a 40 yard (or whatever) completion.
Anyways, not even getting into the issue of a player gaming the system by intentionally doing a dangerous play to greatly increase your EV of winning the game, CBS did about 1000 replays of the play from various cameras and speeds and not a single one actually showed the ball touching the ground. Unless the refs have a secret camera from a different angle that CBS is not privy to, how can you reverse a play with no evidence.
Real fishy.
It’s always amazing guys who get paid to commentate games dont know the rules. It’s like they’ve never been burnt on a bet in their lives. You want the rules, ask a gambler. I’ve gotten fucked by every single obscure rule in the book at least once. KC guy going off about LOS and ball instead of body.
It is a forward pass beyond the line of scrimmage if the passer’s entire body and the ball are beyond the line of scrimmage when the ball is released, whether the passer is airborne or touching the ground.
Yawn
losing my ass. did all parlays and a few spots killing me. steelers and jets mainly.
Are you holding out on us Simpdog?
What else have you done?
You took the Jays didn’t you?
Come clean
lol saints suck ass
lolz Browns missed PAT bahahaha
Dolphins +3Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Vikings +1
I didn't mind the Minnesota/GB tie at all.
Going to add Dallas Cowboys tonight -3.
Quote:
Originally Posted by hongkongerSo you can fade?Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
Naturally.
Quote:
Originally Posted by varys
It was a good day.
What book had Vikings +1 and when? I am calling BS.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdogDolphins +3Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Vikings +1
I didn't mind the Minnesota/GB tie at all.
Going to add Dallas Cowboys tonight -3.
Giants +3.
Win or lose this game, this week was a bloodbath.
Cowboys go up by 7 in 1 minute.
Good start.
4th and inches at midfield with the #2 overall pick at RB and Schermer punts.
Fail. Fail. Fail.
Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
Lulllz. Glad I went Dallas -2.5.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
I love the tie. More ties please.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdogDolphins +3Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Vikings +1
I didn't mind the Minnesota/GB tie at all.
Going to add Dallas Cowboys tonight -3.
Take caution with your tone sir.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaardWhat book had Vikings +1 and when? I am calling BS.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Simp has done nothing but provide opportunity for those of us who really shouldn’t be thinking on our own
I don’t know which book he has but this was the interval when lines crossed
Very few books had lines available for the public at that point, especially US accessible. I doubt he has a book which offered the line when he said he took it. He probably just looks up lines and makes pretend bets. It is fine.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarTake caution with your tone sir.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
Simp has done nothing but provide opportunity for those of us who really shouldn’t be thinking on our own
I don’t know which book he has but this was the interval when lines crossed
The St Louis Dodgers wildcard race is on.
I looked into tomorrow’s Braves v Cards game.
Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 956 St. Louis Cardinals/Atlanta Braves under 8½ -120 for Game
The total is likely to drop so I’m playing the early line now
If Simp approves it - join me.
Good Dodgers fun:
Let’s suspend reality for a second and imagine the Dodgers play the Rockies in the playoffs. Yeah, I know.
Dodgers nation is wringing their hands about closer Kenley Jansen and his heart problems won’t make the trip because of the altitude. Jansen was advised by his doctors not to travel to Colorado last time the Dodgers were there.
Jansen is hysterical and frankly the best thing to come out of LA if you enjoy the Dodgers failure. I like late home runs as much as the next guy.
Verm
Simp hit his stride a few weeks before Druff retired from gambling. There is the belief amongst many in the thread that Simp made it look so easy that this was principally what demoralized Druff and triggered his anxiety.
Simp posted his stuff and I graded him every day. I started blind betting him. He rarely had a losing day but when he did he threw rocks at me claiming I jinxed him. I am a sensitive guy and didn’t want to queer the gravy train so I took to only providing daily rimjobs.
He has never said one thing about his success. He has never responded to my hype. I think he might feel anything new on his part might end the magic.
This will be the last time I slobber all over Simp. I tried to help the unfortunate. My work is done.
I don’t know what you meant about the lines not being public. The line movement is betting pushing the numbers back and forth. It’s real. The lines didn’t change in a vacuum.
Most amateur American punters don't have access to any of the books that had Green Bay lines available when Minn was +. Do you think Simp has a fake Pinnacle account and bets through a VPN?Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I have been around a long time. The way Simp makes his plays I don't think he really has an account anywhere where he makes real money bets (for example, the fact the never posts odds is a pretty good indication). I think he just looks up lines and makes picks. It is fine. If blindly following him works for you then do it. All the same from your end.
FWIW I think I have a pretty good feel for who is actually making the plays they are saying and who isn't. The one exception where I admit I think I was wrong is Daly, who admitted he has access to a syndicate with accounts at a lot of books where he can cherry pick lines a punter who is playing off of one or two books never could.
God I hope your sports "reads" are better than your other reads. He's not American and has more access to other lines then most people do on here....Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaardMost amateur American punters don't have access to any of the books that had Green Bay lines available when Minn was +. Do you think Simp has a fake Pinnacle account and bets through a VPN?Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I have been around a long time. The way Simp makes his plays I don't think he really has an account anywhere where he makes real money bets (for example, the fact the never posts odds is a pretty good indication). I think he just looks up lines and makes picks. It is fine. If blindly following him works for you then do it. All the same from your end.
FWIW I think I have a pretty good feel for who is actually making the plays they are saying and who isn't. The one exception where I admit I think I was wrong is Daly, who admitted he has access to a syndicate with accounts at a lot of books where he can cherry pick lines a punter who is playing off of one or two books never could.
No need to defend me.
I’ll keep posting as my streak continues. I know it has to end but let’s see how far it goes.
Verm I wish you the best of luck. Cheers bro.
Seattle +4.5 at Chicago tonight.
Phillies/Mets over 7.5
Cubs +110
Thanks. GL to you too.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Which one of you guys is this?
Someone at William Hill in Vegas has a 13 team parlay open tonight, $5 to win $52,140. He’s got the bears ML. It was a 14 team 5/80,000 but he had packers ML (push)
I think you are overstating the above a touch. It more like friends, relatives and some online humps who like a decent sweat and have virgin accounts. Now I know someone who is my mentor in sports wagering.... he’s got a syndicate going. He’s going to write a book someday and it’s going to make a great movie. There is an epic underground game of cat and mouse being played by prop sharps and bookmakers with the front lines being fought at the agent level.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaardMost amateur American punters don't have access to any of the books that had Green Bay lines available when Minn was +. Do you think Simp has a fake Pinnacle account and bets through a VPN?Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I have been around a long time. The way Simp makes his plays I don't think he really has an account anywhere where he makes real money bets (for example, the fact the never posts odds is a pretty good indication). I think he just looks up lines and makes picks. It is fine. If blindly following him works for you then do it. All the same from your end.
FWIW I think I have a pretty good feel for who is actually making the plays they are saying and who isn't. The one exception where I admit I think I was wrong is Daly, who admitted he has access to a syndicate with accounts at a lot of books where he can cherry pick lines a punter who is playing off of one or two books never could.