Oddly enough The game id worry about the most is #16. On the road vs a Denver team that has a decent shot of not having anything to play for.Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
These bets rarely pay off, but at +1000 I've seen worse.
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Oddly enough The game id worry about the most is #16. On the road vs a Denver team that has a decent shot of not having anything to play for.Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
These bets rarely pay off, but at +1000 I've seen worse.
He will be happy to see he can get 4.5 at some shops.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
That said ill tail because the NCFF card sucks.
Yeah, I didn't bet it, just checked bovada app. I don't bet much on basketball. Just thought I'd mention it in case anyone is loading up on Clips it might give you pause.
NIU -3
Memphis +1.5 @ Suns.
Did a 5 game parlay on Proline here in Canada. I'm drawing dead since I didn't realize anything within 5pts is considered a tie. lol, what a fucking joke.
I got Heat, Magic, Raps, Nets & Warriors. They all have to win by at least 6.
$5 to win $308.50.
Missed tip on one game, system voided
Hopefully they cover but at the same time I hope Jahwan Edwards runs all over these guysQuote:
Originally Posted by JUSTIFIEDhomicide
I have not seen you post about Fan Duel since first week of season.. Is it beatabe? Or is variance and juice make it a luckfest to profit?Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniacHopefully they cover but at the same time I hope Jahwan Edwards runs all over these guysQuote:
Originally Posted by JUSTIFIEDhomicide
Was going to fire on Cleveland -5.5 at Utah, and I see it has moved to -6 on Bovada (and -5.5/-115 elsewhere), so fuck it. Now I hope it loses.
I should just fade myself. Got them all wrong so far.Quote:
Originally Posted by Hockey Guy
Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Shippp
ya it is beatable if you do your homework. I stopped playing a few weeks ago because there is a good amount of work involved and I am focusing on poker still. Guys are making 100s of thousands dollars in these. HU matches and 50 50s seem to be where a lot of the best money isQuote:
Originally Posted by FademypicksI have not seen you post about Fan Duel since first week of season.. Is it beatabe? Or is variance and juice make it a luckfest to profit?Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
Cavs lost again.
Might be worth fading this team for awhile, especially on the road.
Glad I didn't bet on tonight's game.
Part of what scared me was the fact that they were in Utah, and the Jazz have always been tough at home, even when their team is crappy. This is partially because of the altitude in Salt Lake, and partially because of the notoriously loud home crowd. Was already hesitating about taking a struggling Cavs team against home Utah, but the line change sealed it for me.
On the flip side, the Jazz haven't done well against the spread on the road. The Jazz in general have always had road problems, but of course the spread adjust for that.
Still, the Jazz are 51-63 ATS in the prior 3 seasons on the road. Had you just blindly fired on every Jazz road game since the 2011-2012 season at -110 against the Jazz (spread, not ML), you would have come away with a 5.5% ROI, even taking into account the 10% house juice. I see they also went 19-20 on the road ATS in 2010-2011, and 17-24 ATS on the road in 2008-2009. For whatever reason I can't find ATS data for them for 2009-2010. (Anyone have a good site for this?)
Here is a good ATS site but it only goes back to 2011-2012: http://www.predictionmachine.com/201...eams-ATS-Total
The reason I mention this is because I can't find a recent season where the Jazz have a winning record on the road ATS, and unlike other teams, where year-to-year doesn't matter much, the Jazz have the altitude factor (4300 feet), which can artificially inflate their home numbers and therefore make them worse ATS on the road.
Turns out this guy knows his stuff. Or he's a Luckbox. Either way good posting.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyHe will be happy to see he can get 4.5 at some shops.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
That said ill tail because the NCFF card sucks.
HOU/SA o200
Druff talking about sports betting from his real account is weirding me out.
Does anyone have an idea how close these online books pay on parlays in relation to the true odds...
Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniacHopefully they cover but at the same time I hope Jahwan Edwards runs all over these guysQuote:
Originally Posted by JUSTIFIEDhomicide
booom
15-9 nfl 1-0 ncaa itt
cinci -7 O46
Browns +7 small bet just for sweat
I almost bet Cavs last night because it was Utah, but Lebron's back is too jacked to even fuck with them right now. When you're wearin a tens unit every day and getting your shot blocked by white guys at the rim its a big problem. I think he should sit for a few, but I'm guessing he's going to ride it out like the beginning of the past few seasons when it gave him issues. He didn't look this bad then though. His numbers were deceptive last night, he's not right. He played a cagey old man style game yesterday. Looked like Paul Pierce of circa 2011.
If yer on bovada and can get browns +7 thats the play. If yer anywhere else and its 6 or 6.5, I don't know.
BOL!
Why is everyone on the Browns? They suck away. They had to come back for a miracle win at TEN. They barely scraped a vicory away from TB.
Is Gio back? Green healthy? Hill seems to be fine if not. If GIo plays than Hill will just be another weapon.
Not sure why all the CINCI hate, unless it's just because the public is also on them.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SetofKs
That bet is awful in ya ass.
Quote:
Originally Posted by JUSTIFIEDhomicide
See every windy game Andy Dalton has ever played in. It's early and they may pull it out, but the reason to be against Cincy is Dalton's noodle arm.
Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRQuote:
Originally Posted by JUSTIFIEDhomicide
See every windy game Andy Dalton has ever played in. It's early and they may pull it out, but the reason to be against Cincy is Dalton's noodle arm.
I didn't factor in weather. It's so beautiful where I live, and I am so used to living on the east coast, that I just figured it was beautiful.
Ooops
Cincy still may cover. It's just a problem with Dalton, and the reason it was so dumb imo to give him all that money. You're almost hoping to go on road in playoffs if you're Cincy because it's always going to be cold and windy in Cincy in January. It's not even that cold tonight, but it's windy. I would have bet more than change on Cleveland if I had looked. I didnt. I'm in Ohio, but Cincy is 5 hours south of me.
wow Duncan is out and the Spurs can't even score any pts. They must all be drunk?Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Parker 0/5
Green 1/8
Leonard 1/8
0/12 3 pters
25% shooting % overall.
I got Hou -3.5 & Por -3.5 on a parlay. Houston looking good, just need Portland to take care of business.
Oh I'll just put this in this thread.
Sixers 0-4 ATS
Don't look now, but Houston is both 6-0 ATS and 6-0 in unders.
That's unusual, as Houston has been the favorite most (or all of the times) by a fair amount, and if they're beating that each time, it usually means they are scoring a lot and hitting the over. But all 6 have gone under.
I'm supposed to tail NBA picks from a someone named Hockey Guy?Quote:
Originally Posted by Hockey Guy
Props kid!
Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Nice. This is one of those games where 15 out of the 15 guys i asked liked cinci by 7. Something like this usually means auto fire against all 15 guys but I still couldn't do it.
2 units 11/7/14 11:30pm* Reduced*Fighting* 1102 Al Iaquinta +140* vs Ross Pearson*
1 Unit 11/7/14 10:30pm* Reduced*Fighting* 1301 Walt Harris +150* vs Soa Palelei*
1 unit 11/7/14 8:00pm* Reduced*Fighting* 1802 Chris Clements +110* vs Vik Grujic*
YepQuote:
Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's ClitQuote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Nice. This is one of those games where 15 out of the 15 guys i asked liked cinci by 7. Something like this usually means auto fire against all 15 guys but I still couldn't do it.
Its easy to say "Go against public opinion", but its tough to actually do it.
this is your afternoon play you nerd kikes Ticket#:38040834
Nov 07 04:55 PM
INTERNET / -1 Nov 07 11:30 AM
MU
STRAIGHT BET
[7305] P REED (3R) -135
(P REED (3R) vrs S GALLACHER (3R))
211 / 156
All Rights Reserved © 2011 PlayCR SportsBook.
TWO ELEVEN IN PROGRESS
Cavaliers -5.5 in 3 different 3 team parlays... Dumb.. but fk it..
voulgaris pick looking medium dicey Ticket#:38038442
Nov 07 04:12 PM
INTERNET / -1 Nov 07 09:02 AM
NBA
STRAIGHT BET
[501] ATL HAWKS +1-110
449 / 408