Got this PM from the one and only jsizzle. As for the quality well he did the picture snipping jpg not me.
http://i1198.photobucket.com/albums/...ps75dfd843.jpg
Beg borrow and steal to lock this in (or fade it obv).
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Got this PM from the one and only jsizzle. As for the quality well he did the picture snipping jpg not me.
http://i1198.photobucket.com/albums/...ps75dfd843.jpg
Beg borrow and steal to lock this in (or fade it obv).
I like Ohio State
:outright
FADE OHIO STATE
God I hope slizz is right. I have a futures with Ohio State but probably the worst price ever.
Slizz can say he was giving the forum misinformation if Oregon rolls so he's got us coming and going.
I'm hopeful of OSU being up at half so I can hedge.
Edit: China what do you think of o/u 73? Traditionally these things don't hit over but obviously different teams on the field each year.
I like OSU as well. Most athletic Big 10 team I've seen in a long time. Its been impressive how Urban Meyer has brought in SEC type athletes.
I'm predicting a 42-31 final score for in favor of the team I bet which I'm not even going to mention who right now in fear of the jinx. I will post the ticket later if I win otherwise you can just assume I lost.
Oregon will probably go for some 2pt conversion and ruin one of these totals whether they make it or don't.
sharp line bovada o/u is 1.5 points below standard line. I might wait til just before kickoff and take the over...
Or watch a few drives and hope for a couple punts and take the over then.
Went under 107 2nd half on Boston/NO. 49-49 at half.
We risk overtime but I like this otherwise.
Just also fired Houston -1.5 2nd half, though it's still at 2 at some books.
They're up by 8 at the half.
Barring a miracle its a 2-2 day. Won both Houston bets, and those Pelicans, which I can never seem to get right, are about to lose both (under already lost).
Coming into the day 70-63-5.
3 picks today:
Atlanta at Philly - Under 200 -105 - This is a staple of mine in recent weeks, a 76ers under. I will keep hammering these until things change. The 76ers are showing some life. They've won 2 in a row, which is why I am not going with Atlanta -13 here (the other reason being that -13 lines often get screwed by trash time, and virtually have no shot to win through end-of-game intentional fouling). However, Philly hasn't won thanks to an improved offense. They've won thanks to improved DEFENSE! In their two game winning streak, they scored 90 and 93 points -- similar to their output for most games this season, especially over the past several weeks. This team very rarely scores 95, and often is held well under 90 (sometimes under 80). Atlanta can put points up, but isn't a scoring juggernaut. This is a very good, balanced team, and is very consistent. However, they only occasionally put forth a major offensive outburst, as they did last time out against Washington. With Philly's inability to score, coupled with their better defense, I see this one going lower than 200.
Dallas -5 -115 at Sacramento - The Kings continue to struggle despite the return of Cousins. Since his return, they have won a grand total of ONE game against a quality team -- a shocking beatdown of OKC on January 7th. The rest of their wins have been against the crap of the league. Dallas hasn't been great lately, but this Sacramento team is still plenty dysfunctional, and I like only having to give up 5 points here. I also see Dallas bouncing back here after two sobering losses to the resurgent Pistons and the solid Clippers.
Golden State -8 -115 at Utah - I usually hate betting on Utah at home, as the altitude in Salt Lake often throws visiting teams off and makes the game unpredictable. However, Utah hasn't been any better this year at home than on the road, and there is a world of difference between these two squads. Golden State has won 6 in a row and sits with a 29-5 record, while Utah is just 13-25, and is back to its losing ways after a short spurt of inspired basketball. The reason for this relatively low line is Utah's occasional ability to surprise good teams (they beat Chicago by 20 on Jan 7), as well as their ability to sometimes play good teams close. Still, there is such a huge skill gap between these two squads, and the line is reasonable enough to where even a relatively close game could still go Golden State's way when it's over.
Got a few worse lines on Bovada:
GS -8.5 -105
Dallas -5.5 -105
Phi/Atl Under 200 -105
Suddenly everyone's on the 76ers bandwagon, and the line just crashed from -13 to -10.5.
If it goes much lower, I will take the Atl.
Edit: Ah, it's off the board on Bovada. Someone must be injured. I think that helps my under.
I got dallas -5 last night as well.
Atl/Phi under looking great.
63-49 with 4:52 left in the 3rd. Atlanta is just amazing. Two key players out, and they are still rolling. Of course, it's against the Sixers, but still...
