*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

Mark HUNT and Yoel Romero parlayed plus money on both.........GLGLGL

st marys +9.5 down 24-8 with 11 to go...jock landale hasn't scored yet and this is a nice discount to game line of SMC -1/-2...small bet for entertainment...

Boston -4.5 vs cleveland tomorrow

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Originally Posted by varys

Boston -4.5 vs cleveland tomorrow

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I generally like this.

I think I will look to live bet this should Cleveland get up quick. Boston has adjusted well and overcome some
large deficits.

If this opportunity doesn’t present itself then, oh well.

Going forward, I’m gonna keep an eye on Lakers for a fade. What were some kinda respectable recent defensive stats might incorrectly persist. We will see if I am the only one with this thought. Prolly not as it’s rather obv

Celtics +4.5 100

Sac under 211

Decent size parlay, obv the money game already hit.

Should I bet the other side of the total bets? Parlay pays 9x. I could get 7x or break even if I bet the other side of both

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Originally Posted by jsearles22

Decent size parlay, obv the money game already hit.

Should I bet the other side of the total bets? Parlay pays 9x. I could get 7x or break even if I bet the other side of both

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Hedging to break even is for pussies

Knicks +12

Piston -3

Clippers -4.5

Orlando +4 (I'm getting the moneyline)

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

Quote:

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Originally Posted by varys

Boston -4.5 vs cleveland tomorrow

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I generally like this.

I think I will look to live bet this should Cleveland get up quick. Boston has adjusted well and overcome some
large deficits.

If this opportunity doesn’t present itself then, oh well.

Going forward, I’m gonna keep an eye on Lakers for a fade. What were some kinda respectable recent defensive stats might incorrectly persist. We will see if I am the only one with this thought. Prolly not as it’s rather obv

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Hopefully you found a good chance to live bet Boston once they made their adjustments. It was definitely looking like a 30-40 point loss for awhile, so hopefully you were able to get in when they were down 30+ before the made their adjustments and cut it down to the low 20s.

Celtics were thoroughly wrecked.

Took my beating and didn’t chase.

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Originally Posted by jsearles22

Decent size parlay, obv the money game already hit.

Should I bet the other side of the total bets? Parlay pays 9x. I could get 7x or break even if I bet the other side of both

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Tid

Can anyone point me to an online site that doesn't make you jump through hoops to verify a fucking pre paid debit Card?

Jfc I haven't found one yet..

I couldn't even deposit because I "reached my limit" wtf.....

Watch my picks go 4-0 the one fucking time I couldn't deposit and bet them.........wtf...

Probably won't have any picks today. Considering Phoenix +15.5, but maybe not.

Looked at the earlier games and didn't like any of them. Considered New Orleans +3 but backed off. They were 15 points up, but they are melting down now, so they may not end up covering!

Also considered Brooklyn, but good thing I stayed away because they are shitting the bed AGAIN. They are really terrible.

Also considered NY +11.5 and that one will probably cover.

Also considered San Antonio under, which hasn't started yet, but decided against it.

So looks like despite all of these considerations, there's a good chance I'll be making no picks, which might be good, because I've been slumping big time recently.

Firing Phoenix +16.5 on Bovada

16 ok

Golden State -17...

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

Time for NBA futures talk.

Opinions on Houston +500 for championship and Toronto +1600 for Eastern Conf winner?

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December 15th, 2017 was the date of that post.

Toronto now +350

Fuck you guys for talking me out of it.

Lost 4 in a row, after 0-2 on Saturday, 0-1 Sunday, 0-1 Monday.

Now 153-124-4.

Minnesota vs Rockets over

Cavs money line

Spurs vs Denver over

Miami under 204.5 (can get 205 at some books, and even 206 on some Bovada accounts)

Starting in 30-35 min

Minnesota +3.5

Starting in 15-20 min

Sacramento under 206

Seeing a ton of solid cappers on the Wolves tonight +3.5 ..... if i had a roll i would be betting a huge chunk on this

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Originally Posted by rollinx420

Seeing a ton of solid cappers on the Wolves tonight +3.5 ..... if i had a roll i would be betting a huge chunk on this

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On the Cavs?

Ugh.

Boy have I been cold recently.

Toronto under got blown out.

Minnesota was within a few for most of the game, now trails by 13. That's pretty much done.

Sac under is close but shading over because of an inexpicable 64-point 2nd.

:gay2

wow is it ever just plain suicide to fade the Rockettes

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Originally Posted by Mintjewlips

Minnesota vs Rockets over

Cavs money line

Spurs vs Denver over

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FADE ME BITCH

:lol4

Sorry Druff but stupid was Minty is now king of the thread

Edit. Stupid ass minty

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Originally Posted by simpdog

Sorry Druff but stupid was Minty is now king of the thread

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I'll gracefully bow to druff, his record speaks for itself, guy is pretty good overall....

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Originally Posted by Mintjewlips

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Originally Posted by Mintjewlips

Minnesota vs Rockets over

Cavs money line

Spurs vs Denver over

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FADE ME BITCH

:lol4

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Minty is GOD.

