Ridiculously high scoring first 7.5 minutes of 4Q, then scoring died and I covered by 1.
Hats off to the oddsmakers for getting this shit so spot on. That's why I hate betting playoffs. I'll take the narrow win.
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Ridiculously high scoring first 7.5 minutes of 4Q, then scoring died and I covered by 1.
Hats off to the oddsmakers for getting this shit so spot on. That's why I hate betting playoffs. I'll take the narrow win.
Recap on todays MLB
We had
Philadelphia Phillies +105 Over Tampa Bay Rays Final Score Phillies 9 Rays 4
Pittsburgh Pirates -160 Over Miami Marlins Final Score Pirates 1 Marlins 0
Toronto Vs Cleveland Over 7 POSTPONED
YTD Results
MLB Sides 3-0 +3.05 Units
Good Luck
Gookie
Today's recap for me:
KC (Junis) +152 vs. Angels (G. Richards) - LOST -1
Milwaukee +104 (C. Anderson) at Mets (Harvey) - WON +1.040
Cincinnati (Finnegan) vs. St. Louis (Mikolas) - Under 9.5 -120 - WON +0.833
Total for day: 2-1, +0.873
Total for reason: 12-8-1, +3.477 units
Damn Royals got me again, for the third time this season.
Unders 9-2
Overs 0-1
Sides 3-5
NBA:
Spurs/Warriors - Under 206 - WON
Record now 180-159-6
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Not sure why you keep trying to beat the Angels?
Anyways Nice pick with the Brew Crew . I was looking at other side of that game but decided against it .
Here we go for Sunday 4-15-18
Sundays are reserved for Aces . In that regard in MLB we find many games just not playable . Why? The thought of laying 2-1 is not much of a thought and yet the thought of taking 2-1 or better when the true odds of winning are much higher doesn't make much sense either. Yesterday I talked about streaks and riding Team streaks is a great way to make money in MLB or other sports for that matter. Saturday saw us ride the Phillies for a 2nd straight win and we picked up the Pirates as well against the Marlins also an interesting side note The Marlins have yet to be favored in any game this year . Today is a great day to lay off the Aces and stick with the streaks .
Philadelphia Phillies +128 vs Tampa Bay Rays . This line is just crazy . The Phillies have won 7-8 and are going for the series sweep . The rays are just putrid and only have three starting pitchers due to injuries which brings the odd man in for this game . A true reliever who is starting the game. Phillies pitcher Ben Lively is not the greatest guy on the mound but he has some good stuff and the Rays just do not have the fire power to stick with the Phillies in this spot. Take the + Money here as we Sweep the series .
Pittsburgh Pirates -138 vs Miami Marlins . Ok I said it yesterday and again here today the Marlins are just so bad . Pirates eeked out the win yesterday 1-0 by scoring in the top of the 9th . Fortunatley most days that's all it takes to beat the Marlins is a single run. Pirates have been surprising so far this season and I see no reason to step off the gas peddle now.
The rest of the games today I found just not playable so I will stick here with 2 plays and hope to go 5-0 for the weekend .
Plays for 4-15-18
Phillies +128
Pirates -138
Good Luck
Gookie
Celtics u 201
Okc -4.5 -105
Houston -11.5 -105
Starting very soon:
Baltimore (Bundy) at Boston (Sale) - Under 6.5 -110
Starting in a few hours:
San Diego (Lucchesi) -118 vs. San Francisco (Beede)
Agree with BCR on the Celtics under.
Just went with Celtics under 200
Diamondbacks +193
Diamondbacks feast off lefties (Kershaw)
The trend is also your friend
God bless verlander -340!! Against big Colon. Would be a fun game to watch. Not going to bet it. Colon is pretty good in first half usually.
Sorry regarding Celtics.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Dan Druff the OT magnet ruins another good under pick.
0.5 seconds to make a 3 to tie it, why not...
I’m not sure what it says about my life when that shot goes in I instantly think “now we get to hear Druff whine like a bitch”Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffSorry regarding Celtics.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Dan Druff the OT magnet ruins another good under pick.
0.5 seconds to make a 3 to tie it, why not...
It says that you're a miserable troll who runs onto PFA the second the game is over to needle someone else about a hard-luck sportsbet loss.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22I’m not sure what it says about my life when that shot goes in I instantly think “now we get to hear Druff whine like a bitch”Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Too bad my bet was with an actual book, and I just can't take the jsearles welching method to get out of losses like these.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffSorry regarding Celtics.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Dan Druff the OT magnet ruins another good under pick.
0.5 seconds to make a 3 to tie it, why not...
Fucking phone. It was the only concern the whole second half. Anything but OT. We had like 18 points to play with a minute left. Oh well, that’s betting on the NBA.
On the bright side, while under 6.5 totals make me uncomfortable for obvious reasons, this one covered with relatively little drama, in a 3-1 Boston victory.
