Great pick Todd. check PMs bb
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Great pick Todd. check PMs bb
Let's go with another under today, again starting shortly (20 min)
Washington (Roark) at NY Mets (Matz) - Under 8 -120
You can get -115 on Bovada on some accounts right now, btw.
Offense is happening tonight in two AL games.
18 runs so far in the A's/White Sox game, and 20 runs so far with the Blue Jays and Royals.
jsearles, are you even watching the Royals this year, or are you conceding that they are terribad and giving up? Boy that team is horrid.
Anyway, I'm considering backing the Giants tonight. Stratton is an underrated pitcher, and should probably be good for some value for awhile. It's too bad he plays on such a bad team. Doesn't help that Longoria has had a bad ankle the entire year (hence his bad start), and Panik is out tonight.
But I'm still considering it. Game starts at 6:40 PDT, so I'll update soon.
Regarding bookies, I still have a bookie I need to go after.
Guy stiffed me for mid-3-figures two years ago. It's so odd, because he went busto owing me over $2300, and then after some pressure on my part, he paid installments to get down to like $580 (gotta look up the exact figure, but it's something like that), and then vanished.
Then I found out he's been playing as high as $20/$40 limit around Vegas, so for sure he can afford to pay me, unless he's backed, which I think is unlikely because he's a nobody in poker. Maybe he's borrowing. Who knows...
Anyway, I finally stepped up the pressure a few months ago, and he said he would pay me and asked for payment info. Then nothing.
So annoying.
Going to step up the pressure again very shortly.
Oh and he freerolled me, too.
When he owed me like $1100, he realized he couldn't make the weekly settling, so he told me he was going on a "rafting trip", and then that's when he vanished the first time. So he was hoping I would bet the week of the "trip" and then chunk off my winnings. Instead I got it up to like $2300 and stopped betting when I suspected I was being rolled, and that's when the bad news came out, after I hassled him repeatedly in text until he answered me.
It's 6-0 1 minute into the game. Oladipo has 2 fouls and Lebron is locked in. This game is already overQuote:
Originally Posted by hongkonger
Super hard to predict these Cleveland playoff games, especially this year.
On one hand, the team has been a mess all year, though better in the 2nd half of the season.
On the other hand, Lebron becomes such an animal in the playoffs that he can single-handedly turn around the entire result of a game to a large degree.
Ugh. My favorite -- the 3-run homer during an under pick.
Nats up 3-0 before the seats are warm.
Zimmerman finally did something this year. Didn't see that coming.
Now I've gotta hope Roark pitches well, and Nats win a 6-0 type game where the Mets are out of it the whole way, and kind of settle into a flailing offensive funk, knowing the futility. If Roark looks bad and the Mets start to get a lot of runners on base, this one is pretty much over.
You literally made 6 posts since mine, sugar. Where's the sweetness?
:nooseQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
If a bookie ever misses a payment never, and I mean ever, make another play until you are paid and tell him you are doing as much.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
MLB Late Game Plays :
Giants vs Dbacks Total Over 8 -120
Dodgers VS Padres : Taking Padres here at +155
Good Luck
Gookie
Nats about to let this one get away by not taking out Madson, and my bet will go with it.
:gay
Edit: Yep, seconds after I typed that, a single up the middle scored 2 runs, making the game 4-4, and causing my under to lose.
I hate hate hate when managers won't pull a pitcher late-and-close when it's 100% clear he doesn't have it.
Really really really like the over in the Indians game
Cleveland won by 3. I picked the right side to bet.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22It's 6-0 1 minute into the game. Oladipo has 2 fouls and Lebron is locked in. This game is already overQuote:
Originally Posted by hongkonger
:outright
Quote:
Originally Posted by hongkongerCleveland won by 3. I picked the right side to bet.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
:outright
Good w HK. Definitely not the game I expected. Cavs haven’t held a team under 100 b2b since the first week of December, and that was Chicago and the Kings. Ugly ass game. Glad they won, but certainly isn’t looking like a team that can take 2 games off a real team atm. Such stagnant offense.
Giants leaving a million men on base.
That team is so lolbad offensively.
It hurts to bet on them and watch them shit the bed repeatedly.
Still 0-0
Recap for today :
HORRIBLE
Mlb Sides 1-4
Mlb Total Over 0-1
YTD
MLB SIDES 7-6 -.23 Units
MLB TOTALS OVER 0-2 -2.25 Units
So the Roller Coaster ride begins
Good Luck
Gookie
Mlb Plays for Thursday 4-19-18
Today is BOMBER day :
Detroit Tigers +108 for 1 unit
Toronto Blue Jays +140 for 2 units
Miami Marlins +185 for 2 units
Good Luck
Gookie
Starting to think "my" Red Sox might be decent this year.
Did you win the Indians over?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
It’s the last shot with Duquettes and Epstein’s draft class. Before free agency scatters Mookie & company to the windsQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
They finally pulled their head out of their ass in the nick of time.
I love this new manager, Cora from Astros. Zero bullshit. His press conferences and interviews are refreshing after Farrell
Aggressive approach with new analytics.
When Joe Kelly drilled the spikes up base runner and said, “you want some?” I knew then I was a goner and would fall in love
Remember last year? Pedroia saying after a batter was drilled by a Red Sox pitcher “it’s not me”. Pedroia hated Farrell and the organization. They were doomed to fail & did.
It’s okay to like Sawks now.