I knew you would. You love to go against Sac, so I knew if I liked it, you also had to like it.Quote:
Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit
I like Dallas too and even though I swore off betting the NBA for a while I will make a small play on them at -5.
If this loses in a way like that Pistons game where I got backdoored the other day in the worst possible fashion then I won't be betting NBA until March or April when I start betting team total under props for games with playoff positioning implications.
Looks like you're a cooler.Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker
Finished with Dallas winning by 4 in OT.
This was my only loss today. Other two won.
Philly unders have been
:solidgold
72-64-5 is my record.
True, but at least this game didn't lose the same way the Pistons didn't cover with 4 missed free throws in the last minute and giving up a layup in the last couple seconds.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffLooks like you're a cooler.Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker
Finished with Dallas winning by 4 in OT.
This was my only loss today. Other two won.
I watched zero seconds of this game but from what it looks like according to the box score info Dallas came from behind to get to OT so in that case they weren't covering 5 anyways unless it got to OT and after that is wishful thinking.
Here we go with more NBA:
San Antonio -4.5 at Charlotte - Charlotte overrated because of their inexplicable winning streak, but this isn't a good team. Three of those 5 wins in this streak were against bad teams.
SA/Charlotte - Over 189.5 - Why is this line under 190? While neither team kills it with the scoring, Charlotte has put up between 98 and 110 points in their lats 5, and San Antonio has put up over 100 in 4 of their last 5.
Philadelphia at Toronto - Under 202 - What a surprise... I'm picking another Philly under. It has been a month since Philly broke 100, and their last 6 games have seen 92 or fewer scored, including 87 yesterday. Toronto can sometimes rack up high scores, but they play defense, unlike a team like Phoenix. They've only scored over 109 once in their past 6 games, and that was 111.
Houston -9 at Orlando - Houston has crushed 4 bad teams in a row, and I see them doing it again. Orlando shocked the inconsistent Bulls last time out with a win, but they had lost 6 straight prior to that. They have looked really bad lately, even losing to the struggling Lakers.
Bet:
Houston -9
SA -4.5
SA Under 190 -115
The bolded above was a stupid misclick, so now I'm in the odd situation of betting against my own pick. I meant to bet over. I'm just going to leave it because I don't want double juice. I will call Bovada and see if by some chance they can change it.
Could not bet Philly under because it's OTB (likely due to DeRozan being questionable)
I see the Philly under now, still at 202.
I'm going to Denver/Dallas tonight. How should I fire? I know that Dallas beat SAC in OT last night but Denver is awful.
So this is going to be an interesting test of Bovada's sports customer service.
They have more juice than 5Dimes and bad lines, but I haven't signed up to 5Dimes yet because of the hassle.
But this is about to motivate me.
If Bovada won't reverse this shit a few minutes later, when this is literally the first time I ask for something like this after tons of bets, then I'm done betting there.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
They won't
And you aren't done betting there.
But anyway back to business. I put in a lot more time today than normal. Pro and College.
We are on Houston together.
Memphis Grizzlies -6½ (-115)
Atlanta Hawks -7
Denver Nuggets -2
Under 213 (-105)
Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets
Over 208
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Portland Trail Blazers
Houston Rockets -9
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sloppy Joe
Take under. Dallas scored like no points in second half last night and will slow pace. I think Denver wins straight up as well but under stronger play.
Edit: Warning. Taking an under is a gay way to take in a game live however.
Double Edit: Thanks for making me panic that the game was in Dallas for a minuite.
Triple Edit:
Here's my college stuff.
St John's +3
Maryland -14
LSU +6
Marquette -5½
USC +5
Villanova -10
California +2
Marquette, Vilanova, and Cal are my strongest.
Yeah, I may just ride the Nugs for a sweat. You're right, going and betting an under sucks.Quote:
Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's ClitQuote:
Originally Posted by Sloppy Joe
Take under. Dallas scored like no points in second half last night and will slow pace. I think Denver wins straight up as well but under stronger play.
Edit: Warning. Taking an under is a gay way to take in a game live however.
I think I'll fire on Blazers -4 also. Love that team
Weed is legal and your team is the Nugs. You can't make this shit up.
So as Sheboon said, they won't budge.
For a laugh, I asked if they would switch me to the "sharp" lines, and the Filipino dude denied those exist.
I then asked if they would switch me to them if I could prove that they exist, and the guy kept asking, "Show me who your friend is and I'll look into it", obviously to take it away from whoever told me about it.
So I said, "I'll only show you if you can promise you will give me his sharp lines and not take away his", and the guy wouldn't promise that, simply saying, "Only one set of lines exist."