Gookie had a good one with the Phillies, who are about to win. Should have gone along with that one. I even have Lively on my fantasy team.
I'm now 10-2 in unders in this young MLB season. I would actually be 11-1 if it weren't for that weird extra inning loss where it was 2-1 in the bottom of the 9th, and I lost an under 7.5 game.
I will post my full record at the end of the day, as usual.
So now you're deleting all rebuttals? Cool.....Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffIt says that you're a miserable troll who runs onto PFA the second the game is over to needle someone else about a hard-luck sportsbet loss.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
Too bad my bet was with an actual book, and I just can't take the jsearles welching method to get out of losses like these.
Cavs +230 live bet
Mixed feelings about today.
On the plus side, both my baseball picks easily won, and I'm off to a very good start (especially with unders).
Ok the frustrating side, I was screwed by OT again in the NBA, and I literally forgot to post/bet my other under, Cleveland, which easily covered. Annoying. Something distracted me and it slipped my mind.
Anytime someone actually posts reasons for why they bet and those reasons are coherent, Im on board. Thanks for this today, pretty decent size parlay for me:Quote:
Originally Posted by Gookieheimowitz
Great Weekend 5-0 on sides and that's all we played . Hope some of you guys and gals followed along as the Gookie Rickshaw pulled you to the finish line.
So for a recap Today we had
Phillies +128 Easy winner
Pirates - 138 Easy winner
YTD
MLB sides 5-0 + 5.33 Units
Keep track for more picks soon
Good Luck
Gookie
So here we go : Normally I would never place a wager on a Horrible team who doesn't score runs yet I find myself in a quandary . As I did my super research for MLB plays on Monday 4-16-18 . I kept coming back to only one game on the offerings. So lets go 6-0 for the season on a play that may not seem the norm but screams UNLOAD.
Gookies only play for Monday is :
Chicago White Sox +130 vs Oakland A's
So the White sox whole weekend series was postponed vs the Twinkies. Meanwhile the A's have been playing all weekend up in Seattle . Two of the worst teams in the AL will now start a set in Oakland on Monday. The line screams to me bet the White Sox and when that happens I do not hesitate . So I am going to Blaze 2 units on this game and hope the board told me the correct way to go.
Monday 4-16-18
2 Units on Chicago White Sox +130
Good Luck
Gookie
Gookie making strong push for 2018 PFA Rookie of the Year.
He's real and not a dupe from what I can tell, BTW.
Combine his MLB sides and my MLB unders and we might really have something here...
BTW, no MLB games until 3:35pm PDT tomorrow, so it will be nice not having to rush in the morning to get all of this stuff in.
Boston game already postponed, a day in advance.
LOL east coast weather
Best game this week and it’s not close
Tuesday
Sawks Price @ Angels Ohtani
Two seriously legit outfits atm. Although Price is not too legit to quit - having pulled himself from his last appearance vs Yankees after giving up 4 runs in 1st inning
Red Sox fans hate him but this is in Anaheim so it’s safe and warm. Having said that, Price is a 1.00 WHIP and has looked damn good other than his Yankee quit
Pro tip: Sawks 7th & 8th inning are a horror show. Kimbral (lights out) may have to go 8th & 9th. It’s a live bet thing I’ve been working with some moderate success
Some analysis gookie? I wanna lean Angels but I can’t see this game w/o my heart
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
So far the young season is been very good. Yes I am real. Not a dupe . I was an account holder years ago on NWP and even met you once in Vegas. As things evolved in my life and Black Friday came I found myself having to find new ways to make a living. Poker was my mainstream since 2003 . Sports wagering has been good to me over the last few years and until Nevada and New Jersey and Delaware and the newly acquired Pennsylvania combine pools I just cant see myself playing much poker. I do play but not the way it use to be. I peaked out at 75-150 on Stars and fortunately got all my funds out before the dreaded day hit. I live in Northern Arizona and travel to Vegas quite often.
You are on fire with the totals . I do not play a lot of totals in MLB . As you and everybody else knows Sports especially baseball is a long grind . When I find games I like I always will give the reason I like it I also like taking advantage of the overnight lines if I feel it will move away from my number . I do not chase and as you can see I love following divisions and certain teams. In MLB especially you can make a small fortune betting against certain teams and have a much higher win percentage by seasons end. Most people who wager baseball let there heart get in the way by betting impossible games such as two great teams playing each other. I tend to stay away from these games . There are A-B-C-D teams in my ratings and where I find most value is when B or C teams are on the road against D teams . A teams vs A teams or A vs B are games I for the most part do not look at.
The best part of Baseball wagering is most days you have a wager .
