*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

Almost did Phillies +112 today, as they had a much better pitcher going and I thought they would really fight being swept by the Braves.

Then reality set in, and I came to conclude that Atlanta has been red-hot in September (Dansby Swanson's promotion has helped a lot, as has Freddie Freeman killing the ball), while the Phillies seem to just be laying down and putting fail lineups out there night after night.

Phillies took a 1-0 lead, then gave up 5, and they are going to lose. So good non-bet.

In general I stay away from MLB bets in the final week of the season, as I find that's the most unpredictable week, and it just seems impossible to handicap.

Sanlmar found a gem today, though.

I want to bet clinton but can not get more action.Can anyone get me action? I will tip 5% when I win. tia

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Originally Posted by Daly

Couple of early plays for next Saturday.

Texas Tech -28 - Tech don't give a fuck. Win or lose they will try and put up as many points as they can. Kansas just can't hang with this team on any level. Blowout.

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good read there...they were up 55-19, like 2 minutes to go and on 4th and like 14 he still took a shot to the end zone...kid almost made a one handed catch to send the game over...Kansas didn't do shit, but man it's scary as hell to bet an under on a tech game...have a feeling most of their remaining games will see totals in the mid-80s, but man if they see anything in the high 70s it's gonna be worth a look...

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Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis

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Originally Posted by Daly

Couple of early plays for next Saturday.

Texas Tech -28 - Tech don't give a fuck. Win or lose they will try and put up as many points as they can. Kansas just can't hang with this team on any level. Blowout.

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good read there...they were up 55-19, like 2 minutes to go and on 4th and like 14 he still took a shot to the end zone...kid almost made a one handed catch to send the game over...Kansas didn't do shit, but man it's scary as hell to bet an under on a tech game...have a feeling most of their remaining games will see totals in the mid-80s, but man if they see anything in the high 70s it's gonna be worth a look...

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I love the fact that the NFL prospect got knocked out and the backup out played him.

Kansas just sucks. I made the line 35.5

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Originally Posted by Daly

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Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis

good read there...they were up 55-19, like 2 minutes to go and on 4th and like 14 he still took a shot to the end zone...kid almost made a one handed catch to send the game over...Kansas didn't do shit, but man it's scary as hell to bet an under on a tech game...have a feeling most of their remaining games will see totals in the mid-80s, but man if they see anything in the high 70s it's gonna be worth a look...

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I love the fact that the NFL prospect got knocked out and the backup out played him.

Kansas just sucks. I made the line 35.5

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wow you think mahomes is an nfl prospect? isn't he like 6-6'1? love the kid as a stud college QB, he runs that fun and gun/spread shit amazingly well albeit with some stupid shit TOs from time to time...I just cant imagine he would project well to the next level...I will say I don't look at it on that level...id always look at it from the, 'can these guys put up video game numbers for DFS' and he always could do that...

ok boys I have had some good success this NFL season with a new quant model I am following. I am tweaking it to only pick a few games where the actual line has moved 5 points or more from the model line and thus where I see extra value. This week, Denver -3.5, Houston -5, Minn -5.5. One more possible is KC plus 5.5

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Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis

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Originally Posted by Daly

I love the fact that the NFL prospect got knocked out and the backup out played him.

Kansas just sucks. I made the line 35.5

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wow you think mahomes is an nfl prospect? isn't he like 6-6'1? love the kid as a stud college QB, he runs that fun and gun/spread shit amazingly well albeit with some stupid shit TOs from time to time...I just cant imagine he would project well to the next level...I will say I don't look at it on that level...id always look at it from the, 'can these guys put up video game numbers for DFS' and he always could do that...

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6-3 219 and can run. Phil Stelele has him as the #4 QB prospect in the draft. That makes him a top 3 round guy. His dad was a pro baseball player too for what that's worth.

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Originally Posted by Daly

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Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis

wow you think mahomes is an nfl prospect? isn't he like 6-6'1? love the kid as a stud college QB, he runs that fun and gun/spread shit amazingly well albeit with some stupid shit TOs from time to time...I just cant imagine he would project well to the next level...I will say I don't look at it on that level...id always look at it from the, 'can these guys put up video game numbers for DFS' and he always could do that...

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6-3 219 and can run. Phil Stelele has him as the #4 QB prospect in the draft. That makes him a top 3 round guy. His dad was a pro baseball player too for what that's worth.

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yeah I'm unfortunately old enough to have watched his dad pitch...interesting on his draft stock...guys like steele are on top of shit like that...

ATL +3
TB + 3
CHI +3

New strategy where more than 65% of the money is on one team and the line hasn't moved. Going to bet against the public in all games that meet that qualification the rest of the year.

My worst days are when I bet a lot of chalk

Michigan -10.5
Florida -11
NW +12
SDSU -20
Cinci +180

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Originally Posted by Daly

My worst days are when I bet a lot of chalk

Michigan -10.5
Florida -11
NW +12
SDSU -20
Cinci +180

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Appreciate your work Daly. Read every word

BC v Buffalo. Interesting movement toward Buffalo where the halves line has not kept pace? Let's face it, just a hate bet. Knew you'd understand. Lol, Troy Flutie suspended indefinitely.

Mobile - Football - NCAA - 111 Buffalo +10½ -120 for 1st Half

I'll start the chiming in w my picks as well.

Florida 1st half
Buckeyes 1st half
Iowa 1st half
Seminoles over
Western Michigan over
Alabama 1st half
Clemson over.

All weather pending of course.

Amazing stuff for sure though Daly!

NCAAFB

125 Kansas State -3.5
149 Ohio -2
169 Navy +7

I always play ML with dogs as well for .25 units

GL!

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Originally Posted by Daly

NW +12

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:outright

lol kickers

 

https://vine.co/v/56Zg26EqEdT

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Originally Posted by Daly

My worst days are when I bet a lot of chalk

Michigan -10.5
Florida -11
NW +12
SDSU -20
Cinci +180

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Well that worked out well for me, looking like 1/5, back to NFL tomorrow to get even for the week

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Originally Posted by KennyFuckingPowers

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Originally Posted by Daly

My worst days are when I bet a lot of chalk

Michigan -10.5
Florida -11
NW +12
SDSU -20
Cinci +180

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Well that worked out well for me, looking like 1/5, back to NFL tomorrow to get even for the week

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Sides are sides. If I haven't been clear since day one there is no $$ in sides. I mean everyone gets lucky here or there and you can get lucky and have a good day like the best of them. The plus EV money will be in props and futures.

I don't care if it's C-money, Me, china or another other better with tallent.... no such thing as a sure thing when it comes to a generally available side to the public.

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Originally Posted by Daly

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Originally Posted by KennyFuckingPowers

Well that worked out well for me, looking like 1/5, back to NFL tomorrow to get even for the week

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Sides are sides. If I haven't been clear since day one there is no $$ in sides. I mean everyone gets lucky here or there and you can get lucky and have a good day like the best of them. The plus EV money will be in props and futures.

I don't care if it's C-money, Me, china or another other better with tallent.... no such thing as a sure thing when it comes to a generally available side to the public.

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Agree, just saying. Anyhow, if you can, please provide some obscure props for Sunday NFL that the public will never be on. Thx in advance.

i like hurns over 4.5 for the early game...no Julius Thomas for the jags and vontae davis should be on robinson...the jags managed to keep robinson bottled up (4 catches/1 catch) last year while hurns had 11 and 3 catches in their 2 matchups last year...

also going to take TY over 85.5...

nothing big, just for a sweat...