Good luck. Gonna parlay all 3 round robin & on the alternative -1.5 line.Quote:
Originally Posted by Gookieheimowitz
Sooo... this is awkward.
I accidentally posted the SF +141 bet in the wrong thread: https://pokerfraudalert.com/forum/sh...l=1#post760359
I also posted an hour before game time on vegascasinotalk, where I mirror these picks: https://vegascasinotalk.com/forum/sh...ll=1#post63769
And then there's the fact that I actually bet the game.
However, since I posted it on vegascasinotalk, and since I posted it here but in the wrong thread, I'm counting it. Especially since I keep my records for here and vegascasinotalk parallel, and always count PFA-posted picks that I forgot to duplicate over there, whether win or lose.
And if you don't like it, fuck you.
I did actually post three other picks in this thread, two of which won.
4/18 recap
Tampa (Faria) +110 vs. Texas (Hamels) - WON +1.110
Tampa/Texas - Under 7.5 +103 - WON +1.030
Washington (Roark) at NY Mets (Matz) - Under 8 -120 - LOST -1.000
San Francisco (Stratton) +141 at Arizona (Ray) posted here in wrong thread -- but also posted on vegascasinotalk, due to site glitch - WON +1.410
Total on 4/18:
3-1, +2.550
Overall record:
SEASON TOTAL: 19-11-2, +8.163 UNITS
Overs 0-1
Unders 12-4-2
Sides 7-6
I can't remember the last time there was a 0-0 tie after 9Quote:
Originally Posted by TellafriendDid you win the Indians over?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyI can't remember the last time there was a 0-0 tie after 9Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
OOOOOOUUUUUUUUCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH HHHHH
Druff you're up +8.163 units. Have you thought about shutting it down for the year yet?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
In all seriousness, if we get to like early June and I start to go into the toilet, I might really shut it down, especially if my losses are the result of a lot of bad picks, rather than just bad late inning managing or unexpected bullpen blowups in the 8th/9th.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdogDruff you're up +8.163 units. Have you thought about shutting it down for the year yet?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Can only find one baseball play I like at the moment:
Toronto (Aaron Sanchez) at NY Yankees (Sabathia) - Under 9 -113
On a side note, Betonline is somewhat shitting the bed again, where it doesn't let me log in, or it keeps logging me out once I'm logged in. This was happening during their DDoS problems, so maybe they're getting hit again.
I find that tablet.betonline.ag is a working alternative, but I hate that interface.
Quote:
Originally Posted by snake_in_the_assGood luck. Gonna parlay all 3 round robin & on the alternative -1.5 line.Quote:
Originally Posted by Gookieheimowitz
Tigers shoot the moon 13-8 win over a very lost Orioles team. One down two Bombers to go.
Bored and wide awake, I’ll send pp to DD straight away , your bet to my $100 could do 2 50’s.Someone trusted who won’t post a joke line , cos I probably won’t check. 30-40 mins it’s open for. Edit it’s still open and will send to a trusted contributor .
Sabathia looks bad today.
Defense has been crap too.
Needs to turn around or be lifted or my under is toast.
How does Golden State not cover? The first two games have been blow outs. Pop won't be at the game. I honestly don't see the "win one for Pop" overtaking the extreme skill disparity in this one.
GS -3.5 pretty big bet for me
I have mixed feelings about this game, and am not touching it.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
With that said, this has Trapper John MD written all over it. Curiously low line for the favorite. Public hammering the favorite. Line moving in the opposite direction than you'd expect.
In general I don't like betting NBA playoffs because there's too much visibility, action, and attention, and it becomes damn hard to beat the lines.
Late game:
Boston (E. Rodriguez) at Angels (Tropeano) - Under 8.5 -115
Boy this Yankees under is tough.
Just when I think I'm gold when it's 4-2 in the 8th, Toronto loads the bases with 1 out, scores, and it's 4-3 still bases loaded.
Then Grichuk (super bad since joining Blue Jays) K'd.
Now they need to get one more to wiggle out.
Loaded the bases with no outs.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdogLoaded the bases with no outs.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
This has been a very ugly game Jays have had many chances . Loading the bases with 0 outs and only getting 1 run is unacceptable .
Yeah it was no outs. Forgot that the first strikeout happened with the bases already loaded.
This whole pick has had the marginal feel to it. I've had very few outright bad under picks (where they just get blown out of the water early). I've had a few close ones lose in late innings, and other close ones hold on to win in late innings. Those I deem "mediocre" picks -- ones where I win or lose due to luck, not really due to the pick being particularly good or bad. That's where I place this one. I've also had a number of very good unders (which seem to be headed to cover the entire way).
These are the type I'm not particularly proud to win, but I'll take 'em if they hold.
It's a much better feeling when I pick an under 8 and the game finishes 1-0, and it feels like the win was mostly due to skill. Kinda like all those early-season NBA unders where I was routinely covering by 20-30 points. When the middle and later season came and my winners were barely pulling it out by a few points, I knew things were different. Not only was I losing a lot more, but my winners were rarely convincing.
As I've said, the handicapper's skill is more defined by how he wins rather than if he wins.
Right now, if you examine my baseball picks (especially the unders), you'll see that I'm almost never getting blown out. That's a good sign.
Chapman just came in and absolutely obliterated the Blue Jays, striking out the side and reaching 101 MPH.
And another under covers.
:yes
Now we need an Angels/Boston pitchers duel.