The wager I have with the White Sox vs The A's is not a normal thing for me as a D vs D matchup would not seem on face value as a positive place to put my money . Yet if you break the game down clearly you can see Lopez for the Sox has not pitched in 8 days where he has had 2 starts and given up a combined 4 hits . This guy has a .069 Era and is very sharp. Also who doesn't like days off? I know the season is early but the Sox whole weekend series was canceled . Flip this to Mengden the A's pitcher . This guy has not pitched well at all in 3 starts . He has given up 6 runs in each of his starts and here is a really good NUGGETT of information . He is 0-10 Lifetime at home. So you take all that wrapped up in the fact that the A's just played a tough three game set against a division rival and that most visiting teams best shot at a win on the road comes in the first game . I say give me +130 all day long .
Good Luck
Gookie
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
San: Read above post. When two good teams are playing each other I find zero value in playing these games. Never take a lean with your heart. Much better spots . Now if you are an action bettor . Please feel free. I only look for good spots to put my money. I do not let fandom get in the way. This is a business to me I rarely even watch the games .
Good Luck
Gookie
Sorry duplicate post from the other thread but it is topical.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
USA Today reported that three women who were sitting behind the visitors’ dugout at Kauffman Stadium on Friday night for the Angels game against the Kansas City Royals were asked by stadium security to stop cheering so loudly during Shohei Ohtani’s at-bats. The message reportedly came from the Angels dugout.
I've got two games of my own right now, and I'm going to tail one of Gookie's.
I have to say that the White Sox line makes zero sense to me, for the reasons Gookie stated. Most of the moneylines I've seen in 2018 so far have been pretty solid, but this one is mind-boggling, and indeed the public is jumping on it hard. That worries me, as Vegas isn't adjusting, so this could be a Trapper John, MD situation. I guess I'm falling for the trap, because I'm taking it, too.
So I'm going with:
White Sox (Rey. Lopez) +133 at Oakland (Mengden)
Here are my two:
Colorado (Marquez) at Pittsburgh (Brault) - Under 8 -113
Washington (Hellickson) at NY Mets (Degrom) - Under 7.5 -102
Todd, send to China and I might be able to parlay a monster tonight.
:to
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Sox Line is no more mind boggling then the Phillies line yesterday. Sox are a really bad team and the reason I don't see the line movement is cut and dry they don't score runs . I am banking on them scoring tonight . 3 days of batting practice combined with basically what equals a pitching machine for the A's . I would not call this a trap game. I call it Vegas not adjusting and that being there problem . LOL> :)
You have to do what you’re comfortable with but under 7.5 -115 is choice. This number won’t hold.Quote:
Originally Posted by GookieheimowitzQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
San: Read above post. When two good teams are playing each other I find zero value in playing these games. Never take a lean with your heart. Much better spots . Now if you are an action bettor . Please feel free. I only look for good spots to put my money. I do not let fandom get in the way. This is a business to me I rarely even watch the games .
Good Luck
Gookie
Is someone about to go BUSTO on the Miami Heat Money Line tonight?
Was looking through the line movements on the Heat vs Sixers game tonight and while the line floats between 6.5 and 7.5 all day there was weird money line change this morning at William Hill
04/16
10:27am
PHI-310
MIA+255
04/16
10:41am
PHI-155
MIA+135
04/16
12:39pm
PHI-300
MIA+250
This has to be a mistake
3-run HR by story was a killer. I hate those when I have under bets.
4 full innings left, and 6 of the 8 runs in the total have scored.
Not good.
I'm getting ready to eat a bunch of Crow on Ohtani. He looked incredible last time out. Only thing is both times out he's faced the A's and this is the first time he will be facing an upper echelon lineup.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
It's a no play for me as a result but I wouldn't blame anyone for jumping on the Oh-Face train. He looks good in this one and it might be time to auto back him.
Last minute:
Golden State/San Antonio under 206 -115 (205 -110 ok)
Went 0-1-1 on my unders. Both got to late innings quite close, though Mets/Nationals ended up blowing way past it (currently 13 runs as I type this). Col/Pit squeezed by with a tie (6-2 final).
The bullpens were horrible in the Mets game.
Need Gookie's White Sox pick to hit to have a winning MLB day.
https://image.tmdb.org/t/p/w500/bz3a...GmkMuE29yE.jpg
Looks like we're probably not getting this one, Gookie.
White Sox are so bad that they have Ari Engel hitting 9th in their lineup.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Not over till its over . I will note that there has been a huge discrepancy in the balls and strikes called by umpire. Seemingly to me . No excuse . I said the Sox just don't score runs . A's Pitcher has received a ton of calls and sox pitcher throws in same spot for a ball. Cant win all of them . I still think this was a good bet no matter what happens .
LMAO! Two fielding errors . Pretty sad . Trapper
Todays Recap : A well thought out plan gets pummeled into submission . When you play two horrible teams I suppose this is what you deserve . So we had the White Sox for 2 units at +130 and that ticket got torched . All we can do is get back at it tomorrow . No emotion . No excuses .
Today -2 units
YTD
MLB Sides 5-1 = + 3.33 Units
Hope there where some winners out there today . Mamma said there would be days like this , there would be days like this mamma said. :)
Good Luck
Gookie