:lol
I was only speaking to a supervisor instead of a manager, though, and the supervisors are useless at Bovada.
It really sucks because I like the over a lot there, but I can't bring myself to double-juice it, especially after I already paid 15% juice with the -115. So I'll just hope I was wrong and this will become either a LOL lucky story or a frustrating loss where I should have won.
Really am going to set up a 5Dimes account today, and will only bet Bovada when either they have a better line or I'm busto at 5Dimes.
OMG THEY HAVE NO IDEA WHO THEY ARE MESSING WITH!
I hadn't tried to reverse a bet with bovada but back in the day I called in somewhere and I kept asking for a person higher up until I got someone American sounding on the phone who was probably pretty high up. Once I got to him he laughed at me and hung up. SportsInteraction.com I think was the site.
Edit: Radio prank call? I guess it would be hard because you would have to have a username and password to get in so you would have to be yourself. I mean even if it wasn't exactly funny it would be highly interesting to me.
If the under was -115, isn't the over less juice? ie -105?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
It's time for some mid-week nfl playoff bets. Last week i was 3/4 with a moneyline bink, so obv that has no effect on this week since I am just betting hunches and you should probably bet the opposite. All that said here goes:
I advise both underdog moneylines, provided you get them above +200. Gotta figure one of these dogs wins. Also go ahead and bet on the dogs in the spread too.
And now for some prop bets!
Which game will have higher ratings:
IND vs NE -140, obv patriots fans will make this the most watched, boston strong. China please tune in 5 tvs for this game and watch the other game at the bar. TIA
How many calls will be overturned both games combined
Over 1 and 1/2 -120
These refs don't ever get shit right, so this is a sure thing obv
That's all for now. Good luck on all your bets this weekend.
Don't know about Sportsinteraction, but at Bovada the only people with any power there are the Canadians. If you get someone with a Canadian accent, you have a shot at some decent service. If you get a Filipino, you might as well just hang up.Quote:
Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit
Of course, I am a masochist so I argue with the Filipinos anyway, and then hang up in a terrible mood.
I'm watching the public now pile onto the over. I think I'm going to get clobbered on this one. I would LOVE to laugh about this when my "pick" loses and I win, but I have a feeling it's going to go the other way, and I'm going to be really pissed off tonight.
The sad thing is that I always check what I click, but this wasn't an actual misclick, but a mind-bend, where I was so used to betting unders (and was thinking of the Philly under) that I really I thought I was correctly betting under until right afterwards.
The worst thing is that I liked this one best of the picks I posted today.
I'll take half your bet, but only if you agree to take the other half and NOT lay off at all.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffDon't know about Sportsinteraction, but at Bovada the only people with any power there are the Canadians. If you get someone with a Canadian accent, you have a shot at some decent service. If you get a Filipino, you might as well just hang up.Quote:
Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit
Of course, I am a masochist so I argue with the Filipinos anyway, and then hang up in a terrible mood.
I'm watching the public now pile onto the over. I think I'm going to get clobbered on this one. I would LOVE to laugh about this when my "pick" loses and I win, but I have a feeling it's going to go the other way, and I'm going to be really pissed off tonight.
The sad thing is that I always check what I click, but this wasn't an actual misclick, but a mind-bend, where I was so used to betting unders (and was thinking of the Philly under) that I really I thought I was correctly betting under until right afterwards.
The worst thing is that I liked this one best of the picks I posted today.
Well, I bet 805 to win 700, so to win back 805, I would have to bet 845.25.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdogIf the under was -115, isn't the over less juice? ie -105?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
And then if over won, I would break even, and if under won, I would lose 145.25.
And I could bet less than 845.25 to kinda middle it where it's a guaranteed lesser loss, but that would still be over $70.
So it's close to the same juice as if it were -110, just spread out a different way.
What do you mean by "not lay off at all"?Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdogI'll take half your bet, but only if you agree to take the other half and NOT lay off at all.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Don't bet the overQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffWhat do you mean by "not lay off at all"?Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
I wasn't going to bet back the over anyway. Fuck Bovada. But okay, you have a deal.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdogDon't bet the overQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Under 190 -115. You take $402.50 to win $350, and I take the same.
Deal?
DoneQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffI wasn't going to bet back the over anyway. Fuck Bovada. But okay, you have a deal.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Under 190 -115. You take $402.50 to win $350, and I take the same.
Deal?
Bet philly under 202.5 as well