Hawks vs Pistons over 209.5

Hornets vs Magic over 214

Philly -7.5

Wizards -5

Lakers money line +180


GLGLGL

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Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis

NOTE: I don't cap or do any analytics shit, just watch all the games so take this with a grain of salt...



so here is nova's end of the season schedule:
2/14 @ PROV
2/17 @ X
2/21 v DEPAUL
2/24 @ CREI
2/28 @ HALL

that's about as hard as it gets...I bolded the games to focus on...I could even bold the PROV game because they are tough at the dunk, but just want to concentrate on those 3 games...I fully expect nova to go 2-1 or 1-2 in those games...if nova wins any game I can see it being the game against X...was shocked that nova plastered them as bad as they did in philly...but I fully expect that in cincy that they are gonna bully ball the fuck outta the game and ugly it up...the HALL game will be the same way...that squad is old school big east...tough and rugged...they have 3 seniors who are really fucking good college players and they are gonna want to stick it right up novas ass...the only concern I have with them is that they cant shoot FTs for shit (67% as a team)...the CREI game is not gonna be anything close to a knock out drag out fight...there will be fireworks in Omaha and they do not fucking lose at home...

looking to only take the home teams if they are dogs...if nova is a dog I have no interest in either side...im hoping that nova will be "overvalued" by vegas by time we get to those games...unfortunately I don't see nova getting to that point in the schedule with just the one loss that they have now...

again don't go nuts on any of this shit...if you want to bet a lunch on the spread and sprinkle a little on the money line it's probably the best way to go...again only fire if the home teams are dogs...and if there's anybody who caps this shit and wildly disagrees with me then by all means disregard this post...ive been watching nova/big east forever and know that that is just a fucking brutal stretch of games...

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still 11 to go in the second but PROV up 49-44...PROV was a 9/10 point dog in this one...

if we get favorable lines in those games I outlined I think the bets will be back on...will confirm in thread, but again don't blow a load on this...first game is against X on Saturday...

shoulda listened to my gut with PROV...they are a decent team and the dunk is not an easy place to get a win even though they lost to fucking DePaul in their last game...

EDIT: very confusing game...NOVA lost but that was an absolute offensive bedshit while the defense was decent enough...20% from 3 and 19 TOs and just 4 offensive boards...missed the SJU game that NOVA lost so can't comment on that one, but this is the worst game that ive seen NOVA play all year...10 point line was probably about balls on...NOVA shoots 40% from 3 and they win by 10 so I'm thinking a line like X +5/6 will probably be worth betting...like PROV with their game prior to NOVA against DEPAUL, NOVA coulda been looking ahead to Saturday and the game against X...

Guys,

I've hit a wall. I'm thinking it might soon be time to pack it in and try again in the first half of next NBA season. My methods which worked so well are now failing, even with some modifications.

I'm also finding far fewer "value" under bets, and it doesn't help that a lot more games seem to be going over in general right now.

I've lost 7 in a row -- my worst streak of the year.

Here's one for 35 mins from now, but I don't blame you if you don't trust it:

Denver +3 -115 (2.5 -110 ok, +125 or better moneyline ok)

http://youtu.be/T1XgFsitnQw

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

Guys,

I've hit a wall. I'm thinking it might soon be time to pack it in and try again in the first half of next NBA season. My methods which worked so well are now failing, even with some modifications.

I'm also finding far fewer "value" under bets, and it doesn't help that a lot more games seem to be going over in general right now.

I've lost 7 in a row -- my worst streak of the year.

Here's one for 35 mins from now, but I don't blame you if you don't trust it:

Denver +3 -115 (2.5 -110 ok, +125 or better moneyline ok)

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Ive been running a martingale type system with your bets the last few months. Its been pretty damn profitable. But ive given almost all of it back. Tonight is the last bullet. Good luck us! Im all in

Quote:

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Originally Posted by jsearles22

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

Guys,

I've hit a wall. I'm thinking it might soon be time to pack it in and try again in the first half of next NBA season. My methods which worked so well are now failing, even with some modifications.

I'm also finding far fewer "value" under bets, and it doesn't help that a lot more games seem to be going over in general right now.

I've lost 7 in a row -- my worst streak of the year.

Here's one for 35 mins from now, but I don't blame you if you don't trust it:

Denver +3 -115 (2.5 -110 ok, +125 or better moneyline ok)

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Ive been running a martingale type system with your bets the last few months. Its been pretty damn profitable. But ive given almost all of it back. Tonight is the last bullet. Good luck us! Im all in

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Denver leading all game so far but never anything safe.

GL

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

Guys,

I've hit a wall. I'm thinking it might soon be time to pack it in and try again in the first half of next NBA season. My methods which worked so well are now failing, even with some modifications.

I'm also finding far fewer "value" under bets, and it doesn't help that a lot more games seem to be going over in general right now.

I've lost 7 in a row -- my worst streak of the year.

Here's one for 35 mins from now, but I don't blame you if you don't trust it:

Denver +3 -115 (2.5 -110 ok, +125 or better moneyline ok)

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Do you think there is something to the first 30 games of a season being easier?

It can go either way depending how the games are capped. I traditionally do better with more data but sometimes you kind find better value on lines earlier in the season probably more too in the NBA